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Multivariate Analysis in the Human Services PDF

276 Pages·1983·5.65 MB·English
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Multivariate Analysis in The Human Services INTERNATIONAL SERIES IN SOCIAL WELFARE Series Editor: William J. Reid State University of New York at Albany Advisory Editorial Board: Weiner W. Boehm Rutgers, The State University New Brunswick, N.J., USA Naomi Golan University of Haifa ISRAEL Tilda Goldberg Policy Studies Institute London, England, UK Francis J. Turner Laurentian University Ontario, CANADA Previously Published Books in the Series: Crane, J.A., The Evaluation of Social Policies, 1982. Multivariate Analysis in the Human Services John R. Schuerman University of Chicago Kluwer·Nijhoff Publishing Boston The Hague Dordrecht Lancaster Distributors for North America: Kluwer Boston, Inc. 190 Old Derby Street Hingham, MA 02043, U.S.A. Distributors Outside North America: Kluwer Academic Publishers Group Distribution Center P.O. Box 322 3300AH Dordrecht, The Netherlands Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Schuerman, John R. Multivariate analysis in the human services. Bibliography: p. Includes index. ISBN-13: 978-94-009-6663-5 e-ISBN-13: 978-94-009-6661-1 DOl: 10.1007/978-94-009-6661-1 1. Social service-Research-Statistical methods. 2. Multivariate analysis. I. Title. HV11.S382 1983 361'.0072 82-20328 SAS is the registered trademark of SAS Institute Inc., Gary. NC SPSS is a registered trademark of SPSS Inc. of Chicago, Illinois for its proprietary computer software. No materials describing such software may be produced or distributed wIthout the written permission of SPSS Inc. Copyright © 1983 by Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by print, photoprint, microfilm, or any other means with out written permission of the publisher. Contents List of Tables and Figures viii Acknowledgments xii Introduction 2 Mathematical Preliminaries 5 Functions of Variables 5 Matrices 9 Matrix Algebra 13 Some Matrices We Will Encounter 17 Singularity of Matrices and Determinants 20 I nverse of Matrices 21 Problems 22 3 Multiple Regression I 25 The Model in Matrix Terms 29 Review of Analysis of Variance 33 Two-Way Analysis of Variance 35 The Analysis of Variance of Regression 38 Interpretation of Regression Coefficients 47 Residuals 50 4 Multiple Regression II 63 Bu ilding a Regression Equation 63 Coding of Categorical Variables for Regression Analysis 65 Part and Partial Correlation-Statistical Control 67 v vi CONTENTS 5 More on Matrices 73 Vectors 73 Transformation of a Vector by a Matrix 86 Projections 90 Problems 91 6 Principal Components Analysis 93 Two Variables, Three Cases 94 Two Variables, n Cases 103 Three Variables 105 p Variables 107 Scaling of Principal Components 110 Reducing the Number of Principal Components 111 Naming the Principal Components 112 Example 113 7 Factor Analysis 121 Points as Variables Instead of Individuals 121 Subspaces 123 The Decomposition of Variables 124 The Correlation Matrix and Its Factors 128 Extraction Methods 133 Rotation 135 Factor Scores 138 Example 140 8 Multivariate Tests of Means 147 Single-Sample Mean Test 147 Two-Sample Mean Test 153 Three or More Samples 155 Example 160 9 Discriminant Analysis 167 Geometric Representation 167 Algebra of Discriminant Analysis 171 The Discriminant Coefficients 172 Significance Testing 1"l3 Classification 174 10 Other Multivariate Techniques 177 Multivariate Multiple Regression 177 Canonical Correlation 186 Mu Itivariate Analysis of Covariance 187 CONTENTS vii 11 Repeated Measures Analysis 189 Single-Group Designs 190 N-Sample Case 199 Appendixes 209 A. The Greek Alphabet 211 B. Random Variables, Expected Values, and Variance 213 C. A Little Calculus 221 D. A Little Trigonometry 243 E. Still More on Matrices 249 F. Logarithms 259 G. Matrix Routines in SAS 261 Bibliography 267 Index 271 List of Tables and Figures Tables 3-1. Scatterplot 28 3-2. Regression Analysis Produced by the SPSS Computer System 44 3-3. Histogram of Standardized Residuals 57 3-4. Normal Probability Plot of Standardized Residuals 