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MODIS Time Series to Detect Anthropogenic Interventions and Degradation Processes in Tropical PDF

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remote sensing Article MODIS Time Series to Detect Anthropogenic Interventions and Degradation Processes in Tropical Pasture DanielAlvesAguiar1,2,*,MarcioPupinMello3,SandraFurlanNogueira4, FabioGuimarãesGonçalves5,MarcosAdami6andBernardoFriedrichTheodorRudorff1 1 AgrosatéliteGeotecnologiaAplicada,Florianópolis88032,Brazil;[email protected] 2 DivisãodeSensoriamentoRemoto,InstitutoNacionaldePesquisasEspaciais, SãoJosédosCampos12227,Brazil 3 TheBoeingCompany,BoeingResearch&Technology—Brazil,SãoJosédosCampos12227,Brazil; [email protected] 4 BrazilianAgriculturalResearchCorporation(EMBRAPA),MonitoramentoporSatélite, Campinas70770,Brazil;[email protected] 5 CanopyRemoteSensingSolutions,Florianópolis88032,Brazil;[email protected] 6 CentroRegionaldaAmazônia,InstitutoNacionaldePesquisasEspaciais,Bélem66077-830,Brazil; [email protected] * Correspondence:[email protected];Tel.:+55-48-988-331-172 AcademicEditors:MartinBrandt,TorbernTagesson,StephanieHorion,RasmusFensholt,AlfredoR.Huete, RichardGloaguenandPrasadS.Thenkabail Received:1September2016;Accepted:1January2017;Published:14January2017 Abstract: Theunavoidabledietchangeinemergingcountries,projectedforthecomingyears,will significantlyincreasetheglobalconsumptionofanimalprotein. ItisexpectedthatBrazilianlivestock production,responsibleforcloseto15%ofglobalproduction,bepreparedtoanswertotheincreasing demandofbeef. Consequently,theevaluationofpasturequalityatregionalscaleisimportantto informpublicpoliciestowardsarationallandusestrategydirectedtoimprovelivestockproductivity in the country. Our hypothesis is that MODIS images can be used to evaluate the processes of degradation, restoration and renovation of tropical pastures. To test this hypothesis, two field campaigns were performed covering a route of approximately 40,000 km through nine Brazilian states.Tocharacterizethesampledpastures,biophysicalparametersweremeasuredandobservations aboutthepastures,theadoptedmanagementandthelandscapewerecollected.Eachsampledpasture wasevaluatedusingatimeseriesofMODISEVI2imagesfrom2000–2012,accordingtoanewprotocol basedonsevenphenologicalmetrics,14Booleancriteriaandtwonumericalcriteria. Thetheoretical basisofthisprotocolwasderivedfrominterviewswithproducersandlivestockexpertsduringathird fieldcampaign. TheanalysisoftheMODISEVI2timeseriesprovidedvaluablehistoricalinformation onthetypeofinterventionandonthebiologicaldegradationprocessofthesampledpastures. Ofthe 782pasturessampled,26.6%experiencedsometypeofintervention,19.1%wereunderbiological degradation, and54.3%presentedneitherinterventionnortrendofbiomassdecreaseduringthe periodanalyzed. Keywords: EVI2timeseries;biophysicalparameters;phenologicalmetrics;biologicaldegradation; pasturereformation;pasturerenewal;pasturerecovery 1. Introduction Theincreasingdemandforfoodasaresultofpopulationgrowthandtheglobalurbanization process[1],thegrowingdemandforrenewableenergysources[2]andtheimprovedmanagementof RemoteSens.2017,9,73;doi:10.3390/rs9010073 www.mdpi.com/journal/remotesensing RemoteSens.2017,9,73 2of20 naturalresourceshavebeencallingtheattentionofgovernments,thescientificcommunityandsociety onissuessuchasagricultureandlivestock,aimingatabetteruseoftheterritory[3,4]. Beefsupplierswillberequiredtoreacttofulfillapredictedincreaseof44%intheglobaldemand for beef in 2030 as a consequence of income increase in developing countries [5]. Brazil plays an importantroleasthesecondlargestbeefproducerandthenumberonebeefexporterintheworld. Nevertheless, the increase of beef supply must be associated exclusively to the improvement in livestockproductivity,giventhegoalssetbygovernmentsofdevelopingcountriestoreduceratesof deforestationandgreenhousegasemissions[6,7],andlandcompetitionforproductionofgrainand biofuels[8–11]. The most important premise for the increase in livestock productivity is the improvement of pasturesintermsofquality,andthedegradationprocessisthemaincauseofqualitylossintropical countries,wheremostoftheherdisonpastureyearround. Thisisachronicproblem,beingalimiting factortotheincreaseinlivestockproductivity. Dias-Filho[12],focusingontropicalpasture,classified the process of pasture degradation into two types, i.e., biological and agricultural. The biological degradationisthelossofthepastureabilityinsustainingitsproductivityduetosoilconditions,while theagriculturaldegradationrepresentstheinabilityofthepasturetobeeconomicallyfeasibledueto competitionwithinvasiveplants. Remotesensing(RS)imagesacquiredbyEarthobservationsatellitesmakeitpossibletoevaluate the changes in land-use/land-cover over the past four decades, on scales never explored before (e.g.,[13–16]). Thesynopticandrepetitivecoverageprovidedbytheseimages,alongwithecological indicatorsandvegetationbiophysicalparameters,allowstheapplicationofintegrateddataanalysis