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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19930005143: Venus: The case for a wet origin and a runaway greenhouse PDF

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Preview NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) 19930005143: Venus: The case for a wet origin and a runaway greenhouse

54 International Colloquium on Venus ments made by Pioneer Venus and by several Venera spacecraft indicate that the present water abundance in Venus' lower atmo- sphere isof the order of 20 to 200 ppmv [1], or 3x 10_sto 3x 10-s of the amount of water inEarth's oceans. The exact depletion factor is uncertain, in part because of anunexplained vertical gradient in H20 concentration inthe lowest 10 km of the venusian am_osphere [I], but the general scarcity of water is well established. The interesting question, then, is: Was Venus deficient in water when it formed and, if not, where did its water go? Planetary formation models developed 20 years ago by Lewis [21 predicted that Venus should have formed dry because of the higher temperatures prevailing at its location in the solar nebula, which would have precluded the condensation of hydrated silicate miner- ass. The predictions of this "equilibrium condensation" model have Fig.5. Po_on ofgeologicmapofPilbaxaBlockandvicinityP.ilbaraellipse since been challenged on two different grounds: (1) Accretionary hasdonedoutlineM.ajorgranitoiidnmLfiOnSareinsolidoutlineB.ox shows _xeasofFig.6. models now predict extensive gravitational mixing ofplanetesimais throughout the inner solar system [3] and (2) the condensation of hydrated silicates from the gas phase isnow thought tobekinetically infeasible [4]; thus, planetary water must be imported inthe form of H20 ice. Taken together, these new ideas imply that Earth's water was derived from materials that condensed in the asteroid belt or beyond and were subsequently scattered into the inner solar system. Ifthis inference iscorrect, itisdifficult toimagine how Venus could have avoided getting plastered with asubstantial amount of water- rich material by this same process. The conclusion that Venus was originally wet is consistent with ils large endowment of other volatiles (N2, CO 2,and rare gases) and with the enhanced D/H ratio in the present atmosphere [5,6]. Maintenance of asteady-state water inventory by cometary impacts [71 cannot explain the present D/H ratio ifthe water abundance ishigher than 20 ppmv because the time Fig. 6. I.amdsat imageportrJying three granitoid plutons tnd intervening constant for reaching isotopic equilibrium is too long [1]. volcanic and s_limenl_zy Pilblnt Supergroup. The litter originally accumu- The most likely mechanism by which Venus could have lost its lated ininterplut_n troughs and weredeformed astheplmons intruded. Scene water isby the development of a"runaway" or "moist" greenhouse is150 kmleftm right aunosphere followed by photodissociation of water vapor and escape of hydrogen to space [8-11 ].Climate model calculations that neglect cloud albedo feedback [9] predict the existence of two produce anincreasingly graded topography, including mafic volca- critical transitions in atmospheric behavior at high solar fluxes nism and fluvial and lacustrine proccsscs [9,10], By 2500 m.y. ago (Fig. 1): (1) at a solar flux of~1.1 times the value at Earth's orbit, the region had evolved to atectonica113, fairly stable marine platform So, the abundance of stratospheric water vapor increases dramati- orcontinental shelf inundated by an cpeiric sea, and was dominated cally, permitting rapid escape of hydrogen to space (termed a"moist by deposition of evaporitcs (banded iron formation and dolomite) greenhouse") and (2) at asolar flux of -1.4 So, the oceans vaporize [9,12]. By the end of this phase, the region had acquired essentially entirely, creating ala'ue "runaway greenhouse." If cloudiness in- its present configuration, although the Pilbara Craton possibly may creases at high surface temperatures, as seems likely, and if the not have been integrated with the rest of Australia. dominant effect of clouds is tocool the planet by reflecting incident References: [1]HeadJ.W.ctal.