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Engineering Applications of Computational Methods 12 Qi Zhou Min Zhao Jiexiang Hu Mengying Ma Multi-fidelity Surrogates Modeling, Optimization and Applications Engineering Applications of Computational Methods Volume 12 Series Editors Liang Gao, State Key Laboratory of Digital Manufacturing Equipment and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China Akhil Garg, School of Mechanical Science and Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China The book series Engineering Applications of Computational Methods addresses the numerous applications of mathematical theory and latest computational or numerical methods in various fields of engineering. It emphasizes the practical application of these methods, with possible aspects in programming. New and developing computational methods using big data, machine learning and AI are discussed in this book series, and could be applied to engineering fields, such as manufacturing, industrial engineering, control engineering, civil engineering, energy engineering and material engineering. The book series Engineering Applications of Computational Methods aims to introduce important computational methods adopted in different engineering projects to researchers and engineers. The individual book volumes in the series are thematic. The goal of each volume is to give readers a comprehensive overview of how the computational methods in a certain engineering area can be used. As a collection, the series provides valuable resources to a wide audience in academia, the engineering research community, industry and anyone else who are looking to expand their knowledge of computational methods. This book series is indexed in both the Scopus and Compendex databases. · · · Qi Zhou Min Zhao Jiexiang Hu Mengying Ma Multi-fidelity Surrogates Modeling, Optimization and Applications Qi Zhou Min Zhao School of Aerospace Engineering China Academy of Launch Vehicle Huazhong University of Science Technology and Technology Beijing, China Wuhan, Hubei, China Mengying Ma Jiexiang Hu China Academy of Launch Vehicle School of Aerospace Engineering Technology Huazhong University of Science Beijing, China and Technology Wuhan, Hubei, China This work was supported by [National Natural Science Foundation of China] ([52105254,52175231]) ISSN 2662-3366 ISSN 2662-3374 (electronic) Engineering Applications of Computational Methods ISBN 978-981-19-7209-6 ISBN 978-981-19-7210-2 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-7210-2 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2023 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore Contents 1 Introduction .................................................. 1 1.1 Concept of Multi-fidelity Surrogates ........................ 1 1.2 Review of Multi-fidelity Surrogates in Engineering Design ..... 3 1.2.1 Classification of Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling Methods .......................................... 3 1.2.2 Research Progress on Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling Methods ................................. 4 1.3 Sampling Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogates ............... 11 1.3.1 One-Shot Sampling Method ......................... 11 1.3.2 Sequential Sampling Method ........................ 13 1.4 Optimization Design Based on MF Surrogates ................ 16 1.4.1 MF Surrogate Management ......................... 17 1.4.2 Heuristic Optimization Algorithms Based on MF Surrogates ........................................ 24 1.4.3 Uncertainty Optimization Design Based on MF Surrogates ........................................ 26 1.5 Application of MF Surrogates in the Optimization Design of Complex Equipment .................................... 28 References .................................................... 30 2 Hierarchical Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling .................. 39 2.1 Difference Mapping Based on Ensembles of Surrogates for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ....................... 40 2.1.1 Tuning the LF Surrogate ............................ 40 2.1.2 Difference Mapping Based on Ensembles of Surrogates ...................................... 41 2.1.3 Process Flow of the Proposed DMF-EM .............. 44 2.1.4 Examples and Results .............................. 46 2.2 Bumpiness of the Scaling-Function Reduction Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ....................... 53 2.2.1 Introduction of the BR-SF Model .................... 53 v vi Contents 2.2.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 57 2.3 Space-Mapping Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ............................................... 61 2.3.1 Introduction of the SM-MF .......................... 61 2.3.2 Introduction of the SM-RBF ......................... 67 2.3.3 Numerical Tests ................................... 71 2.4 Generalized Hierarchical Cokriging Model for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ....................... 83 2.4.1 Introduction of the GCK Model ...................... 83 2.4.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 90 References .................................................... 98 3 Nonhierarchical Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ............... 101 3.1 Variance-Weighted-Sum Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ...................................... 101 3.1.1 Introduction of the VWS-NMF Model ................ 101 3.1.2 Numerical Tests of VWS-MFS ....................... 110 3.2 Derivative of the Scaling Function Reduction Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ....................... 123 3.2.1 Introduction of the DR-SF Surrogate .................. 123 3.2.2 Numerical Tests of NHLF-Cokriging Surrogate ........ 131 3.3 Multi-Output Gaussian Process Model for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ...................................... 144 3.3.1 Introduction of the NH-MOMF Surrogate ............. 144 3.3.2 Numerical Tests of the NH-MOMF Surrogate .......... 148 References .................................................... 155 4 Sequential Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling .................... 157 4.1 Difference Mapping Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ............................................... 158 4.1.1 Introduction of the DM-EM Model ................... 158 4.1.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 165 4.2 Weighted Cumulative-Error-Based Sequential Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling .......................... 174 4.2.1 Introduction of the AL-SMF Method ................. 174 4.2.2 Numerical Tests of the AL-VFM Method .............. 180 4.3 Predicted-Improvement-Level-Based Sequential Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling .......................... 186 4.3.1 Introduction of the SMF Method ..................... 186 4.3.2 Numerical Tests of the SMF Method .................. 192 4.4 Bootstrap-Estimator-Based Sequential Multi-fidelity Surrogate Modeling ...................................... 195 4.4.1 Introduction of the BB-SMF Method ................. 195 4.4.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 203 References .................................................... 