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An Internet-Brain Interface p. 44 Can China Tame Bitcoin? p. 60 V The New Wave of O L . 121 N AR and VR Apps p. 66 O . 1 C VOL. 121 NO. 1 JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2018 US $6.99/CAN $7.99 a n g e n e e d itin g d e le te th e fe a r o f G M O s ? Can gene editing delete the fear of GMOs? p. 30 J A N U AR DISPLAY UNTIL 03/5/2018 Y /F E B R U A R Y 2 0 18 JF18_cover.indd 1 12/7/17 12:32 PM B:16.625 in T:16.375 in S:15.625 in S:10 in T:10.5 in B:10.75 in Qualcomm.indd 2 FS:7.5625 in 12/7/17 4:06 PM FS:7.5625 in F:8.1875 in F:8.1875 in Ad #: M17QUAL003_01_R1 Bleed: 16.625 in x 10.75 in AD: None Headline: It happens .... Trim: 16.375 in x 10.5 in CW: None Visual: Copy Live:15.625 in x 10 in CD: None Space/Color: 4C Magazine Page Gutter: None AP: -- Publication: MIT Tech PP: None Project #: PR08306_NYC-CWW Document Name: CNY_M17QUAL003_01_R1_01.indd AQR Retouch #: None Document Path: CPNY:ME Production:Qualcomm Snapdragon:Qualcomm Snapdragon Production:Magazine:M- wp Client: Qualcomm Technologies 17QUAL003:CNY_M17QUAL003_01_R1_01.indd Studio QA N g Division: None Font Family: None Proofreader a AFT M PJorbo d#u: c1t0: 8Q7U5A0L6C0O-1M2M52-F0 ILninkk N Naammee: :C 1y1a_n,0 M8_a2g0e1n7ta Q, CBLlaocgko_INVENTING TAG BLUE_OL.eps (Up to Date; 41.44%) Art Director R e: C Print/Export Time: 12-7-2017 3:42 PM CopyWriter m Print Scale: 100% a g N User Name: Joe.Congo Acct Exec Slu Proof #: 1 Release QA PM: Tennille Martin InDesign Version: CC 2018 Print Prod B:16.625 in T:16.375 in S:15.625 in S:10 in T:10.5 in B:10.75 in FS:7.5625 in Qualcomm.indd 3 FS:7.5625 in 12/7/17 4:06 PM F:8.1875 in F:8.1875 in Ad #: M17QUAL003_01_R1 Bleed: 16.625 in x 10.75 in AD: None Headline: It happens .... Trim: 16.375 in x 10.5 in CW: None Visual: Copy Live:15.625 in x 10 in CD: None Space/Color: 4C Magazine Page Gutter: None AP: -- Publication: MIT Tech PP: None Project #: PR08306_NYC-CWW Document Name: CNY_M17QUAL003_01_R1_01.indd AQR Retouch #: None Document Path: CPNY:ME Production:Qualcomm Snapdragon:Qualcomm Snapdragon Production:Magazine:M- wp Client: Qualcomm Technologies 17QUAL003:CNY_M17QUAL003_01_R1_01.indd Studio QA N g Division: None Font Family: None Proofreader a AFT M PJorbo d#u: c1t0: 8Q7U5A0L6C0O-1M2M52-F0 ILninkk N Naammee: :C 1y1a_n,0 M8_a2g0e1n7ta Q, CBLlaocgko_INVENTING TAG BLUE_OL.eps (Up to Date; 41.44%) Art Director R e: C Print/Export Time: 12-7-2017 3:42 PM CopyWriter m Print Scale: 100% a g N User Name: Joe.Congo Acct Exec Slu Proof #: 1 Release QA PM: Tennille Martin InDesign Version: CC 2018 Print Prod MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW VOL. 121 | NO. 1 TECHNOLOGYREVIEW.COM From the Editor Gene Editing Could Rewrite the GMO Debate Decades of fretting over the safety and virtue of genetically modified organisms have led to a perverse outcome. Plant scientists in academia and startup companies have largely shied away from creating new GM crop varieties because it takes, on average, more than a hundred million dollars and over a decade to get such a plant approved by regulators in the United States, and also because the idea of GMO food has elic- ited public outrage. As a result, a few large agricultural and chemical producers like Monsanto—or MonSatan, if you prefer—dominate the GM industry, making a killing off herbicide- and insect-resistant corn and soybeans. The outcome has been just what GMO critics most dreaded: many farmers depend on a few large companies, whose researchers focus on traits designed to improve profits rather than produce healthier foods for consumers. For noncorporate researchers, meanwhile, genetic engineering of plants has been expensive and risky. David Rotman is editor of That stunts progress in plant breeding just as climate change and population growth MIT Technology Review. are putting growing pressure on agriculture (see “Why We Will Need Genetically Modified Foods,” January/February 2014). That’s why the work described in “These Are Not Your Father’s GMOs” (page 30), by our senior biomedicine editor, Antonio Regalado, is so important. Regalado explains how a leading plant geneticist is using gene editing to create a healthier soybean that farmers in South Dakota and elsewhere are beginning to plant and harvest. New gene-editing tools, either CRISPR or the slightly older TALEN, don’t insert a foreign gene into the plant to create a new trait (as typically happens with conventional GMOs) but, rather, tweak the plant’s existing DNA. The engineered crops thus sidestep the lengthy regulatory process and could avoid the stigmas