Natural Resources in Afghanistan Geographic and Geologic Perspectives on Centuries of Conflict John F. Shroder Senior Research Scholar Center for Afghanistan Studies Emeritus Professor of Geography and Geology University of Nebraska Omaha, NE 68182 AmsterdAm • Boston • HeidelBerg • london • new York • oxford • PAris sAn diego • sAn frAncisco • singAPore • sYdneY • tokYo Elsevier 525 B Street, Suite 1900, San Diego, CA 92101-4495, USA 225 Wyman Street, Waltham, MA 02451, USA Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written permission of the publisher. Permissions may be sought directly from Elsevier’s Science & Technology Rights Department in Oxford, UK: phone (+44) (0) 1865 843830; fax (+44) (0) 1865 853333; email: [email protected]. Alternatively you can submit your request online by visiting the Elsevier web site at http://elsevier.com/locate/permissions, and selecting Obtaining permission to use Elsevier material. Notice No responsibility is assumed by the publisher for any injury and/or damage to persons or property as a matter of products liability, negligence or otherwise, or from any use or operation of any methods, products, instructions or ideas contained in the material herein. Because of rapid advances in the medical sciences, in particular, independent verification of diagnoses and drug dosages should be made. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Shroder, John F., 1939- Natural resources in Afghanistan : geographic and geologic perspectives on centuries of conflict / John F. Shroder. -- First edition, 2014. pages cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-12-800135-6 (alkaline paper) 1. Natural resources--Afghanistan. 2. Economic geography--Afghanistan. 3. Afghanistan--Economic conditions. 4. Agricultural geography–Afghanistan. 5. Water-supply--Afghanistan. I. Title. HC417.5.S57 2014 333.709581--dc23 2014005299 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library ISBN: 978-0-12-800135-6 Printed and bound in China For information on all Elsevier publications visit our web site at store.elsevier.com 14 15 16 17 18 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Afghan carpet picture courtesy of Richard Pratt, Emmett Eiland’s Oriental Rug Company, Berkeley, CA Dedication To the young children of Afghanistan—may you grow up into a decent and healthy environment of expanding horizons brought about by the wise and beneficial exploitation of your tremendous natural resource base. Allah seems to have given your region (Afghanistan) a great and good quantity and qual- ity of natural resources to make your lives better, providing that your elders have the wisdom to exploit the resources properly. Professor John F. Shroder—October 2013. Bismullah! Dedication from Abdul Yaseer and Sher Jan Ahmadzai in Dari The people of Afghanistan have been blessed by Allah with a huge natural resource base of minerals and oil and gas, which if exploited properly with modern methods while protecting the natural surface environment, would make them rich beyond belief. Wise selling of their own resources to raise their level of living must have been the plan that Allah had for the people of Afghanistan. Bismullah, that they be allowed this blessing. vii Dedication viii Acknowledgments This book is a product of fascination with the enigmatic but enormously hospi- table people of Afghanistan, coupled with the unusual historical circumstances that have led to the special conditions of the modern Afghanistan. Many people and institutions over the years have helped to accrue the necessary knowledge on Afghanistan and motivate the author to keep at it even when the situation was not particularly conducive to continuation. Afghanistan is a difficult place to work, in large part because of threats from polluted water, lurking patho- genic organisms, baksheesh-ridden and crooked bureaucracies, as well as life- threatening driving on tortured roads, not to mention the great danger from the murderous terrorists who imagine themselves to be some sort of religious freedom fighters. But such difficulties aside, the effort to do this book was well worth it because of the opportunities to show possibly realistic opportunities for things to actually get better for the people who value life, rather than the more death-loving Islamicist dimwits who operate so much in the region. Mankind seems to have many possible paths to failure and Afghanistan has more than most, while it also slyly teases at the possibilities of some success. Great thanks are due to the many people and institutions over the past four decades for the opportunity to work on this fascinating place. A number of institutions gave considerable encouragement and funding to study Afghanistan. This especially includes the US Agency for International Development (USAID) who first provided the author direct (Atlas of Afghani- stan) funding though the US National Foundation, and most recently indirectly (Hindu Kush and Himalayan glaciers) through the US National Academy of Sci- ences. Unusual open-ended funding from the National Geographic Society also helped recently to contribute to the author’s plentiful travel and stays in South Asia to gather some of the information and make contact with a few of the people needed. Early on, the American Geological Institute which publishes the Geotimes/Earth had asked for Afghanistan resource information within the context of the Cold War. The author had responded then, and a number of times since, as political conditions in Afghanistan have changed (Shroder, 1987, 2003, 2004, 2009, 2013). The most recent two of these articles were under the guidance of Managing Editor, Megan Server, at Earth, which are the publication opportunities for which great thanks are due. Many thanks are also extended to personnel at various times in the US Geological Survey (Jack Medlin, Ritchie