ebook img

Missouri Economic and Workforce Report 2021 PDF

2021·18.2 MB·English
Save to my drive
Quick download
Download
Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.

Preview Missouri Economic and Workforce Report 2021

MISSOURI ECONOMIC & 2021 WORKFORCE REPORT 1  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 2021 ECONOMIC REPORT COVID-19 UPDATES The 2021 Missouri Economic and Workforce Report gives a broad overview of Missouri’s economy in the last year, tracking a selection of meaningful indicators. At the time of publishing this report, Missouri’s economy is in recovery from the health and economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, as are the U.S. and world economies. The data contained in this report largely focuses on economic activity in Missouri during the most recent calendar year, using a variety of the most reliable and proven economic and workforce data resources available. Typically, these high-quality sources have some lag in publication due to the sound and thorough methodologies used to ensure accurate and reliable data. Analysis of economic shifts will always rely on these key sources for the most precise representation of the economy, and Missouri will continue to monitor these indicators throughout the state’s economic recovery. It is valuable to have a comprehensive review of the state’s economy, even if some of the indicators lag. 2020 was an extraordinary year in many ways, including economically. The first half of the year was marked by historic losses in employment and output, as businesses and activities were limited due to the pandemic. Income and personal savings rates peaked, as economic support payments were distributed and consumers had few opportunities for spending. The second half of 2020 was defined by the beginning of economic recovery, in both employment and domestic output. Many of the annual averages in this report tell that story – showing decline, improvement in a snapshot of the most current data when available, and that there is still recovery to occur in 2021 and beyond. Future annual economic reports will begin to show if there are permanent economic shifts from the pandemic, either in accelerating existing trends or pivoting the economy in unexpected ways. To track the most current trends, visit the Missouri Economic Research and Information Center website at meric.mo.gov. 2  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 CONTENTS “Show Me” the facts ................................................4 Current Trends ...........................................................5 Missouri Economy Overview ................................6 Regional Analysis ....................................................10 Central Region ....................................................11 Kansas City Region ..........................................15 Northeast Region .............................................19 Northwest Region ...........................................23 Ozark Region ....................................................27 South Central Region ......................................31 Southeast Region ............................................35 Southwest Region ...........................................39 St. Louis Region ...............................................43 West Central Region ......................................47 Data Sources .............................................................51 Appendix ...................................................................52 3  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 2021 ECONOMIC REPORT SHOW ME THE FACTS Missouri’s GDP totaled $277.4 billion in 2020 in 2012 inflation-adjusted dollars, a 3.6 percent decrease over the previous year. • Missouri’s per capita personal income was $51,177 in 2020, up 5.2 percent from 2019. Personal income increased in 2020 due to additional government payments to support economic recovery. • Due to the pandemic, 17 out of 20 industry sectors lost jobs between 2019 and 2020. • The Accommodation and Food Services sector experienced the largest employment drop, with 