209 Contents vii 5 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Efficient Global Optimization ................................................. 213 5.1 Lower Confidence Bounding Method for Efficient Multi-fidelity Global Optimization .......................... 214 5.1.1 Introduction of the LCB-MFO Method ................ 214 5.1.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 219 5.2 Probability of Improvement Method for Efficient Multi-fidelity Global Optimization .......................... 221 5.2.1 Introduction of the MF-PI Method .................... 221 5.2.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 233 5.3 Space Preselection Method for Efficient Multi-fidelity Global Optimization ...................................... 237 5.3.1 Introduction of the SP-MFO Method .................. 237 5.3.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 243 References .................................................... 246 6 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Reliability Design Optimization ................................................. 249 6.1 Augmented Expected Feasibility Function-Based Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Reliability Design Optimization ............................................ 250 6.1.1 Introduction of the EGRA-MF Method ................ 250 6.1.2 Numerical Tests of EGRA-MF ....................... 253 6.2 Contour Prediction Method for Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Reliability Design Optimization .................... 260 6.2.1 Introduction of the EEI Method ...................... 260 6.2.2 Numerical Tests ................................... 264 References .................................................... 276 7 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Robust Design Optimization ..... 279 7.1 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Six-Sigma Robust Optimization ............................................ 280 7.1.1 Introduction of the MF-RO Method ................... 280 7.1.2 Numerical Tests of the MF-RO Method ............... 286 7.2 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Sequential Robust Optimization ............................................ 297 7.2.1 Introduction of the MF-SRO Method ................. 297 7.2.2 Numerical Tests of the MF-SRO Method .............. 307 7.3 Conservative Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Robust Optimization ............................................ 316 7.3.1 Introduction of the CMF-RO Method ................. 316 7.3.2 Numerical Tests of the CMF-RO Method .............. 322 References .................................................... 332 viii Contents 8 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Evolutional Optimization ........ 335 8.1 Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm ............................................... 336 8.1.1 Introduction of the AMFS-MOGA Method ............ 336 8.1.2 Numerical Tests of AMFS-MOGA ................... 345 8.2 Multilevel Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm .......................... 351 8.2.1 Introduction of the TSMA-MOGA Method ............ 351 8.2.2 Numerical Tests of TSMA-MOGA ................... 360 8.3 Online Multi-fidelity Surrogate Assisted Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm ........................................ 366 8.3.1 Introduction of the OLMF-MOGA Method ............ 366 8.3.2 Numerical Tests of OLMF-MOGA ................... 370 References .................................................... 384 9 Engineering Applications ...................................... 387 9.1 Prediction of Angular Distortion in Laser Welding ............ 387 9.1.1 Laser Welding Experiment .......................... 387 9.1.2 Finite Element Simulation ........................... 389 9.1.3 Results and Discussion ............................. 394 9.2 Optimization of Laser Beam Welding Parameters ............. 401 9.2.1 Two Models with Different Fidelity Levels ............ 401 9.2.2 Proposed Approach ................................ 407 9.2.3 Results and Discussion ............................. 412 9.3 Optimization of Metamaterial Vibration Isolator Design ....... 420 9.3.1 Establishment of the FEM of the Honeycomb Structure Vibration Isolator .......................... 420 9.3.2 Experimentation and Validation of the FE Model ....... 423 9.3.3 Optimization Design of the MI300-Type Honeycomb Structure Vibration Isolator .............. 429 9.4 Optimization Design of a Stiffened Cylindrical Shell with Variable Ribs ........................................ 436 References .................................................... 442 10 Concluding Remarks .......................................... 445 10.1 Conclusions ............................................. 445 10.2 Remaining Challenges .................................... 455 Chapter 1 Introduction 1.1 Concept of Multi-fidelity Surrogates Physics-based simulation models from different disciplines are becoming indispens- able in modern product design. In the preliminary design phase, these simulation models can help predict the performance of products to expedite the design space exploration and search for the optimal design. Notably, to obtain accurate predictions, high-fidelity (HF) but computationally expensive simulations must be performed. Therefore, despite the present processing power of computers and parallel computing techniques, it remains impractical to rely only on simulations to clarify the compre- hensive relationships between the design variables (inputs) and product performance values (outputs). Surrogates have been widely used in engineering design and optimization to replace expensive simulations to relieve the computational burden [1, 2]. To obtain sufficient data, designers must manually select a design of experimental and simu- lation models with appropriate fidelities to obtain the quantity of interests (QoIs) at reasonable cost levels. Generally, HF simulation models can provide more reliable and accurate simulation results than low-fidelity (LF) models. However, the use of only HF models to obtain QoIs for building surrogates may be time-and resource- intensive. Although LF models are less computationally demanding, the obtained QoIs may result in inaccurate or incorrect surrogates due to noise and stochastic effects. A promising approach to balance the prediction accuracy and computational cost is to integrate the information from HF and LF simulations by constructing multi- fidelity (MF) surrogates [3, 4]. The core concept of MF surrogates is that a large number of LF samples are evaluated to clarify the general trend of the system behavior, and a small number of HF samples are used to enhance the prediction accuracy in important regions. To ensure the effectiveness of MF surrogates, the LF model must capture the overall trend of the responses from the HF model. In MF surrogates, the HF and LF models are relative concepts describing the same complex engineering product at different complexity levels. LF models are typically derived © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2023 1 Q. Zhou et al., Multi-fidelity Surrogates, Engineering Applications of Computational Methods 12, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-7210-2_1

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