sur- rounding GMOs entirely. Gene editing is cheap, powerful, and precise. Most important, it puts many more plant scientists back in the game of creating new varieties of crops, dreaming up blight-resistant potatoes, tastier tomatoes, drought-tolerant rice, and higher-fiber wheat. Until now, there has been little progress in commercializing such agricultural innovations, which are likely to represent far smaller and less lucrative markets than herbicide-resistant corn and soybeans. Getting gene editing into the hands of a far larger group of scientists could return us to the original vision for genetic engineer- ing as an invaluable tool for growing healthier and cheaper foods, helping to feed the world’s growing population. Or will it? That depends on public perception. Will gene editing be viewed as E U a state-of-the-art tool for improving crops, or an easier and faster way to create RD E frankenf oods? One can only hope it’s the former, and that plant science can fully enter NA P A the modern age of genomics, leaving fears of GMOs and MonSatan in the shadows. OX R 2 JF18_letter_from_editor.indd 2 12/7/17 2:56 PM ALWAYS CHARGED. ALWAYS READY. THE LEXUS HYBRID LINE NXh ESh RXh LCh DISCOVER THE POWER OF INNOVATION. Everybreakthroughdrivesusforward.Likeregenerative-brakingtechnology,whichincreases efficiency and boosts performance. So even when braking, you’re creating the power to leap forward.Witharangeofadvancedhybridmodelstochoosefromandoveramillionhybrids ontheroadtoday,Lexuscontinueselectrifyingthewayforward. lexus.com/hybrid|#LexusHybrid Options shown. ©2017 Lexus TR0218 1 12/4/17 6:47 PM JOB DESCRIPTION IDEA TEAM Client: Lexus Account Executive: Chris Loughlin Headline: ALWAYS CHARGED. ALWAYS READY. Assistant Account Executive: Hannah Deverich Job Number: 420LEXCO-P83264 Project Manager: Jim Vastano Altair Number: Producer 1: Nikole Knak Bill to Job Number: 420LEXCO-P82938 Art Studio: Eric Metz Version: D Art Director: Steve Hanlon Ad Unit: FP Producer 2: Alix Knight Publication(s): MIT Technology Review Shot List: LEX-FLN-CY17-0013 Bleed size: 8.4375 x 10.75 Trim size: 8.1875 x 10.5 Safety size: 7.1875 x 10 Gutter: Vendor: Orora Visual # of Colors: 4/c Insertion Date: 12/1/2017 Client - Team One Job # - 146554 Ver. - AD04 Cyan Magenta Yellow Black January/February 2018 2 FEATURES From the Editor 30 Not Your Father’s GMOs VIEWS A new wave of modified crops is dodging regulators. 8 By Antonio Regalado Lessons from the Atom Bomb Ash Carter on getting technology 44 to work for the public good. Your Next Internet Connection May Be a Brain Implant Brain-computer interfaces UPFRONT could radically alter humans. 11 By Adam Piore A Survival Guide for 60 Clean-Energy Startups Can China Contain Bitcoin? Battery startups have to learn The cryptocurrency may be they can’t do it all by themselves. difficult to fully tame. By Emily Parker 15 A Chatbot for Depression 66 Andrew Ng sees a big future for A Fanciful Fake Future digital mental health. Meet the new wave of mobile VR and AR apps. 16 By Rachel Metz Pick Your Kids’ Genes AI plus DNA databases will mean REVIEWS many new choices for parents. 70 20 War in Virtual Reality That Old Bitcoin Religion Conflict has a human side. This The fervor is about more than exhibit lets you see it up close. just an investment opportunity. 76 24 The AI Paradox Getting to Quantum Supremacy Fears about superintelligent Despite recent advances, we’re machines are just a distraction still far from making good use of from the real problems. quantum computers. DEMO And more. 84 Sending Heat into Space Q+A Advanced materials could 28 reinvent air-conditioning. Raffi Krikorian By James Temple He left Uber to help the DNC regain its big-data mojo. This page: Eric NI Leuthardt drillls a ATI B hole into a patient’s AB S skull (p. 44). EN T T HI W 4 JF18_contents.indd 4 12/6/17 6:30 PM LIBERATE YOUR DATA. INNOVATE WWIITTHHOOUUTT LLIIMMIITTSS.. Amazing apps need a powerful data platform – discover the world’s first Engagement Database. www.couchbase.com/MITtech TR0218 1 12/4/17 6:42 PM MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW VOL. 121 | NO. 1 TECHNOLOGYREVIEW.COM EDITORIAL BOARD OF DIRECTORS Editor David Rotman, Senior Editor, MIT News Alice Dragoon, Senior Editor, AI and Robotics Will Knight, Senior Editor, Martin A. Schmidt Mobile Rachel Metz, Senior Editor, Biomedicine Antonio Regalado, Senior Editor, News and Commentary Michael Reilly, Whitney Espich Jerome I. Friedman Senior Editor, Energy James Temple, Senior Editor, Business Elizabeth Woyke, San Francisco Bureau Chief Martin Giles, Joichi Ito Executive Producer