44,678 jobs lost. The largest percentage loss was in the Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation sector, which lost 23 percent of its employment. Most industries have shown signs of recovery in late 2020 and early 2021. • In July 2021, Missouri’s unemployment rate was 4.2 percent, an improvement from 6.8 percent in July 2020. • From July 2019 to July 2020, Missouri added 84,000 jobs, increasing employment by 3.0 percent. • Missouri’s labor force participation rate was 63.1 percent in 2020 and the U.S. rate was 61.7 percent. Both rates were impacted by workforce challenges due to COVID-19. • Health Care, Retail Sales, Sales and Customer Service Representatives, Transportation, and Computer Software and Web Developer jobs are the most in-demand occupations based on a measure of online job advertisements. • The St. Louis region is the largest, in terms of employment, with over one million employees in 2020. The Kansas City and Central regions had the next highest employment with nearly 580,000 and over 306,400 employees, respectively. • All regions in Missouri experienced negative growth in employment from 2016 to 2020. This negative growth is partly due to the effects of COVID in 2020. For some regions, this negative growth is part of an ongoing negative trend. 4  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 2021 ECONOMIC REPORT CURRENT TRENDS In 2020, Missouri’s economy contracted by 3.6 points compared to the previous year. Nationally, GDP decreased 3.5 percent over the same period. The large GDP decrease from 2019 to 2020 was due to the economic effect of the COVID-19 pandemic. During 2020, GDP declined significantly in the second quarter, marking the peak of shutdowns and layoffs in response to the pandemic, and then began to recover in the second half of the year. Likewise, employment declined during 2020, but has since been in recovery. Missouri’s nonfarm payroll employment decreased by 5.7 percent, or 165,000 jobs, from July 2019 to July 2020. The Accommodation and Food Services and Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation industries were particularly impacted by the pandemic, resulting in significant employment declines in 2020. As of July 2021, employment in Missouri grew by 3.0 percent year-over-year, with a recovery of 84,000 jobs. In July 2021, Missouri’s unemployment rate was 4.2 percent, lower than both the rate of 6.8 percent in July 2020 and the peak unemployment rate of the pandemic in April 2020 of 12.5 percent. The U.S. unemployment rate was 5.4 percent in July 2021. Labor force participation in Missouri was 63.1 percent in 2020, down from 64.0 percent in 2019, but above the national average of 61.7 percent. Labor force participation rates improved during the first half of 2021, but have generally been in decline for more than a decade both in Missouri and the U.S. All Missouri regions experienced negative growth in employment from 2016 to 2020. This negative growth is partly due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For some regions, it is part of an ongoing negative trend. The Ozark and Northeast regions experienced the least negative growth, at -0.4 and -0.5 percent, respectively. The Central region had the next lowest negative growth at -0.7 percent. In this annual review of the Missouri economy, changes in gross state product, personal income, civilian labor force, unemployment, and employment are analyzed for the current period and more broadly over the last five to 10 years. Moreover, in this review, special attention is paid to economic regions within Missouri, their diverse workforce, and economies. AS OF JULY 2021, MISSOURI EMPLOYMENT GREW BY 3.0 PERCENT YEAR-OVER-YEAR, WITH A RECOVERY OF 84,000 JOBS. 5  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 2021 ECONOMIC REPORT MISSOURI ECONOMY OVERVIEW GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the broadest measure of economic $277.4 activity. This measure tracks the market value of goods and services produced within a nation or state for a particular period of time. In 2020, Missouri’s GDP was $277.4 billion (in 2012 chained dollars); this is a 3.6 percent decrease from 2019. Nationally, GDP decreased BILLION GDP 3.5 percent over the same period. The large GDP decrease from 2019 to 2020 was due to the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. 