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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19980007963: NASA/DOD Aerospace Knowledge Diffusion Research Project. Paper 62: The Influence of Knowledge Diffusion on Aeronautics Innovation: The Research, Development, and Production of Large Commercial Aircraft in PDF

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Preview NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19980007963: NASA/DOD Aerospace Knowledge Diffusion Research Project. Paper 62: The Influence of Knowledge Diffusion on Aeronautics Innovation: The Research, Development, and Production of Large Commercial Aircraft in

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National Aeronautics and Space Administration Department of Defense INDIANA UNIVERSITY THE INFLUENCE OF KNOWLEDGE DIFFUSION ON /_RONAUTICS INNOVATION: THE RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND PRODUCTION OF LARGE COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT IN FRANCE, GERMANY, AND THE UNITED KINGDOM by Vicki L. Golich Thomas E. Pinelli Associate Professor, Political Science Head, Visual Imaging Branch California State University San Marcos NASA Langley Research Center 333 SouthTwin Oaks Valley Road Mail Code - 400 San Marcos, CA 92096-0001 Hampton, VA 23681-0001 760.750.4144 (V) 757.864.2491 (V) 760.750.3284 (F) 757.864.8311 (F) vgolich@mailhost 1.csusm.edu [email protected] PaperpreparedfordeliveryattheAviationCommunication:AMulti-CulturalForumConference,Prescott,AZ,April11, 1997.TheresearchforthispaperwaspartiallysupportedbytheNASNDOD AerospaceKnowledgeDiffusionResearch Project. ABSTRACT ThispaperfocusesonhowEuropeanpublicpolicies---individuallyandcollectively --influence thediffusionofknowledgeandtechnology.Itbeginswithanoverview of the rolesplayedhistoricallyandcurrentlyby Europeangovernmentsinthe research,developmenta,ndproduction(RD&P)oflargecommercialaircraft(LCA). Theanalyticaflrameworkbringstogetherliteraturefromglobalpoliticaleconomy, comparativepolitics,businessmanagement,andscienceandtechnologypolicy studies. Itdistinguishesbetweentheproductionofknowledge,ontheonehand, andthe disseminationof knowledge,onthe other. France,Germany, andthe UnitedKingdomserveastheanalyticalcases.Thepaperconcludeswithacallfor additionarlesearchinthisarea,sometentativelessonslearned,andadiscussion of the consequencesof nationalstrategiesand policiesfor the diffusionof knowledgeandtechnologyinaneraofglobalization. INTRODUCTION Aviation haslong had a dose, often symbiotic relationshipwiththe state. Decades ofdirect andindirect govemment supportforthe industryhave producedan unprecedented level of sophisticationinbothmilitary and commercial aviation. Govemments have utilized a variety of market intervention instruments to promotethediffusion--production,transfer,anduse-of aeronauticalknowledge andtechnology. Individual Europeanstates--namely France,Germany, andthe United Kingdom (U.K.)---have impressive histories of aeronautical innovation; collectively they--namely France, Germany, and the U.K., together with the Netherlands, Belgium, and Spain--have collaborated successfully since World War II to rebuild their indigenous aeronautical capacities under the Airbus Industrie (AI) umbrella. European collaboration to research,develop,andproduce(RD&P) largecommercial aircraft (LCA) isallthe more remarkable because theydonotshareacommon language orculture, butdo share an extended historyof mistrustand conflict. Add these obstacles to the incredibly complex task of LCA RD&P, and the enormity of their success becomesallthe moreimpressive. This paperfocuses onthe innovation strategies and policiesof France, Germany, andtheU.K.; eventually, the analysis willbe expanded toinclude knowledgediffusion strategies andpoliciesadopted bythe European Union (EU) aswell. The intent isto leam which knowledge diffusion strategiesandpoliciesare efficient,effective, andsuccessful ingenerating advances ingoods andservices nationally inaglobal economy characterized bymutual dependencies across amyriad of issueareas. The diffusion of