Multi-Agent-Based Simulation XIV: International Workshop, MABS 2013, Saint Paul, MN, USA, May 6-7, 2013, Revised Selected Papers PDF
Preview Multi-Agent-Based Simulation XIV: International Workshop, MABS 2013, Saint Paul, MN, USA, May 6-7, 2013, Revised Selected Papers
Shah Jamal Alam H. Van Dyke Parunak (Eds.) A l a m • P a r u n a k ( E d Multi-Agent-Based 5 s .) 3 2 8 I Simulation XIV A 1 N L International Workshop, MABS 2013 LNAI 8235 Saint Paul, MN, USA, May 6–7, 2013 Revised Selected Papers M u l t i - A g e n t - B a s e d S i m u l a t i o n X I V 123 MABS 2013 Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence 8235 Subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science LNAI Series Editors Randy Goebel University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada Yuzuru Tanaka Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan Wolfgang Wahlster DFKI and Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany LNAI Founding Series Editor Joerg Siekmann DFKI and Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/1244 Shah Jamal Alam H. Van Dyke Parunak (Eds.) • Multi-Agent-Based Simulation XIV International Workshop, MABS 2013 Saint Paul, MN, USA, May 6–7, 2013 Revised Selected Papers 123 Editors ShahJamalAlam H.VanDykeParunak School ofGeosciences Soar Technology Universityof Edinburgh AnnArbor, MI Edinburgh USA UK ISSN 0302-9743 ISSN 1611-3349 (electronic) ISBN 978-3-642-54782-9 ISBN 978-3-642-54783-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-54783-6 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2014935152 CRSubjectClassification(1998):21017,I21025 LNCSSublibrary:SL7–ArtificialIntelligence (cid:2)Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2014 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartofthe material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodologynow knownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnectionwith reviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeingenteredandexecuted onacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplicationofthispublicationor partsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheCopyrightLawofthePublisher’slocation,inits currentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.Permissionsforusemaybe obtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violationsareliabletoprosecutionunder therespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Whiletheadviceandinformationinthisbookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication, neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityforanyerrorsor omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the materialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface This volume contains the revised and selected papers from the 14th edition of the International Multi-Agent-Based Simulation (MABS) workshop series (http://www. pcs.usb.br/*mabs). Since its inception in 1998, the MABS workshop has remained oneoftheleadingscientificforumswherehigh-qualityresearchfocusingonthenexus between multiagent systems and social sciences has been reported. It has attracted researchers interested in the application of agent-based simulation for social science research and has enabled the application of insights from social theories to the developmentanddesignofmultiagentsystems.TheMABSworkshopseries has thus providedasolidplatforminpromotinginterdisciplinaryandcrossdisciplinaryresearch in the field and has attracted researchers with a wide range of backgrounds and expertise. Following previous editions, this year’s MABS main themes included simulation methodologies, simulation of social and economic behavior, and application. Addi- tionally, we solicited papers addressing empirical simulations, MABS that link real- worlddatainrealtime,provenanceandontology-drivensimulation,andthemethods ofvalidatingmultiagent-basedsimulations.Wereceived29submissions,ofwhich14 were selected for presentation in the 1.5 days allocated to the workshop. Eleven revised papers are included in this volume. A recurring theme throughout this year’s workshop was the relation of models to data, including the challenges of model validation and verification. (Validation is usually defined as ‘‘making the right model,’’ that is, one that meets the needs of the customer, while verification is ‘‘making the model right,’’ that is, avoiding pro- gramming errors.) The round table discussion that closed the first day’s session centered on this theme, with participants actively sharing positions and experiences ranging from an insistence on solid testing with real data to the case for abstract models that explore theoretical constructs and are not intended to align indetail with real data. Our keynote speaker Dr. Charles Macal’s invited presentation also focused on validation, drawing on his extensive experience with large models of real-world situations whose users demand clear validation. The workshop clearly raised consciousness among the MABS community of the importance of considering validation in the life cycle of a model, and provided numerous examples and guidelines of how this can be done. One delegate observed that in some cases, a paper about the validation of a model would be a worthwhile separate publication alongside a paper that motivates a model and describes its behavior. Coupled with the increasing popularity of the ODD protocol for detailed specification of models to enable replication, we are moving toward a tri-partite schemeforafullydocumentedmodelinapplieddomains:mainpapertomotivateand describe lessons learned, ODD protocol to enable others to replicate the work, and detailed validation study. VI Preface MABS workshops have always been held in conjunction with the world’s leading conference on autonomous and multiagent systems AAMAS (International Joint ConferenceonAutonomousAgentsandMultiagentSystems).Thisyear’sMABSwas heldwiththe12thAAMASconferenceinthebeautifulcityofSt.Paul,Minnesota,in the United States. We are grateful to the 2013 AAMAS conference chair Maria Gini and the workshop chairs Satoshi Kurihara and Wolfgang Ketter for their role in the successful organization of this year’s