3.6% The percent decline in Missouri’s GDP, from 2019 to 2020, is comparable with bordering states. All eight states experienced a decline in GDP, with four states having greater negative growth and FROM 2019 four states having less negative growth than Missouri. Oklahoma had the greatest decline, with -6.1 percent, and Nebraska had the least, with -2.1 percent. 12.5 10,000 Missouri Real Gross State Product Annual Growth Rate In the past year, most industry sectors have experienced negative 11.5 5,000 6% growth. The Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation industry had 10.5 2.0% 8 the largest loss, at 27 perUcSent. AMciscsooumrimodation and Food Services2,5 Population Share CLF Share 67 9.5 5% 0 7 1.5% 6at 20.9 percent, had the next largest negative growth. 66 8.5 4% -5,000 01..05%% 45 Iwnh 2e0re1a0s, Min i2ss0o2u0r, iM prisosdouucrei dp r$o2d6u9.c1e dbi $ll2io7n7. 4in b gilolioodns iann gdo soedrsv iacneds 2 0 65 67..55 3% hange -10,000 C 2----.-0-3020211......0%0.05505%%%%%%% ---0-3342211sMbine87ilrc2il0svri1soei0ocan -e u-s - s ie-r2-n.- 0i-o 1-g1g-v - -r reP - e-o r- 2w-ewa-0-l-r1 -t2las-. h- t- o - a- o -n2-nv-0-a e1-3a-r- l-n - t-I n- hn -2-ue-0c-1 -a4:po _l _ ai _Um _z s_S _ et2_. 0de11 50 r_ A _ a _ y_ t _ en_Me2_a_0 isn_o1_sr6_of_su u_ , _0r _ ai _o .. 23l-r0- - G1-pa_7__ e _3r _ r_ o. _c1 _2_we 0 p-n1-8--et- t- --r h-- t- -c o- -2e-R 0-ne-1-9qat-- -uG t- -e a- D-2-l0- -$P2--08- --.-3-- -1105-50--------- 2516-24 25-34 P o p 3u5la-t4io4n S h a r e 45-54C LF Sh a5r5e-64 65+ 6666604321 2009 2607R10ec e 2s0sio11n 2012 2U0S13 2014M i s2s0ou15ri 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 043521......555555 2009 2R0e10c e 1s1 92012s01i.o...515551n 2012 U2S013 2014 M 2is0s1o5u r i 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ----0241321%%%%%%% 65%% Employment -----4-32321000555,,,,,,000000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry...105,,00Mining00000 Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services 011--...04535%..%%05%% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 465 20 6665 687...555 --65%% 43%% --5405,,000000 hange -1-05,,000000 ----EitPprr0-20211noaa.....0e0.vr5505 ttdo%%%%re%2%eecufn0 .eei s O2nsntts0hSr ttiMO.y ooh oUTh nuesaRvreaCgen Ecelhr1a:, t a U0 gogSt.lS-rehrlcy. e msiBieeea nU saneltRctaernEtirss AiltetfitltU o a o eycgOpsfx,eaF e C apatiE nroCrneoeO rsrdhmnN i3i aeOdTnp.nsM2se a Itc s Ccinphee hnAieedenNecr n AsplipcucL aaeaYoadSsn nsllIetS atid S ,t 1raRc ieE0gvE orcAe envmyoL tid GemGcepaeDerDoprPcsp sruI oPNri ehnn ui 2ags0addnes1rv2ue sdo ae C sa winH atnbtArnn te I2yhNGune. E 8wnauDDfr l aDpi ioPtgOnlehm, rL gr mLo tcraA hw2eo Roe3n0Swts 6 1thtt,.0 4 h ---0-3342211 110550 6666604321 2009 20R10ec e 2s0sio11n 2012 2U0S13 2014M i s2s0ou15ri 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 043521......555555 2009 2R0e10c e s 2s0io11n 2012 U2S013 2014 M 2is0s1o5u r i 2016 2017 2018 -- 87 2%%019 2 2000209 22002R101e c e2s0s---02i11321o1%%%% %%n 2012 20U1S3 2014 2M0i1s5s o u 2ri016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Employment C -----4-32321000555,,,,,,000000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services Health Care and Social Assistance at 1.4 percent, and Administrative 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ -3.0% -4% and Waste Services at 1.3 percent. SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, 2020 -45,000 -3.5% -5% PB  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 6  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021  1 -50,000 -4.0% -6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Recession US Missouri -7% -8% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MISSOURI OVERVIEW TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME Total personal income includes the wages and salaries of workers Net earnings accounted for 58 percent of Missouri personal and other income received such as dividends, interest, rent, and income in 2020. Transfer payments accounted for 24 percent and transfer payments. Incomes are reported before the deduction of dividends, interest and rent accounted for 18 percent. In the U.S., taxes. 