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CAIRO PAPERS IN SOCIAL SCIENCE VOLUME 32 NUMBER 4 WINTER 2009 Negotiating Space The Evolution of the Egyptian Street, 2000–2011 Dimitris Soudias THE AMERICAN UNIVERSITY IN CAIRO PRESS CAIRO NEW YORK Cover photo: courtesy of Ben McTigue Conant Copyright © 2014 by the American University in Cairo Press 113, Sharia Kasr el Aini, Cairo, Egypt 420 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10018 www.aucpress.com All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior written permission of the copyright owner. Dar el Kutub No. 21911/13 ISBN 978 977 416 657 0 Printed in Egypt Contents Acknowledgments v 1 Introduction 1 Research Methods 3 2 The Political Process Approach and the Egyptian Case 10 Development of the Political Process Approach 11 Criticism of the Political Process Approach 13 The Political Process Approach in Egypt 15 Conceptualizing a Framework for the Political Process Approach 17 Perception, Normativity, and the Media in the Political Process Approach 26 Construction of Protest Spaces for Representation 28 Place and Space 33 Power Relations 34 Power in Space 38 Space, Power Relations, and the Study of Protest in Egypt 39 Summary 44 3 Setting the Stage: Authoritarian Structure and the Actors Involved 47 Hybrid Authoritarianism 47 Why Actors Matter 49 Resistance 51 Authority 61 Summary 65 iii iv Contents 4 Taking to the Streets: Contentious Cycles in Egypt, 2000–2011 66 2000–2002: Reclaiming the Streets 68 2003: Protesting War, Outnumbering the Police 75 2004–2006: Enough! The Call for Democracy 78 2006–2010: Labor Strikes and the Art of Continuity 92 2010–2011: Thawra—The Streets Conquered 103 5 Conclusion 130 Conclusion 1 130 Conclusion 2 131 Conclusion 3 132 Conclusion 4 133 Conclusion 5 133 Outlook 133 Bibliography 137 About the Author 154 Acknowledgments I would like to thank many people who made this study possible. I would like to thank Dr. Christoph Schumann, Dr. Malak Rouchdy, Dr. Rabab el-Mahdi, and Dr. Reem Saad for helping me frame and organize my initial ideas and thoughts. I am very grateful for the time, input, and encouragement of my accountabilibuddy, Kelsy Yeargain; my editors, Ingmar Kreisl, Kristof Lowyck, and Moritz Ortegel; the many interview respondents; and all of my friends and family for calming me down in times of great distress. I would also like to thank Ruby Riad for developing the figures used in this study, and Laila Abdelkhaliq Zamora for interpreting and translating on many occasions. Finally I would like to thank Iman Hamdy, without whom this publication would not have been possible, and my copyeditor, who thoroughly read and questioned each and every word of this book. I dedicate this work to my parents, Zoi Theofanidu and Stathis Soudias, and my sister, Maria-Christina Soudia. v CHAPTER 1 Introduction On January 25, 2011, thousands of Egyptians took to the streets of Cairo and other cities in the country to contest then-President Hosni Mubarak’s authoritarian rule, and to express their grievances, frustra- tions, and desires. Within less than three weeks, the popular uprising— though facing massive police violence—forced Mubarak to leave office. The sheer number and determination of large segments of Egypt’s population changed long-established arrangements of power structures. This process is ongoing. When people took to the streets, national and international observ- ers were taken by surprise. Intelligence services and so-called experts were unable to predict the events that unfolded in front of their eyes. US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton even described the Mubarak regime as “stable” on January 25. In Germany, the failure of political science to predict such events resonated in media discourse. Crediting social media and the prior events in Tunisia with the pro- tests in Egypt became a fashionable explanation in many academic and media circles, effectively taking agency away from the Egyptian people. Those factors certainly facilitated mass mobilization but cannot explain the picture in its entirety: social media have been around in Egypt for years, and saying Tunisia started a domino effect raises the question of why it happened in Tunisia. So the question of “Why now?” remains; what was different in January 2011 as opposed to before? The fundamental answer is that revolutionary upsurges and other such large-scale events in history are not predictable with any kind of 1 2 Negotiating Space: The Evolution of the Egyptian Street, 2000–2011 accuracy. In hindsight, however, as Timur Kuran rightly notes, such revolutionary processes “are anything but surprising” (1989:41). The objective of this study is a diachronic analysis of the develop- ment of street protests in Egypt since 2000 that led to the downfall of Mubarak in 2011. Under an authoritarian regime like Egypt’s, there is no transparent, legitimate set of state institutions through which the citizenry can express demands and grievances. When people are deprived of the (electoral) power to change the status quo, however, they “are likely to bring collective pressure to bear on authorities to undertake change” (Bayat 2009:11). Thus they take their discontent to public places in the form of strikes, protests, or sit-ins. After a period of hibernation of social-movement activity during the 1990s, the Egyptian street awakened in 2000 and progressed continuously, though not lin- early, until 2011. I will analyze the negotiation of the status quo, that is, the relationship between resistance (protesting actors) and authority (the regime and the security forces that represent it) and their interac- tions in protest events. Using the January 25 uprising as a dependent variable, I will show how the ‘Egyptian street’ evolved, served as a space of discontent, and hence was the main arena for negotiating power rela- tions between resistance and authority that ultimately led to Mubarak’s ousting. In short, I want to find out how the Egyptian street, which had been proclaimed “apathetic” and “dead” (Bayat 2003) by observers for so long, developed into a liberated protest space that forced