andthedevelopmentofpredictivemodelsusefulfordecisionmakers[17,18]. However,therearenostudiesthatdistinguish,onaregionalscaleandbasedonRSimages,the consequencesoftheadoptedmanagementpracticesintropicalpastures(includinggrazing), from thosearisingfromvariationsintrinsictotheecosystem[19]. Inthissense,timeseriesoftwo-bandEnhancedVegetationIndex(EVI2;[20])derivedfromthe ModerateResolutionImagingSpectroradiometer(MODIS)instrumentmaybeusedtounderstand phenologicalpatternsandsupporttheassessmentofanthropogenicinterventionsanddegradation processontropicalpastures. Startingfromthispremise,theobjectiveofthisstudywastoproposeand testanewprotocolforidentifyinganthropogenicinterference(i.e.,pasturemanagement)andpasture degradationprocessesusingphenologicalmetricsextractedfromtimeseriesofMODIS/EVI2. TheoreticalBasisforTropicalPasturesAssessmentUsingEVI2TimeSeries Climatic and edaphic factors, anthropogenic interventions, cattle grazing and the occurrence of fires define the spectral dynamics of pasture lands in time. Thus, models that are based on the assumptionthatthevegetationbehaviorislinearandgradualarenotvalidtodescribethebehaviorof tropicalpastureundergrazing[17,21,22]. Thepastureresponsetothecomplexinteractionofthesefactorscanbegradual,linear,non-linear orabrupt[17],withindicatorsthatcanbeobservedbysatellitesensors,allowingtheassessmentof pasturebehaviorinrelationtochangesintheircomposition. Metricsfromtimeseriesofvegetation indices,associatedwiththeempiricalknowledgeoftheaforementionedfactors,allowthemonitoring ofvegetationinsearchforindicatorsofchange[13,23–25]. Unlikeagriculturalcrops—withitswell definedplantingandharvestingschedules—andforests—wheretheseasonalvariabilityinbiomassis, ingeneral,notrelevant—thereisnotawelldefinedscheduleforpastureandtheannualvariabilityin biomasscanbehigh,dependingonthegrasstype,soilandclimateconditions[17,26–28]. A tropical pasture under biological degradation [12], combined with the lack of a proper management,coverandsoilnutrientloss,causestheemergenceofpatchesofexposedsoil[27,29,30]. Time series of vegetation indices extracted from satellite images are sensitive to changes of this kind[22]. Ontheotherhand,pasturesunderagriculturaldegradation—wheretherearechangesinthe RemoteSens.2017,9,73 3of20 biologicalcompositionduetosecondarysuccession—orexperiencingundergrazing,showanincrease inbiomass[12],aprocesswhichisalsodetectedintimeseriesofvegetationindices[31]. Infact,thetypicalpasturebehaviorovertimeisduetotheseasonalvariationinbiomassrelated to water availability [27,32]. This variation is expressed in time series of vegetation indices as a seasonal behavior that characterizes, in each crop year, dry (with low values for the index) and wet (with high values) periods [24,27]. On the other hand, significant changes in pasture and grazingmanagement(e.g.,increasedstockingrate,changefromcontinuoustorotationalgrazing,or anthropogenicinterventionsforpastureimprovement)arecharacterizedbymeaningfulchangesinthe typicaltemporalbehaviorofthevegetationindex[17]. ForMacedoetal.[30],therecoveryofadegradedpastureischaracterizedbythereestablishment ofthepastureproduction,withtheplantingofthesamespeciesorcultivar.Alternatively,therenewalof adegradedpastureischaracterizedbytheintroductionofanewpasturespecies[30]. Thereformation isrelatedtocorrectionsand/orrepairsmadeaftertheestablishmentofthepasture. Boththerecovery andtherenewalcanbeperformeddirectlyandindirectly,i.e.,withorwithouttheuseofsummercrops orannualpasture. Inthisstudy,therecoveryandrenewalprocessesweregroupedtogetherduetothedifficultyof distinguishingthembecauseofthescaleoftheanalysis. Bothprocessesarecharacterizedbysoiltilling, whichsignificantlychangestheminimumvaluesofEVI2inthebeginningoftheseprocesses,allowing theiridentificationinEVI2timeseries. Thus,thehypothesesfortheestablishmentoftheassessmentprotocolbasedonEVI2timeseriesof tropicalpastureare:(i)anthropogenicinterventionstypicallyassociatedwithpasturereformationcause anincreaseinthepasturebiomassandarenotprecededbysoilexposure[30,33];(ii)anthropogenic interventionstypicallyassociatedwithrenewal/recoveryprocessescauseanincreaseinthepasture biomass and are preceded by tillage [30,33]; (iii) biological degradation of pastures result in the decreaseofbiomassovertime[12];and(iv)vegetationindicesextractedfromtimeseriesofsatellite imagesaresensitivetothechangesdescribedabove. A pasture that has gone through some sort of intervention in a given period could also be subjecttodegradationaftertheintervention,resultinginlossofbiomass. Factorssuchasinadequate management,problemsduringplanting,insufficientfertilization,andadoptionofstockingratesabove thepasturecarryingcapacitycanacceleratethedegradationprocess. However,itwasassumed,forthe purposeofthisstudy,thatonlypasturesthathavenotgonethroughanysortofhumanintervention, and showed a tendency of decrease in biomass during the analyzed period, could be classified as degradedpasture. 