aeronautical knowledgeandtechnology is particularly relevant to thistask. F/rst, bothknowledgeandtechnologyareessentialingredientsofthe innovation requiredto create new orimprove extant processes, products, systems, or services which are qualitatively superior or significantly less expensivethan those alreadyinthe market. Innovation, inturn, isdeemed criticalboth to nationaldefense and to maintaining economic competitiveness inthe global economy. Inthe realm of national defense, aviation is a keystone of the industrial base which produces the multitude of systems--weapons, transportation, communications, and infrastructure---as well as the personnel and training necessary to provide security. Aviation alsoserves asan economic linchpin, highly valued for its=spill-over" effects, either asa powerful force pushinginnovationthrough a cascade of"down-stream" activities, oras a=first user" of novel technologies. The drive to attain and sustain military superiority and economic competitiveness hasconsistently compelled nationalgovernments tosupportscience andtechnology pre- commercial researchanddevelopment (R&D)(Cohen, 1994; Councilon Competitiveness, 1994; Dertouzos, Lester, andSolow, 1989; Julius, 1990; Lopez andYager, 1987; National Academy of Engineering, 1988; Golioh&Pinelli_KnowledDgeiffusionI'snfluencoenAeronauticInanlovation 2 Nau, 1974;Rapldnand Strand, 1995; Ruggie, 1975; Servan-Schreiber, 1968; Strange, 1988; Tyson, 1988; 1992; VanTulder and Junne, 1988; Williams, 1984; Yoffie, 1993). Thus, aviation plays a special role in the national innovation systems of several of the most importantcountriesinthe Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Inaddition, for the United States (U.S.), the U.K., and France, aerospace products constitute a major source of manufacturing exports, adding a trade dimension to the strategic importance of that sector (Council on Competitiveness, 1996; Gellman Research Associates, 1992; 1990; Hayward, 1994; Nelson, 1993; Tyson, 1988; 1992; U.S. International Trade Commission, 1993; 1984; U.S. Congress, Office of Technology Assessment,1991). Govemments canusea numberofstrategiesandpoliciesto promotean industrysector, aparticular project,oreven aspecific technology, includingfinancial subsidies, information dissemination, government mandated technology transfer from foreign sources, technical standards, and govemment procurement (Pinelli, Kennedy, Barclay and Bishop, 1997, p. 135; Mowery, 1994). More broadly, public policy establishesthe market parameters (e.g., trade and investment rules)as well asthe education and legal (e.g., intellectual propertyrights) infrastructureswithinwhich innovation occurs. Second,governments andcorporations confront an intriguingproblem with respecttothe diffusion ofknowledgeandtechnology:neitherhasintrinsicvalue. Theirvalue liesintheir usability;that is,knowledge andtechnologymustbeaccessiblebythe institutions,firms, orindividualswhich create orimprove military orcommercial processes,products,systems, orservices. In addition, knowledge andtechnology mustbe "practicar'---relevantandapplicabletothegoalsofprodudngneworimproved processes, products,systems, orservices. Useable knowledgeandtechnologyareembeddedwithexplicit(science) andtacit (engineering) components; they provideworkableandeffectivesolutions toproblems. Generally, technological knowledge is best utilized by engineers because they have gained the tac/t knowiedgs_--personal, context-specific, experiential (see Pinelli, Kennedy, Barclay and Bishop, 1997, p. 90; Polanyi, 1966; Bateson, 1973; and Teece, 1981)--which enables them todeploy knowledge andtechnology mosteffectively. At aminimum, experienced employees who have workedwith related materials, processes,and productswillbenefit the mostfrom emergingtechnologicalknowledge;the tacit knowledge they have gained asaresult of9earning- by-doing"and "learning-by-usingnisinvaluable asthey attempt to innovate usingnewtechnologies. T/drd,LCA RD&P andtechnological innovation share key charactedstics: Each is inherentlydsky and requires grappling with unknowns that