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New Cohesion Policy of the European Union in Poland: How It Will Influence the Investment Attractiveness of Regions in 2014-2020 PDF

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Contributions to Economics Adam A. Ambroziak Editor New Cohesion Policy of the European Union in Poland How It Will Infl uence the Investment Attractiveness of Regions in 2014-2020 Contributions to Economics For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/1262 ThiSisaFMBlankPage Adam A. Ambroziak Editor New Cohesion Policy of the European Union in Poland How It Will Influence the Investment Attractiveness of Regions in 2014-2020 Editor AdamA.Ambroziak JeanMonnetChairofEuropeanIntegration CollegiumofWorldEconomy WarsawSchoolofEconomics Warsaw,Poland Reviewer:JacekSzlachta,CollegiumofEconomicAnalyses,WarsawSchoolofEconomics Translations:GrzegorzSiwicki(chapters4and7) Languageeditor:JamesHartzell This book is a result of statutory research of the Collegium of World Economy, Warsaw School of Economics, conducted by the Jean Monnet Chair of European Integration and co-financedwithfundsprovidedbytheMinistryofScienceandHigherEducation. ISSN1431-1933 ISSN2197-7178(electronic) ISBN978-3-319-05334-9 ISBN978-3-319-05335-6(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-319-05335-6 SpringerChamHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2014938997 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2014 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerpts inconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeing enteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplication ofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheCopyrightLawofthe Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer.PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter. ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface Thisbook,entitled“NewCohesionPolicyoftheEuropeanUnioninPoland:HowIt Will Influence the Investment Attractiveness of Regions in 2014–2020”, has been preparedwithintheframeworkofaresearchprojectconductedbytheJeanMonnet ChairofEuropeanIntegrationintheCollegiumofWorldEconomyattheWarsaw School of Economics. The main objective of the research was to identify and evaluate the major changes in the Cohesion Policy of the European Union and their effects on Polish regions for the period of 2014–2020. These changes result from the successful agreement on the Multiannual Financial Framework for the period2014–2020andimplementationoftheEurope2020strategy. The years 2013–2014 are crucial and constitute milestones for the Cohesion Policy of the European Union. First of all, the Multiannual Financial Framework wasagreedandacceptedbytheCouncilandtheEuropeanParliamentinNovember andDecember2013.ItprovidesguidelinesnotonlyforEuropeanfunds,butalsofor theeconomicpolicyoftheEU,conductedbyMemberStatesatcentralandregional levels.Secondly,someextremelyimportantchangestocertainspheresofCohesion Policy were either initiated or already introduced, e.g. modernization of state aid rules,industrialpolicypackage,continuationofdiscussionsonclimatechangesand energy, improvement of human capital, and last but not least, new rules deriving fromthenewparadigmoftheregionalpolicyoftheEuropeanUnion. The main change in the Cohesion Policy is the renewed focus on competitive- ness, i.e. on entrepreneurs’ opportunities and skills to compete within the EU internal market and the global market as well. The territorial approach taken by the EU with respect to entrepreneurial competitiveness is directly linked to the locationattractivenessofregions.Theenlargementin2004and2007createdmuch wider differentiation in economic development at regional level within the Euro- pean Union. It is worth underlining that, despite the regional policy conducted within the EU from the late 1980s, the existence of divergence processes is still strong enough to maintain wide development disparities between regions of the EU-28. The book consists of the most interesting, valuable, reliable, and relevant research concerning countries faced with fundamental long-term structural v vi Preface problems(notthoseMemberStateswhichareexperiencingproblemsderivingonly fromthefinancialcrisis).Theso-definedgroupofMemberStatesconsistsmainlyof countriesrepresentingyoungmarketeconomies,i.e.thosewhichjoinedtheEUin 2004,2007,and2013.Inanalysingtheneedfortheresearchthemessetoutinthis book, it