2. MaterialsandMethods 2.1. StudyAreaandFieldCampaigns Twofieldcampaignswereconductedfordatacollectionandcharacterizationofpasturecover conditions,bothinthecontextof“RallydaPecuária”[34]. Theroutesofthecampaignsweredefined based on the distribution of cattle production, according to the number of heads per census tract (Figure1;[35]),takingintoaccountroadconditionsandlogisticalconstraints. Theaccessrestrictions observedduringthefirstcampaign,andthechangesobservedinthefieldrelativetothecensusdata, weretakenintoaccountwhendefiningtherouteofthesecondcampaign. Thefirstcampaignwas heldbetween25Septemberand12November2011,whilethesecondcampaignwasheldbetween 22Augustand1October2012,bothcampaignsincludingtheSouth,Southeast,MidwestandNorth regionsofBrazil(Figure1). Thetotaldistancecoveredinthesecampaignswas40,000kmandthe numberofsamplescollectedineachwas369and413,respectively. RemoteSens.2017,9,73 4of20 Remote Sens. 2017, 9, 73 4 of 20 Figure 1. Location of the pastures sampled during the 2011 and the 2012 campaigns, and total number Figure1.Locationofthepasturessampledduringthe2011andthe2012campaigns,andtotalnumber of cattle heads per census tract [35]. ofcattleheadspercensustract[35]. 2.2. In Situ Pasture Data Collection 2.2. InSituPastureDataCollection The characterization of the pasture cover (sampling) was performed every 20 or 40 km, Tdheepecnhdairnagc toenr itzhaet ipoantho fletnhgethp.a Fsotur reeaccho vpearst(usraem sapmlinpgle), wwae smpeearsfuorremd ebdioepvheyrsyic2a0l poarr4a0mkemter,sd oefp tehne ding onthevepgaetthatiloenn gttoh .dFetoerrmeainceh pthaes tpuarsetusraem sptalned,w, teoomke paasunoreradmbiico apnhdy sviecratlicpaal rpahmoetotegrraspohfst, hceolvleecgteedta tion to detgeeromgrianpehtichael cpoaosrtduirneatsetsa, nadnd, tooboskerpveadn ochraarmacitcerainstdicsv oefr ttihcea lppashtuorteo ganradp thhse, lcaondllseccatpeed, ignecolugdrianpgh ical coordpinasattuerse, asnpdecioebs,s etorvpeodgrcahpahrya, cstoeirli stetixctsuroef, tahnedp oatshteurrse. aAnlld dtahtea lwanerdes craecpoer,diendc lound innugmpbaesrteudr efieslpde cies, sheets, which were associated to the photographs taken and the EVI2 time series. topography,soiltexture,andothers. Alldatawererecordedonnumberedfieldsheets,whichwere Biophysical parameters considered for determination of the pasture stand were: (i) number of associatedtothephotographstakenandtheEVI2timeseries. invasive plants, stools, and termite mounds (i.e., degradation and management indicators) found Biophysicalparametersconsideredfordeterminationofthepasturestandwere: (i)numberof within three circles with a radius of 3 m randomly placed within each sampled pasture; (ii) number invasive plants, stools, and termite mounds (i.e., degradation and management indicators) found of plants and dry weight of the pasture harvested from a 1 m2 quadrat placed within the first circle, withinfotllhorweiencgi rthclee mswethitohdoaloragdy ioufs [3o6f];3 amndr (aiini)d hoemiglhyt, pmlaeacseudrewdi atht itnhreeea clohcsaatimonps lwedithpians etaucrhe ;sa(imi)pnleudm ber ofplapnatsstuarned (sdeery Awppeeigndhitxo Af—thFeigpuarset uAr1e fohra irlvluessttreadtiofnro).m a1m2quadratplacedwithinthefirstcircle, followingTthhies msete tohf opdaroalmogeyterosf w[3a6s] c;oannsdid(eiriei)dh feoirg thhet, dmeteearmsuirneadtioant othf rtehee ploacsatutiroen sstawndit bhyin a esapcehciaslaismt, pled pastuwreh(os eeevAalpuapteendd tihxeA s—tatFuisg uorfe aAll1 pfaosrtuilrleuss tvriastiitoedn,) .classifying them as degraded, intermediate, or Tahppisrospertiaotef. pTahrea rmeseutletsr sofw thaiss ceovnalsuidateiorend wfeorre tchoemdpeatreerdm toin tahtei orensuolftst hoebtpaiansetdu rreemstoatneldy.b yaspecialist, whoevaluatedthestatusofallpasturesvisited,classifyingthemasdegraded,intermediate,orappropriate. Theresultsofthisevaluationwerecomparedtotheresultsobtainedremotely. Thefollowingruleswereadoptedforselectionofsamplingpointswithinthepastures: (i)the samples were located at least 150 m away from the edges of the pastures to compensate for GPS RemoteSens.2017,9,73 5of20 Remote Sens. 2017, 9, 73 5 of 20 positioningerrorsandedgeeffectsthatcouldpotentiallyinfluencethebiophysicalparameters;and (ii)thesTithese cfhololosewninwge rruelreesp wreesreen atadtoivpeteodf ftohre sceolnecdtiitoino nosf osfatmhpelpinags tpuoreinstssa wmipthleind ,thi.ee .,ptahsetuhreetse: r(oi)g ethnee ity samples were located at least 150 m away from the edges of the pastures to compensate for GPS ofthepasturewastakenintoaccountafteravisualinspectioninthefield. positioning errors and edge effects that could potentially influence the biophysical parameters; and 2.3.