may be technical, economic, or merely the manifestation of pemonalandsocialvariables(Rogers, 1982). LCA producers andtechnological innovatorsseldom work in a predictable environment; usually the payoffs are uncertain and distant. In the LCA sector, these imponderables comprise both"known unknowns"and"unknown unknowns'---referred to as"unk-unks." Knownunknownsarethenormal,unremarkableimprovementsthat,itisassumed, will be called for sooneror later.... Unk-unks are the less predictable contingencies;the assumptionisthat any newairplaneorengineintendedto advancethestateoftheartwillharboritsownsurprisesintheformofproblems thatarewhollyunforeseen(Newhouse,1982,p.19). Despite this remarkable level of uncertainty, LCA producers and technological innovators must make decisionsandcomplete extraordinarilycomplex tasks. To do so they seek data, information, orknowledge Golich& Pinelli---KnowledgeDiffusion'sInfluenceonAeronauticalInnovation 3 whichwillhelpmoderate uncertainty. Hence, examples of successful(or even failed) knowledge manage- ment--such as we find in the European aeronautics expedence---can provide important lessons for policymakers aroundthe world. Fourth, LCARD&P isa knowledge-dependent industrysectorthe benefits ofwhich---both tangible andintangible--am sodeady perceived bygovernment policymakers aroundthe wodd that virtually every nationwill do what itcan toparticipate inthe sector. The question iswhat kindof intervention isefficient, effective, andsuccessful. BACKGROUND Governmental officialsare expected to adopt strategies and policies which they determine will enable their individualcountriesto besafe from external attack andto be economically viable. Inaworld whereknowledgeandtechnologyare increasingly recognized as criticaltothe achievement of beth military securityandeconomiccompetitiveness, policymakers shouldexplore howbest to fosterthe mosteffective creationanddissemination of knowledge andtechnology for andto domestic users. Ifwe define effective creation anddissemination of knowledge andtechnology asincluding the production of an economically competitiveproduct,then, aswe enterthe twenty-fi_t century,thistask iscomplicated bythe skyrocketing costandcollateral riskof thislaudable goal. Inan industrysector suchascommercial aviation, thetask is further complicated by the simultaneous expansion ofthe market toglobal proportionsand the shrinking numberofconsumers°Addtothisthe problem created bythe extraordinary cost of LCAto consumers, and pclicymakersareconfronted withan almostparalyzingdilemma.Canthey really expect tosupport andfoster independent indigenouseconomic competitors without alienating foreign consumers uponwhom they are dependent and with whom they are competing for sales? If not, how do they join forces with their competitorsso astoenjoythebenefitsofprofitableproductionwithout undermining the success andsurvival oftheir indigenouscapabilities? Europeanpolicymakersgrapplewithjustthisdilemmatoday. On the one hand, market forcesseem to be compelling them toward greater unityand merging ofcapabilities; onthe other hand, historicaland political forces encourage protection from the vulnerability which inevitably accompanies the mutual dependenciesofintegration.The seedlings ofthisdilemma were firstevident immediately following World War II as government officials and corporate decision-makers recognized the potential negative consequences of parochial state involvement for their own domestic economies in a world shrunk by increasinglysophisticatedcommunications andtransportationsystems. The original intervention dilemma confrontingstatepolicymakers--findingthebalancebetweenexcessive andinsufficientgovernment support ofdomesticeconomies-became oneofhow"toengineeracompetitive presence ina full range of industrial activitieswithinstrumentsofpublicintervention that are not necessarilyvery effective andthat threaten the well-being of the international economic system" (Shepherd, Duchene, and Saunders, 1983, p.21). The needto resolvethis dilemma isexacerbated inindustrysectorssuchastransportation and communication