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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 20170012338: Radiation Effects: Overview for Space Environment Specialists PDF

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Radiation Effects: Overview for Space Environment Specialists Ray Ladbury Radiation Effects and Analysis Group NASA Goddard Space Flight Center To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 1 Key to Abbreviations and Symbols DSEE Destructive single-event effect SEE Single-event effect GCR Galactic cosmic ray SEGR Single-event gate rupture GPU Graphics processing unit SEL Single-event latchup IC Integrated circuit SV Sensitive volume I/O Input/output VDS Drain-source voltage LET Linear energy transfer WC Worst case p+ Proton xstr Transistor SEB Single-event burnout Z Ion atomic number To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 2 Radiation Effects and the Space Environment • Motivation: Mike Xapsos 2016 NSREC paper proposed replacing conventional margin- based RHA approach w/ choice of environment confidence +success probability for part • Issue: Margin covers a lot of sins in addition to uncertainty on the environment • What are implications for TID and SEE testing and analysis of an idea that makes sense? • Types of Radiation Effects and Environments Important for Them • Cumulative—Total Ionizing Dose (TID) and Displacement Damage Dose (DDD) • Single-Event Effects (SEE) • Destructive SEE • Nondestructive SEE • Sources of Error • Cumulative Effects • SEE • Hardness Assurance Methodologies • TID and DDD • SEE To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 3 One Slide: Cumulative Effects of Radiation Environments • Charge trapped in oxides • Displaced atoms in semiconductor alters electrical properties crystal lattice form vacancies and of transistors and other interstitials that alter semiconductor devices. electrical properties • Main particles of concern are protons and electrons • Affects mainly minority-carrier devices • Trapped proton, Cumulative Solar Protons • Main concern: protons + electrons for some devices • Trapped electrons (Earth, Jovian…) • Trapped proton, Cumulative Solar Protons • GCR, solar heavy ion fluxes too low to worry about • Trapped electrons (Earth, Jovian…) • Transported environment important • GCR, solar heavy ion fluxes too low to worry about • Cumulative effect, so short-term fluctuations not a • Cumulative effect, so short-term fluctuations not a concern except for short missions (<2 years) concern except for short missions (<2 years) • Greater concern on longer missions • Greater concern on longer missions • Hardness Assurance Approach • Hardness Assurance approach similar to TID • Test sample representative of flight lot w/ x/γ rays • Less dependence on bias, dose rate, etc • Looks like wear-out (failure rate increases w/ dose) • Less part-to-part variation…usually • Overtest and RDM effective mitigations by ensuring failure rate remains low • Redundancy ineffective as a mitigation To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 4 One Slide: Single-Event Effects (SEE) • Consequences of SEE • Momentary disturbance of device output (SET) • Corruption of one or more bits of data (SEU) • Corruption of large amounts of data (block error) • Permanent corruption of data bit (stuck bit) • Recoverable loss of device functionality (SEFI) • Catastrophic failure • SEE caused by ionizing particle traversing device SV • RHA approach: Any SEE can happen any time—Need to test • Direct ionization—particle from mission environment to expose susceptibilities, not to the environment • GCR heavy-ion, solar heavy-ion environments • 107 ions/cm2 ~913 years at ISS (LET>1 MeVcm2/mg) • Charge depends on linear energy transfer (LET) and path • ~347 years at GEO (LET>1 MeVcm2/mg) length • Constant failure rate→redundancy is effective mitigation • Indirect ionization—secondary particle produced by particle (usually proton) from mission environment • Need worst case (e.g. WC SPE) SEE rates as well as mean rates • Solar and Trapped proton environments • CRÈME-96 has used October ‘89 SPE • Low-energy proton (direct ionization) • Ability to get Solar Event LET spectra vs. confidence to feed into CRÈME-96would be interesting • Transported environment for deep-submicron CMOS • Redundancy implemented at all levels—cell to spacecraft • Multiple scattering important for mechanism • Must pay in currency of the realm—bits for bits, functional parts to maintain • Poisson process, so constant probability (per ion) availability, cold spares to improve survivability To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 5 RHA is About Error Sources and Control • Space Environment • Models only good if data underlying them is representative of current conditions • Environment is constantly fluctuating—not reflected in all models • Goodness of models depends on mission duration, shielding, etc. • Sample Variation (part-to-part, lot-to-lot, part-type-to-part-type) • Basic question: Is test sample sufficiently representative of flight parts? • Quandary: Sample size must be large enough to define distribution…but…size required to define distribution depends on what the distribution is • Pathological distribution (e.g. multiple modes) require binomial