(iRi)e mthoet elsyitSese ncsehdosDeant awere representative of the conditions of the pastures sampled, i.e., the heterogeneity of the pasture was taken into account after a visual inspection in the field. MODIS16-daycompositeEVI2timeseries[20]andmonthly25kmTropicalRainfallMeasuring Mis2s.3io. nRe(mToRteMlyM Se)nrsaedin Dfaaltla estimates from 2000 to 2012 were obtained for all points sampled in the fieldcampaigns[37]. ToreducenoiseintheMODISEVI2timeseries,wefirstremoveddateswhere MODIS 16-day composite EVI2 time series [20] and monthly 25 km Tropical Rainfall Measuring thereflectancewasgreaterthan10%inthebluebandandwheretheviewzenithanglewasgreater Mission (TRMM) rainfall estimates from 2000 to 2012 were obtained for all points sampled in the field than 32.5◦, following methods of [38]. The time series were filtered using the wavelet transform, campaigns [37]. To reduce noise in the MODIS EVI2 time series, we first removed dates where the following[39]. reflectance was greater than 10% in the blue band and where the view zenith angle was greater than Pixelsrepresentingthevisitedpasturewerechosenwiththeaidofhighspatialresolutionimages 32.5°, following methods of [38]. The time series were filtered using the wavelet transform, following [39]. availablPeiaxteltsh reevpirretsueanltginlogb theeo vfiGsioteodgl peaMstauprse, wanedrei mchaogseesn owfimthe tdhieu amids opfa htiigahl rsepsaotliuatl iroensosleuntisoonr sim(TaMgesa nd ETMav+a)ilfarbolme a2t 0t0h0e tvoir2tu01a2l ,galocbqeu iorfe dGoiongtleh eMdarpys, (aAnpdr iimltaogOesc toofb mere)daiunmd wspeattpiaelr rieosdoslu(Mtioany steonSsoerpst e(TmMb er). Thiasnidn fEoTrmMa+t)i ofrnowma 2s0i0n0t etgor a2t0e1d2,i nactoquairwede bi-nb athseed dtroyo (lAapdraipl tteod Ofrcotombe[r4)0 a].nPda wsteutr epsersimodasl le(Mrtahya ntot he pixeSlepsitzeem(b2e5r0).m Th×is2 5in0fomrm),aotrionno twreaps riensteengtreadtebdy ianntoy a“ pwuereb”-bpaisxeedl (tio.eo.l, aadpaixpeteldto tfarollmy c[o4n0t]a. iPnaesdtuwreitsh in thespmaasltluerr et)h,awn ethree epxixcelul sdiezde (f2r5o0m mt h×e 25a0n amly),s oisr. not represented by any “pure” pixel (i.e., a pixel totally contained within the pasture), were excluded from the analysis. 2.3.1. ProtocolforPastureAssessmentUsingVegetationIndexTimeSeries 2.3.1. Protocol for Pasture Assessment Using Vegetation Index Time Series Forthedevelopmentofthisprotocol,sevenfarmswerevisitedinthestatesofSãoPaulo,Mato GrossoFdoor tShuel ,deavnedloPpamreánitn ofO thctiso bperorto2c0o1l2, ,seinvetnh fearcmons twexerteo vfistihteedG ine othdee gstraatdese opf rSoãjoe cPtacuoloo,r Mdiantaot ed byGErMosBsRo AdoP ASuSl,a atenldli tPeaMrá oinn iOtocrtionbger[ 4210]1.2,D inu rthineg cothnetesxet voifs tihtse, Gexepoderetgsrawdee rpercoojencst uclotoerdditnoateesdta bbyli sh EMBRAPA Satellite Monitoring [41]. During these visits, experts were consulted to establish the the criteria that relate the EVI2 time series to the interventions (renovation/recovery, reform, and criteria that relate the EVI2 time series to the interventions (renovation/recovery, reform, and degradationprocess)thatoccurredfrom2000to2012. Fromtheserelationships,phenologicalmetrics degradation process) that occurred from 2000 to 2012. From these relationships, phenological metrics wereestablished,asdescribedinthefollowingsection. were established, as described in the following section. 2.3.2. PhenologicalMetrics 2.3.2. Phenological Metrics Exceptforthevegetativevigor,allphenologicalmetricsextractedfromthetimeserieswerebased Except for the vegetative vigor, all phenological metrics extracted from the time series were ontheidentificationofmaximum(max)andminimum(min)valuesofEVI2duringagivencropyear based on the identification of maximum (max) and minimum (min) values of EVI2 during a given (Figure 2). For the identification of these values, it was established a time window in which an R crop year (Figure 2). For the identification of these values, it was established a time window in which language[42]algorithmidentifiedtheminimumEVI2valueandthedateonwhichitoccurred(dmin). an R language [42] algorithm identified the minimum EVI2 value and the date on which it occurred For the first crop year, the algorithm searched the lowest observed value in the eight months that (dmin). For the first crop year, the algorithm searched the lowest observed value in the eight months suctcheaetd seudccteheededda tteheo fdtahtee ofifr tshteo fbirssetr ovbasteiorvnaotifotnh oef stehrei esse,riwesh, ewrehaesrefaosr faolrl atlhl ethfeo lfloolwlowinigngc rcorpopy yeeaarsrs,,t he algothreit halmgohriatdhmas hiatsds atas rittisn sgtaprtoiinngt pthoeindtm thine iddmeinnt iifideendtiifnietdh einp trheev iporuesvicoruosp cyroeapr ypelaurs p1l2usm 1o2n mthosn.tBhas.s ed onBthaastedd aotne, tihtaste adracthee, dit fsoerarthcheemd info(ra tnhde tmhiend (manind) twheit hdimnina)t iwmitehwini nad toimweo wfeinigdhotwm oofn etihgsh,tc monosnidthesr,i ng foucromnsoidnethrisnbg effoourre manodntfhosu bremfooren athnsd affotuerr mthoendthast ea.fter the date. Figure 2. Average EVI2 time series of a visited pasture, highlighting the Local Minimum Limit and Figure2.AverageEVI2timeseriesofavisitedpasture,highlightingtheLocalMinimumLimitandthe the duration of the dry period (ddp), the intensity of the dry period (idp), and the vegetative vigor (vv) durationofthedryperiod(ddp),theintensityofthedryperiod(idp),andthevegetativevigor(vv)for for the 2002/2003 crop year. the2002/2003cropyear. RemoteSens.2017,9,73 6of20 Afterfindingthedatescorrespondingtotheminimum(min)vegetationindicesforallcropyears, theidentificationofthemaximumvalues(max),andtheirdatesofoccurrence(dmax),wasperformedby