59 percent of personal income was accounted for by net earnings, 22 percent by transfer payments and 19 percent by dividends, Transfer payments are monies paid out by the government interest and rent. to individuals through Social Security, Disability Insurance, Medicare, Unemployment Insurance compensation, Veterans Per capita personal income is a rough indicator of the economic benefits, Education and Training Assistance programs (Pell Grants well-being of an area’s residents. Per capita income is calculated by for example), and low-income assistance benefits (which include dividing an area’s total personal income by its population. The per SSI, Medicaid, CHIP, and TANF). capita personal income of a Missouri citizen in 2020 was $51,177 and nationally it was $59,729. While the state’s per capita income In 2020, Missouri’s total personal income was $314.8 billion, a 5.4 is lower than the national average, so is the cost of living. In 2020, percent increase over 2019. The nation’s personal income increased Missouri ranked sixth in lowest cost of living for all states. 6.1 percent to $19.7 trillion. California led the nation in total personal income with more than $2.8 trillion. Texas, New York, Florida, and Pennsylvania were in the top five. UNEMPLOYMENT Among surrounding states, Missouri had the sixth largest percent The unemployment rate measures the number of persons out change in personal income from 2019 to 2020. Total personal of work but actively seeking employment relative to the civilian income in Iowa increased by 6.8 percent, followed by Illinois, labor force. As of July 2021, the nation’s unemployment rate Kentucky, and Nebraska, increasing by 6.5 percent each. was 5.4 percent, a significant decrease from July 2020, reflecting The increase in both U.S. and Missouri personal income in 2020 continued recovery from the economic downturn caused by was due to an increase in transfer payments. Transfer payments the COVID-19 pandemic during 2020. Similarly, Missouri’s reflected new government relief payments provided by the unemployment rate was 4.2 percent, an improvement from 6.8 Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act percent in July 2020. of 2020, including increases in state unemployment insurance Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, Missouri and the nation compensation and economic recovery payments to individuals. As were experiencing record low unemployment numbers and a a result, transfer payments increased by 26 percent in Missouri and tight labor market. Unemployment spiked during the second by 37 percent nationally. quarter of 2020, as COVID-19 related shutdowns and layoffs impacted the economy in the U.S. and around the world. Missouri Components of Personal Income Missouri’s unemployment rate rapidly declined, as more Missourians were able to return to work, but has not yet reached pre-COVID levels. Unemployment Rate Dividends, 12.5 10,000 Interest, Net Rent 11.5 6% 5,000 10.5 18% 2.0% 8 25 67Earnings 0 9.5 5% US Missouri Population Share CLF Share 7 1.5% 6 66 58% Transfer 8.5 4% -5,000 1.0% 5 20 65 Payments 7.5 3% ge -10,000 0.5% 4 24% 6.5 han C ----0-20211.....00.5505%%%%%% ---0-3342211 110550 SOECUMRPoCLOE66m666:Y 0432U1M.SpE.TN BoT2oU 0BRn0tYE 9eaAS TU nl A 2sOT0t:EFR1 .0E eCc C Ue$ O2RsN0sRiOo1E13n MN TI C2 D1 0AO1N2LA 4L LA 2YUR0SSS I1S 3(B.N A O N2TN0 iAU14DAlM JL U il sP2SsE0ioTREu15oSrDi O F N O2An0RL 1I 6NIN F C L 2OA0MT1IE7O AN N)2. D0 18 2019 2020 043521......555555 S20O0U9R C 2ER0: e1U0c. Se .s 2Bs0iUo11nR E A 2U0 1O2 F L U2AS0B1O3• R S2T0 A14T M I S 2iTs0IsC1o5Su , r Li O2•0C1A6 L A 2R0E17A U 2N0E18M P L2O01Y9M E 2N0T20 S T A2T0I2S1TICS--.