58 3-5. Scatterplot of Standardized Residuals 59 6-1. Questions Designed to Tap Students' Attitudes toward Research 114 6-2. Means and Standard Deviations for Questions Listed in Table 6-1 115 6-3. Eigenvalues 116 6-4. First Four Columns of Principal Components Matrix 117 7-1. Beginning Communalities and Eigenvalues 141 7-2. Principal Factor Matrix 142 7-3. Final Communalities and Factor Eigenvalues 143 7-4. Varimax Rotated Factor Matrix 144 7-5. Factor Score Coefficients 145 8-1. Cell Means and Standard Deviations 161 8-2. Multivariate Tests of Significance 162 8-3. Within·Groups and Between·Groups SSCP Matrix 163 8-4. Tests of Significance 164 10-1. Multivariate Multiple Regression 183 10-2. Univariate and Step down Tests 184 10-3. Regression Equations for Dependent Variables 185 11-1. Orthonormalized Transformation Matrix 204 viii LIST OF TABLES ix 11-2. Estimates for Transformed Overall Variables 205 11-3. Tests of Within-Subjects Part of Design 206 Figures 2-1. Probability Function of a Continuous Variable. 7 3-1. Scatterplot with Prediction Line. 29 3-2. Distribution of y's at Two Values of x. 40 3-3. Cumulative Normal Distribution. 51 3-4. Normal Probability Plot. 52 3-5. Residual Plot with Equal Variance. 53 3-6. Residual Plot without Equal Variance. 54 3-7. Residual Plot without Equal Variance. 55 3-8. Curved Residual Plot. 56 4-1. Distinction between the Partial and the Part Correlation 71 5-1. Plane with Coordinate Axes. 74 5-2. Vectors as Directed Line Segment. 75 5-3. Determination of Vector Length. 76 5-4. Two Vectors and Their Angle. 77 5-5. Sum of Two Vectors. 78 5-6. Product of a Vector and a Scalar. 79 5-7. Product of a Vector and a Scalar When Scalar Is Less Than One. 80 5-8. Product of a Vector and a Scalar When Scalar Is a Negative Number. 81 5-9. Decomposing Vectors. 82 5-10. Two Vectors on the Same Line of a Plane. 83 5-11. Two Dependent Vectors. 84 5-12. Vectors of Length One Along Coordinate Axes. 85 5-13. A Simple One Vector Situation. 88 5-14. An Example of Transforming Vectors. 89 5-15. An Example of Rotating Axes. 90 5-16. Example of Projection of a Vector. 91 5-17. Example of Projection of a Vector. 92 6-1. Plot of Deviation Values. 95 6-2. Rotation of Coordinate Axes. 96 6-3. Principal Components as New Coordinate Axes. 102 6-4. Plot of Bivariate Normal Distribution. 104 6-5. Principal Components of Bivariate Normal Distribution. 105 6-6. Figure 6-5 Oriented Horizontally. 106 x LIST OF FIGURES 6-7. Relation between Regression Lines and First Principal Component. 107 6-8. Plot of Three Multivariate, Nonnally Distributed Variables. 108 6-9. Ellipsoid of Figure 6-8 Oriented Horizontally 108 6-10. Location of Three Principal Components. 109 6-11. Scree Test. 112 7-1. Location of One Variable in a Space. 122 7-2. Location of Two Variables in a Space. 124 7-3. Three Variables in a Three Dimensional Space. 125 7-4. One Variable with Two Common Factors. 126 7-5. Initial Factor Solution. 136 7-6. Nonorthogonal Factors. 137 8-1. Bivariate Normal Distribution. 149 8-2. Contour Map of Bivariate Normal Distribution. 151 9-1. Scatterplot of Two Groups on Two Variables. 168 9-2. Three Groups and Two Variables. 169 9-3. Discriminant Function for Three Groups and Two Variables. 170 9-4. Two Discriminant Functions. 171 9-5. One Discriminant Function. 172 9-6. Two Discriminant Functions. 173 9-7. Three Groups Lined Up on One Discriminant Function. 174 11-la. Linear Plot of Occasions. 193 II-lb. Curved Plot of Occasions. 194 11-2. Plot of Four Occasions. 195 11-3. Plot of Means over Time. 197 11-4. Plot of Means for Each of Seven Groups in Time. 200 C-1. Simple Linear Function. 222 C-2. Curved Function. 223 C-3. Function with Two Limits at One Point. 224 C-4. Determination of the Derivative. 226 C-5. Graph of [(x) = (x - 1)2 + 3. 230 C-6. Point of Inflection. 231 C-7. Function of Two Variables. 233 C-8. The Least Squares Solution for Regression Coefficients. 234 C-9. Unit Circle with Ellipses. 241 C-10. Unit Circle with Tangential Ellipse. 242 D-1. Unit Circle. 244 D-2. Unit Circle with Constructed Angle. 244

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