searchingtheperiodscomprisedbetweenthedatesassociatedwithtwoconsecutiveminima. Themin andmaxvaluesforeachcropyearofthetimeseriesandtheirrespectivedateswereusedtocalculate otherphenologicalmetricsdescribedinTable1. Table1.Descriptionofthesevenphenologicalmetrics. Metric Description max MaximumobservedvalueofEVI2(itscorrespondingdateisdmax—JulianDay) min MinimumobservedvalueofEVI2(itscorrespondingdateisdmin—JulianDay) amp Amplitude:max–min gur Green-uprate((max−min)/(dmax−dmin)) ddp Durationofthedryperiod(numberof16-dayEVI2composites) idp Intensityofthedryperiod vv Vegetativevigor Forthecalculationofthedurationandtheintensityofthedryperiod(ddpandidp),wecalculateda LocalMinimumLimit(LML)basedontheobservationsoftheanalyzedcropyearandtheobservations ofthetwopreviouscropyears,whichdefinedtheso-called“dryperiod”. TheLMLwascalculatedas: a−b LML = min + (1) year 4 wheremin istheminobservedforthecropyearunderanalysis;aisthesmallestmaxvalueobserved year forthelastthreecropyears(max ,max andmax );andbisthesmallestminvalueobserved year year-1 year-2 forthelastthreecropyears(min ,min andmin ). year year-1 year-2 TheLMLisrepresentedbyahorizontallineinthegraphofthetimeseries(Figure2). AllEVI2 values that were lower than the LML were considered to represent a dry period. The number of compositions of a crop year in which the EVI2 values were lower than the LML defines the ddp. TheareabetweenthetimeseriescurveandtheLMLdefinestheidp(Figure2). Thevegetativevigor(vv)metricwascalculatedasthearea,ineachcropyear,betweenthetime series curve and the mean EVI2 calculated considering all the values of the time series (Figure 2). Theamplitude(amp)wascalculatedasthedifferencebetweenmaxandmin,andthegreen-uprate(gur) wascalculatedas: max−min (2) dmax−dmin BooleanCriteriaandNumericComparisons Theuseofphenologicalmetricsallowscomparisonoftwoormorecropyears. Tounderstandthe processesthatoccurovertime(suchaspasturedegradation),orevenprocessesthatarecharacterized by detectable changes in a specific time period (for example, human intervention in pasture), it is commontocomparephenologicalmetricsofagivencropyearwiththosefromcropyearsthatprecede and/orsucceedit[26,43]. Thisstudywasbasedoncomparisonsbetweenthecropyearandthetwo previousyearsusing14Booleancriteria(i.e.,trueorfalse). Additionally,14numericalcomparisons wereperformed(Table2). RemoteSens.2017,9,73 7of20 Table2.Descriptionofthe14Boolean(bc)andnumerical(nc)criteriausedforcomparisonsbetweenthe phenologicalmetricsofacropyear(year)withthosefromthetwopreviousyears(year-1andyear-2). bc BooleanCriterion(bc) nc NumericCriterion(nc) bc1 ismaxyeargreaterthanmaxyear-1? nc1 (maxyear−maxyear-1)/maxyear-1 bc2 ismaxyeargreaterthanmaxyear-2? nc2 (maxyear−maxyear-2)/maxyear-2 bc3 isminyearlesserthanminyear-1? nc3 (minyear−minyear-1)/minyear-1 bc4 isminyearlesserthanminyear-2? nc4 (minyear−minyear-2)/minyear-2 bc5 isampyeargreaterthanampyear-1? nc5 (ampyear−ampyear-1)/ampyear-1 bc6 isampyeargreaterthanampyear-2? nc6 (ampyear−ampyear-2)/ampyear-2 bc7 isguryeargreaterthanguryear-1? nc7 (bgiyear−bgiyear-1)/iveyear-1 bc8 isguryeargreaterthanguryear-2? nc8 (iveyear−iveyear-2)/iveyear-2 bc9 isddpyeargreaterthanddpyear-1? nc9 ddsyear−dpsyear-1 bc10 isddpyeargreaterthandppyear-2? nc10 ddsyear−dpsyear-2 bc11 isidpyeargreaterthanidpyear-1? nc11 idpyear−ipsyear-1 bc12 isidpyeargreaterthanidpyear-2? nc12 idpyear−ipsyear-2 bc13 isvvyeargreaterthanvvyear-1? nc13 (ivvyear−ivvyear-1)/ivvyear-1 bc14 isvvyeargreaterthanvvyear-2? nc14 (ivvyear−ivvyear-2)/ivvyear-2 2.3.3. IdentificationofAnthropogenicInterventioninthePasture It is possible to define, with the help of a livestock specialist, procedures for identifying interventionprocesses. Pasturereformation,forinstance,ischaracterizedbyafastandsteepincrease invegetativevigor,whichisreflectedasanincreaseinthevegetationindex,especiallyinthemaximum observedvaluesofEVI2(max)andinthegreen-uprate(gur). Thegurreflectsabruptchangesinthe vegetation[44]and,inthecaseofpasture,isassociatedwithfertilization,controlofinvasiveplants andpests,amongotherfactors. Inthisstudy,pasturereformationwascharacterizedbypixelswheretheBooleancriteriabc1,bc2, bc5,bc6,bc7,andbc8weretrue,whereasthecriteriabc11andbc12werefalse(seeTable2). Inaddition, thepixelsshouldhaveamaxvalueinthecurrentcropyearatleast15%higherthanintheprevious cropyear;i.e.,nc1≥0.15(Table2). Thisthresholdwasestablishedbasedonexamplesofreformed pastureobservedinthemonitoredfarms(Section2.3.1). Weexpectthattheproposedprotocolwill detectonlysuccessfulreformations,whereanincreaseofthepasturebiomassisobservedasaresult. However,wenotethatnotallreformationswillresultinincreasedbiomassduetofactorsthatrange fromthechoiceofthereformationstrategytotheavailabilityoffinancialresources[30,33]. Insuch cases,nosignificantchangesareexpectedfortheEVI2values. Therenewal/restorationprocesseswerecharacterizedbypixelswhereallBooleancriteriawere true,exceptforbc7andbc8,whichcouldbeeithertrueorfalse. Thiswasbecauseafastincreaseof the