Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics Ángel Nepomuceno-Fernández Lorenzo Magnani Francisco J. Salguero-Lamillar Cristina Barés-Gómez Matthieu Fontaine Editors Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology Inferential Models for Logic, Language, Cognition and Computation Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics Volume 49 Editor-in-Chief Lorenzo Magnani, Department of Humanities, Philosophy Section, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy Editorial Board Members Atocha Aliseda Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM), Mexico, Mexico Giuseppe Longo CNRS - Ecole Normale Supérieure, Centre Cavailles, Paris, France Chris Sinha School of Foreign Languages, Hunan University, Changsha, China Paul Thagard University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada John Woods University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics (SAPERE) publishes new developments and advances in all the fields of philosophy, epistemology, and ethics, bringing them together with a cluster of scientific disciplines and technological outcomes: ranging from computer science to life sciences, from economics, law, and education to engineering, logic, and mathe- matics, from medicine to physics, human sciences, and politics. The series aims at covering all the challenging philosophical and ethical themes of contemporary society, making them appropriately applicable to contemporary theoretical and practical problems, impasses, controversies, and conflicts. Our scientific and technologicalerahasoffered“new”topicstoallareasofphilosophyandethics–for instance concerning scientific rationality, creativity, human and artificial intelli- gence, social and folk epistemology, ordinary reasoning, cognitive niches and culturalevolution,ecologicalcrisis,ecologicallysituatedrationality,consciousness, freedom and responsibility, human identity and uniqueness, cooperation, altruism, intersubjectivity and empathy, spirituality, violence. The impact of such topics has been mainly undermined by contemporary cultural settings, whereas they should increase the demand of interdisciplinary applied knowledge and fresh and original understanding. In turn, traditional philosophical and ethical themes have been profoundly affected and transformed as well: they should be further examined as embedded and applied within their scientific and technological environments so to update their received and often old-fashioned disciplinary treatment and appeal. Applying philosophy individuates therefore a new research commitment for the 21st century, focused on the main problems of recent methodological, logical, epistemological, and cognitive aspects of modeling activities employed both in intellectual and scientific discovery, and in technological innovation, including the computational tools intertwined with such practices, to understand them in a wide and integrated perspective. Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics means to demonstrate the contemporary practical relevance of this novel philosophical approach and thus to provide a home for monographs, lecture notes, selected contributionsfromspecializedconferences andworkshopsaswell asselectedPhD theses. The series welcomes contributions from philosophers as well as from scientists, engineers, and intellectuals interested in showing how applying philosophy can increase knowledge about our current world. Initial proposals can be sent to the Editor-in-Chief, prof. Lorenzo Magnani, [email protected]: (cid:129) A short synopsis of the work or the introduction chapter (cid:129) The proposed Table of Contents (cid:129) The CV of the lead author(s) For more information, please contact the Editor-in-Chief at [email protected]. Indexed by SCOPUS, ISI and Springerlink. The books of the series are submitted for indexing to Web of Science. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/10087 Á á ngel Nepomuceno-Fern ndez (cid:129) Lorenzo Magnani (cid:129) Francisco J. Salguero-Lamillar (cid:129) é ó Cristina Bar s-G mez Matthieu Fontaine (cid:129) (cid:129) Editors Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology Inferential Models for Logic, Language, Cognition and Computation 123 Editors ÁngelNepomuceno-Fernández Lorenzo Magnani Department ofPhilosophy, Department ofHumanities, LogicandPhilosophy of Science Philosophy Section, andComputational University of Seville Philosophy Laboratory Seville,Spain University of Pavia Pavia, Italy Francisco J.Salguero-Lamillar Department ofSpanish Language, Cristina Barés-Gómez Linguistics andTheory ofLiterature Department ofPhilosophy, University of Seville LogicandPhilosophy of Science Seville,Spain University of Seville Seville,Spain Matthieu Fontaine Centrefor Philosophy of Science of the University of Lisbon University of Lisbon Lisbon, Portugal ISSN 2192-6255 ISSN 2192-6263 (electronic) Studies in AppliedPhilosophy,Epistemology and Rational