should firstly be taken into account that Poland will be the biggest net beneficiaryofEUfundsfortheperiod2014–2020,whichmeanstherewillbealot of EU financial sources available to entrepreneurs located in Poland. However, according to recent research financial incentives, including EU funds, are not always the most important factors to investors in making their location decisions. Moreover, their impact on the economy and internationalization of companies is weak.Henceitisextremelyimportanttoanalyseeachofthevariousfinancialtools whichwillbeaccessibleinPoland.Inordertowidenthescopeofthisresearchthe book goes beyond traditional incentive tools in the form of state aid and extends thescopeofitsinquirytocoversomeotherselectedaspects,i.e.improvementofthe quality of human capital, innovation strategies, and environmental, climate, and energyrequirements. In order to meet the above-mentioned goals and identification of economic problems and challenges the book consists of nine chapters. It begins with the chapter“ReviewoftheLiteratureonDeterminantsoftheLocationAttractivenessof Regions” (Adam A. Ambroziak). This chapter is a review of the literature of distinguished researchers on location factors, supplemented by the author’s very short critical remarks and opinions, aimed at ensuring clarity and thematic unity. This approach allows for the presentation of original ideas, elaborated over 100 years, arranged in a new structure, which in turn helps other authors of this bookrefertothespecificfactorsintheirchapters.Theprimarygoalofthischapter is to identify the most important relevant location theories. The first part of the chapterpresentstheclassicaltheoriesconcerningthelocationofbusinessactivities inregions,rangingfromHumeandWeberthroughtoMarshall,Alonso,Isard,and Lo¨sch,andconcludingwithMyrdalandKaldor.Thenthechapterfocusescrucially on an examination of the theory of agglomeration economies, as developed by Krugmanandothers,includingCastells’spaceofflows.Moreovertransportinfra- structure and issues concerning other factors of production, including innovations andnewtechnologiesaswellaslabourmarketissues,arealsodiscussed.Thenext partofthechapterisdedicatedtoinstitutionalaspectsandbehaviouralperspectives, whichareofhighimportancetoentrepreneursseekingoptimalinvestmentlocation. Chapter “Results of the Cohesion Policy in Poland’s Regions in the Period of 2007–2013” (Stanisław Bienias, Tomasz Gapski) presents the net effects of the Cohesion Policy in Polish regions at both the macro and the micro levels in the period of 2007–2013 and formulates some conclusions and recommendations for public policies aimed at regional development for the period of 2014–2020. It begins with the macro-level analysis, focused on the impact of the main socio- economic indicators at the regional level. In the second part, the authors try to identify the most important and interesting issues concerning the effectiveness of the EU’s Cohesion Policy in Poland. The empirical background for the analysis weretheevaluationreports. Preface vii Chapter“RegionalDimensionoftheEU’sNewCohesionPolicyfor2014–2020” (Elz˙bieta Kawecka-Wyrzykowska) presents changes in the Cohesion Policy addressed to regions for the period 2014–2020, as compared with the years 2007– 2013.Thesechangescoversuchareasastheamountofmoneytobespentonregional policy,mainprioritiesandcriteriafordistributionoffunds,legaldocumentsunder- lyingthepolicy,theperformanceframework,formsoffinancialsupport,andthenew paradigmofregionalpolicyascomparedtopreviousyears.Theconclusionsdrawn focusonthemostsignificantideascharacterizingtheCohesionPolicyin2014–2020. Chapter“TheLegalFrameworkforRegionalStateAidintheEuropeanUnionin 2014–2020andItsImpactontheAttractivenessofPoland’sRegionstoInvestors” (AdamA.Ambroziak)outlinesthelatestchangesintherulesforgrantingregional stateaidaswellastheconditionsunderwhichthisaidcanbeofferedtoentrepre- neurs in the period of 2014–2020, with special focus on how the new rules will directlyinfluencetheinvestmentattractivenessofallEUregions,includingthosein Poland.ThisisespeciallyimportanttoPolandduetothefactthatthenewRegional State Aid Guidelines form the conditions for granting support in the form of EU fundswithintheframeworkoftheCohesionPolicy. Themainaimofchapter“PoliciesSupportingRegionalInnovationsinPolandin 2014–2020:TheEuropeanandNationalPerspective”(MarzennaAnnaWeresa)is to discuss European and Polish innovation policy and find out