(1991)Science,252,276-287. [2] Solomon S. C. ct at, (1991)Science, 252, 297-311. [3] Stofan E. R. et al. (199l) JGR, 96, 20933-20946. [4] lackson M. P. A. et al. (1990) GSA Mere., 177, 139 pp. [5] Head ]. W. and Wilson L. (1992) JGR, 97, 3877-3904. [6] Pitcher W. S. (1978) Geol. Sac. 1800 _ Runaway graenhouse Land., 135, 157-182. [7] Wagcr L. R. and W. A. Deer (1939) Medal. 1600 _ am Gronland, 105, 4, 1-352. [8] Bakcr V. R. ct al. (1992) in press. 1400 -Stratolllpherlc_- -...... _" .................. 1 [9] Trendall A. F.(1983) In Iron-Formations: FactsandProblems, .,o [ _ 69-129, Elsevier, Amstc_am. [10] Hickman A. R. (1983) Geol, - _c,,,,0,, _ ,_-_" E Surv. West. Aust. Bull., 127. [12] Kargel I. S. and S_mett C. P. _ _polnl [ _ ll_ _______T, (oc.,., _ i (1:9:9-2) EPSL, su,_itt_,4. _ N93-14331 t" g 600- ; evaporetej)/ iO_ _- ?/' 4oo 7r VENUS: THE CASE FOR A WET ORIGIN AND A RUN- 2OO AWAY GREENHOUSE..l.F. Kasling, Dcpartmcnt of Geo- 0 -Pr_enl I' earth Ve_nus venulsr 10-6 sciences, 211 Dcike, Penn Statc University, Univcrsity Park PA 1,0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.S 2,0 16802, USA. Solar COnllanl lelsllve I0piellenl earth Fig. 1. Diagram illustrating the two key solar fluxes for water loss, as To one interested in alxnospheric evolution, themost intriguing calculated in {9]. The critical point for purewater (above which the oceans aspect of our neighboring planet Venus isits lack of water. Measure- evaporate entirely) isat647 Kand 220.6 bar. Figure courtesy all Pollack. \ r_3 _r_ LPI ContributionNo. 789 55 solar radiation, the actual solar flux required to create "moist" or oI(v)= M 1-_ (I) "runaway" conditions would be higher than the values quoted above. (Indee, d, some authors [12] have argued that cloud feedback where ol(v ) is the rms magnitude of anormalized spherical har- would prevent arunaway greenhouse from ever oocum_g.) Early in monic cocf'fi_t of degree 1.A conecnt_mted flow, chLracterized solar system history, solar luminosity was about 25% to 30% less by large segments moving together, has asteep slope, thence ahigh than today, putting the flux at Venus' orbit in the range of 1.34 So value of n,while adistributed flow, with small segments, has asmall to 1.43 So. Thus, it ispossible that Vcn_ had liquid water on its value of n. We cannot measure velocities directly on Venus. But in surface for several hundred million years following its formation. aplanetdominated byastrong outer layer,inwhich the peak stresses Paradoxically, _ might have facilitated waterloss by sequestering arc ata rather shallow depth, the magnitudes of gravitational atmospheric CO 2incarbonate rocks and by providing an effective potential V and poloidal velocity v, are coupled [3] medium for surface oxidation. Continued progress inunderstanding thehistoryofwater on M(SV)/M (vs) = 127tG_l/g (2) Venus requiresinformationontheredoxstate oftheaanosphere and surface.The lossofanocean ofwater (orsome fractionthereof) where TIis the effective viscosity of the lithosphere, the ratio of shouldhave leftsubstantialamounts ofoxygen behind toreactwith stresstostrainrateover long durations. The valueinferredfrom the thecrust.This oxygon would presumably be detectableifwe had magnitudes M for Emh is4x 1021Pa-s, probably most influenced core samples of crustal material.Barring this,itspresence or by subduetion zones. Support for this model isthat thegravity and absence might be inferred from accttmte measurements of lower velocity spectra on Earth have the same slope n to two significant atmospheric composition. Another spacecraft mission to Venus figures, 2.3 [3,4]. On Venus the spectral slope of gravity, n(_V), is could help to resolve this issue and, at the same time, shed light on appreciably lower over degrees that can be determined reli- the question of whether clouds will tend to counteract global ably-about 1.4 [4]. strongly suggesting a more regional, less warming onEa._. global, velocity field than on Earth. References: [I]Donahue T. M. and Hedges R. R.Jr.0992) Abasic eonstralnt on the velocity field that issomewhat indepen- Icarus,in press.