Multinational investment in developing countries Multinational investment in developing countries A study of taxation and nationalization Thomas Andersson London and New York First published 1991 by Routledge 11 New Fetter Lane, London EC4P 4EE This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2003. Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada by Routledge a division of Routledge, Chapman and Hall, Inc. 29 West 35th Street, New York, NY 10001 © 1991 Thomas Andersson All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Andersson, Thomas, 1959– Multinational investment in developing countries: a study of taxation and nationalization. 1. Developing countries: foreign investment. Multinational companies I. Title 332.67314 ISBN 0-203-01162-7 Master e-book ISBN ISBN 0-203-16143-2 (Adobe eReader Format) ISBN 0-415-06219-5 (Print Edition) Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Andersson, Thomas. Multinational investment in developing countries: a study of taxation and nationalization/Thomas Andersson. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-415-06219-5 1. Investments, Foreign-Developing countries. 2. International business enterprises-Taxation-Developing countries. I. Title. HG5993.A57 1991 336.24 ¢3–dc20 90–27021 CIP To my parents Contents List of figures xi List of tables xiii Acknowledgements xv Part I Introduction 1 Statement of the issues 3 Introduction 3 The history of foreign property rights 7 Multinational enterprise-host country relations from the late 1960s 12 The flow of direct investment 15 Summary and outline of the book 17 2 Theoretical background 23 Introduction 23 The nature of direct investment 24 The socio-economic impact on host countries 26 The basic motivation of multinational enterprises and host countries 29 Behavioural options of multinational enterprises and host countries 33 Direct and indirect effects 35 The theory of the obsolescing bargain 39 The market for direct investment 40 Summary 44 Part II Taxation of multinational enterprise affiliates 3 Taxation of multinational enterprise affiliates by competing host countries 49 vii viii Contents Introduction 49 The game 51 Model 1: Non-deferrable production 54 Model 2: Production at any time 59 Model 3: Investment incentives offered by two identical countries 62 Model 4: Investment incentives offered by dissimilar countries 65 Comparison of the model results 70 Concluding remarks 72 4 Foreign exchange versus pollution 75 Introduction 75 Pollution intensive activities and direct investment 76 Bargaining with environmental protection 78 The pattern of direct investment 81 Factors affecting the model results 84 Summary and conclusions 87 Part III Nationalization of multinational enterprise affiliates 5 Nationalization of multinational enterprise affiliates by competing host countries 91 Introduction 91 Direct and indirect costs of nationalization 93 Mixed strategy equilibrium 99 Framework of two-country competition 102 Two-country equilibrium 106 Determinants of nationalization 111 Summary and conclusions 114 6 Cross-country variation in nationalization 117 Introduction 117 The empirical record 118 Theoretical framework 123 Data 126 Hypotheses and variables 128 The probit model 130 Results of the probit model 131 Binomial model and estimation 133 Results of the binomial model 136 Conclusions 144 Contents ix 7 Duration of nationalization 147 Introduction 147 Previous explanations for the termination 148 New hypotheses 156 Data, duration model and estimation 160 Results 161 Concluding remarks 164 Part IV Conclusion and policy implications 8 Conclusions 169 Introduction 169 Implications for empirical studies 170 Policy implications 172 Notes 177 References 184 Index 192
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