vegetative vigor is a more striking feature in the reformation process than in the renewal and restorationprocesses,forwhichonemustconsiderthetimeofformationofthenewpasture. Moreover, therenewal/restorationwerecharacterizedbypixelsshowingavegetativevigor(seeFigure2)inthe currentcropyearatleastthreetimesgreaterthanthatofthepreviousyear;i.e.,nc13≥2(seeTable2). This threshold was also established based on data of recovered and renewed pastures in the monitored farms and expert consultation. Due to the high cost of the operations associated with renewal/recoveryprocesses[30,33],itwasassumedthattheseinterventionsoccuredonlyinpastures thathadundergoneseveredegradation. Thesepasturesshowalowamplitudebetweenthemaximum andminimumvaluesintheEVI2timeseries. ThelowEVI2amplitude,theperiodofexposedsoil between the removal of the degraded pasture and the planting of the new pasture (reflected as a declineintheEVI2values),andthemaximumvaluesofEVI2associatedwiththenewpastureinthe wetperiod,allinfluencedthechoiceofthenc13threshold. Foreachsample, thealgorithmidentifiedtheoccurrenceofreformationorrenewal/recovery processes.Forsamplesinwhichnointerventionwasdetectedintheanalyzedcropyears,thealgorithm searchedfordegradationprocesses. Assumingthatthetypicaldegradationprocessobservedinthe Remote Sens. 2017, 9, 73 8 of 20 RemoteSens.2017,9,73 8of20 algorithm searched for degradation processes. Assuming that the typical degradation process ovbissietervdefda rimn sthien vSiãsoitePda ufalormans dinM Saãtoo PGaruolsos oanddo MSualtois Gchroasrsaoct deroi zSeudl bisy crheadruaccttieornizoedf vbeyg eretadtuivcetiovnig oofr v(ie.eg.e,tbaitoimvea svsi)gaonrd (,ic.eo.n, sbeiqoumenastlsy), aanredd, uccotniosneqinuethnetlyp,a sat urreedcuacrtriyoinn ginca tphaec itpya,sdteugrrea dcaartiroyninwg acsadpeaficniteyd, dbeagseraddoantiothne wvvasp dheefninoleodg bicaaslemd eotnri cth,ea svdv epshcreinboeldogbieclaolw m.etric, as described below. 22..33..44.. IIddeennttiiffiiccaattiioonn ooff DDeeggrraaddaattiioonn PPrroocceessss iinn PPaassttuurree TThhee iiddeennttiiffiiccaattiioonn ooff ddeeggrraaddaattiioonn pprroocceessss wwaass ppeerrffoorrmmeedd uussiinngg lliinneeaarr rreeggrreessssiioonn aannaallyyssiiss [[4455,4,466]]. . FFoorr eevveerryy ppiixxeell iinn wwhhiicchh nnoo iinntteerrvveennttiioonn wwaass iiddeennttiiffiieedd,, tthhee 1122 ccaallccuullaatteedd vvaalluueess ooff vvvv ((22000000––22001122)) wweerree tatakkeenna saosb soebrsveartvioantisonofs aodfe pae nddeepnetnvdaerniat blvea,rwiahbillee, tiwmhei(lye eatirms)ew (aysedaerfis)n ewdaass tdheefiinnedde paens dtehnet ivnadreiapbelned.eBnot thvavraiarbialeb.l eBsowthe rveanrioarbmleasl iwzeedreb entowrmeeanlizzeerdo baentdweoenne zbeerfoo reanfidt tionnge thbeefroerger efiststiionng ltihnee r(ee.ggr.e,sFsiigounr eli3n)e. O(en.gc.e, tFhigeuarsesu 3m). pOtinocnes tfhoer raesgsruemsspiotnioannsa floyrs irsewgreersesmioent a[4n7a]l,yasissl owpeertee smtuets i[n4g7]S, tau dselonpt’es ttewsta usscionngd Sutuctdeednitn’s otr wdears tcoovnedruifcyteidft ihne orredgerer stsoi ovnersilfoyp ief wthaes rseiggrneisfiscioannt salotpthee w1a0s% sliegvneifli,cianndti caat ttihneg 1th0e%o lcecvuerlr,e inncdeicoaftbiniogl othgeic oalccduergrreandcaet ioofn b.iFoilgougrieca3l sdheogwrasdthateioscna. tFteigrpulroet 3o fshthoewnso trhmea sliczaetdtevrpalloute sofo fthvev nvoerrsmuaslitzimede vfoarlutehse o1f2 vavn vaelyrszuesd tcimroep fyoera trhsef 1o2r oannaeloyfzethde cproixpe ylsemaros nfoitro orende ionf tthhee Gpiexoedlse gmroadnietoprreodje icnt , twhiet hGtehoedeesgtriamdaet epdrorjeegcrte, swsiiothn tlhinee e.stimated regression line. Figure 3. Scatterplot of the normalized values of vv versus time for the 12 crop years of a sample pixel, Figure3.Scatterplotofthenormalizedvaluesofvvversustimeforthe12cropyearsofasamplepixel, with the estimated regression line. withtheestimatedregressionline. 3. Results 3. Results 3.1. Regional Analysis 3.1. RegionalAnalysis Figure 4 presents the average EVI2 time series for the 267, 389, and 106 samples collected in the Figure4presentstheaverageEVI2timeseriesforthe267,389,and106samplescollectedinthe Amazon, Cerrado, and Atlantic Forest biomes, respectively. On average, the pastures sampled in the Amazon,Cerrado,andAtlanticForestbiomes,respectively. Onaverage,thepasturessampledinthe Amazon presented maximum values of EVI2 higher than those sampled in other biomes. It is possible AmazonpresentedmaximumvaluesofEVI2higherthanthosesampledinotherbiomes. Itispossible that the difference in maximum values of EVI2 among the three biomes is related not only to soil and that the difference in maximum values of EVI2 among the three biomes is related not only to soil climate characteristics, but also to differences in stocking rates, which are generally higher in the andclimatecharacteristics,butalsotodifferencesinstockingrates,whicharegenerallyhigherinthe Atlantic Forest and the Cerrado [48], directly impacting the availability of forage. AtlanticForestandtheCerrado[48],directlyimpactingtheavailabilityofforage. In