-0 21321%%%%%% Employment -----4-32321000555,,,,,,000000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ -3.0% 72    MMIISSSSOOUURRII EECCOONNOOMMIICC RREEPPOORRTT 22002211 -4% -45,000 -3.5% -5% -50,000 -4.0% -6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Recession US Missouri -7% -8% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MISSOURI OVERVIEW 12.5 10,000 11.5 5,000 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Civilian Labor Force Participation Rates 10.5 6% 2.0% 8 25 67 0 9.5 5% US Missouri Population Share CLF Share 7 The Civilian Labor Force is defined as the number of non- 1.5% 6 institutionalized persons—16 years and older—who are either 66 8.5 4% -5,000 1.0% 5 gainf2u0lly employed or are unemployed but actively seeking work. 65 7.5 3% ge -10,000 0.5% 4 The civilian labor force in Missouri totaled just over three million 6.5 han in 2020. As per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), in C ----0-20211.....00.5505%%%%%% ---0-3342211 2pctThctHohoi0ovo eh2apeiw 0o l cupliei,ra1a105l ve50tavtbna ihtemol ikrelioraa, a on3bnsfdof5i o anelr 6rat nccu7 obfeed op o p 5 p2r 4re42c0a 0r1 fer0aoc.. 9t1g5terio encc ptp eithtecpe .hiroe rance chtLe eio1ponFn9rontPtt9 p oRorc0ufaof hlw timtateahsth sip( eeoc L brripnFiveeso.i Pe eilThpntRid aus )fn3eel aai1e slnlt.mla 1iiatobn htepnoigedoe r. a r rn t fcnaoaoetd lrins ocLt6tea F.oo.b4 PffThi plRtMihez ecreei cls 6.i es5mon+utb aroeigdf’ se 6666604321 2009 20R10ec e 2s0sio11n 2012 2U0S13 2014M i s2s0ou15ri 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 043521......555555 2009 2R0e10c e s 2s0io11n 2012 U2S013 2014 M 2is0s1o5u r i 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ---021321%%%%%% Employment -----3232100555,,,,,000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, LOCAL AREA UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS -40,000 -3.0% NONFARM PAYROLL EMPLOYMEN12.5T -4% -1405,0,00000 -3.5% Missouri Population and Labor Force by Age Cohort 11.5 6%-5% 5,000 Nonfarm payroll employment is the estimate of employment in10 .5 -50,000 2.0% -4.0% 8 25 • • 67the nonagricultural sector of the economy. Total nonfarm payroll -6% 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 7 US Missouri Population Share CLF Share employment peaked in 2019 in the U.S. and Missouri, followin9g. 5 5% Recession US Missouri 1.5% 6 66nine years of growth after the Great Recession. July 2020 nonfa8r.m5 4%-7% -5,000 1.0% 5 20 65employment in the U.S. was 7.5 percent lower than in July 20197 d.5ue 3%-8% ge -10,000 0.5% 4 to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic – a loss of more than6 1.51 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 han 2.0% 8 ----0-20211.....0.05505%%%%%% US Missouri 25 Population Share C---L0-334221F1 Share2010 2011 2012 2013 627014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 110550 16-24 1190121 .... 5555 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 6666604321mrSsJ3uei.t65m0acil2%%yl to0plie i0vl2eowa9e0rnr ri c1 d i2te9Pjn0reon R1egt,ab0et on Mc ysm y e d.2Jsre ui0s,Booa sio1wlr1ysrny le o-l i J ot22utEuh0hv0rl1m e2yai2a’r n0s 2 -d p . y2nU0 7e0AeSlo2 co1am31snr ry e, fo, i aaem2lwfl0smr iJe1mio4eut pMn oh ln l iyp fso 2jsa t ao05oy2 yu1rb.Am057reri s2 oc ne.p 1 2oln e,n0l v tre1e u6ecmim rne a y npc2pl 0 rtollGo,1eof7 oay y 8r srmm o42e 10d,ewe061n8 n5b0 tt t ,y0 h 0h2f 0o50j aoR1.l09s2lb oa g j sp ow2r.te0boeer2swdc0, enfanr 04352bo1t......,5ym55555 2010059,,00 00 200R00e10c e s 2s0io11n 2012 U2S013 2014 M 2is0s1o5u r i 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ---021321%%%%%% Employment C -----4-32321000555,,,,,,000000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services 7 011...055%%% 465 --33..05%% 20 6665 687S...OD555EUMROCEG: RUA.SP. HDIECPST F. ROOF ML ATBHOE RC,U BRURREENATU P OOFP LUALBATOIRO NST SAUTRISVTEICYS.. 43%% hange -1-05,,000000 --45%% --5405,,000000 ----0-20211.....00.5505%%%%%% ---0-3342211 -4.