which are naturalmonopoliesifprivateactorsareallowedtoact"freely"inthe market (Chandler and Daems, 1980). As the market transitionsfrom domestic to global proportionsgovernment and corporate officials must negotiate a compromise between unilateral and multilateral costs andbenefits (Golich, 1992; 1991; Hayward 1994; 1986; StirkandWillis, 1991). Golich&Pinell_--KnowledDgifefusionI'nsfluencoenAeronauticInanl ovation 4 AnalyticalConsiderations FourfactorshelpusunderstanEduropeaanpproachetosknowledgaendtechnologdyiffusion:F/rst, nations can employ a "mission-oriented" strategy, a "diffusion-oriented=strategy, orsome combination thereof(Ergas, 1987). Theformer ischaracterized bylarge scale projectwork, centering on large firmswith a heavyemphasis on defense, nuclear power,and aerospace. The latteremphasizes broader, moregen- eralized forms of investment, notably inpre-competitive, collaborative research, standardsdevelopment, andtraining. "Mission-oriented=strategies are characteristic ofthe U.S., the U.K. andFrance where, since 1945, nationaldefense and prestige have been keynational goals. Incontrast, Germany adopted a "diffu- sion-oriented"slrategy;Japanadoptedauniquehybridapproach (see Pinelli, Kennedy, Barclay, and Bishop, 1997). Thegeneraltrendininnovationpolicysincethemid-1980s, when Ergas introducedthe "mission=and "diffusion"distinction,has beento emphasize diffusioniststrategies. To some extent, thistrend follows the end of the Cold War which triggered a shift of resources away from defense programs to a growing preoccupationwitheconomic competitiveness inaglobal market (Sandholz, 1992; Peterson, 1993). Because aviation frequently involves or requiresthe buildingof prototypes, the development of proof-of-concepts, and flight tests (whether civil or military), it standsto benefit from mission-oriented governmentalsupportperhapsmorethan other knowledge intensive, hightechnology industrysectors. The la@_stslice ofaeronautical R&D isthe "D"phase ofgetting something towork to specification. However, since the 1930s, development has been predicated on increased understanding of fundamental aerodynamics (i.e., theoretical andexperimental) andthe technologies associated withthe RD&P ofLCA. Such understanding requires, at a minimum, significant investment in an education system capable of graduatinganappropriatelytrained workforce, includingscientists, engineers, and highlyskilledproduction workers;research,testing,andproductionfadlitles;and bothfundamental and applied research, which itself may bebestfacilitated bythe pmduclk)nof'technology demonstrators"tovalidate basicconcepts andbetter aidthe transitionfrom designto production (European Union, 1992; Rosenberg, 1982). Second,government intervention inthe market varies acrossatleast two dimensions: the level of intensity--or degree of involvement anddirection proffered by the government--and preferred style--or degree ofinterventiontransparency. Policymakers may actively guideand shape their national markets by creatingconsumerdemand andbyencouragingcommoditysupply. Alternatively, policymakers may prefer, rhetoricallyatleast,toremainat arms lengthandinterveneonly when itisperceived tobe absolutely critical. In addition, govemments can employ a wide range of direct and indirect mechanisms as they seek to influencebothsupplyanddemand, includingovertfundingofR&D, production andsale subsidies, regulatory relief,taxincentives,enhancedintellectualpropertyfights,technical assistance, expedited approvals for new products,antitrustroles,andsoforth. The consequences of each of these policies,aswell asmany others, have been studied extensively by others. (For more on science and technology policy choices and consequences, see Alic, 1986; Chiang, 1993; Cordes, 1988; Ergas, 1987; Golich, 1992; Heaton, 1989; Logsdon,1986;Mansfield,1986; Mowery andRosenberg, 1989a; 1989b; Nelson, 1984; Pavitt andWalker, 1976; Rothwell,1982;Schacht,1998). MostEuropeanstatesintervene more aggressively, more frequently, andwithasetof policiesthat are more transparent than those used bythe U.S. (For moreon intervention