[2] I_wis J.S. (1972) Icarus, 16, 241-252. dent of stxesses, and thence theology, is that, at the mantle depth [3] Wethcrill G. W. (1980) Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys., 18, where convection dominates---more than 150 kin--there must be a 77-113. [4] Prima R. G. and Fegley B. Jr. (1989) In Origin and correlation of vertical velocity vr(coupled to the poloidal velocity Evolution of Planetary and Satellite Atmospheres (S. K. Atreya vs by continuity) and temperature variations AT that lead to an et al., cxls.), 78-136, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson. [5] Donabue T. M. integral accounting for most of the total heat delivery Qfrom greater et al. (1982) Science, 216, 630--633. [6] MeElroy M. B. et al. (1982) depths Science, 215, 1614-1618. [7] Grinspoon D. H. and Lewis J. S. (1988) Icarus, 74, 21-35. [8] Kasting J. F. et al. (1984) Icarus, 57, Q = I pCvrATdS (3) 335-355. [9] K_ting J. F. (1988)Icarus, 74, 472--494. [101Kasting J. F. and Pollack J. B. (1983) Icarus, 53, 479-508. [11] Kumar S. For a mean heat flow of 60 mW/m 2 and average temperature et al. (1983) Icarus, 55, 369-389. [12] Rarnanathan V. and Collins variation AT of IO0°C, equation (3) gives an estimate of 0.6 cm/yr W. (1991) Nature, 351, 27-3-2.._ for vr In the Earth, plate tectonics lead to such ecmeentratioas of vr N93-14332 and AT atshallower depths that itisdifficult todraw inferences from observed heat flow relevant to equation (3). However, the constraint VENUS TECTONIC STYLES AND CRUSTAL DIFFEREN- exists, and its implication for the velocity spectrum of Venus should TIATION. W. M. Kaula and A. Lenardic, University of California, be explored. The altimetry and imagery of Venus also indicate a regienality Los Angeles CA 90024, USA. p_ of Venus tectonics, even though magnitudes of velocities cannot be Two of the most important constraints are known from Pioneer inferred because of dependence on unknown viscosity. For ex- Venus data: the lack of a system of spreading rises, indicating ample, Maxwell Montes iscomparable to the Andes in height and distributed deformation rather than plate tectonics; and the high steepness (suboccanic). But the material subducted under the Andes gravity:topography ratio, indicating the absence of an astheno- clearly comes from the southeast Pacific Rise, over 4000 km away sphere. In addition, the high depth:diameter ratios of craters on (despite the interruption of the Nazca Rise), while only 500 km from Venus [1]indicate that Venus probably has nomore crust than Earth. the Maxwell front is ascarp, and beyond that a much more mixed, The problems of the character of tectonics and crustal formation and apparently unrelated, variety of features. Clearly, Maxwell is more recycling are closely coupled. Venus appears to lack a recycling local than the Andes. A significant difference of Venus tectonics mechanism as effective as subduction, but may also have alow rate from Earth is the absence of erosion, which removes more than of crustal differentiation because of amantle convectionpattern that 1kin/100 m.y. from uplands. ismore "distributed," less "concentrated ,"than Earth's. Distributed Hypotheses for why Venus does not have crustal formation in a convection, coupled with the nonlinear dependence of volcanism on ridge system, but rather a more distributed magmatism correlated heat flow, would lead to much less magmafism, despite only with a more regional tectonism, include (1) the lack of plate pull- moderately less heat flow, compared to Earth. The plausible reason apart due to inadequate subduction; (2) the lack of plate pull-apart for this difference in convective style is the absence of water in the due to drag on the lithosphere from higher viscosity: i.e.. no upper mantle of Venus [2]. asthenosphere; (3) the lesser concentration of flow from within the The most objective measure of the nature of motion that we can mantle, also due to higher viscosity; (4) lower temperatures, due to hope to infer isthe spherical harmonic spectrum of its surface, or less initial heating and more effective retention of lithophiles in the near-surface, velocities. A compact expression of this spectrum is crust; (5) higher melting temperatures, due to lack of water content, a spectral magnitude M and slope n and (6) lower mobility of magma relative to matrix, due to (a) low

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