Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report Cardiff School of Geography and Planning Microfinance and Poverty Alleviation in Ethiopia Peter Mackie, Alison Brown and Alastair Smith Informal Economy Research Observatory Cardiff University Tegegne GebreEgziabher Institute of Development Policy & Research University of Addis Ababa June 2015 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report Research Team Principal Investigator is Professor Alison Brown, Cardiff University, with Co-Investigators Dr. Peter Mackie and Dr. Alastair Smith and research assistant Ben Gascoyne. Work in Ethiopia was led by Professor Tegegne GebreEgziabher, Director of the Institute of Development Research, Addis Ababa University. We are indebted to the assistance and guidance of Mesfin Belocheu, Deputy Director of the Institute of Development Research, and the support provided by researchers: Berhanu Ayenew, Sebsib Belay, Eden Shiferaw, Tsegaye Tuke and Tewodros Workineh. Contents 1. Introduction 3 1.1 The Study 1.2 Objectives 1.3 Approach 2. Micro-credit Landscape in Ethiopia 4 2.1 Microfinance Providers 2.2 Microfinance Regulation and Policy 2.3 Access and Reach of Financial Services 2.4 Informal Saving and Borrowing 2.5 Collective Saving and Borrowing 2.6 SACCOs (Financial Cooperatives) 2.7 Micro-finance Institutions 2.8 Agent Banking 2.9 Mobile Money 2.10 Consumer Protection 3. Financial Needs of Micro-entrepreneurs 16 3.1 Saving 3.2 Borrowing 3.3 Infrastructure challenges 3.4 VAT and micro-entrepreneurs 3.5 Business development in groups and associations 3.6 Vulnerabilities 4. Conclusions and Recommendations 22 4.1 Inclusive Growth: Reaching the Most Vulnerable 4.2 Micro-enterprises: Strengthening Financial Inclusion 4.3 Microfinance Institutions: Standards and Regulation 4.4 Mobile Money Innovations Appendices 25 1. Expert Interviews 2. Survey Data 3. References 1 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report Acronyms AEMFI Association of Ethiopian Microfinance Institutions DFID UK’s Department for International Development ESRC UK’s Economic and Social Science Research Council EI Expert interview FCA Federal Cooperative Agency GTP Growth Transformation Plan ICA International Cooperative Alliance MFI Microfinance Institution MSE Micro and Small Enterprises NGO Non-governmental Organisation NBE National Bank of Ethiopia SACCO Savings and Credit Cooperative VAT Value Added Tax VESA Village Economic and Social Association VSLA Village Saving and Loan Association 2 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report 1. Introduction 1.1 The Study This report outlines findings from a study of access to finance and microfinance regulation in Ethiopia. The research examines the challenges faced by micro-enterprises and informal-economy businesses working in growth sectors of the economy, and their requirements for strengthening access to finance and consumer protection. The study, Inclusive Growth: Improving Microfinance Regulation to Support Growth and Innovation in Micro-enterprise, is one of a series of projects funded under DEGRP (DFID-ESRC1 Growth Research Programme) focussing on three themes of financial sector development, agriculture and growth, and innovation and productivity. The report starts with a literature review on microfinance in Ethiopia and then discusses survey findings and policy recommendations. 1.2 Objectives This research examines the link between microfinance and urban livelihoods, exploring the challenges of access to finance for micro-enterprises, the vulnerabilities caused by unscrupulous lending practices, and the potential for improved financial access to contribute to poverty reduction and economic growth. Since 1983 when the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh began making tiny loans to village savings groups, microfinance has emerged as a key tool of development policy based on the assumption that improved access to finance will trigger entrepreneurship and smooth shocks. Microfinance is now a major supplier of financial services to millions of people in the developing world. Yet concerns have emerged about its reach, regulation and oversight, application in urban areas, and impact on growth, poverty reduction and indebtedness. Research on the impact of micro-credit and microfinance on poverty is inconclusive, and there is an imperative need to examine further the conditions in which savings and micro-credit help or harm low-income households. For example van Rooyen et al (2010 and 2012) concluded that microfinance may make some people poorer, not richer, and the focus on reaching the poorest- of-the-poor may be flawed. Against this background, the project analyses the barriers, benefits and risks to micro-enterprises in accessing a range of financial services and the potential of improved consumer protection to address problems. It explores demand and supply-side opportunities and barriers influencing micro-enterprises’ access to finance, and potential alternatives, particularly in urban settings. The philosophy of the research is that, while microfinance is not a guaranteed route out of poverty, micro-enterprises and informal-economy businesses should have access to secure savings and borrowings with transparent costs, and without excessive interest rates or time burdens. 1.3 Approach The study is based on comparative research in four countries of East Africa: Tanzania, Rwanda, Kenya and Ethiopia, and a comparison with India’s more developed financial system, with a focus on major cities and secondary towns and on micro-enterprises in growth sectors of the economy – vending, construction, tourism, manufacturing and services. The findings in Ethiopia draw on 201 semi-structured interviews with micro-enterprises in Addis Ababa and Hawassa and expert interviews (EIs) with regulators, microfinance providers/promoters and solidarity savings groups. 