LorenzoMagnani,WalterCarnielli,andClaudioPizzi(Eds.) Model-BasedReasoninginScienceandTechnology StudiesinComputationalIntelligence,Volume314 Editor-in-Chief Prof.JanuszKacprzyk SystemsResearchInstitute PolishAcademyofSciences ul.Newelska6 01-447Warsaw Poland E-mail:[email protected] Furthervolumesofthisseriescanbefoundonour homepage:springer.com Vol.302.BijayaKetanPanigrahi,AjithAbraham, andSwagatamDas(Eds.) ComputationalIntelligenceinPowerEngineering,2010 Vol.291.ShimonWhiteson ISBN978-3-642-14012-9 AdaptiveRepresentationsforReinforcementLearning,2010 ISBN978-3-642-13931-4 Vol.303.JoachimDiederich,CengizGunay,and JamesM.Hogan Vol.292.FabriceGuillet,GilbertRitschard, RecruitmentLearning,2010 HenriBriand,DjamelA.Zighed(Eds.) ISBN978-3-642-14027-3 AdvancesinKnowledgeDiscoveryandManagement,2010 Vol.304.AnthonyFinnandLakhmiC.Jain(Eds.) ISBN978-3-642-00579-4 InnovationsinDefenceSupportSystems,2010 ISBN978-3-642-14083-9 Vol.293.AnthonyBrabazon,MichaelO’Neill,and DietmarMaringer(Eds.) 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ISBN978-3-642-13958-1 ComputationalIntelligenceinEngineering,2010 ISBN978-3-642-15219-1 Vol.301.GiulianoArmano,MarcodeGemmis, Vol.314.LorenzoMagnani,WalterCarnielli,and GiovanniSemeraro,andEloisaVargiu(Eds.) ClaudioPizzi(Eds.) IntelligentInformationAccess,2010 Model-BasedReasoninginScienceandTechnology,2010 ISBN978-3-642-13999-4 ISBN978-3-642-15222-1 Lorenzo Magnani,Walter Carnielli,and Claudio Pizzi (Eds.) Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology Abduction, Logic, and Computational Discovery 123 LorenzoMagnani ClaudioPizzi DipartimentodiFilosofia Dipartimentodifilosofiae Universita`diPavia scienzeSociali PiazzaBotta6 Universita`diSiena 27100Pavia ViaRoma47 Italy 53100Siena E-mail:[email protected] Italy E-mail:[email protected] WalterCarnielli CentreforLogic EpistemologyandtheHistoryofScience CLEStateUniversityofCampinas UNICAMPP.O.Box6133 13083-970Campinas-SP Brazil E-mail:[email protected] ISBN 978-3-642-15222-1 e-ISBN 978-3-642-15223-8 DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-15223-8 Studiesin Computational Intelligence ISSN1860-949X Library of Congress Control Number:2010932508 (cid:2)c 2010 Springer-VerlagBerlin Heidelberg Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically therights of translation, reprinting,reuse ofillustrations, recitation,broadcasting, reproductiononmicrofilm orinanyother way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawofSeptember9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Violations are liable to prosecution undertheGerman Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Typeset&CoverDesign:ScientificPublishing ServicesPvt. Ltd., Chennai, India. Printed on acid-free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 springer.com Thepsychologistsundertaketolocatevariousmentalpowersinthe brain; and above all consider it as quite certain that the faculty of language resides in a certain lobe; but I believe it comes decidedly nearer the truth (though not really true) that language resides in the tongue. In my opinion, it is much more true that the thoughts ofalivingwriterareinanyprintedcopyofhisbookthanthatthey are in his brain. Charles SandersPeirce Preface This volume is a collection of selected papers that were presented at the international conference Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Technology. Abduction, Logic, and Computational Discovery (MBR09 BRAZIL), held at the University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil in December 2009. Apreviousvolume,Model-Based Reasoning in Scientific Discovery,edited by L. Magnani,N.J. Nersessian,and P. Thagard(Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, New York, 1999; Chinese edition, China Science and Technol- ogy Press, Beijing, 2000), was based on the papers presented at the first “model-based reasoning”international conference, held at the University of Pavia,Pavia,Italy in December 1998.Other two volumes were based on the papers presented at the second“model-based reasoning”international con- ference, held at the same place in May 2001: Model-Based Reasoning. Scien- tific Discovery, Technological Innovation, Values, edited by L. Magnani and N.J.Nersessian(KluwerAcademic/PlenumPublishers,NewYork,2002)and Logical and Computational Aspects of Model-Based Reasoning, edited by L. Magnani,N.J.Nersessian,andC.Pizzi(KluwerAcademic,Dordrecht,2002). Another volume Model-Based Reasoning in Science and Engineering, edited byL.Magnani(CollegePublications,London,2006),wasbasedonthepapers presentedatthethird“model-basedreasoning”internationalconference,held atthesameplaceinDecember2004.Finally,volumeModel-Based Reasoning inScienceandMedicine,editedbyL.MagnaniandL.Ping(Springer,Heidel- berg/Berlin 2006), was based on the papers presented at the fourth“model- based”reasoning conference, held at Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, P. R. China. The