Modern Military Strategy This textbook provides a coherent introduction to post-Cold War and post-9/11 military theory for upper-level students seeking an initial understanding of strategic studies. In the contemporary period there has been significant and growing interest among students about international security issues. While many publications focus on one particular aspect of military strategy, there is no single volume that provides a comprehensive yet accessible overviewof strategic thought in this new era. ModernMilitaryStrategyfillsthisgapintheliterature,withchaptersontheconduct of war in each of the naval, land, air, space and cyber dimensions, and on nuclear strategy, and irregular war and counterinsurgency. The text concludes by identifying cross-cutting trends, statements and principles which may form the basis of a modern, general theoryof war. This book will be essential reading for students of strategic studies, war studies and military history, and is highly recommended for students of security studies and interna- tional relations in general. ElinorC.SloanisAssociateProfessorofInternationalRelationsatCarletonUniversity, Ottawa and a former defence analyst with Canada’s Department of National Defence. HerpreviousbooksincludeMilitaryTransformationandModernWarfare(2008),Security and Defence in the Terrorist Era (2005), and The Revolution in Military Affairs (2002). Modern Military Strategy An introduction Elinor C. Sloan Firstpublished2012 byRoutledge 2ParkSquare,MiltonPark,Abingdon,OxonOX144RN SimultaneouslypublishedintheUSAandCanada byRoutledge 711ThirdAvenue,NewYork,NY10017 RoutledgeisanimprintoftheTaylor&FrancisGroup,aninformabusiness ©2012ElinorC.Sloan TherightofElinorC.Sloantobeidentifiedasauthorofthisworkhasbeen assertedbyherinaccordancewithsections77and78oftheCopyright,Designs andPatentsAct1988. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthisbookmaybereprintedorreproducedorutilisedin anyformorbyanyelectronic,mechanical,orothermeans,nowknownorhereafter invented,includingphotocopyingandrecording,orinanyinformationstorageor retrievalsystem,withoutpermissioninwritingfromthepublishers. Trademarknotice:Productorcorporatenamesmaybetrademarksor registeredtrademarks,andareusedonlyforidentificationandexplanation withoutintenttoinfringe. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Sloan,ElinorC.(ElinorCamille),1965- Modernmilitarystrategy:anintroduction/ElinorC.Sloan. p.cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. 1.Strategy.2.Militaryartandscience.I.Title. U162.S572012 355.4–dc23 2011038384 ISBN:978-0-415-77770-4(hbk) ISBN:978-0-415-77771-1(pbk) ISBN:978-0-203-12446-8(ebk) TypesetinTimes byTaylor&FrancisBooks Contents List of boxes vi Introduction 1 1 Seapower 5 2 Landpower 19 3 Airpower 33 4 Joint theory and military transformation 49 5 Irregular war: insurgency, counterinsurgency and New War 65 6 Cyberwar 85 7 Nuclear power and deterrence 100 8 Spacepower 117 Conclusion 133 Glossary 136 Bibliography 137 Name index 145 Subject index 147 Boxes 1.1 Naval ground attackoperations in Bosnia 10 1.2 Anti-piracy operations off the coast of Somalia 15 2.1 The 2003 Iraq War 29 3.1 The NATO operation in Libya 44 4.1 Military revolutions 51 5.1 The US Army–Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual 79 6.1 Cyber attack against Estonia 88 6.2 The Stuxnet virus 90 7.1 “The nukeswe need” 108 8.1 Space force enhancement 122 Introduction “What about today?” asked agraduate student in a seminaron strategic thought some years ago, after discussing the likes of Sun Tzu, Clausewitz, Mahan and Douhet. “Aren’tthereanycontemporarystrategicthinkers?”Thequestionformedthegenesisof this book. In 1943 Edward Meade Earle published Makers of Modern Strategy from Machiavelli toHitler,an editedvolume coveringtherangeofstrategic thought overthe previous four centuries that ultimately became a modern classic. Four decades later Peter Paret’s edited book Makers of Modern Strategy from Machiavelli to the Nuclear Age, published in 1986, significantly revised and updated the earlier version and took us through much of the Cold War era. But “Where are the great military minds ofour [present] day?” lamented one commentary on military strategy in the latter half of the 1990s, “Are there any?”1 Andwhy does it matter? In the contemporary erathe conduct of war remains one of the most important acts of the state. While the overall trend in numbers of conflicts is downward, there are still many wars between states, between states and non-state actors, and among non-state actors. A number of issues that impact on the security of citizens today—ultimately a country’s primary responsibility—are non-military in character or require broader, comprehensive, whole of government, civilian activities. But for those that are military in nature, or require a military response, strategic thought remains imperative. “Our ability simply to cope with—much less shape—a future of pronounced complexity, uncertainty, and turbulence,” notes one scholar, “will depend in large measure on the prevalence of strategic thinkers in our midst.”2 In our present age of almost continual conflict, and on occasion outright war, our ability to think strategically may be more important than ever. Our search for strategic thinkers requires aprior understanding of what we mean by strategy and strategic thought. The word “strategy” is derived from the Greek strategos, normallytranslatedas“general”.Therefore,notwithstandingtheincreasingapplication