an authoritar- ian ruler out of office. The January 25 uprising was the culminating episode of negotiating power relations in a series of five consecutive contentious cycles since 2000. Based on premises of social-movement theory, constructivism, and sociology of knowledge, I argue that the negotiation of power rela- tions in Egypt has been expressed through the ‘battle’ over socially pro- duced protest spaces. Authority, represented by security forces, attempts to keep the streets ‘orderly’ and maintain territorial control. Protesters attempt to gain this territorial control over streets and squares and try to politicize them by constituting and expanding protest spaces that symbolize resistance and discontent against existing authoritarian power structures. In other words, authority tries to maintain the status quo while resistance actors attempt to change it; the negotiation of protest space is the negotiation of power relations. What makes space political, Introduction 3 and thus social, is the active or participative use of public places, rather than the ‘orderly’ passive use dictated by the regime (such as walking, watching, driving). The toolkit through which spaces can be expanded (as intended by protesters) and contracted (as attempted by security forces) are tactical repertoires, that is, considerations and implementa- tions of “contestation in which bodies, symbols, identities, practices, and discourses are used to pursue or prevent changes” (Taylor and Van Dyke 2004:268) in the formation of space, and ultimately in institutionalized power relations. The tactical choices actors make are highly influenced by their (political) agenda, as well as by structural premises that have con- straining effects. As I will show, each of the five protest cycles included a predominant protesting actor that introduced particular tactics from which other (involved) actors were able to learn. Along with this, tactical choices are influenced through a process that I call ‘political learning’: actors implement those available tactics that—through individual and collective experiences and observation of other actors’ experiences—have proven to be successful in order to pursue a goal. While many studies on social-movement actors in Egypt have been undertaken (Wickham 2002; Abdelrahman 2009; el-Mahdi 2009a; Beinin 2009b), few have considered spatial categories (Ismail 2006; Bayat 2009) and did so only episodically. Only recently, ‘space’ in police–protester interactions has started becoming a constant in some case study research on social movements (Zajko and Béland 2008; Wahlström 2010; Martin 2011), but a theoretical approach is still miss- ing. This research intends to contribute to closing this research gap. Research Methods It took a long time to find the set of research methods most suitable for my investigation. Approaching the topic of street protests in Egypt in research conducted in 2010, I explored how tactical repertoires had influ- enced the evolution of these protests since 2000 and concluded with a counterfactual analysis—that is, “the exploration of things that did not happen, but (conceivably) could have” (Gerring 2001:221)—regarding the potential risks for the authorities if Midan al-Tahrir in the heart of Cairo were to be occupied by protesters for a longer period of time. The mass protests beginning in January 2011 have answered some of the questions I posed, and I found that I had to reframe parts of my research. 4 Negotiating Space: The Evolution of the Egyptian Street, 2000–2011 I now want to find out what led to the 2011 mass protests. As men- tioned above, I argue that the main locus of negotiating power rela- tions in Egypt is the politicized street, and that ultimately episodes (or cycles) of street protests (which depend heavily on structural conditions in terms of the political process approach—PPA) led to the culminating episode of protest activity in January and February 2011. The negotiation of power relations is expressed in the battle of authority and resistance over protest spaces, which is fought through tactical repertoires. Since the starting point of my research is 2000, diachronic research seems the most suitable design: I will look carefully at changes in Egyptian society during and prior to the 2011 uprising and the acquisition and use of tactical repertoires of authority and resistance. I decided to focus on the Cairo metropolitan region, because most street protest events occur there, as it is the capital and the country’s political center, the “seat of concentrated wealth, power, people, and needs” (Bayat 2009:165) and the site of aggregated contradictions and social conflicts. Indeed, the inequalities of Cairo embody the prevailing social, political, and eco- nomic order of the state as a whole. Arguably, Egypt-wide conclusions about the efficiency of tactics can be deduced from the Cairo situation if a prevailing pattern of tactical repertoires can be found. I use a triangulation of methods to check my results in multiple ways. These methods are: (1) qualitative, semi-structured interviews with activ- ists, politicians, scholars, and journalists (Davies 2001; Goldstein 2002; Landman 2008; Tansey 2009); (2) documentary research (Mogalakwe 2006; Scott 2006) of collective action events; and (3) participant obser- vation in protest events. Together, these methods will explain who fights the battle over protest spaces with which set of tactical tools and for what reason, which in turn will help to explain how and why the 2011 uprising occurred. The interviews were conducted in English and recorded with a tape recorder, and the relevant sections were transcribed. During protests I would ask questions in Arabic to random participants and take writ- ten notes. Personal contacts greatly facilitated my entry into the field and further respondents were accessed through snowball interviews. Protest observations were photographed or recorded with the video camera of my phone; slogans and chants were recorded with a tape recorder, as well as in field notes that were typed out when needed. It

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