Kyanna Sutton, Managing Editor Timothy Maher, Copy Chief Linda Lowenthal, News and Commentary Israel Ruiz Editor Jamie Condliffe, Associate Editors Emily Mullin, Mike Orcutt, Jacklyn Snow, Erin Winick, Associate Content Producer David Schmittlein Brittany Mytnik, Social Media Editor Julia Sklar, Senior Production Director James LaBelle, Contributing Editors George Alan Spoon Anders, Brian Bergstein, Katherine Bourzac, Peter Burrows, Jon Cohen, Peter Fairley, Simson L. Garfinkel, Courtney Humphries, Amanda Schaffer, David Talbot CUSTOMER SERVICE AND DESIGN SUBSCRIPTION INQUIRIES Lead Designer Emily Luong, Designer Lynne Carty, Art Assistant Emily Caulfield National 800-877-5230 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT International Chief Digital Officer and VP, Product Development Erik Pelletier, Product Manager Vanessa DeCollibus, User 903-636-1115 Interface/Digital Designers Emily Waggoner, Jon Akland, Engineers Shaun Calhoun, Molly Frey, Jason Lewicki, Zach Green E-mail EVENTS [email protected] SVP, Events and Strategic Partnerships Amy Lammers, Director of Events Programming Laura Janes Wilson, Web Senior Events Manager Nicole Silva, Content and Program Developer, Events Kelsie Pallanck www.technologyreview.com/customerservice CORPORATE MIT Records (alums only) 617-253-8270 Chief Executive Officer and Publisher Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau VP, Licensing and Communities Antoinette Matthews, VP, International Business Nicola Crepaldi, Human Resources Reprints [email protected] Manager Hilary Siegel, Assistant to the Chief Executive Officer Katie McLean, Manager of Information Technology 877-652-5295 Colby Wheeler, Office Manager Linda Cardinal FINANCE Licensing and permissions [email protected] Manager of Accounting and Finance Enejda Xheblati, General Ledger Manager Olivia Male, Accountant Letitia Trecartin CONSUMER MARKETING SVP, Consumer Revenues and Marketing Doreen Adger, Consumer Marketing Manager Katya Hill, Director of Analytics Tom Russell, Director of Audience Development Rosemary Kelly ADVERTISING SALES Technology Review SVP, Sales Laurie Hironaka / [email protected] / 415-640-5141, Director of Strategic Accounts Marii Sebahar / One Main Street, 13th Floor [email protected] / 415-416-9140, Senior Director of Brand Partnerships Kristin Ingram / kristin.ingram@ Cambridge, MA 02142 technologyreview.com / 415-509-1910, Business Development Manager Debbie Hanley / [email protected] / Tel: 617-475-8000 214-282-2727, New York and Southeast Advertising Director Ian Keller / [email protected] / 203-858-3396, The mission of MIT Technology Northeast Advertising Director Mason Wells / [email protected] / 917-656-2899, Digital Sales Strategy Review is to equip its audiences Manager Ken Collina / [email protected] / 617-475-8004, Director, Custom Content and Sponsored with the intelligence to understand Advertising Matthew Goldfarb / [email protected] / 617-475-8046, Custom Editor Mindy Blodgett, and contribute to a world shaped by Sales and Marketing Coordinator Anna Raborn, Advertising Services [email protected] / 617-475-8004, technology. Media Kit www.technologyreview.com/media, Germany Michael Hanke / [email protected] / +49-511-5352-167, China Vincent Chen / +86-185-1033-0513, Japan Yoshimi Suezawa / [email protected] / +81-3-3583-5364, Spain and Technology Review, Inc., is an South America Cecilia Nicolini / [email protected] / +34607720179 independent nonprofit 501(c) (3) corporation wholly owned by MIT ENTERPRISE FORUM, INC. MIT; the views expressed in our Chairman and President Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau, Executive Director and Clerk Antoinette Matthews, Treasurer publications and at our events are not Enejda Xheblati, Director of Chapter Leadership and Process Gaylee Duncan, Director of Communications Joyce Chen always shared by the Institute. 6 JF18_masthead.indd 6 12/6/17 1:18 PM Artificial intelligence is changing every business. Don’t be left behind. March 26-27, 2018 St. Regis Hotel San Francisco, CA Register Today: technologyreview.com/aiexperience MIT Emtech Digital SIngle Page-V3.indd 1 11/30/17 4:15 PM MIT TECHNOLOGY REVIEW VOL. 121 | NO. 1 TECHNOLOGYREVIEW.COM Views to the problems that arise in connection secretary of defense for today—defeat- INNOVATION with fast-paced technological change. ing ISIS and deterring war with Russia, What I Learned from Such solutions will emerge only if the China, North Korea, and Iran—but also new generation of young tech innovators the secretary of defense for tomorrow, the People Who Built is encouraged and inspired to assume