Bank of albania Monetary Policy StrategieS for SMall econoMieS editor ArdiAn FullAni Foreword The book you are holding in your hands contains a series of presentations made by distinguished national and international experts in the 7th Annual Conference of the Bank of Albania titled “Monetary Policy Strategies for Small economies”, held in Tirana on 6-7 december 007. I avail myself of this opportunity to express my appreciation to all the Conference speakers for accepting the Bank of Albania’s invitation to provide their outstanding scientific contribution to finalizing the -year project and analyzing all the preconditions required for the successful implementation of the inflation targeting regime in Albania. The speakers‘ analyses, recommendations and conclusions provided in the Conference will assist the Bank of Albania’s future endeavours and work. The views and conclusions expressed in this volume are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Bank of Albania or to any institution with which the authors are affiliated. I also wish to thank the staff members of the Bank of Albania for their contribution to finalizing this project. Ardian Fullani Governor content The ConTrIBuTorS 9 oPenInG SPeeCh Ardian Fullani, Governor, Bank of Albania SuSTAInABle PolICy MIx In The CAndIdATe And PoTenTIAl CAndIdATe CounTrIeS Peter Grasmann, dG eCFIn, european Commission neIGhBourInG CounTrIeS: how To drIve In The FAST lAne? Giorgio Gomel, head of International economic Analysis and relations department, Bank of Italy eurozone And neIGhBourInG CounTrIeS, whAT To exPeCT? CoMMenTS on Three PreSenTATIonS 7 Marko Škreb, Chief economist and strategist, Privredna Banka zagreb, a member of Intesa SanPaolo Group MoneTAry PolICy STrATeGIeS: SoMe evIdenCe FroM eu MeMBer STATeS In The drIve To eMu 6 Theodoros Papaspyrou, Special Adviser, Bank of Greece exChAnGe rATe PolICy In SouTh-eASTern euroPe: doeS IT MATTer? 8 Fabrizio Coricelli, director for Policy Studies, european Bank for reconstruction and development (eBrd) Peter Sanfey, lead economist, european Bank for reconstruction and development (eBrd) Marko Atanasovsky, Intern within the office of the Chief economist, european Bank for reconstruction and development (eBrd) reCenT exPerIenCeS wITh exChAnGe rATe reGIMeS And MoneTAry PolICy In SouTh-eASTern euroPe And Turkey 00-007 9 Stephan Barisitz, Senior economist, Foreign research division, oesterreichische nationalbank PrIvATISATIon, ConSolIdATIon And The InCreASed role oF ForeIGn BAnkS 7 dubravko Mihaljek, Senior economist, Bank for International Settlements MoneTAry STrATeGy IMPleMenTed In koSovo 69 Michel Svetchine, Managing director, Central Banking Authority of kosovo InFlATIon TArGeTInG In Turkey: A revIew oF reCenT exPerIenCe And ProSPeCTS 8 yusuf Soner Baskaya, research and Monetary Policy department, Central Bank of Turkey 6 new MoneTAry PolICy FrAMework And reduCTIon oF InFlATIon In SerBIA 9 Milan Sojic, Ph.d., deputy General Manager, economic Analysis and research department, national Bank of Serbia MoneTAry PolICy STrATeGy oF The nBrM: exPerIenCeS And oPTIonS 0 Aneta krstevska, director, research department, national Bank of the republic of Macedonia evoluTIon And AdoPTIon oF The BAnk oF AlBAnIA’S MoneTAry PolICy: A ForwArd-lookInG vISIon And A CAll To Be Pre-eMPTIve 9 Ardian Fullani, Governor, Bank of Albania MoneTAry PolICy: InSTITuTIonAl And oPerATIonAl FrAMework TowArd A ForwArd lookInG reGIMe 8 Gramoz kolasi, director, Monetary Policy department, Bank of Albania Bledar hoda, Sofika note, Monetary Policy department, Bank of Albania CoMMenTS on: InSTITuTIonAl And oPerATIonAl FrAMework TowArdS A ForwArd lookInG reGIMe Meir Sokoler, Monetary policy adviser to the Bank of Albania MACro eConoMeTrIC Model oF AlBAnIA: A Follow uP 9 Jakab zoltan, Principal economist, Central Bank of hungary vasilika kota, elona dushku, specialists, research department, Bank of Albania 7 dISCuSSIon on “MACro eConoMeTrIC Model oF AlBAnIA” 7 david vavra, Adviser, national Bank of Serbia The role oF exChAnGe rATe In An IT FrAMework, whAT do we do? Altin Tanku, director, research department, Bank of Albania Ilir vika, research department, Bank of Albania Marian Gjermeni, director, Monetary operations department at the Bank of Albania dISCuSSIon on “The role oF exChAnGe rATe In An IT FrAMework, whAT do we do?” 69 david vavra, Adviser, national Bank of Serbia MoneTAry TrAnSMISSIon MeChAnISM In AlBAnIA 7 Gramoz kolasi, director, Monetary Policy department, Bank of Albania hilda Shijaku, Chief of Sector, Statistics department, Bank of Albania diana Shtylla, Chief of Sector, Monetary Policy department, Bank of Albania CoMMenTS on “MoneTAry TrAnSMISSIon MeChAnISM In AlBAnIA” 09 kerstin Mitlid, Adviser to the Governors, Financial Stability department, Sveriges riksbank 8 The ConTribuTors Mr. Ardian FullAni Governor, Bank of Albania Mr. ardian fullani was sworn in on october 28th, 2004 as governor and chairman of the Supervisory council of the Bank of albania. Before his appointment as governor, Mr. fullani was general Manager of the italian-albanian Bank (2000- 2004), and Deputy general Manager (1997-2000). He has extensive experience and in-depth knowledge of the banking sector in albania and abroad. He started working at the State Bank of albania in 1985, and since 1987, he served as Deputy Director of foreign Department. With the establishment of the Bank of albania in 1992, he was appointed Deputy governor and Director of foreign Department. He has also worked in the capacity of the President of the albanian association of Banks, chairman of the institute of Banking Studies and assistance, as well as commissioner of the albanian Securities commission. on June 7th, 2007, Mr. fullani was awarded by Mr. giorgio napolitano, President of the republic of italy, the title “commendatore dell’ordine della Stella della Solidarietà italiana / commander of the Star of the italian Solidarity”. Mr. fullani was born on January 15th, 1955 in tirana, albania. He holds two degrees, in finance and law, from the University of tirana. Peter GrAsMAnn head of unit, dG, eCFIn, european Commission Peter grasmann was born in Stuttgart, germany. He studied economics, law and statistics at Munich University and University of california at Berkeley. Previously he worked as assistant professor in the economics Department of Munich University and the california institute of technology and later in commercial (Bayerische Hypotheken und Vereinsbank) and investment (Merrill lynch) banking as analyst and consultant. in the european commission he first worked on financial integration and capital movements, later on the economic situation and forecasting for the eU economy. Since 2001 he has been working on the economies of candidate countries. He 9
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