sampling • Other Statistical Errors • Poisson errors on event counts determining SEE cross sections • Sampling errors on time-dependent, intermittent or rare errors/failures • Systematic errors • “Mistakes” in measurement, test procedure, etc. • Incorrect assumptions in analysis (e.g. assuming incorrect distribution form). To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 6 TID RHA Errors Binomial Sampling 3 Sample Size Parent Assumes 0 failures observed 2 Not corrected by ) µ δ 3 factor of ( P 2 4 SQRT(n/(n-1)) , 5 y t 10 i l bi 20 a 30 b 1 o 40 r P 50 0 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Error on Mean (units of σ) • Most TID RHA assumes failure distributions well behaved • Environment is only one source of error • Parameter estimates converge rapidly w/ sample size • Mainly issue for short missions • Much higher confidence and Ps possible w/ smaller samples • Binomial sampling errors may dominate • Overtest, design margin effective strategies to avoid failure • 5 parts→41% CL that Ps≥0.9, 83% CL Ps>0.7 • But…trade confidence + >Ps for possibility of systematic error • Valid even for multimodal distributions • How common are pathological failure distributions? • Margin does not help—only looks at proportions • How likely is a small sample-size test to detect pathology? above and below test level—not how much • What should we look for? (technology? data characteristics?) To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 7 TID RHA: Pathological Distributions Do Occur OP484 ∆Ibias @100 krad(Si) 2500 OP484 ∆Ibias @100 krad(Si) 35 New England ) 30 (Si2000 Semiconductor2N5019 JFET rad Likely cy 25 k Mixed Lots n 20 0 e 0 u 11500 q 15 r e fte Fr 10 a A) 1000 5 n 0 ( | Upper Mode s 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 a Lower Mode 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 bi 500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 ∆I 1 | IGSS (nA) @ 1 Mrad(Si) 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 Lot # • Many parts known to exhibit pathological TID response (ADI OP484, OP400, AD590, National LM111, many discretes, commercial parts such as SDRAMs) • Bimodal distributions (e.g.OP484), thick tailed distributions (2N5019 JFET) • What to do? • Similarity is not a reliable indicator—several ADI bipolar devices show anomalies; most do not • Test larger samples • Look for “outliers” • Combine lots to see if “outliers” resolve into thick tails or multiple modes To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 8 Conventional RHA Approach Uses Radiation Design Margin (RDM) What is WCFL? Max Dose = “Worst-Case” TID Failure Level/RDM • Mean, Median and Mode of failure distribution are not appropriate--failure probability too high 1) Worst performing part in TID lot test X Not where you • Advantage—has an empirical basis--does not assume a want to be. statistical model • Disadvantage—Odd statistical properties—testing more parts improves knowledge of failure distribution, but WCFL gets worse with sample size 2) Ps=X%, CL=Y% one-sided tolerance limit (KTL) • µ ±KTL(n,Ps,CL)*σ (Example 99/90 limit) • Advantage—good statistical properties • Disadvantage—assumes normal or lognormal distribution 3) Worst performing part for all lots of part tested • Advantage—Empirical and more conservative than 1); • Conventional approach to TID RHA defines part TID well suited to high-volume qualification program capability or failure level for a part type (WCFL) • Disadvantage—still has same odd statistical properties as 1)—more lots tested gives more conservative value • Radiation Design Margin (RDM) defined by project requirements • 2) best in most cases; or 3) in high-production operations or if normality in doubt • Maximum allowed dose for part type =WCFL/RDM To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 9 Radiation Design Margin vs. Confidence and Success Probability • Xapsos proposed replacing RDM with requirement at success probability exceed X% in Y% CL environment • Offers improved flexibility and ability to combine radiation and reliability +it is really what we want to know • Need to understand why current system works (mostly) to assess impact of change. • So, why does a fixed 2x-4x RDM work as well as it does? • For short missions: • Environmental uncertainty is higher—less margin available for uncertainty in TID failure distribution • But, TID is lower, so fewer parts to worry about failing • For longer mission: • Higher TID means more parts prone to failure • Lower environmental uncertainty—more margin available for uncertainty in TID failure distribution • Any approach must reflect uncertainties in failure distribution as well as radiation environment • Part-to-part, lot-to-lot and part-type-to-part-type variation also require statistical treatment • Confidence level applies to inference of WCFL from data • What does 90% CL on failure distribution in a 90% WC environment mean? • Note: Same question also applied when dealing with RDM—it was just more hidden • And as with any method assuming a distribution, how do we deal with the risk of systematic errors? To be published on the Space Environment Engineering and Science Applications Workshop (SEESAW) website, https://cpaess.ucar.edu. 10

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