1 DFID = Department for International Development (UK Aid); ESRC= the UK’s Economic and Social Science Research Council 3 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report 2. Micro-credit Landscape in Ethiopia 2.1 Microfinance Providers Microfinance provides a small but significant and expanding role in Ethiopia’s developing finance sector. According to the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE 2015a) the number of banks operating in the country reached 19 in December 2014, of which 16 are privately owned. The banks operated 2,502 branches, equating to a branch/population ratio of 1:35,957. Some 35% of all bank branches are located in Addis Ababa. The total capital in the banking system increased by 21% between 2013 and 2014, reaching Birr 30.2 billion2. There were 17 insurance companies operating in Ethiopia, of which 16 were privately owned. Of the 359 insurance company branches 53% were located in Addis Ababa. The total capital of the insurance industry was Birr 30.2 billion. There were 32 microfinance institutions (MFIs) operating in the country, all of which are deposit taking. These MFIs mobilized a total saving deposit of around Birr 13.0 billion. The five largest MFIs are regional institutions supported by the government (Amhara, Dedebit, Oromia, Omo and Addis Credit and Savings Institutes) which accounted for 93.6% of the savings and 90% of the credit of the MFI sector. A wide variety of organisations provide micro-savings and micro-credit services and these are categorised into three sub-sectors (discussed further in Sections 2.4–2.9 below): Informal - Informal providers (eg: money lenders, friends/relatives, Iddir, Iqqub (Ekub), and Meskel Aksiyon); - Community savings groups (VESAs [previously VSLAs] and Savings Groups); Semi-formal - Savings and Credit Cooperative Societies (SACCOs); Formal - Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) - Formal banks Meanwhile there has been very limited development of mobile money, in contrast to experiences in many other countries in the region. The number of mobile subscribers is growing rapidly and reached 28.3 million in 2013/14, suggesting there is a clear market. Expert interviews (EIs) suggest that this area is currently being developed, but poor reliability of the mobile phone network may hamper progress. The Association of Ethiopian Microfinance Institutions (AEMFI) has been the network for all registered MFIs in Ethiopia since it began in 1999. According to MFTransparency (2011) AEMFI is well regarded both nationally and internationally as one of the strongest microfinance networks in Africa. AEMFI provides a forum through which MFIs can exchange information as well as providing training and conducting research, advocacy and policy development activities. Unlike many of the other countries examined in this study, particularly Kenya and Tanzania, international donors do not appear to play an influential advocacy role, largely because law prohibits NGOs and any other institution from offering financial services. 2 USD 1 = ETB 20.58 (US dollars to Ethiopian Birr, March 2015) 4 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report 2.2 Microfinance Regulation and Policy The Ethiopian economy and financial policy has evolved through three major phases: an initial focus on state-led industrial and agricultural development; an emphasis since 1991 on market-led development through liberalisation, and since the mid-1990s a focus on financial inclusion and promotion of micro-enterprise (Zwedu 2015). Job-creation through the development of micro- and small-scale enterprise is a key area of government policy. The 5-year poverty strategy reduction paper, the 2005/06-2009/10 Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty (PASDEP) included a target to create 1.5 million jobs through promotion of micro- and small enterprise, with substantial support for credit, training, technology and information. The 2011 Micro and Small Enterprise Development Strategy: provision framework and methods of implementation set out the implementation framework (GoFDRE 2011) and the current 2010/11-2014/15 Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) envisages 3 million more jobs will be created in MSEs; during 2013/14 some 200,319 new micro and small enterprises (MSEs) employing 2.5 million people were established (MoFED 2011: 10). The primary legislation affecting MFIs is listed below: - Licensing and Supervision of Banking Business Proclamation No. 84/1994. - Licensing and Supervision of Micro Financing Institutions Proclamation No. 40/1996. - Cooperative Societies Proclamation No. 147/1998. - Banking Business Proclamation No. 592/2008. - Micro Financing Business Proclamation No. 626/2009. - National Payment System Proclamation No. 718/2011. Microfinance institutions Microfinance was first established in Ethiopia in the late 1980s, with a range of NGO and government micro-credit programmes. However, these were not seen as well-organised or capable of operating on a continuous and sustainable basis (Wolday 2012). Major criticism included the heavily subsidised nature of many NGO programmes, with low interest rates for credit, high rates of default, and lack of saving products. In response, the Government introduced legislation regarding the licensing and supervision of banking businesses (Proclamation No. 84/1994) which allowed the establishment of private financial institutions, thus breaking the state monopoly in the banking sector (Gobezie 2005). Shortly after, the first microfinance law was passed (Proclamation No. 40/1996) with the aim