of theword strategy to a range of human activities overthe last several decades—from education to healthcare to business and industry—the term itself remains fundamentally military in character. Most discussions of strategy begin with Clausewitz’s classic text On War, in which he defined strategy as “the use of an engagement for the purpose of thewar,”3with“engagements”ofteninterpretedasmeaningnotonlyactualbattlesand campaigns but also tacit and explicit threats of the use of force. Clausewitz’s definition lends itself to a wider interpretation of strategy that encom- passes policy instruments other than the military. Once we do that, what we are really talking about is not strategy per se but grand strategy. The role of grand strategy, argued Sir Basil Liddell Hart, “is to coordinate and direct all of the resources of a 2 Introduction nation, orband of nations, toward the attainment of the political objective of the war.”4 Othersgostillbroader,arguingthatgrandstrategyisastate’stheoryabouthowitcanbest “cause” security for itself, and that there may be military, political and/or economic strategies within an overarching grand strategy.5 There is a great deal of merit to this broadest perspective, in that it can help to explain the overall foreign and security policy actions of a state. It is avaluable big-picture perspective. But it is not the focus of this book. Rather, this book takes as its starting-point the original Clausewitzian definition of strategy, noted above, and paraphrased in the 1986 Makers volume as “the useofarmed forcetoachieve the militaryobjectivesand, by extension, the political purpose of the war.”6 Strategicthoughtorstrategicthinking,arguesBernardBrodie,canberoughlyequated to strategic theory.7 Theory may be defined as a set of statements or principles devised to explain agroup offacts or phenomena. But theory in the area of strategy cannot be static,asthisdefinitionwouldsuggest;itmustalwaysbeforwardlooking.“Theessence of strategy,” argues Colin Gray, “lies in the realm of the consequences of actions for future outcomes.”8 Strategic theory must be transferable to the world of action. Yet at the same time its components cannot be overly linked to the practical world, lest they be rendered irrelevant in a different time and place. An important characteristic of a theoryofwaristhatitsideasmustalsobeabletotranscend“time,environment,political andsocialconditions, andtechnology.”9The challengeis tofindthe appropriatebalance between practicality and enduring applicability. Afurtherfactortoconsideriswhetherthestrategicthoughtaccountsforalldimensions of warfare—sea, land, air, space, and now cyber—or whether it focuses on just one (or two) element(s). It is the distinction between a general theory of war and partial theories like the works of Alfred Thayer Mahan on seapower and Guilio Douhet on airpower. These provide valuable insight into the nature of war, so long as no one “mistakes their partial theories for whole theories of war and strategy.”10 At first glance Clausewitzalso presentsapartial theoryofwar,butClausewitzianconcepts like friction, the political nature of war, and the centre of gravity, originally formulated for land warfare, have been applied to all dimensions of warfare, thereby demonstrating that a partial theory can contain the seeds of a general theory. As for who may be considered a strategic thinker, at the most rudimentary level we might askwhether wearelooking for theideasof a militarypersonor a civilian.Some argue for the former. “It is ironic and disappointing that virtually all the reputed ‘experts’ on strategic and military affairs familiar to the public are civilian academi- cians, consultants, and journalists … To be effective in the strategic realm, the military must produce its own strategic thinkers.”11 Others argue that “the civilian writers with something important to say have usually been well received by the professionals,” and have often been closer to the mark than their military contemporaries in making pre- dictions about the future.12 Thus it would seem that a maker of modern strategy can come from the ranks of the militaryorcivilian society. The real problem is the relatively small number of strategists of any stripe. “The field of potential strategic theorists is exceeding small because soldiers tend not to be scholars, civilians tend not to be com- fortable theorizing about strategy, and strategy as avocation falls between the political and military realms.”13 Thus strategic thought matters. It matters because it helps us to cope with the uncertain and turbulent world around us, and because it helps us to understand the contemporary role of military force in a nation’s security policy. “Although its effects Introduction 3 on international politics are profound,” notes one scholar, “the conduct of war is often neglected [by members of the academic community] who instead focus chiefly on its causes.Thisoverlooksarich—ifunder-theorized—literaturebyhistorians,soldiers,and strategists.”14 To this end, this book centers on strategic thought in the post-Cold War and post-9/11 eras. In our search for modern strategic thinkers we are looking for military strategists and practitioners, civilian strategists and scholars, and military and civilianhistorianswhohavewritten inthedecadessince theendoftheColdWarabout the conduct of war in the contemporary period, andwho have put forth statements or principles that are at a sufficient