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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19980006552: Shape Optimization by Bayesian-Validated Computer-Simulation Surrogates PDF

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Preview NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19980006552: Shape Optimization by Bayesian-Validated Computer-Simulation Surrogates

i,p';pf_- c/_7..--zo-eso8 /., -'..7 D d/;_- ,.._L . ,f/ Final Report NASA Grant NAG 1-1613 "Shape Optimization by Bayesian-Validated Computer-Simulation Surro_,aO"tes _T Principal Investigator: Professor Anthony T. Patera Department of Mechanical Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology December 30, 1997 SUMMARYOFWORK The application of large-scale simulation to problems in shape optimization is very difficult for (at least) three reasons. First, the objectives can not always be stated a priori, and thus there is reluctance to expend resources. Second, simulations are still very expensive, at least for most complex physical problems, and thus optimization -- which calls for repeated appeal to the forward problem -- is often prohibitively costly. Third, many interesting problems in shape optimization also require variations in topology: the latter introduces singularities that frustrate many classical optimization procedures. In this grant, we have proposed an approach to shape optimization that addresses, or at least mitigates, these difficulties. First, as regards how the problem is posed, we have applied concepts from multi-criterion optimization theory, in particular, Pareto theory. The Pareto formulation permits the designer to identify (monotonic) preferences in certain performance metrics (e.g., lift and drag), and then obtain a trade-off curve between these variables; all points on this trade-off curve are optimal in the sense that there is no design point at which both metrics can be improved (e.g., both lift increased and drag decreased). This trade-off curve can then be used to help the designer identify the right balance between different preferences, and determine the optimal operating point once these preferences are established. Pareto optimization has been used only rarely (if ever) for complex problems in fluid dynamics because the determination of the trade-off curve constitutes a difficult rain-max problem that requires many appeals to the (expensive) simulation. Our approach to alleviating this computational bottleneck is to replace the simulation with a simulation surrogate, In particular, we first construct a model, or surrogate, of the input-output behavior of the simulation -- based on some small set of input-output pairs -- and then use this surrogate, not the original simulation, in the resulting (Pareto) optimization. The surrogate, unlike the original simulation, is very inexpensive to evaluate, and thus extensive optimization can be performed; of course, the surrogate may also be significantly less accurate than the originating simulation. To address the accuracy question, we have developed an extensive statistical validation procedure and associated theory for understanding how well a surrogate is performing, and whether any particular surrogate-predicted result can be trusted. The latter is, in fact, facilitated by the Pareto framework, since the region of input space of interest is narrowed to the pre-image of the trade-off curve. In particular, if the number of performance metrics of interest (e.g., lift, drag) is small, the Pareto pre-image will typically be a low- dimensional manifold, even if there are many design variables (inputs). Finally, in order to treat the topology issue, we have implemented a level-set geornett'y description within the surrogate context. [n this approach, shapes are described as level sets of parametrized functions such that (discontinuous) changes in geometu can be described by continuous changes in parameters which, in turn, correspond to continuous changes in the performance metrics, The latter thus permits the use of gradient information, critical to any efficient search algorithm. The ingredients described above have been demonstrated in the simulation-based optimization of a compact (laminar-flow) heat exchanger. The performance metrics in the Pareto analysis are the pumping power and heat removal; the simulation is a full unsteady Navier-Stokes calculation, on the basis of which a simple (radial-basis function) surrogate input-output model is constructed; level sets are used to describe the geomet_T of the eddy promoters through which the flow is excited and the thermal-hydraulic performance improved. The results of this study indicate that our approach can prove quite effective in practice, permitting us to address problems not amenable to other techniques. However simple ("connect-the-dot") surrogate methods are fundamentally limited to rather low-dimensional inputs spaces; although the Pareto approach permits us to validate a surrogate over a low- dimensional manifold, we must first construct the surrogate over the entire input space. As is well-known, approximation in many dimensions is plagued by the "curse of dimensionality" _ there are simply too few points in each coordinate to represent the function unless a prohibitively expensive (exponential) number of input-output pairs is used. One promising approach to improving the dimensionality scaling of surrogates is to exploit state-space based models -- models that contain not only simple input-output information, but also information originating in the underlying mathematical system that describes the phenomenon. In a follow-on grant we will be studying this possibility, using for our "surrogate" a low-dimensional numerical approximation, and for our validation procedure a new form of a posteriori error estimation theory. The latter also replaces the statistical results of our earlier work with purely deterministic bounds (albeit at some loss in generality). A detailed description of the results of the current grant are included in Appendix A in the form of a recently completed Ph.D. thesis by John Otto. PUBLICATIONS 1. M.E. Kambourides, S. Yesilyurt, and A.T. Patera, Nonparametric-validated computer- simulated surrogates: A Pareto formulation. International Journal of Numerical Methods in Engineering, to appear. 2. J.C. Otto, D. Landman, and A.T. Patera, A surrogate approach to the experimental opthnization ofmultielement airfoils. Technical Report, AIAA Paper 96-4138CP, 1996. 3. J.C. Otto, M. Paraschivoiu, S. Yesilyurt, and A.T. Patera. Bayesian-validated computer-simulation surrogates for optimization and design. In N.M. Alexandrov and M.Y. Hussaini, eds., Multidisciplinary Design Optimization: State of the Art, pp. 368- 392, 1995. 4. J.C. Otto, M. Paraschivoiu, S. Yesilyurt, and A.T. Patera, Computer-simulation surrogates for optimization: Application to trapezoidal ducts and axisymmetric bodies. Technical Report, Proceedings of the Forum on CFD for Design and Optimization, ASME International Mechanical Engineering Conference and Exposition, 1995. 5. J.C. Otto, M. Paraschivoiu, S. Yesilyurt, and A.T. Patera. Bayesian-validated computer-simulation surrogates for optimization and design: Error estimates and applications. IMACS Journal of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, to appear. 6. S. Yesilyurt, C. Ghaddar, M. Cruz, and A.T. Patera, Bavesian-vali_htted surrogates for noisy comDuter simulations," application to random n_edia. SIAM Journal of Scientific Computing, 17 (1996), pp. 973-992. 7. S. Yesilyurt and A.T. Patera, Surrogates for numerical simulation: optimization of eddy-promoter heat exchangers'. Comp. Methods Appl. Mech. Engr., 121 (I 995), pp. 231-257. 8. M. Paraschivoiu and A.T. Patera, A hierarchical duality approach to bottnds for the outputs of partial differential equations, Comp. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engrg., to appear. 9. M. Paraschivoiu, J. Peraire, and A.T. Patera, A posteriorifinite elemeltt botoldsfor linear-functional outputs of elliptic partial d!fferential equations, Comp. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engrg., 150 (1997), pp. 289-312. I0. M. Paraschivoiu, J. Peraire, Y. Maday, and A.T. Patera, Fast botmdsfor OlttptttS of partial differential equations, in J.A. Burns, E.M. Cliff, and B. Grossman, eds., Proceedings AFOSR Workshop on Optimal Design and Control, Washington, D.C., to appear. 11. J. Peraire and A.T. Patera, Bounds for linear-functional outputs of coercive partial differential equations: local indicators and adaptive refinement, in P. Ladeveze and J.T. Oden, eds., Proceedings of the Workshop on New Advances in Adaptive Computational Methods in Mechanics, Cachan, France, Elsevier, 1997. APPENDIX A

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