if the measures employed address the crucial challenges of restructuring the regional innovation systemintheperiodof2014–2020.IncreasingtheinnovativenessofPolishregions isextremelyimportantfortheirinvestmentattractiveness,sincetheircompetitive- ness,whichwaspreviouslybasedonlowerlabourcostsinrelationtotheaverageof theEU-15countries,hasbeengraduallydeteriorating. Chapter“HumancapitalinthePolishRegions:ImplicationsfortheEUFinan- cial Perspective 2014–2020” (Michał Szwabe) addresses the problem of differ- ences in the level of human capital in Polish regions. The research results reveal differencesinthehumancapitallevelsinPolishregionsattheendofthe2007–2013 EU Financial Framework.ThissnapshotofPolishregions isaimedatprovidinga deeperunderstandingoftheregionaldisparitiesinPolandintermsofhumancapital levels,andtheirconsequences. Chapter “Climate and Energy Policy and the Investment Attractiveness of Poland’s Regions” (Graz˙yna Wojtkowska-Łodej) concerns the impact of the EU’s climate and energy policy on the development opportunities in the Polish economy.ThechapterbeginswithapresentationofPolishactivitiesinclimateand energypolicyinthecontextofEuropeanlawsandisfollowedbyananalysisofthe amount and structure of renewable energy sources, together with their special regional locations. Then the evaluation of the current and future use of different energy sources is presented, supplemented by enumeration of conditions for attracting investment in the analysed regions in the period of 2014–2020. As a result of the research, regions with valuable natural resources and high levels of entrepreneurshiporothersupportingconditionsarehighlighted. Thekeyaimofchapter“TheExpectedInflowofForeignDirectInvestmentsin Poland:FocusonRegions”(TomaszNapio´rkowski)isanassessmentofthefuture viii Preface inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) to Poland, at both the national and regional levels. This latter aspect has not been reported on yet in the existing literature on the topic. To achieve the first goal, an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was built using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method of estimation of the data on FDI inflows to Poland in 1990–2004. Afterhavingpositivelyevaluatedtheobtainedresultsbasedonanexpostforecast (for 2005–2011), the model was then used for an ex ante forecast for the years 2012–2020.Duetothewidevarianceofthenumberofinvestors,fourdeterminants ofFDI(i.e.grossdomesticproduct,itspercapitapermutation,unitlabourcost,and unemployment)werecorrelatedwiththedependentvariablesinordertoassessthe strength,direction,andstatisticalvalidityofapossiblelinearrelationship. AsaneditorIwishtothankthereferee,ProfessorJacekSzlachta,Collegiumof Economic Analysis, Warsaw School of Economics, for his helpful comments, constructivecriticisms,andsuggestions,whichhaveimprovedthevolumeoverall. IalsowishtoexpressmygratitudetoProfessorElz˙bietaKawecka-Wyrzykowska, Jean Monnet Chair of European Integration, Collegium of World Economy, WarsawSchoolofEconomics,forhervaluableassistanceinbringingtheresearch andbooktofruition. Warsaw,Poland AdamA.Ambroziak January31,2014 Contents ReviewoftheLiteratureonDeterminantsoftheLocational AttractivenessofRegions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 AdamA.Ambroziak EffectsofCohesionPolicyinRegionsinPoland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 StanisławBieniasandTomaszGapski RegionalDimensionoftheNewEUCohesionPolicyfor2014–2020. . .. . 45 Elz˙bietaKawecka-Wyrzykowska TheLegalFrameworkforRegionalStateAidintheEuropeanUnion in2014–2020andItsImpactontheAttractivenessofPoland’sRegions toInvestors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 AdamA.Ambroziak PoliciesSupportingRegionalInnovationinPolandin2014–2020: TheEuropeanandNationalPerspective. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 MarzennaAnnaWeresa HumanCapitalinthePolishRegionsImplicationsfortheEU FinancialPerspective2014–2020. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 MichałSzwabe ClimateandEnergyPolicyandInvestmentAttractiveness ofPoland’sRegions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 Graz˙ynaWojtkowska-Łodej TheExpectedInflowofForeignDirectInvestmentsinPoland: FocusonRegions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 TomaszM.Napio´rkowski Conclusions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 AdamA.Ambroziak ix

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