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 11 055 02017 2018 2019 2020 6666604321 2009 20R10ec e 2s0sio11n 2012 2U0S13 2014M i s2s0ou15ri 2016 2017 20IL6ofL6ao1nv13f8FFr e. . tPP7t1c r hh2e RRa0ppee g1w ee9 awsel rra tvh cca afs2eeoeest0trnen n r2a11’0 tstgmc.0..4 o ew MD yo0d4352mp1oe.....r.5 e55555eibarepssrkr espcats2itoheir0,nwt uen0aepg9dernt r- taei i aht2’agnosR0oge ee1r 0Ld ec6 t de p teF h4sp o2escoP0e io octa1it 1nRop nlnhd i u ante6e h2st 0l.5e Caai1h,2o st p O mii n gbo e U2aVrhoneS0lc1ere 3—IeL enrD n F 2 Mth-tp0Ph1.1i4 aaRi9Ig M sr nn h.2sitps 0 ioseI2t1aco5nruhu0 in rp ert2i 2d h2ia 00U0aeta1,2n6me .n i 0Ss ti i —,n.2tcd 0hML ,1e7t eaF Mhc is Pn lse2 i0ias Ransl1o 8atsse iuobo hd o2fruo0an i1trr9r’oas e i l ’ 2s 0 20 2021 ---021321%%%%%% Employment C -----4-32321000555,,,,,,000000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade---687%%%Other Services 20Manufacturing09 2Education0R10e c eAdministrative and Waste Services2s0si1o1 n 2 Arts & Entertainment012 Health Care & Social Assistance 20U1S3 Retail Trade 2014 Accommodation & Food Services 2M0i1s5s o u 2ri016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ In 2020, three of Missouri’s neighboring states had a higher labor -3.0% -4% force participation rate: Nebraska (69.6), Iowa (67.2), and Kansas -45,000 -3.5% (67.0). -5% -50,000 -4.0% -6% • • 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Recession US Missouri -7% -8% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 NOTE: YEAR-OVER-YEAR, ANNUAL DATA SOURCE: U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, CES 2  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 8  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021  3 MISSOURI OVERVIEW EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY INDUSTRY Employment change by industry identifies the types of jobs being significant employment gains when comparing 2020 to 2021 in terms created in the state. Industries with increasing employment indicate of employment changes by industry. a greater need within that sector. There are also industries that Seventeen out of 20 industry sectors lost jobs between 2019 and behave more cyclically, growing during economic expansion and 2020. The pandemic may have accelerated long-term downward decreasing in times of economic slowdown or contraction. trends in some industries, such as Retail Trade and Administrative These changes are crucial; they help identify both the types of and Waste Services. The pandemic negatively impacted some occupational job loss that is occurring and industries that are industries especially hard. The Accommodation and Food Services expanding or hiring. sector experienced the largest employment drop, with 44,678 jobs lost. The largest percentage loss was in the Arts, Entertainment, and The change in employment from 2019 to 2020 was heavily influenced Recreation sector, which lost 23 percent of its employment. by the economic situation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall the state of Missouri lost employment from 2019 to 2020, Three industries ended the year with a positive growth. Finance and with some industry sectors being much more negatively affected by Insurance added the most jobs, (1,411 jobs). Public Administration the pandemic than others. There were large employment gains in the and Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting sectors also saw small second half of 2020, but not enough to make up for the losses in the increases with 224 and 123 jobs added, respectively. spring. As the economic recovery continues into 2021, there might be Missouri Employment Change by Industry Sector 2019-2020 12.5 10,000 11.5 5,000 6% 10.5 2.0% 8 25 67 0 9.5 5% US Missouri Population Share CLF Share 7 1.5% 66 8.5 4% -5,000 6 20 7.5 1.0% 5 65 3% ge -10,000 6.5 an 0.5% 4 h C ----0-20211.....00.5505%%%%%% ---0-3342211 110550 6666604321 2009 20R10ec e 2s0sio11n 2012 2U0S13 2014M i s2s0ou15ri 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 043521......555555 2009 2R0e10c e s 2s0io11n 2012 U2S013 2014 M 2is0s1o5u r i 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ---021321%%%%%% Employment -----3232100555,,,,,000000000000000 Finance & Insurance Public Administration Agriculture, Forestry... Mining Utilities Construction Transportation Professional and Technical Services Real Estate Management Information Wholesale Trade Other Services Manufacturing Education Administrative and Waste Services Arts & Entertainment Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services -40,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ -3.0% -4% -45,000 -3.5% -5% -50,000 -4.0% SOURCE: MERIC ANALYSIS OF THE QUARTERLY CENSUS OF EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES MICRO-DATA, 2019 TO 2020 -6% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Recession US Missouri This report was prepared by the staff of the Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC) as part of the Missouri -7% Workforce Report. All data in this report was current at the time of publication and is subject to revision. Additional details on data sources can be found in the full report. This workforce solution was funded by a grant awarded by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration. -8% The solution was created by the grantee and does not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Labor. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 The Department of Labor makes no guarantees, warranties, or assurances of any kind, express or implied, with respect to such information, including any information on linked sites and including, but not limited to, accuracy of the information or its completeness, timeliness, usefulness, adequacy, continued availability, or ownership. 9  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021 2021 ECONOMIC REPORT REGIONAL ANALYSIS Missouri’s economy is diverse The Missouri Regional Economic Profiles graph provides information on the total and varies by geography, employment (size of the bubble), employment growth (horizontal axis), and average natural resources, and annual wage (vertical axis) within each region. All Missouri regions experienced negative population. To better growth in employment from 2016 to 2020. This negative growth is partly due to the effects understand the state’s of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. For some regions, this negative growth is part of an economy, the following ongoing negative trend. section analyzes the various The Ozark and Northeast regions experienced the least negative growth, at -0.4 and -0.5 regional economies. The percent, respectively. The Central region had the next lowest negative growth at -0.7 state is divided into 10 percent. Statewide, the employment growth averaged -0.6 percent from 2016 to 2020. regions. These regions were developed using the The statewide average wage in 2020 was $50,140. St. Louis and Kansas City regions Workforce Development had wages higher than the state average, with average wages of $55,704 and $53,876, Areas created by the respectively. The Central and Ozark regions had the next highest wages, at $44,873 and Workforce Investment Act of $43,792, respectively. 1998 and continued with the Workforce Innovation and The St. Louis region is the largest, in terms of employment, with over one million Opportunity Act of 2014. For employees in 2020. The Kansas City and Central regions had the next highest employment a list of the economic regions with nearly 580,000 and over 306,400 employees, respectively. used in this analysis and the counties that make up those regions, see the Appendix. Missouri Regional Economic Profiles, 2020 60,000 St. Louis Missouri Regional Economic Profiles 2020 Kansas City 55,000 • Missouri 3,052,700 MO Average • Missouri Central 306,446 50,000 • • Kansas City 579,356 age • •• W • Northeast 121,948 al 45,000 • .-Central Ozark u • Northwest 119,639 Ann • Ozark 257,091 e Southwest •• SSoouutthh eCaesnt tral 17565,,647737 0 Averag 40,000 Northwest • Southeast Northeast • 02 West Central Southwest 127,807 2 South Central • 35,000 St. Louis 1,003,072 • West Central 119,658 30,000 MO Average SOURCE: LOCAL AREA UNEMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (LAUS) AND OCCUPATIONAL EMPLOYMENT AND WAGE STATISTICS (OEWS) 0 -1.6% -1.5% -1.4% -1.3% -1.2% -1.1% -1.0% -0.9% -0.8% -0.7%-0.6% -0.5% -0.4%-0.3% -0.2% -0.1% 0% Annual Average Employment Growth Rate, 2016 to 2020 10  MISSOURI ECONOMIC REPORT 2021

See more

The list of books you might like

Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.