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Missile Defences and Asian-Pacific Security PDF

234 Pages·1989·22.724 MB·English
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MISSILE DEFENCES AND ASIAN-PACIFIC SECURITY Also by Michael J. Mazarr SEMPER FIDEL: American Diplomacy and Cuba, 1776-1988 Missile Defences and Asian-Pacific Security Michael J. Mazarr Research Analyst in International Security Studies, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, DC Palgrave Macmillan UK ISBN 978-1-349-10578-6 ISBN 978-1-349-10576-2 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-10576-2 © Michael J. Mazarr 1989 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1989 978-0-333-48228-5 All rights reserved. For information, write: Scholarly and Reference Division, St. Martin's Press, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010 First published in the United States of America in 1989 ISBN 978-0-312-02775-9 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Mazarr, Michael J., 1965- Missile defences and Asian-Pacific security I Michael J. Mazarr. p. em. Bibliography: p. Includes index. ISBN 978-0-312-02775-9 I. East Asia-National security. 2. Pacific Area-National security. 3. Strategic Defense Initiative. 4. Ballistic missile defenses-Soviet Union. 5. Anti-tactical ballistic missiles. I. Title. UA830.M378 1989 358' .1754-dcl9 88-7805 CIP To Pamela Contents List of Tables viii Acknowledgements IX List of Abbreviations X Map: The Asian-Pacific Region xii PART I AN INTRODUCTION TO THE MISSILE DEFENCE DEBATE 1 Missile Defences: The Issues 3 2 Far Eastern Regional Survey 17 3 Soviet Presence in the Far East 33 4 The European Dimension: Comparisons and Contrasts with Asia 46 5 Soviet Military Doctrine: Strategic and Tactical Implications for Missile Defence 63 PART II MISSILE DEFENCES AND ASIA - SPECIFIC COUNTRY ANALYSES 6 Missile Defences and Japanese Security 83 7 The Dragon and the Shield: Missile Defences and the People's Republic of China 106 8 Regional Superpower Equations 138 9 The Troubled Alliance: The SDI and ANZUS 154 10 Other Regional Actors 167 PART III CONCLUSIONS 11 Conclusions 185 Notes 193 Select Bibliography 212 Index 223 Vll List of Tables 3.1 US and Soviet Naval Forces in the Pacific 40 3.2 Naval and air forces of other regional actors 40 3.3 Regional nuclear forces 41 3.4 Nuclear weapons at sea 42 7.1 Chinese strategic forces 111 viii Acknowledgements The author is greatly indebted to a number of individuals and institutions who gave professional and personal support while this project was under way. Several friends at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in particular Ms Kerry Dumbaugh and Dr William Taylor, were enormously helpful and supportive. The entire staff at the Ethics and Public Policy Center has also provided me with invaluable research and editorial guidance, and I am especially indebted to Robert Royal and Carol Griffith. I would also like to thank Dr Stephen Gibert of Georgetown University, Mr Greg Mastel and especially Dr Gerald Segal for their kind comments and suggestions on the first drafts of this volume. Whatever omissions and errors remain, of course, are entirely the responsibility of the author. IX List of Abbreviations ABM Anti-Ballistic Missile (system) ALCM Air-Launched Cruise Missile ANZUS Australia-New Zealand-US alliance ASAT Anti-Satellite weapon A SEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations ASW Anti-Submarine Warfare ATBM Anti-Tactical Ballistic Missile (system); also referred to as ATM ATM See ATBM ATU Atlantic to the Urals (conventional arms control talks) BMD Ballistic Missile Defence (system) C3I Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence DARPA Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency EMP Electromagnetic Pulse FABMDS Field Army Ballistic Missile Defence System HOE Homing Overlay Experiment ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile INF Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces LOW Launch On Warning LUA Launch Under Attack MBFR Mutual and Balanced Force Reductions (conventional arms control talks) MIRV Multiple, Independently Targeted Re-entry Vehicle NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization NDPO National Defence Programme Outline (of Japan) OTH Over the Horizon Targeting PLA People's Liberation Army (PRC) PRC People's Republic of China ROC Republic of China on Taiwan ROK Republic of Korea (South Korea) RV Re-entry Vehicle SAM Surface-to-Air Missile SDI Strategic Defence Initiative SDF Self Defence Forces (of Japan) SEATO Southeast Asian Treaty Organization SLBM Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile SLCM Sea-Launched Cruise Missile X

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