Ethics ISBN978-3-030-32721-7 ISBN978-3-030-32722-4 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32722-4 ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2019 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained hereinorforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregard tojurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Preface This volume is a collection of selected papers that were presented at the International Conference Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology. Inferential Models for Logic, Language, Cognition and Computation (MBR018_SPAIN), held at Tobacco Factory University Building, Seville, Spain, October 24–26, 2018, chaired by Ángel Nepomuceno, Lorenzo Magnani, and Francisco J. Salguero. This event marked the twentieth anniversary of the model-based reasoning conferences,sincethefirstmeetingwasheldattheCollegioGhislieri,Universityof Pavia, Pavia, Italy, in December 1998. A previous volume, Model-Based Reasoning in Scientific Discovery, edited by L. Magnani, N. J. Nersessian, and P. Thagard (Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, New York, 1999; Chinese edition, China Science and Technology Press, Beijing, 2000), was based on the papers presented at the first “model-based reasoning”internationalconference,heldattheUniversityofPavia,Pavia,Italy,in December 1998. Other two volumes were based on the papers presented at the second“model-basedreasoning”internationalconference,heldatthesameplacein May 2001: Model-Based Reasoning. Scientific Discovery, Technological Innovation, Values, edited by L. Magnani and N. J. Nersessian (Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, New York, 2002), and Logical and Computational Aspects of Model-Based Reasoning, edited by L. Magnani, N. J. Nersessian, and C. Pizzi (Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, 2002). Another volume, Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Engineering, edited by L. Magnani (College Publications, London, 2006), was based on the papers presented at the third “model-based reasoning” international conference, held at the same place in December 2004. The volume Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Medicine, editedbyL.MagnaniandL.Ping(Springer,Heidelberg/Berlin2006),wasbasedon thepaperspresentedatthefourth“model-basedreasoning”conference,heldatSun Yat-senUniversity,Guangzhou,P.R.China.ThevolumeModel-BasedReasoning in Science and Technology: Abduction, Logic, and Computational Discovery, edited by L. Magnani, W. Carnielli, and C. Pizzi (Springer, Heidelberg/Berlin 2010), was based on the papers presented at the fifth “model-based reasoning” v vi Preface conference, held at the University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil, in December 2009.ThevolumeModel-BasedReasoninginScienceandTechnology:Theoretical and Cognitive Issues, edited by L. Magnani, (Springer, Heidelberg/Berlin 2013), wasbasedonthepaperspresentedatthesixth“model-basedreasoning”conference, held at Fondazione Mediaterraneo, Sestri Levante, Italy, in June 2012. Finally, the volume Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology: Logical, Epistemological, and Cognitive Issues, edited by L. Magnani and C. Casadio (Springer, Cham, Switzerland 2016), was based on the papers presented at the seventh “model-based reasoning” conference, held at Centro Congressi Mediaterraneo, Sestri Levante, Italy, in June 2015. The presentations given at the Seville conference explored how scientific thinking uses models and explanatory reasoning to produce creative changes in theories and concepts. Some speakers addressed the problem of model-based reasoning in technology and stressed issues such as the relationship between science and technological innovation. The study of diagnostic, visual, spatial, analogical, and temporal reasoning has demonstrated that there are many ways of performingintelligentandcreativereasoningthatcannotbedescribedwiththehelp only of traditional notions of reasoning such as classical logic. Understanding the contribution of modeling practices to discovery and conceptual change in science and in other disciplines requires expanding the concept of reasoning to include complexformsofcreativitythatarenotalwayssuccessfulandcanleadtoincorrect solutions. The study of these heuristic ways of reasoning is situated at the crossroads of philosophy,artificialintelligence,cognitivepsychology,andlogic,i.e.,attheheart of cognitive science. There are several key ingredients common to the various forms of model-based reasoning. The term “model” comprises both internal and external representations. The models are intended as interpretations of target physicalsystems,processes,phenomena,orsituations.Themodelsareretrievedor constructed on the basis of potentially satisfying salient constraints of the target domain.Moreover, inthemodeling process,variousformsofabstractionareused. Evaluationandadaptationtakeplaceinlightofstructural,causal,and/orfunctional