of protecting small depositors, ensuring stability, and promoting the efficient performance of MFIs (Fite 2013). Moreover, it brought all MFIs into the monetary and financial system, enabling deposit taking while placing the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) in charge of regulation and supervision. The NBE supervises MFIs, which report their statistics to the bank for risk-based supervision. Proclamation No. 40/1996 also required that Ethiopian microfinance institutions should be owned fully by Ethiopian nationals and/or organisations wholly owned by Ethiopian Nationals, thus excluding international NGOs and other overseas agencies from owning and running microfinance institutions in Ethiopia (Deribie et al 2013). The 1996 statute dictated that loans should to be delivered to clients using the group-loan methodology, without the requirement for property collateral. Until 2009, Proclamation No. 40/1996, with NBE directives, constituted the major legal and regulatory framework used to regulate and supervise the microfinance sector in Ethiopia. Proclamation No. 40/1996 was replaced by Proclamation No. 626/2009, which addresses institutional financial discipline, prudent lending and transparency (Wolday 2012). The proclamation prohibits the operation of microfinance businesses without a license from the NBE, 5 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report however banks licensed under the appropriate law do not need a separate micro-financing business license (Deribie et al 2013). The 2009 proclamation states that the main purpose of a micro-financing institution is to collect deposits and extend credit to rural and urban farmers and people engaged in other similar activities as well as micro- and small scale rural and urban entrepreneurs, the maximum amount to be determined by the NBE (Deribie et al 2013). Changes in 2009 permitted the loan methodology used by MFIs to be selected at their discretion – moving away from mandatory group-lending. The NBE determined that the maximum loan size for MFIs whose savings fell below Birr 1,000,000 was Birr 5,000. For MFIs whose savings portfolio exceeded Birr 1,000,000 the maximum loan size was unrestricted, but loans over Birr 5,000 should not surpass 20% of total loans. Directive MFI/17/2002 sets the maximum loan period to 24 months for loans of up to Birr 5,000 and 60 months for larger loans, albeit changes are to loan lengths are frequently under discussion (EI). The NBE has imposed the limits in an attempt to dissuade MFIs from drifting from their poverty alleviation mission (MF Transparency 2011). Banking business laws applicable to MFIs, including requirements for obtaining a bank license, and matters not covered by Proclamation No. 626/2009, are contained in Proclamation No. 529/2008. Other relevant primary legislation includes Proclamation No. 718/2011, which focuses on the regulation of the national payment system, including the “sending, receiving and processing of orders of payment or transfers of money” (Proclamation No.718/2011) by a bank or MFI. Other savings and credit mechanisms Savings and Credit Cooperatives (SACCOs) were initially licensed and supervised by the NBE (Proclamation No. 84/1994). However, since the issue of Proclamation No. 147/1998, there has been a separate authority for cooperatives, including SACCOs, which is now called the Federal Cooperative Agency (FCA). Proclamation No 147/98 incorporated all the International Cooperative Alliance (ICA) principles and the standard legal aspects of cooperatives. It was amended by Proclamation No. 402/2004, which focuses on the issues of interest rates and the promotion of higher forms of cooperatives. Traditional self-help associations, such as Iddir and Iqqub are self-regulated. There is also a Remittance Directive (BUCFLP 2015) which has three primary aims: 1] to improve the operations of the formal remittance service; 2] to reduce the costs of remittance transfer; 3] to increase access to international remittance services for Nationals and make the service reliable, fast and safe. Key regulatory challenges A review of key literature suggests there are three key challenges relating to the regulation of the microfinance sector: - The size of some MFIs (which exceeds some private banks). There is no tiered approach in existing regulation, nor is there a clear regulatory framework for transforming, or “up- grading” the largest MFIs into microfinance or rural banks (Kassa, 2010). - Overly restrictive prudential regulation, in particular the existing maximum loan ceiling and loan term, which Wolday (2012) argues limits the scope of MFI services. - There is no separate law for SACCOs, consistent with microfinance proclamation and directives, which recognises SACCOs as specialised financial cooperatives. Wiedmaier-Pfister et.al. (2008) argue that the SACCOs should be brought under regulatory control of the NBE. 6 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report Policy development Government policy establishes that MSEs and MFIs have a key role to play in economic development in Ethiopia. There are two primary areas of policy which steer the development of microfinance in Ethiopia. The first core policy area is the government’s national economic development strategy, implemented in a series of five-year strategic plans – Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction Programme (SDPRP, 2001-2005), Plan for Accelerated and Sustainable Development to End Poverty (PASDEP, 2006-2010), and the Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP, 2011-2015). The GTP is the most recent economic plan. Launched in late 2010 the GTP aims to sustain current economic growth, achieve the 2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and