NASA/TP--2000-209902 Comprehensive Design Reliability Activities for Aerospace Propulsion Systems R.L. Christenson and M.R. Whitley Marshall Space Flight Center, Marshall Space Flight Center, Alabama K.C. Knight Sverdrup Technology, Huntsville, Alabama January 2000 The NASA STI Program Office...in Profile Since its founding, NASA has been dedicated to CONFERENCE PUBLICATION. Collected the advancement of aeronautics and space papers from scientific and technical conferences, science. The NASA Scientific and Technical symposia, seminars, or other meetings sponsored Information (STI) Program Office plays a key or cosponsored by NASA. part in helping NASA maintain this important role. SPECIAL PUBLICATION. Scientific, technical, orhistorical information from NASA programs, The NASA STI Program Office is operated by projects, and mission, often concerned with Langley Research Center, the lead center for subjects having substantial public interest. NASA's scientific and technical information. The NASA STI Program Office provides access to the TEC_CAL TRANSLATION. NASA STI Database, the largest collection of English-language translations of foreign scientific aeronautical and space science STI in the world. The and technical material pertinent toNASA's Program Office is also NASA's institutional mission. mechanism for disseminating the results of its research and development activities. Theseresults Specialized services that complement the STI are published by NASA inthe NASA STI Report Program Office's diverse offerings include creating Series, which includes the following report types: custom thesauri, building customized databases, organizing and publishing research results...even TECHNICAL PUBLICATION. Reports of providing videos. completed research or a major significant phase of research that present the results of NASA For more information about the NASA STI Program programs and include extensive data or Office, see the following: theoretical analysis. Includes compilations of significant scientific and technical data and • Access the NASA STI Program Home Page at information deemed to be of continuing reference http://www.sti.nasa.gov value. NASA's counterpart of peer-reviewed formal professional papers but has less stringent • E-mail your question via the Internet to limitations on manuscript length and extent of [email protected] graphic presentations. • Fax your question to the NASA Access Help TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM. Scientific and Desk at (301) 621-0134 technical findings that are preliminary or of specialized interest, e.g., quick release reports, • Telephone the NASA Access Help Desk at (301) working papers, and bibliographies that contain 621-0390 minimal annotation. Does not contain extensive analysis. Write to: NASA Access Help Desk CONTRACTOR REPORT. Scientific and NASA Center for AeroSpace Information technical findings by NASA-sponsored 7121 Standard Drive contractors and grantees. Hanover, MD 21076-1320 NASA / TP--2000-209902 Comprehensive Design Reliability Activities for Aerospace Propulsion Systems R.L. Christenson and M.R. Whitley Marshall Space Flight Center, Marshall Space Flight Center, Alabama K.C. Knight Sverdrup Technology, Huntsville, Alabama National Aeronautics and Space Administration Marshall Space Flight Center • MSFC, Alabama 35812 January 2000 Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank the following who made important contributions directly and indirectly to this effort: Charles Pierce, Richard Ryan, Brenda Lindley-Anderson, David Seymour, and Tom Byrd. A special thanks to Sid Lishman who supported the extensive analyses needed to support the special reliability topics and the quality data discussion. Available from: NASA Center for AeroSpace Information National Technical Information Service 7121 Standard Drive 5285 Port Royal Road Hanover, MD 21076- i320 Springfield, VA 22161 (301) 621-0390 (703) 487-4650 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ l 2. BACKGROUND .................................................................................................................. 4 3. ISSUES ................................................................................................................................. 5 4. DESIGN RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY ........................................... 8 8 4.1 Approach ........................................................................................................................ 14 4.2 Key Topics: Design Criteria, Quality Control, and Verification .................................... MODEL AND MODELING TOOL DEVELOPMENT ...................................................... 15 , 16 5.1 FEAS-M Design Reliability Tool ................................................................................. BASIC ISSUES IN QUANTIFICATION ............................................................................. 25 . 26 6.1 Quantification Methodology .......................................................................................... 6.2 Sources of Data .............................................................................................................. 27 30 6.3 Applicability of Data ..................................................................................................... 32 6.4 Indepth: Unsatisfactory Condition Reports and Failure Rate ........................................ 7. APPLICATIONS .................................................................................................................. 47 47 7.1 Qualitative Analysis Example ........................................................................................ 56 7.2 Quantitative Analysis Example ...................................................................................... 8. CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................. 61 63 Appendix A--Selected Topics .......................................................................................................... 63 A.l General Design Criteria ................................................................................................ 72 A.2 Relationship Between Quality Control and Design ...................................................... 84 A.3 Reliability Verification and Models .............................................................................. 88 Appendix B--Design Reliability Strategy (Conceptual to Detailed Phases) ................................... 88 B.1 Conceptual Design Phase Activities ............................................................................. 93 B.2 Preliminary Design Phase Activities ............................................................................. 99 B.3 Detail Design Phase Activities ...................................................................................... ,,. 111 TABLE CONTENTS (Continued) Appendix C--MPS Qualitative Analysis Support Data ................................................................... 