constraints. Model simulation can be used to produce new states and enable evaluationofbehaviorsandotherfactors.Thevariouscontributionsofthebookare written by interdisciplinary researchers who are active in the area of modeling reasoning and creative reasoning in logic, cognitive science, science, and technology: The most recent results and achievements about the topics above are illustrated in detail in the papers. TheeditorexpresseshisappreciationtothemembersoftheScientificCommittee for their suggestions and assistance: Selene Arfini, Computational Philosophy Laboratory, Department of Humanities, Philosophy Section, University of Pavia, Italy; Atocha Aliseda, Instituto de Investigaciones Filosoficas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM); Francesco Amigoni, Politecnico di Milano, Dipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione, e Bioingegneria, Milano, Italy; TommasoBertolotti,DepartmentofHumanities,PhilosophySection,Universityof Pavia,Italy;OtávioBueno,DepartmentofPhilosophy,UniversityofMiami,Coral Preface vii Gables, USA; Walter Carnielli, Department of Philosophy, Institute of Philosophy and Human Sciences, State University of Campinas, Brazil; Claudia Casadio, Department of Philosophy, Education and Economical-Quantitative Sciences, University ofChieti-Pescara,Italy; Sanjay Chandrasekharan, Homi BhabhaCentre for Science Education, Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, India; Sara Dellantonio, Psychology and Cognitive Sciences, University of Trento, Italy; Gordana Dodig-Crnkovic, Chalmers University of Technology, Department of AppliedInformationTechnology,Göteborg,Sweden;MariaGuliaDondero,Maître derecherchesduFNRS,UniversitédeLiège,Belgium;StevenFrench,Department of Philosophy, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK; Roman Frigg, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK; Marcello Frixione, Department ofCommunicationSciences,UniversityofSalerno,Italy;DovGabbay,Department of Computer Science, King’s College, London, UK; Axel Gelfert, Professor of Philosophy, Technical University of Berlin, Germany; Valeria Giardino, Archives Henri-Poincaré UMR 7117 CNRS–Université de Lorraine, Nancy, FRANCE Marcello Guarini, Department of Philosophy, University of Windsor, Canada; RicardoGudwin,DepartmentofComputerEngineeringandIndustrialAutomation, the School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, State University of Campinas, Brazil; Albrecht Heeffer, Centre for History of Science, Ghent University, Belgium; Decio Krause, Departamento de Filosofia, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil; Ping Li, Department of Philosophy, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, P.R. China; Angelo Loula, Department of Exact Sciences, State University of Feira de Santana, Brazil; Lorenzo Magnani, Department of Humanities, Philosophy Section and Computational Philosophy Laboratory, University of Pavia, Italy; Joke Meheus, Vakgroep Wijsbegeerte, Universiteit Gent, Gent, Belgium; Luís Moniz Pereira, Departamento de Informática, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal; Michael Moortgat, Utrecht University, Institute of Linguistics (OTS), Utrecht, The Netherlands; Woosuk Park, Humanities and Social Sciences, KAIST, Guseong-dong, Yuseong-gu Daejeon, SouthKorea; Mario J.Pérez, Departmentof ComputerSciences,AcademyofEurope,UniversityofSeville,Spain;Ahti-Veikko Pietarinen,RagnarNurkseSchoolofInnovationandGovernance,TallinUniversity of Technology, Estonia, and School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nazarbayev University, Kazakhstan; Claudio Pizzi, Department ofPhilosophy and SocialSciences,UniversityofSiena,Siena,Italy;OlgaPombo,CentrodeFilosofia das Ciências Universidade de Lisboa (CFCUL), Portugal; Demetris Portides, Department of Classics and Philosophy, University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus; Joao Queiroz, Institute of Arts and Design, Federal University of Juiz de Fora, Brazil; Shahid Rahman, UFR de Philosophie, University of Lille 3, Villeneuve d’Ascq, France; Oliver Ray, Department of Computer Science, University of Bristol,Bristol,UK;FlaviaSantoian,DipartimentoStudiUmanistici, Universitádi Napoli Federico II, Italy; Colin Schmidt, Le Mans University and ENSAM-ParisTech, France; Gerhard Schurz, Institute for Philosophy, Heinrich-Heine University, Frankfurt, Germany; Nora Alejandrina Schwartz, FacultyofEconomics,UniversidaddeBuenosAires,Argentina;CameronShelley, viii Preface Department of Philosophy, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada; SonjaSmets,InstituteforLogic,LanguageandComputation(ILLC),Universityof Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Nik Swoboda, Departamento de Inteligencia Artificial, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain; Adam Toon, Sociology,PhilosophyandAnthropology,UniversityofExeter,UK;PaulThagard, Department of