addition to differences in precipitation regimes, the differences in the minimum values of the In addition to differences in precipitation regimes, the differences in the minimum values of EVI2 curves among biomes in Figure 4 can be partially explained by the predominant type of the EVI2 curves among biomes in Figure 4 can be partially explained by the predominant type of degradation process in each biome. Invasive plants tend to remain green during the dry season due degradationprocessineachbiome. Invasiveplantstendtoremaingreenduringthedryseasondue to their greater ability to absorb water from the soil in dry conditions. As a result, pastures infested totheirgreaterabilitytoabsorbwaterfromthesoilindryconditions. Asaresult,pasturesinfested with invasive plants tend to maintain EVI2 values higher than pastures without invasive plants [12]. withinvasiveplantstendtomaintainEVI2valueshigherthanpastureswithoutinvasiveplants[12]. In the Amazon, the main cause of pasture degradation is the change in the biological composition IntheAmazon,themaincauseofpasturedegradationisthechangeinthebiologicalcomposition due to secondary forest succession [21,49]. Pastures that have management problems during the due to secondary forest succession [21,49]. Pastures that have management problems during the establishment stage, or those attacked by insect pests, are more susceptible to this type of establishmentstage,orthoseattackedbyinsectpests,aremoresusceptibletothistypeofdegradation. degradation. RemoteSens.2017,9,73 9of20 Remote Sens. 2017, 9, 73 9 of 20 Figure 4. Mean values of EVI2 (2000–2012) for the pastures sampled in field campaigns in the Figure4.MeanvaluesofEVI2(2000–2012)forthepasturessampledinfieldcampaignsintheAmazon, Amazon, Cerrado and Atlantic Forest biomes (267, 389 and 106 samples, respectively). CerradoandAtlanticForestbiomes(267,389and106samples,respectively). Figure 4 can also be used to assess changes in the precipitation regime during the analyzed Figure4canalsobeusedtoassesschangesintheprecipitationregimeduringtheanalyzedperiod period and the impacts of these changes on the pasture. However, the influence of rainfall on andtheimpactsofthesechangesonthepasture. However, theinfluenceofrainfallonvegetation vegetation indices derived from satellite images varies according to the type of vegetation and soil indicesderivedfromsatelliteimagesvariesaccordingtothetypeofvegetationandsoilproperties[50]. properties [50]. In the case of pasture, there is yet another important variable that must be taken into Inthecaseofpasture,thereisyetanotherimportantvariablethatmustbetakenintoaccount: grazing. account: grazing. The distinction of the impact of each of these variables on the pasture can only be The distinction of the impact of each of these variables on the pasture can only be performed in performed in controlled environments, where the history of grazing and precipitation is known controlledenvironments,wherethehistoryofgrazingandprecipitationisknown[51,52]. [51,52]. 3.2. DegradationandIntensificationTrendsintheSampledPastureLands 3.2. Degradation and Intensification Trends in the Sampled Pasture Lands Theresultsoftheapplicationoftheprotocoltothepasturessampledinthefieldcampaignsare The results of the application of the protocol to the pastures sampled in the field campaigns are presentedinTable3. Only14.1%ofthepastureswerereformedbetween2003and2011,whichisless presented in Table 3. Only 14.1% of the pastures were reformed between 2003 and 2011, which is less thantherequiredforrehabilitatingdegradedpasturelandinBrazilby2020(15Mha),asestablishedby than the required for rehabilitating degraded pastureland in Brazil by 2020 (15 Mha), as established theSectorialPlanforMitigationandAdaptationtoClimateChangefortheConsolidationofaLow-Carbon by the Sectorial Plan for Mitigation and Adaptation to Climate Change for the Consolidation of a Low-Carbon EconomyinAgriculture(ABCprogramme;[53]). Ofthesampledpastures,19.0%presentedasignificant Economy in Agriculture (ABC programme; [53]). Of the sampled pastures, 19.0% presented a declineinbiomassasmeasuredbytheregressionanalysisdescribedinSection2.3.4. significant decline in biomass as measured by the regression analysis described in Section 2.3.4. Table 3. Results of the application of the protocol for pasture assessment using vegetation index Table 3. Results of the application of the protocol for pasture assessment using vegetation index time timeseries. series. 