making sure new technology was avail- the Atom Bomb the civic responsibilities that come with able for whatever unforeseen dangers creating changes of great consequence. might emerge. Technologists want their creations to do There haven’t been many technolo- With that goal in mind, I helped good for the world. We should make it easier gists who became secretary of defense. create an expanding network of Penta- for them to accomplish that. But for me, there was a direct cause- gon outposts called Defense Innovation and-effect relationship between my Units Experimental (DIUx)—in tech When I began my career in elementary training in physics and the responsibili- hubs like Silicon Valley, Boston, and particle physics, the great figures who ties of that job. Earlier in my career I Austin, Texas—where technologists and taught and inspired me had been part of worked on defense issues—of great con- new companies can learn about defense the Manhattan Project generation that sequence at the time—that had a strong issues. They are also places to learn developed the atomic bomb. They were technical component. One was evalu- about funding—the Pentagon spends proud to have created a “disruptive” ating President Reagan’s idea of space- $72 billion per year on research and technology that ended World War II and deterred a third world war through more Young technologists I’ve met know that if they don’t join the than 50 years of tense East-West stand- effort, choices will be made by politicians or judges who off. They were also proud to have made might not have much technical background or insight. nuclear power possible. But their under- standing of the underlying technology also gave them a deep regard for the awe- based defense against missiles, a.k.a. development, more than twice the total some, unavoidable risks that came with Star Wars, for the Pentagon (I concluded for Google, Apple, and Microsoft com- those technologies. that it wouldn’t work). Another task I bined. And it works both ways: at DIUx, As a consequence, they dedicated took on, first in academia and then in a the Pentagon’s sluggish bureaucracy can themselves to inventing, in parallel, second job in the Pentagon during the learn the ways of the startup culture. the technologies behind arms control Clinton administration, was controlling While in Washington, I also created (like reconnaissance satellites to verify the nuclear weapons of the Soviet Union the Defense Digital Service to bring agreements) and nuclear reactor safety when that country disintegrated at the technologists into the Pentagon and give (like containment vessels for radioac- end of the Cold War (an effort that for- them a chance to do a “tour of duty” for tive leakages). By working on both the tunately did work). a few months or a year to solve critical bright opportunities and the complex I had the satisfaction of knowing problems like planning air strikes pre- quandaries of nuclear technology, these that better paths were taken because my cisely to avoid harming civilians, or pro- scientists tried to round out its effect technical knowledge contributed to deci- tecting defense networks from hacking. on humanity. They recognized that the sions. Big issues and a chance to see your People who joined often told me their advance of knowledge is inevitable, but training make a difference are a powerful work there was the most meaningful of it needs to be steered in the direction of combination for a young scientist. I felt their early careers and changed their public good. that strong attraction from the start, and outlook when they returned to the pri- Technologists in my generation in the years ahead I returned again and vate sector. understood that we had an opportu- again to Pentagon service. I wanted even more ideas for linking nity—and an obligation—to use our Much later, when I became secretary the tech community to defense. So I set knowledge in the service of civic life and of defense under President Obama, a up a Defense Innovation Board that was public purpose. It’s obvious that tech- priority of mine was to make sure that chaired by Alphabet’s executive chair- N A nologists today have the same obliga- the bridges between the Pentagon and man, Eric Schmidt, and included leading M D E tion, and also that society is in need of the tech community were strong. I tech thinkers like Amazon’s Jeff Bezos DY FRI practical, analytically driven solutions believed that I needed to be not only the and LinkedIn’s Reid Hoffman. I wanted N A 8 JF18_views_carter.indd 8 12/6/17 4:30 PM

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