presentations given at the Campinas conference explored how sci- entific thinking uses models and explanatory reasoning to produce creative changes in theories and concepts. Some speakers addressed the problem of model-based reasoning in technology, and stressed the issue of science and technologicalinnovation. The study of diagnostic, visual, spatial, analogical, and temporal reasoning has demonstrated that there are many ways of per- forming intelligent and creative reasoning that cannot be described with the VIII Preface help only of traditional notions of reasoning such as classical logic. Under- standing the contribution of modeling practices to discovery and conceptual change in science requires expanding scientific reasoning to include complex forms of creative reasoning that are not always successful and can lead to incorrectsolutions.The studyoftheseheuristicwaysofreasoningissituated at the crossroads of philosophy, artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, and logic; that is, at the heart of cognitive science. There are severalkey in- gredients common to the various forms of model-based reasoning. The term “model” comprises both internal and external representations. The models are intended as interpretations of target physical systems, processes, phe- nomena, or situations. The models are retrieved or constructed on the basis of potentially satisfying salient constraints of the target domain. Moreover, in the modeling process, various forms of abstraction are used. Evaluation and adaptation take place in light of structural, causal, and/or functional constraints.Model simulationcan be used to produce new states and enable evaluation of behaviors and other factors. The various contributions of the book are written by interdisciplinary re- searchers who are active in the area of modeling reasoning and creative rea- soning in logic, science and technology: the most recent results and achieve- ments about the topics above are illustrated in detail in the papers. The editors express their appreciation to the members of the Scientific Committee for their suggestions and assistance: Atocha Aliseda, Instituto de Investigaciones Filosoficas, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM) – Silvana Borutti, Department of Philosophy, University of Pavia, ITALY – Eduardo Bustos, Department of Logic, History and Philosophy of Science at UNED (Spanish Open University),Madrid,SPAIN – MarceloEs- teban Coniglio, Department of Philosophy, CLE and Institute of Philoso- phy and Human Sciences, State University of Campinas, BRAZIL – Itala D’Ottaviano, CLE and Department of Philosophy, Institute of Philosophy and Human Sciences, State University of Campinas, BRAZIL – Roberto Cordeschi, Department of Philosophy, “La Sapienza” University of Rome, ITALY – Roberto Feltrero, Department of Logic, History and Philosophy of Science at UNED (Spanish Open University), Madrid, SPAIN – Mar- celloFrixione,DepartmentofCommunicationSciences,UniversityofSalerno, ITALY–MichelGhins,InstitutSup´erieurdePhilosophie,Universit´edeLou- vain, BELGIUM - David Gooding, Department of Psychology, University of Bath, UK – Mike E. Gorman, Technology, Culture & Communications, SEAS University of Virginia, USA – Marcello Guarini, Department of Phi- losophy, University of Windsor, CANADA – Ricardo Gudwin, Department of Computer Engineering and Industrial Automation, the School of Elec- trical Engineering and Computer Science, State University of Campinas, BRAZIL – Viorel Guliciuc, Stefan cel Mare University, Suceava, ROMA- NIA – Michael Leyton, Psychology Department, and DIMACS Center for Discrete Mathematics, & Theoretical Computer Science, Rutgers Univer- sity,USA –Mamede Lima-Marques,DepartmentofInformationScience and Preface IX Documentation,UniversityofBras´ılia,BRAZIL–AngeloLoula,Department of Exact Sciences, State University of Feira de Santana, BRAZIL – Shang- min Luan, Institute of Software, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, P.R.CHINA–CezarAugustoMortari,FederalUniversityofSantaCatarina, UFSCFloriano´polis,Brazil–AlisonPease,EdinburghUniversity,Edinburgh, UK – Joa˜o Queiroz, Department of Computer Engineering and Industrial Automation (DCA) School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, State University of Campinas, BRAZIL – Lucia Santaella, Center of Re- search in Digital Media, Sa˜o Paulo Catholic University (PUCSP), BRAZIL –GerhardSchurz,Institute forPhilosophy,Heinrich-HeineUniversity,GER- MANY – Cameron Shelley, Department of Philosophy, University of Water- loo, Waterloo, CANADA - Colin Schmidt, Institut d’Informatique Claude Chappe,UniversityofLeMans,FRANCE –FrankThomasSautter,Depart- ment of Philosophy, University of Santa Maria, BRAZIL – Paul Thagard, Director of the Cognitive Science Program, and University Research Chair at the University of Waterloo, CANADA – BarbaraTversky,Department of Psychology,Stanford