instruments generally employed by European countries to influence market dynamics, see Gayle and Goodrich, 1990; Nelson, 1984; Shepherd, Duchene, and Saunders, 1983; Vernon, 1976). Golich&Pinelli---KnowledDgifefusionI'nsfluencoenAeronauticIanlnovation 5 Th/n/,nationalandregionalhistoneshelpexplainwhygovernments adopt distinctapproaches tothe production,transfer, anduseof knowledge. The United States evolved intoa =regulatorystate" (Johnson, 1982), which, for the most part, focuses on implementing rulestoguide market activity and eschewsthe establishmentofeconomictargets asagovernment responsibility.Most modem European states emerged as political unitsduringthe era of economic mercantilism, when wealth and power were each considered proper ultimate endsof national policy (Golich, 1992; Viner, 1958). The early feudal political structures commontoalmostallantecedents oftoday's European nationsobligatedthe governing elitesto intervene inlocaleconomies. Theclassical liberal economicswhich replaced mercantilism inthe late eighteenth and eadynineteenthcenturiesstillarticulatedadear govemmental responsibilityfor providingkey infrastructures tofadlitate trade(Kindlebe_ger,1978;Smith, 1958). Asa result,firmsinstrategic industries---typically those relatedtotransportationandcommunication--were frequently state-owned orwere allowedto monopolize productionandsales;despite the recenttrend toward privatizingthese firmsandexposing them to greater competitionglobally,Europeangovernments--individually andcollectively--remain quitewillingto intervene openlyandassertivelyto achieve economic orsocialgoals. Insofarasthe overall goal of European states iseconomic growthorsocialwelfare, they can beconsidered =developmental" (Johnson, 1982). European governments have adopted twobroad categories oftechnology strategies and policies: general and selective subsidies (F/_lster,1991; Rothwell andZegveld, 1981). General subsidies are used to promote the R&D activities of any firm, whereas selective subsidiestarget specific projects(e.g., the creationandmaintenanceofAirbus Industrie). European governments have chosen to employ an array of technologystrategiesandpoliciestoencourageinnovationfor five reasons:(a) to overcome the disincentive toinvestinR&D whichdedvesfrom the fact thatfirmsare seldomabletoappropriate the benef'Csassociated with the knowledge and technology they produce; almost by definition, knowledge and technological innovationisdifficulttocontain; (b)tospread riskmorewidely---across society as awhole---since firmsmay betoo riskavemetoengage inprojectsthat are costlyand have uncertain payoffs, hence government has an ob#gat/ontoassumesome orallofthe risk; (c) to accelerate the diffusion of knowledge and technology among firms because to do so will encourage the adoption of profdable new product and process tech- nologies deemed vital to firm-, industry-, and, ultimately, national-level competitiveness; (d) to increase returnsto scale inR&D by increasingfirmsize; and (e) to discourage competitive and duplicative R&D at the firm level. (For a moredetailed discussionofthese points see FOlster,1992, pp. 26-30. For moreon levelsof competitiveness, see EdenandMolot, 1996; Golich, 1996; Kudde, 1996; Moore, 1996; Rapkin and Strand,1996. Formoreonthe effectof history,ideology, andcultureon national approaches to innovation policy see Brander, 1987; Cemy, 1980; Chandler, 1977; Chandler and Daems, 1980; Chapman, 1991; Chesnais, 1993; GiUispie, 1980; Gilpin 1968; Golich, 1992; Hoffman, etal., 1963; Keck, 1993; Markovits, 1986; Porter, 1990; Sorge, 1991; Talalay, Farrands, and Tooze, 1997; Underhill, 1997). Fourth,policy choices are influenced bythe perceptions decision makers holdwith respecttotheir state's position inthe international system (Golich, 1992; Haggard and Simmons, 1987; Ikenberry, 1986; Katzenstein, 1985; Servan-Schreiber, 1968). Whereas the United States was motivated inthe 1980sto explorethe useofpoliciesto promotetechnological innovation duetoa perceived crisisofcompetitiveness (Golich, 1996; Kudrle, 1996; Heaton, 1989; Porter, 