MABS workshop. We are also thankful to the AAMASlocalorganizersforprovidinguswithexcellenttechnicalandinfrastructural support.WeareindebtedtotheMABSSteeringCommitteeanditscoordinatorJaime Sichman for giving us the opportunity to organize the 2013 MABS and for their encouragement and positive feedback throughout thistime.Last butnotleast, we are thankful to the members of the Program Committee for providing constructive and usefulreviewsofthesubmittedpapersintime,whichisnodoubtoneofthehallmarks of the MABS workshop series. January 2014 H.Van Dyke Parunak Shah Jamal Alam Organization General and Program Chairs Shah Jamal Alam University of Edinburgh, UK H. Van Dyke Parunak Soar Technology, USA MABS Steering Committee Frederic Amblard Université Toulouse 1, France Luis Antunes University of Lisbon, Portugal Rosaria Conte National Research Council, Italy Paul Davidsson Blekinge Institute of Technology, Sweden Nigel Gilbert University of Surrey, UK Scott Moss University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany Keith Sawyer Washington University in St. Louis, USA Jaime Sichman University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Keiki Takadama The University of Electro-Communications, Japan Program Committee Shah Jamal Alam University of Edinburgh, UK Frederic Amblard Université Toulouse 1 Capitole, France Joao Balsa Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal Tibor Bosse Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands Sven A. Brueckner Soar Technology, USA Sung-Bae Cho Yonsei University, Korea Helder Coelho Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal Andrew Crooks George Mason University, USA Paul Davidsson Malmö University, Sweden Gennaro Di Tosto Utrecht University, The Netherlands Virginia Dignum TU Delft, The Netherlands Frank Dignum Utrecht University, The Netherlands Bruce Edmonds Manchester Metropolitan University, UK Armando Geller Scensei LLC, USA Nick Gotts Independent Researcher, UK William Griffin Arizona State University, USA Laszlo Gulyas Aitia International, Hungary David Hales The Open University, UK Rainer Hegselmann Bayreuth University, Germany Marco Janssen Arizona State University, Germany VIII Organization William Kennedy George Mason University, USA Satoshi Kurihara Osaka University, Japan Adolfo Lopez University of Valladolid, Spain Ulf Lotzmann University of Koblenz, Germany Ed MacKerrow Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA Ruth Meyer Manchester Metropolitan University, UK Jean-Pierre Muller CIRAD, France John Murphy Argonne National Laboratory, USA Emma Norling Manchester Metropolitan University, UK Michael North Argonne National Laboratory, USA Paulo Novais University of Minho, Portugal Mario Paolucci ISTC-CNR Rome, Italy H. Van Dyke Parunak Soar Technology, USA Juan Pavón Universidad Complutense, Spain Gary Polhill The James Hutton Institute, UK William Rand University of Maryland, USA Juliette Rouchier CNRS-GREQAM, France Keith Sawyer Washington University, USA Jeff Schank University of California Davis, USA Jaime Sichman University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Carles Sierra IIIA, Spain Barry Silverman University of Pennsylvania, USA Elizabeth Sklar City University of New York, USA Klaus G. Troitzsch University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany Harko Verhagen Stockholm University, Sweden Yu Zhang Trinity University, USA Additional Reviewers Maria del Carmen Delgado-Roman IIIA, Spain Tomas Trescak IIIA, Spain Lois Vanhee Université de Montpellier 2, France Contents MABS for Real-Time and Online Data Dynamically Tracking the Real World in an Agent-Based Model. . . . . . . . . 3 H. Van Dyke Parunak, S.Hugh Brooks, Sven Brueckner, and Ravi Gupta Large-Scale Multi-agent-Based Modeling and Simulation of Microblogging-Based Online Social Network. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Maíra Gatti, Paulo Cavalin, Samuel Barbosa Neto, Claudio Pinhanez, Cícero dos Santos, Daniel Gribel, and Ana Paula Appel Formal Approaches in MABS: Design and Validation Dynamic Identity Model for Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Joana Dimas and Rui Prada Verification and Validation of Agent-Based Simulations Using Approximate Model Checking. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Benjamin Herd, Simon Miles, Peter McBurney, and Michael Luck Validating Simulated Networks: Some Lessons Learned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Shah Jamal Alam, S.M. Ali Abbas, and Bruce Edmonds MABS in Environmental Modeling The MAELIA Multi-Agent Platform for Integrated Analysis of Interactions Between Agricultural Land-Use and Low-Water Management Strategies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 Benoit Gaudou, Christophe Sibertin-Blanc, Olivier Therond, Frédéric Amblard, Yves Auda, Jean-Paul Arcangeli, Maud Balestrat, Marie-Hélène Charron-Moirez, Etienne Gondet, Yi Hong, Romain Lardy, Thomas Louail, Eunate Mayor, David Panzoli, Sabine Sauvage, José-Miguel Sánchez-Pérez, Patrick Taillandier, NguyenVan Bai, Maroussia Vavasseur, and Pierre Mazzega Globalisation, Regionalisation and Behavioural Responses of Land Use Agents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 Calum Brown, Dave Murray-Rust, Jaspervan Vliet, Shah Jamal Alam, Peter H. Verburg, and Mark D. Rounsevell X Contents Simulating the Expansion of Large-Sized Farms in Rural Netherlands: A Land Exchange Model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 Shah Jamal Alam, Martha M. Bakker, Eleni Karali, Jerryvan Dijk, and Mark D. Rounsevell Simulating Social Phenomena Multi-Agent-Based Simulation of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Growth . . . . 131 Pablo Werlang, Michel Q. Fagundes, Diana F. Adamatti, Karina S. Machado, Andreavon Groll, Pedro E.A.da Silva, and Adriano V. Werhli Who Creates Housing Bubbles? An Agent-Based Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Jiaqi Ge Towards Simulating the Impact of National Culture on Organizations. . . . . . 151 Loïs Vanhée, Frank Dignum, and Jacques Ferber Author Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163
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