Willams, Jane Ferrigno, Bruce Molnia, Jeff Kargel, Cal Ruleman, Hugh Kieffer, Craig Wandry, and John SanFilipo), who all provided help at various times. Financing from NASA to Michael Bishop and the author for the Global Land Ice Measurements from Space (GLIMS) Regional Center for Southwest Asia (Afghanistan and Pakistan) was most welcome. ix Acknowledgments Other encouragement and funding has long come from the Center for Afghani- stan Studies (CAS) at the University of Nebraska at Omaha (UNO), which has been the author’s main place of employment since first coming there in 1969 from employment at the University of Malawi in East Africa. In 1972, Christian Jung and the author had started the CAS at UNO (Figure 1), in part because of recognition of the great potential that Afghanistan had to provide interesting research for young professors. Little did the author realize! But Chris died of a rare blood disease a year later and the author realized that help was needed if the CAS was to become a lasting entity. With the accompanying support of the UNO administration, great help came in the person of Thomas Gouttierre, a former Peace Corps teacher in Afghanistan in the 1960s, who was the director of AFAMEC (Afghan American Educational Commission) in Kabul in the 1970s, where he ran the Fulbright program. Although he took considerable convincing to move to the middle of flatland USA, he was finally prevailed upon to run the nascent program. The result was transformative as Tom was able to transfuse high energy and plentiful Kabul and Washington associations into the CAS. This he did to bring UNO into active participation just as the country of Afghani- stan was achieving a peak of Cold War competition between the USA and the USSR. Chancellor Del Weber and the late Vice Chancellor Otto Bauer at UNO also gave the author great support for years, even while their successors in later years did not quite seem to realize or care that Afghanistan really did matter as much as it many thought that it did. With my retirement to Emeritus status in 2011 and reappointment as the Senior Research Scholar at the CAS enabled continuation of the work through renewed grant monies. Drafting of the various graphics in this book came from many sources but spe- cial thanks goes to former students, Mr Brandon Weihs, now a doctoral candi- date at Kansas State University. Professor Breckle gave permission to republish a number of his excellent graphics in Chapter 4 as well, for which he is greatly thanked. The Afghans who helped along the way are too numerous to mention but a few who are especially noteworthy are former student Lutfullah Safi, as well as Professor (later Rector), Hamidullah Amin, Drs Ismael Burhan and Abdul Yaseer, and Sher Jan Ahmadzai. Ms Sahista Wahab, the head of our Arthur Paul Afghan- istan Library collection, has looked after the author’s Afghanistan maps and files very well for years. Finally, dear wife, Susie Nye, has supported me through the thick and thin on production of this book, and I truly must say that had she not given me all the uncompromising business acumen and culinary expertise and effort to keep me contented, this work could not have been done. I am madly grate- ful! Grandson John Ficenec seems to have bitten into the fruit of knowledge too, as he seeks to become a photographer/writer in the mode of his grand- father. And finally, to my little namesake grandson, Henry Shroder Stubbe, x Acknowledgments I wish you such a bright life because you kept me laughing all through the writing of this work. References Shroder Jr., J.F., March 1987. Afghanistan resources and the Soviet Union. Geotimes 32, 4–5. Shroder Jr., J.F., October 5, 2003. Reconstructing Afghanistan: nation building or nation failure? Geotimes. Shroder, J., October 2004. Afghanistan redux: better late than never? Geotimes, 34–8. Shroder Jr., J.F., 2009. Saving Afghanistan: redevelopment one resource at a time. Earth 54 (7), 38–47. Shroder, J.F., September 2013. Building resource corridors in Afghanistan: a solution to an interminable war? Earth, 25–31. xi Foreword Timeliness, content, context are essential to any study of a nation as storied and complex as Afghanistan. John (Jack) Shroder effectively employs each of these qualities in his book, Natural Resources of Afghanistan. Following decades of war and destruction, it is the right time for a penetrating examination of Afghanistan’s natural resources as that nation continues its diffi- cult reconstruction with anticipated reduced assistance from international part- ners. Natural Resources of Afghanistan provides the historical and social context that enables both the scholar and the casual reader the means to understand the problems and opportunities facing Afghans at this crucial juncture. The depth and length of Professor Shroder’s commitment to the study of a singular country’s natural resources are most uncommon. The result is a book rich in content regarding what only a few scholars and intelligence person- nel understood—Afghanistan possesses natural resources substantial enough, if properly exploited and used, to underwrite significant portions of its future rebuilding and development. I first met Jack Shroder in the winter of 1973–1974. A member of a delegation from the University of Nebraska Omaha (UNO), he and three colleagues arrived in snow-bound Kabul several days behind schedule, after a rather harrowing journey. (Jack describes this trip in the Preface.) I was then the Executive Director of the Afghan-American Education Commis- sion, which oversaw Fulbright and other education exchanges between the USA and Afghanistan. I was in charge of coordinating the schedule of the UNO del- egation, which had been reduced to 3 days due to the delayed arrival. One of the delegation’s objectives, in which it was successful, was to persuade me to move to UNO to head