104 C. l X-34 MPS Pneumatic Purge System Design Fault Tolerance Analysis Engineering Support ............................................................................................................... 104 C.2 Interpropeilant Seal Purge Supply Analysis ................................................................. 104 Appendix D--MPS Quantitative Analysis Support Data ................................................................. 121 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................................. 127 _.=; z iv LIST OF FIGURES i, Disciplines in design ........................................................................................................ 3 2. Design reliability activities .............................................................................................. 9 3. Propulsion systems reliability modeling approach .......................................................... 10 4. Conceptual design phase activities ................................................................................... 11 5. Preliminary design phase activities .................................................................................. 12 Detail design phase activities ........................................................................................... 13 , 7. Model representation ........................................................................................................ 19 8. Model engine cycle schematic ......................................................................................... 20 9. Model time domain analysis ............................................................................................ 22 10. Model probabilistic design analysis support .................................................................... 23 11. Current quantification capabilities ................................................................................... 24 12. Quantification data and analysis methodology ................................................................ 27 13. Model data collection and analysis .................................................................................. 28 14. SSME UCR history .......................................................................................................... 37 15. Early cutoffs for J-2 engine by cumulative EFD ............................................................. 38 16. J-2 engine UCR's by cumulative cutoffs ......................................................................... 39 17. J-2 engine UCR's by cumulative EFD ............................................................................ 39 18. J-2 engine inspection opportunities ................................................................................. 41 19. Hidden failure modes ....................................................................................................... 42 20. First limiting condition ..................................................................................................... 43 V LIST OF FIGURES (Continued) 21. Second limiting condition ................................................................................................ 43 22. Third limiting condition ................................................................................................... 45 23. X-34 MPS design fault tolerance analysis structure and interfaces ................................ 48 24. Example initiating faults ................................................................................................. 48 25. Example final system state ............................................................................................. 48 26. Example propagation path .............................................................................................. 49 27. Example logical "OR" gate ............................................................................................ 49 28. Example digraph ............................................................................................................. 5O 29. MPS IPS purge supply line, original design ................................................................... 51 30. Original MPS PS purge supply line design failure scenario ........................................... 52 31. MPS PS purge supply line, revised design ..................................................................... 53 32. Revised MPS IPS purge supply line design failure scenario .......................................... 54 33. X-34 MPS tank pressurization system (segment), original design ................................ 55 34. X-34 MPS tank pressurization system (segment), revised design ................................. 55 35. Derivation of traditional SF ............................................................................................ 67 36. Derivation of Z................................................................................................................ 67 37. SF effects ........................................................................................................................ 68 38. CVoeffects ...................................................................................................................... 69 39. Correlation effects .......................................................................................................... 70 40. QC design margin ........................................................................................................... 76 41. Perfect QC system .......................................................................................................... 76 vi LIST OF FIGURES (Continued) 77 42. Realistic QC system ....................................................................................................... 83 43. Engineering model prediction error ................................................................................ 106 44. X-34 MPS failure propagation models, pneumatic purge system ................................. vii LIST OF TABLES ° Aircraft to launch vehicle comparison ............................................................................... 6 2. Failure rate quantification data example ............................................................................ 29 3. Ablative nozzle/chamber surrogate data analysis .............................................................. 31 4. EMA 4-in. valve failure rate quantification ....................................................................... 59 5. Solenoid valve failure rate quantification .......................................................................... 122 6. Relief valve failure rate quantification .............................................................................. 123 7. Check valve failure rate quantification .............................................................................. 124 8. Feedline failure rate ........................................................................................................... 125 9. Duct failure rate quantification .......................................................................................... 126 VIII