Philosophy, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada; Barbara Tversky, Department of Psychology, Stanford University and Teachers College, Columbia University, New York, USA; Ryan D. Tweney, Emeritus Professor of Psychology, Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, USA; Hans van Ditmarsch, Loria, Nancy, France; Fernando Velazquez, Institute for Logic, Language and Computation (ILLC), University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Riccardo Viale, Scuola Nazionale dell’Amministrazione, Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri, Roma, and Fondazione Rosselli, Torino, Italy; John Woods, Department of Philosophy, University of British Columbia, Canada. We are also very thankful to the local scientific committee: Cristina Barés, Logic, Philosophy and Philosophy of Science Department, University of Seville, Spain; Alfredo Burrieza, Department of Philosophy, University of Málaga, Spain; Matthieu Fontaine, CFCUL, Lisbon University, Portugal; Teresa López-Soto, English Language Department, University of Seville, Spain; Angel Nepomuceno, Logic, Philosophy and Philosophy of Science Department, University of Seville, Spain;JoséF.Quesada,ComputerSciencesandArtificialIntelligenceDepartment, University of Seville, Spain; Francisco J. Salguero, Department of Spanish Language, Linguistics and Theory of Literature, University of Seville, Spain; Fernando Soler, Department of Logic, Philosophy and Philosophy of Science, UniversityofSeville,Spain.Wewarmlythanklocalorganizersfortheirhelp:Nino Guallart, Rocio Ramírez, Pablo Sierra, Logic, Philosophy and Philosophy of Science Department, University of Seville, Spain; Diego Jímenez Department of Spanish Language, Linguistics and Theory of Literature, University of Seville, Spain. The conference MBR018_SPAIN, and thus indirectly this book, was made possible through the generous financial support of the Italian Ministry of the University (MIUR) and of the University of Pavia. Their support is gratefully acknowledged. The preparation of the volume would not have been possible withoutthecontributionofresourcesandfacilitiesoftheComputationalPhilosophy LaboratoryandoftheDepartmentofHumanities,PhilosophySection,Universityof Pavia, and of the University of Seville, the Faculties of Philology and Philosophy, theDepartmentofPhilosophy,LogicandPhilosophyofScience,andtheResearch Group on Logic, Language and Information of the University of Seville. Several papers concerning model-based reasoning deriving from the previous conferences MBR98 and MBR01 can be found in special issues of journals: in Philosophica: Abduction and Scientific Discovery, 61(1), 1998, and Analogy and Mental Modeling in Scientific Discovery, 61(2) 1998; in Foundations of Science: Model-Based ReasoninginScience: Learning andDiscovery,5(2)2000,all edited by L. Magnani, N. J. Nersessian, and P. Thagard; in Foundations of Science: Abductive Reasoning in Science, 9, 2004, and Model-Based Reasoning: Visual, Preface ix Analogical, Simulative, 10, 2005; in Mind and Society: Scientific Discovery: Model-Based Reasoning, 5(3), 2002, andCommonsenseand Scientific Reasoning, 4(2), 2001, all edited by L. Magnani and N. J. Nersessian. Finally, other related philosophical, epistemological, and cognitive-oriented papers deriving from the presentations given at the conference MBR04 have been published in a Special Issue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL: Abduction, Practical Reasoning, and Creative Inferences in Science, 14(1) (2006) and have been published in two Special Issues of Foundations of Science: Tracking Irrational Sets: Science, Technology, Ethics, and Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Engineering, 13(1) and 13(2) (2008), all edited by L. Magnani. Other technical logical papers presentedat MBR09_BRAZIL have been published ina specialissue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL: Formal Representations in Model-Based Reasoning and Abduction, 20(2) (2012), edited by L. Magnani, W. Carnielli, and C. Pizzi. Then, technical logical papers presented at MBR12_ITALY have been published in a special issue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL: Formal Representations in Model-Based Reasoning and Abduction, 21(6) (2013), edited by L. Magnani. Finally, technical papers presented at MBR15_ITALY have been published in a special issue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL: Formal representations of model-based reasoning and abduction, 24(4) (2016), edited by L. Magnani and C. Casadio. Other more technical formal papers presented at (MBR18_SPAIN) will be published in a special issue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL: Formal representa- tions of model-based reasoning and abduction, edited by A. Nepomuceno, L. Magnani, F. Salguero, C. Barés, and M. Fontaine. July 2019 Ángel Nepomuceno-Fernández Lorenzo Magnani Francisco J. Salguero-Lamillar Cristina Barés-Gómez Matthieu Fontaine