level of generality, so as to present, at a minimum, a partial theory of war. For simplicity’s sake the book is organized functionally. Chapter 1, Seapower, chronicles the move from the blue-water, open-ocean strategic thinking of the Cold Wartothepost-ColdWaremphasisonoperationsinlittoralregions“fromthesea”onto land, to today’s integration of the two approaches to include operations in the littorals and throughout the sea lines of communications. Chapter 2, Landpower, focuses on state-to-statecombatinthelanddimension,drawingoutperspectivesontheconductof warthatfirstemergedinthelatterColdWarperiodwithAirLandbattle,werelaterrefined in military vision statements, and saw application in the 2003 Iraq War. Chapter 3 examinesstrategicthinkingonthevalueanduseofairpower,debatesthatweresparked in the contemporary era by the 1991 Gulf War and continued through to the 2011 operation in Libya. Chapter 4, on joint theory, examines strategic thought on themes that cannot be neatly categorized into the sea, land or air dimensions of warfare, but includeallthreeservicesaswellasforceenhancementfromthespacedomain.Packagesof discrete but to some degree overlapping ideas are captured by the terms Revolution in Military Affairs, system of systems, network-centric warfare, military transformation, effects-based operations, rapid decisive operations, and “shock and awe.” The most prevalent form of conflict today, irregular war involving a state and at leastonenon-stateentity,isthesubjectofChapter5,whichconsidersstrategicthinking on insurgency and counterinsurgency and includes concepts like fourth-generation warfare,non-trinitarianwar,andNewWar.Chapter6centresoncyberwar,atopicthat sparked some discussion in the mid-1990s but, with the growing number of cyber- attacks against states in the 2000s, has been an area ofincreasing attention. Chapter 7, on nuclear power and deterrence, highlights strategic thinking on the current role of nuclear weapons in deterrence and how best to make threats credible in light of new actors, whileChapter8turnstostrategicthoughtonspacepower,including“traditional” spacepower themes like space force enhancement, as well as space control and some fledgelingideas(atleastintheunclassifieddomain)aboutwarin,through,andfromspace. In each chapter I attempt to identify the significant contemporary strategic thinkers inaparticulararea,recognizingofcoursethatthemoststrategicofstrategicthinkers— those who move beyond partial theories to approach a general theory of war—cannot fit neatly into one chapter or another. Some names appear in several places. A further constraining factor is that some notable thinkers—Marine Corps General (retired) Charles Krulak comes to mind—published few works and thus it was not possible to cover their strategic thought in as great detail as their actual contribution wouldwar- rant. Many chapters begin with a brief opening discussion of the ideas of classical, mainly pre-World War Two, strategists within the functional theme in order to provide historical context. Specific to a particular geopolitical circumstance, and available in innumerable places, the vast Cold War literature on most topics is only briefly raised. 4 Introduction The focus and added value of this volume is the post-Cold War period. One exception is Irregular War, whichincludes anexaminationof ColdWarliterature, since the endof the Cold War arguably had little impact on the conduct of war at that level. Finally, somefunctionalareasarealmostpurelypost-ColdWarinnatureandthushavelittleor no prior bodyof literature. Each chapter concludes by drawing together principles of a theory of war within a particular functional areaas revealedbythe scholarship of the strategic thinkers in our midst. A holistic consideration of these partial theories may make it possible to draw out themes that collectively approach ageneral theoryof war in the contemporary era. This is a tall order—and the one to which the book aspires. Elinor Sloan Ottawa Notes 1 GregoryD.Foster,“Research,Writing,andtheMindoftheStrategist,”JointForcesQuarterly (Spring 1996),115. 2 Ibid., 111. 3 Carl von Clausewitz, On War, ed. and trans. Michael Howard and Peter Paret (Princeton, NJ:Princeton UniversityPress,1976),177. 4 B. H. Liddell Hart, Strategy: The Indirect Approach (London: Faber and Faber Limited, 1954), 335–36. 5 Barry R. Posen, The Sources of Military Doctrine (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1984), 13. 6 Peter Paret, “Introduction,” in Peter Paret et al., eds., Makers of Modern Strategy from Machiavelli totheNuclearAge(Princeton,NJ:PrincetonUniversityPress,1986), 3. 7 BernardBrodie,WarandPolitics (NewYork:MacmillanPublishing Co.,Inc.,1973), 452. 8 Colin S.Gray,ModernStrategy(Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,1999),18. 9 Ibid., 125. 10 Ibid., 126. 11 Foster,“Research,Writing, andtheMindoftheStrategist,” 115. 12 Brodie,WarandPolitics,437and473. 13 Gray,ModernStrategy,114. 14 Stephen Biddle,“StrategyinWar,”PoliticalScience &Politics 40,no.3 (July2007), 461. Further reading Earle, Edward Mead, ed. Makers of Modern Strategy: Military Thought from Machiavelli to Hitler (Princeton,NJ:PrincetonUniversityPress,1943). Gray,Colin S.Modern Strategy(Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress,1999). Handel, MichaelI.MastersofWar:Classical Strategic Thought(London: FrankCass,2001). Paret,Peter,ed.MakersofModernStrategyfromMachiavellitotheNuclearAge(Princeton,NJ: Princeton UniversityPress,1986).