up that institution’s newly created Center for Afghani- stan Studies. Thus was born a professional and personal association between Jack and myself that has now spanned an uninterrupted four decades. Jack’s challenging personal introduction to Afghanistan must have appealed to his geoscience nature. He set aside previous focuses on the geology of Malawi and tree rings in Utah and invested himself fully into research regarding Afghanistan. He pursued his commitment to Afghanistan Studies with what at times seemed a curmudgeonly dedication. His efforts contributed to the growth, reputation, and reach of the Center for Afghanistan Studies; and, Jack became an interna- tionally recognized authority on Afghanistan’s earth sciences. Jack’s second trip to Afghanistan was no less inauspicious than his first. The recipient of a Fulbright Fellowship, he was obliged to leave Kabul, like many xiii Foreword other Americans, due to a pro-Soviet coup and the changed political climate. He returned to the area on another Fulbright Fellowship in 1983–1984 to work with Kabul University colleagues in exile in Pakistan. Jack took full advantage of these new surroundings to begin research on the Karakoram Range and regional glacial and water studies. Since then, he has made numerous trips to South Asia to collaborate with Pakistani, Indian, and Nepalese scholars. Since 9/11, Jack has returned several times to Afghanistan to reestablish con- nections and to begin collaboration on research with a new generation of Afghan earth scientists. Due to his experiences in South Asia, Jack has also been instrumental in facilitating research dialogue and activities between Afghans and other scholars in South Asia. The expanse and diversity of these experiences have enhanced the breadth of knowledge Jack has been able to incorporate into his research efforts and is now able to share with others in the Natural Resources of Afghanistan. The scholar will appreciate the sections that focus on Afghanistan’s environ- ment and resource base, and their relationship to development; others will appreciate how Jack has tied the resources together with history and global pol- itics. All will be interested in the scenarios, both optimistic and pessimistic, that Jack paints regarding Afghanistan’s utilization of its natural resources in future development. Natural Resources of Afghanistan is an engaging scholarly read, containing inter- esting facts and anecdotes, as well as critical scientific information. Jack’s writ- ing style is sometimes brusque, at other times, delightfully colorful; it is always entertaining, fully cited, and scientifically sound. Natural Resources of Afghanistan is a major contribution to the study of Afghani- stan. It affords all readers an informed look into a country whose natural and human resources are generally underestimated, into a nation often misrepre- sented and misunderstood, into a proud and independent people who take pride in their reputation for the hospitality they eagerly provide their friends. Thomas E. Gouttierre Senior Officer for Global Engagement Dean, International Studies and Programs Director, Center for Afghanistan Studies University of Nebraska Omaha xiv Preface Capt Henry Drummond, a member of the British 3rd Bengal Light Cavalry who was part of the invasion force into Afghanistan in 1839, described his geologi- cal rambles through the wildest parts of the country to conduct a first Western mineral survey (Drummond, 1841). He found abundant green stains and dif- ferent ores of copper at Aynak and elsewhere, some of which rivaled the great deposits of Chile at the time, as well as rich veins of iron ore, both deposits of which in 2013 have new mines finally contracted and planned after more than a century and three quarters later. Although many of his countrymen viewed Afghanistan as an unruly place, where a man could not stir many yards from his home or tent without the risk of being assassinated, Drummond wan- dered without arms and lived among the people on many occasions. He was of the opinion that in any attempt to develop the resources of the country, an acquaintance with the character of the inhabitants was a matter of serious consideration. He thought that given the keen commercial spirit of the nation, if the Afghans could be convinced of British friendship, then no end of good things could happen. Mining, he felt—not the gun—offered the best hope to pacify the territory and win over the Afghans. “Give them, however, but constant employment, with good wages and regular pay- ment; encourage a spirit of industry, both by precept and example; let strict justice be dealt out to them without respect of persons; and we shall shortly see their swords changed into plowshares, industry take place of licentiousness, and these people be converted into peaceable and useful subjects,” Drummond opined. But the Afghans were not keen on the idea of handing over their minerals to occupiers, or for that matter, on tolerating the British occupation itself for much longer. A year later the Afghans massacred most of the British army who had remained in country after Drummond had gone back to India. If more people had paid attention to Drummond long ago, things might be very different today. As Karr (1849) first noted at about the same time, “Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.” The more things change the more they remain the same. Indeed, in Afghanistan the irony is that the issue of its natural resources appears to have been an item of some attention for a rather long time. This book is an assessment of many of the aspects of Afghanistan that are responsible for the situation in which the country finds itself today. It is possible that these resources, which as can be seen from Drummond’s early words, may be at least a partial solution to Afghanistan’s future betterment. xv