1990), Europeans grew concerned withtheir economic competitivenessstatusasearlyasthe 1980s (see, e.g., Organization for Economic Cooperation and Devel- opment, 1968; Scherer, 1992; Servan-Schreiber, 1988). Nevertheless, the publication ofthe =technology Golich& Pinelli_Knowledge Diffusion'sInfluenceonAeronauticalInnovation 6 gap"seriesofstudiescommissionedbythe OECD (1968) andServan-Schreiber's TheAmerican Challenge (1968) triggered an even more aggressive use of industrialandtechnology policiesdesigned to sustainor reinvigoratetheircompetitivenessvis-_vis theU.S. (Scherer,1992). Since 1945, the U.S. has been aworld leaderinaeronauticsand,assuch,hasprovidedthe competitive focus for European nations. Moreover, the U.S. remainsthe singlemostimportantmarketfor many European andAsian companies---a fact that condi- tionsmany coq0orateandnationaltechnology strategies. Europeans, concerned that they were "becoming an economiccolony ofthe United States"(Thornton,1995, p.19), recognized=that abroadcapability inhigh- technology was more than a necessary requisiteto militarypower;,it had become essential to statusasa first-rateeconomic power"(Hochmuth, 1974, p.145). Aerospace wasa logicalfocusfor technolegy policy becauseits"strategicpositionextends beyond the obvious militarysignificance of suchindustriesto overall considerations of international status and predominance inthe future development of science and tech- nology"(Todd and Simpson, 1985, p.33; emphasis added). U.S. aeronautical leadership was obtained by close cooperation between state and industry. Extensivefederal support forproduction,transfer,and useof aeronautical knowledge andtechnology began in1917 underthe auspicesofthe NationalAdvisoryCommitteeforAeronautics(NACA). Itwas laterstrongly influenced by extensive Cold War military procurement anddefense-related R&D, and managed by the NACA's1958 replacement, the National Aeronautics andSpace Administration (NASA). inshort,thiswas a "mission-oriented" technology strategy par excellence; itworked largely due to the range, scale, and overlap of early U.S. civil and military "missions,=and to the flexibility of U.S. organizational structures (Ergas, 1987). Europeans have consistently sought to remain competitive withthe U.S. inkey industrial sectors. Inthe caseof aviation,threefactors motivatedtheir involvement: First,as inthe U.S., it isstrategic to both the national defense andthe economy; second, by the end of the 1930s, they had yielded their positionas awodd leader inaeronautics to the U.S.; andth/rd,they considerthe downstream and lateral flows of technological discoveries into the broader economy as well as the upstream technological developments criticalto LCA RD&P, as important elements inmaintaining healthy employment. What followsisanoverviewofthe rolesplayed by France, Germany, andthe U.K. inpromotingthe production,transfer,anduseof aeronauticalknowledgeandtechnologyrelevantto the RD&P of LCA. These three countries have been selected because oftheir criticalpositioninthe RD&P LCA historically and of Airbus Industrie aircraft currently. (It is important to note that the many countries which comprise the Europeancontinent differsignificantlyinhistories,ideologies,cultures, traditions, governance structures, and policyselectionandimplementation pattems. Fordiscussionsof other European national approaches see, forexample, Chiang,1993; Guile and Brooks, 1987; Hart, 1992; Hayward, 1986; Hochmuth, 1974; Nelson, 1993; 1984; Vernon, 1970). European Approaches to Knowledge and Technology Diffusion Likemany high-cost,knowledge-intensiveindustries,aeronautics--and especially LCA production--- have lookedoutsideof apurelynationalbasefor capital andtechnology. With aeronautics heavily depend- ent on the flow of "upstream"technological innovation--especially inmaterials, electronics, and process technologies_the industry adopted a transnational approach to technology scanning and acquisition (Rosenbe_, 1982). Unabletomatchthe U.Soinmarket size and R&D base, individual European firms and

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