University, USA – Jon Williamson, Philosophy, School of European Culture and Languages, University of Kent, UK – Riccardo Viale, LaSCo-Laboratoryof Cognitive and Complexity Sciences, Fondazione Rosselli,Torino,ITALY–JohnWoods,DepartmentofPhilosophy,University of British Columbia, CANADA – Woosuk Park, Humanities and Social Sci- ences, KAIST, Guseong-dong, Yuseong-gu Daejeon, SOUTH KOREA, and tothemembersofthelocalscientificcommittees:ItalaD’Ottaviano,Alexan- dre Costa Leite, and Juliana Bueno-Soler (State University of Campinas UNICAMP), Emanuele Bardone, Tommaso Bertolotti, and Pino Capuano (University of Pavia). Special thanks to Emanuele Bardone, Riccardo Dossena, and Tommaso Bertolotti for their contribution in the preparation of this volume. The con- ference MBR09 BRAZIL, and thus indirectly this book, was made possible throughthegenerousfinancialsupportofMIUR(ItalianMinistryoftheUni- versity), University of Pavia, Fondazione CARIPLO, FAPESP- Sa˜o Paulo ResearchFoundation, the Centre for Logic,Epistemologyand the History of ScienceCLEoftheStateUniversityofCampinasUNICAMPandtheBrazil- ianLogicSociety.Theirsupportisgratefullyacknowledged.The preparation of the volume would not have been possible without the contribution of re- sourcesandfacilitiesoftheComputationalPhilosophyLaboratoryandofthe Department of Philosophy,University of Pavia. Severalpapers concerningmodel-basedreasoningderivingfrom the previ- ous conferences MBR98 and MBR01 can be found in Special Issues of Jour- nals: in Philosophica: Abduction and Scientific Discovery, 61(1), 1998, and Analogy and Mental Modeling in Scientific Discovery, 61(2) 1998; in Foun- dations of Science:Model-BasedReasoninginScience:LearningandDiscov- ery, 5(2) 2000, all edited by L. Magnani, N.J. Nersessian, and P. Thagard; in Foundations of Science: Abductive Reasoning in Science, 9, 2004, and Model-Based Reasoning: Visual, Analogical, Simulative, 10, 2005; in Mind X Preface and Society: Scientific Discovery: Model-Based Reasoning, 5(3), 2002, and CommonsenseandScientific Reasoning,4(2),2001,alleditedby L.Magnani andN.J.Nersessian.Finally,otherrelatedphilosophical,epistemological,and cognitiveorientedpapersderivingfromthepresentationsgivenattheconfer- ence MBR04 have been published in a Special Issue of Logic Journal of the IGPL: Abduction, Practical Reasoning, and Creative Inferences in Science 14(1) (2006) and have been published in two Special Issues of Foundations of Science:TrackingIrrationalSets:Science,Technology,Ethics,andModel- Based Reasoning in Science and Engineering,all edited by L. Magnani. Other more technical logical papers presented at (MBR09 BRAZIL) will be published in a special issue of the Logic Journal of the IGPL, edited by L. Magnani, W. Carnielli, and C. Pizzi. Finally,thepresentbookalsoincludesabriefpaperthattwooftheeditors, Walter CarnielliandLorenzoMagnani,havedevotedto the 65thbirthdayof Claudio Pizzi. Pavia,Italy June 2010 Lorenzo Magnani University of Pavia, Pavia,Italy and Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, P.R. China Walter Carnielli University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil Claudio Pizzi University of Siena, Siena, Italy Years of Reasoning In Honor of the 65th Birthday of Claudio Pizzi Walter Carnielli and Lorenzo Magnani Abstract. This paper is devoted to Claudio Pizzi on the occasion of his 65th birthday. Looking at the essential bibliography reported below, Pizzi’s reservedcharacterismanifestinthefewco-authorshehadinhispublications. However, it is hard to find among philosophers and logicians a colleague so unanimously recognized as gentlemanly in his attitude towards science and academic life. The blend of rigor and philosophical scope that characterizes Pizzi’sworkis,atthe sametime, analyticphilosophyandphilosophicallogic as its best, as it is demonstrated in his intellectual career. Claudio Pizzi is also a fine cooker, and one of the best connoisseurs of Brazilian music we know. 1 Four Decades of Conditionals and Rational Inference Claudio Pizzi obtained his degree in Philosophy In March 1969 at the State University of Milan, with a dissertation about subjunctive and counterfac- tual conditionals (titled I Condizionali Congiuntivi: Aspetti Epistemologici e Problemi di Formalizzazione). This subject was considered quite abstruse in Italy in those years, and it is relevant to have in sight that the best accepted and most elaborated counterfactual theory of causation, represented by the work of David Lewis, wouldonlyseethelightin1973.Theepistemologicalpanoramawasstilldom- Walter Carnielli GTAL/CLE and Department of Philosophy–IFCH, State University of Campinas, Brazil e-mail: [email protected] Lorenzo Magnani Department of Philosophy, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy and Sun Yat-sen Uni- versity,Guangzhou,P.R. China e-mail: [email protected]
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