2011 2012 Total PastureStatus 2011 2012 Total Pasture Status SamSpalemsples % % SSamamplpelses %% SaSmamppleless % % RefoRremfoatrimonation 52 52 14.114.1 5252 1122..66 101044 13.133 .3 Renewal/Recovery 50 13.6 49 11.9 99 12.7 Renewal/Recovery 50 13.6 49 11.9 99 12.7 ReformationandRenewal/Recovery 3 0.8 2 0.5 5 0.6 Reformation and Renewal/Recovery 3 0.8 2 0.5 5 0.6 InDegradation 58 15.7 91 22.0 149 19.1 WithouInt IDnteegrvreandtaiotinon 206 58 55.185.7 21991 5232..00 144295 19.514 .3 WithTooutat lIntervention 369206 55.8 412319 53.0 427852 54.3 Total 369 413 782 The results of the intersection between the assessment of the pastures in the field and the The results of the intersection between the assessment of the pastures in the field and the classification obtained with the EVI2 time series are presented in Table 4. We found that, of the classification obtained with the EVI2 time series are presented in Table 4. We found that, of the 778 778samplesevaluatedbyboththeprotocolandthefieldassessment,34(4.4%)displayedasignificant samples evaluated by both the protocol and the field assessment, 34 (4.4%) displayed a significant reductioninbiomassasshownintheEVI2timeseries,andwereclassifiedasdegradedwhenthefield reduction in biomass as shown in the EVI2 time series, and were classified as degraded when the field surveywasperformed. Thepasturesclassifiedasintermediateordegradedinthefieldrequiresomekind survey was performed. The pastures classified as intermediate or degraded in the field require some ofintervention,withouttillingofthesoiland/orchangingtheforage. Wefound30samples(3.8%)in kind of intervention, without tilling of the soil and/or changing the forage. We found 30 samples thiscategory,and80(10.3%)sampleswithsuitablestand,butwithadecreasingtrendinbiomass. (3.8%) in this category, and 80 (10.3%) samples with suitable stand, but with a decreasing trend in biomass. Among the 207 pasture samples found to have gone thought some kind of intervention, only 38 were classified as degraded in 2011 or 2012. However, if we consider the interventions carried out in 2009, 2010, and 2011, only one sample was classified as degraded in the field, and this sample was classified by the protocol as pasture reformed in 2011, after the field visit. From the pastures showing RemoteSens.2017,9,73 10of20 Table4.Resultsoftheintersectionbetweenthefieldassessmentandthepastureclassificationobtained withtheEVI2timeseries. Stand(FieldAssessment) Intervention/Degradation Appropriate Intermediate Degraded (EVI2TimeSeries) Samples % Samples % Samples % Reformation 63 14.4 20 11.8 20 11.8 Renewal/Recovery 54 12.3 27 15.9 18 10.7 ReformationandRenewal/Recovery 4 0.9 1 0.6 0 0.0 InDegradation 80 18.2 30 17.6 34 20.1 WithoutIntervention 238 54.2 92 54.1 97 57.4 Total 439 170 169 Amongthe207pasturesamplesfoundtohavegonethoughtsomekindofintervention, only 38 were classified as degraded in 2011 or 2012. However, if we consider the interventions carried outin2009,2010,and2011,onlyonesamplewasclassifiedasdegradedinthefield,andthissample was classified by the protocol as pasture reformed in 2011, after the field visit. From the pastures showing no degradation trend (427), which have not gone through interventions in the analyzed period,330(42.4%)wereclassifiedasappropriateorintermediate(Table4). The results of the application of the protocol are presented in Table 5 and Figure 5 by biome. ThesamplescollectedinthePantanalbiomehadthegreatestpercentageofpastureunderdegradation (40%). However,thenumberofsampledpasturesinthisbiomewasrelativelysmall(20samples)when comparedtootherbiomes. Amongthebiomeswiththegreatestnumberofsamples, theAmazon hadthehighestpercentageofpasturesamplesindegradationprocess,followedbytheCerrado,and theAtlanticForest. PasturereformationwasamorecommonpracticeinsamplesofAtlanticForest, whilerenewals/recoveriesweremorecommonintheAmazonpastures, whenthePantanalisnot considered(Table5). Thesedifferencescanbeexplained,inpart,bytheleveloftechnologyadoptedin eachbiome[48]. However,factorssuchascattleprice,marketconditions,anddistancetothemain consumermarketsmayinfluencetheproducer’sdecisiononwhethertointervene[54]. Table5.Pasturestatusforthesamplescollectedinthisstudy.Percentagesareexpressedasafraction ofthetotalnumberofsamplesperbiome. Amazon Cerrado AtlanticForest Pantanal PastureStatus Samples % Samples % Samples % Samples % Reformation 31 11.6 53 13.6 18 17.0 2 10.0 Renewal/Recovery 38 14.2 46 11.8 12 11.3 3 15.0 ReformationandRenewal/Recovery 1 0.4 2 0.5 2 1.9 0 0.0 InDegradation 60 22.5 69 17.7 7 6.6 8 40.0 WithoutIntervention 137 51.3 219 56.3 67 63.2 7 35.0 Total 267 389 106 20 InMidwestBrazil,wheretheCerradobiomeispredominant,themostdirectcauseofpasture degradationisthesystematicuseofstocknumbersthatexceedthepasturecarryingcapacity,causing defoliation and loss of soil nutrients, aggravated by the lack of a proper management for pasture recovery[29,54,55]. Overgrazingreducesthevegetationcoverandincreasesthedecompositionrates of organic matter and erosion, which are features of biological degradation [12]. For this kind of degradation, the most adopted strategy is the recovery of the soil fertility by manuring, usually performedduringtheprocessofreformation.

Description:
The pasture response to the complex interaction of these factors can be gradual, linear, non-linear or abrupt [17], with . The time series were filtered using the wavelet transform, following [39]. interpretation key to evaluate changes in land use and land cover as a result of sugar cane expansion
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