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Multilateralization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle A Long Road Ahead PDF

152 Pages·2011·3.89 MB·English
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U N ID IR M u ltila The world continues to wrestle with the dual nature of nuclear energy. The tera proliferation risks stemming from the spread of sensitive technologies point liz to the need for a multilateral approach to the nuclear fuel cycle. Taking the atio dangerous aspects of nuclear energy out of national hands and placing them n ipnr omviudleti lsattaetreasl whiatnhd sse ccuoruel da nsdt reeqnugitthaebnle tahcec ensos nto-p trhoeli fbeeranteiofitns roefg pimeaec eafnudl of th e nuclear energy. N u This book presents two studies. The first provides a historical overview cle ofuft uthree pisrsousep eocft sm. Tuhlteil saetecoranldiz adtiisocnu sasnesd pdriosscpuesscetss ftohre r epgrieosneanlt a spitpuroataicohne as ntod ar Fu e the nuclear fuel cycle using Eastern and South-Eastern Asia as a case study. l C y c le : A L o n g R o a d A h e a d UNITED NATIONS INSTITUTE FOR DISARMAMENT RESEARCH Multilateralization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle A Long Road Ahead USD 20 ISBN 978-92-9-045201-0 UN IT Designed and printed by the Publishing Service, United Nations, Geneva ED GE.11-01140 — August 2011 — 1,950 — UNIDIR/2011/5 N A UnitedS aNleast iNonos. GPuVb.Eli.c1a1t.i0o.4n TION Yury Yudin E-ISBN 978-92-1-055069-7 S UNIDIR/2011/5 Multilateralization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle A Long Road Ahead Yury Yudin UNIDIR United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research Geneva, Switzerland New York and Geneva, 2011 About the cover Reception of a transport cask for spent nuclear fuel at Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB’s Canister Laboratory in Oskarshamn, Sweden. Photograph courtesy of Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB. Photograph by Curt-Robert Lindqvist © SKB 2005. NOTE The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. * * * The views expressed in this publication are the sole responsibility of the author. They do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the United Nations, UNIDIR, its staff members or sponsors. UNIDIR/2011/5 Copyright © United Nations, 2011 All rights reserved UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATIONS Sales No. GV.E.11.0.4 ISBN 978-92-9045-201-0 eISBN 978-92-1-055069-7 The United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)—an autonomous institute within the United Nations—conducts research on disarmament and security. UNIDIR is based in Geneva, Switzerland, the centre for bilateral and multilateral disarmament and non-proliferation negotiations, and home of the Conference on Disarmament. The Institute explores current issues pertaining to the variety of existing and future armaments, as well as global diplomacy and local tensions and conflicts. Working with researchers, diplomats, government officials, NGOs and other institutions since 1980, UNIDIR acts as a bridge between the research community and governments. UNIDIR’s activities are funded by contributions from governments and donor foundations. The Institute’s web site can be found at: www.unidir.org CONTENTs Acknowledgements ........................................................................ ix About the author .......................................................................... xi Foreword ...................................................................................... xiii Introduction .................................................................................. 1 Part I Multilateralization of the fuel cycle: history and prospects 7 The nuclear renaissance and the international non-proliferation regime ........................................... 9 Nuclear renaissance ................................................................ 9 Driving factors ................................................................ 10 Obstacles ....................................................................... 12 The current situation ...................................................... 13 The impact of Fukushima Daiichi ................................... 14 Nuclear power and the non-proliferation regime ................... 16 Existing international mechanisms ................................... 16 Need for new institutional mechanisms .......................... 21 Multilateral approaches: past and present ..................................... 25 Earlier efforts towards multilateralization ................................ 25 Current status of multilateralization proposals ........................ 28 Support from supplier states ........................................... 32 Opposition from non-supplier states ............................... 35 The IAEA position ........................................................... 37 Political obstacles to multilateralization ......................................... 39 Appeal of national nuclear capability ..................................... 39 Legacy of exclusiveness and coerciveness .............................. 41 Lack of clarity on multilateralization and the alternatives ........ 43 Need for coordinated political action ..................................... 44 v vi Integrating multilateral arrangements into existing cooperation mechanisms ........................................... 47 The right to peaceful use of nuclear energy and multilateralization .................................................... 47 Voluntary multilateral arrangements ....................................... 50 Fuel supply assurances .................................................... 50 Front-end multilateral facilities ........................................ 51 Back-end arrangements .................................................. 52 Bilateral nuclear cooperation agreements and multilateralization .................................................... 53 Technical and legal issues ....................................................... 55 Eligibility ........................................................................ 56 Location of facilities ........................................................ 58 Technology sharing and protection ................................. 61 Conclusions ........................................................................... 63 Part II Prospects for multilateralization in Eastern and south-Eastern Asia 67 Opportunities for nuclear cooperation in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia .................................................. 69 Regional survey on multilateral fuel cycle approaches ................... 75 Collected responses to Part I .................................................. 76 Overview of responses to Part I .............................................. 85 Responses to Part II ................................................................ 85 Proposals 1–4: reserves of low enriched uranium ........... 86 Proposals 5 and 6: additional guarantees provided by existing suppliers .................................. 87 Proposals 7 and 8: IAEA-administered multinational enrichment and reprocessing facilities ..................... 89 Proposals 9 and 10: regional multinational enrichment facilities ................................................ 89 Proposal 11: regional multinational reprocessing facilities ............................................... 91 Proposal 12: nuclear fuel leasing and take-back offers .... 91 Proposals 13–16: multilateral interim storage and long-term disposal of spent fuel and nuclear waste .. 92 vii Proposals 17 and 18: converting all future and existing sensitive fuel-cycle facilities to multilateral operations ............................................. 94 Back-end mechanisms versus front-end mechanisms .............. 95 Regional versus global proposals ............................................ 95 Non-respondents ................................................................... 96 Conclusions ........................................................................... 99 Annex A The current proposals for multilateral approaches ......................... 103 Annex B Questionnaire on multilateralization of the nuclear fuel cycle ........ 112 Annex C Existing and projected state nuclear power programmes in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia .................................................. 118 Notes ............................................................................................ 123 Abbreviations ................................................................................ 135 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author would like to give special thanks to Bruno Pellaud and Lawrence Scheinman who provided useful comments on early drafts of the manuscript. Thanks also to the UNIDIR staff for their support and advice. Thanks to Theresa Hitchens and Kerstin Vignard for their practical, administrative and managerial advice. Thanks to Jason Powers, who provided excellent editorial assistance, and to Anita Blétry for production assistance. Thanks to Anna Stockklauser who communicated with Permanent Missions in Geneva concerning the questionnaire and who drafted a substantial portion of Part II of this publication. Thanks to Ting-Fung Chan and Fabian Froehlich who provided assistance at the final stage of drafting the manuscript. UNIDIR would like to specially thank all respondents to the questionnaire. Finally, the Institute wishes to thank the Governments of Austria, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation, Sweden, the United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom, and the Taipei Cultural and Economic Delegation in Geneva, for having generously funded the project Multilateral Approaches to the Nuclear Fuel Cycle. ix

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A Long Road Ahead. Yury Yudin . Nuclear power and the non-proliferation regime . policy, and the future cost of renewable energy technologies.
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