set the longer term vision for Ethiopia as being: ‘to become a country where democratic rule, good-governance and social justice reign, upon the involvement and free will of its peoples, and once extricating itself from poverty to reach the level of a middle-income economy as of 2020-2030’ (GoE 2010: p21) The Ethiopian economy recorded an average annual growth of 10.1% over the period 2010/11- 2013/14, and is projected to grow by 11.4% in 2014/15 (NBE, 2015: 1). The GTP makes explicit reference to the role of MFIs. They are viewed as key to establishing an accessible, efficient and competitive financial system within the five year GTP period, in order to increase Gross Domestic Saving from 6% of GDP % in 2010, to 15% by 2015 (MoFED 2010: 30). MFIs are also expected to play an important role in facilitating access to finance for Ethiopians, targeted to reach 67% by the end of the plan period from 20% in 2010 (MoFED 2010: 34). This is a significantly more ambitious target than the commitment by the National Bank of Ethiopia at the Maya Declaration, 20113. The second core policy area is the support for MFIs in the Micro and Small Scale Enterprise Development Strategy (2010-2015) (GoFDRE 2011) which recognises the importance of MFIs and their role in the development of MSEs. The strategy aims to address six major challenges that impede the growth of micro-enterprises, including: skills development, technology transfer, market facilitation, access to finance, the reduction of entry barriers, and improving information (World Bank 2015a). To address these challenges the government has introduced one-stop-shop facilities at woreda (district) level providing a broad range of support services to MSEs (WB 2015). As one EI explained, at these ‘one-stop-shops’ people can access a MSE (micro and small enterprise) officer and a MFI officer all in one place. The office also provides oversight of local enterprises. 2.3 Access and Reach of Financial Services Our assessment of the access and reach of financial services draws primarily on data from a World Bank report (World Bank 2015a) which analyses World Bank Enterprise Survey data. Enterprise Surveys were conducted by the World Bank in Ethiopia from July 2011 – July 2012 with 644 firms, 32% of which were MSEs. An employment definition of MSEs was used for the report with micro- enterprises employing 0-9 employees and small enterprises employing 10-20 employees. The study interviewed 1,926 of whom the majority were micro-enterprises, including at least some that were informal, although proportions were not given. 3 The Maya Declaration was the statement on financial inclusion principles agreed by a group of developing countries at the 2011 meeting of the Alliance for Financial Inclusion held in Mexico. 7 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report Despite considerable and rapid progress, access to financial services remains limited all over Ethiopia with only 2.78 commercial bank branches (World Bank 2015a) and 0.33 ATMs (World Bank 2013) per 100,000 adults. This compares, for example, with Kenya where there are 5.17 commercial branches and 9.46 ATMs per 100,000 adults (World Bank 2015a). More specifically, when access to finance for MSEs are explored we find the following (see also Figure 1): - Almost 93% of MSEs have either a checking or a savings account. - Despite the positive trend in saving, access to credit is problematic as only 6% of micro- enterprises and 1.9% of small enterprises have a loan or a line of credit. The Enterprise Surveys showed 41% of MSEs felt access to finance was a major constraint (similar to the SSA average of 43%), although problems tend to be more complex than this. - Among firms who applied for a loan or line of credit in the last fiscal year, 57.3% and 87.9% of applications submitted by micro and small firms respectively were rejected (World Bank 2015a: 21-29). Figure 1: Access to finance is an obstacle for young and smaller firms (World Bank 2015a: 29) Exploring why MSEs face difficulties accessing credit, many contributing factors were identified by financial institutions (World Bank 2015a). These factors reportedly relate to SME characteristics (poor quality financial statements, inability to manage risk, lack of knowledge of business management, lack of collateral, informality) and macroeconomic conditions (inflation, exchange rate, tax regulation, high vulnerability of the agriculture sector). The final, particularly relevant question in the Enterprise Survey asked whether competition from the informal sector was seen as problematic amongst MSEs. Interestingly, only 11% of MSEs identified practices of competitors in the informal sector to be a major constraint, which compares favourably to the SSA average of 40%. This is perhaps due to the significant scale of ‘formalisation’ that has been undertaken through government MSE and MFI policies. Ethiopia has adopted an unique model where the promotion and development of MSEs and MFIs lies at the heart of government strategy but still many people are unable to access loans. Options for improving access to credit include introducing more capital to enable MFIs to meet their goals; improving management of SACCOs or savings groups. 8 Inclusive Growth: Ethiopia Country Report 2.4 Informal Saving and Borrowing According to MFTransparency (2011) informal finance is often the only option available for those who require financial services but who are unable to access the formal financial sector. It is also attractive to some due to the accessibility of loans and the speed of loan processing. Reportedly, more than two thirds of the population has access to an informal finance provider, whether it is from money lenders, friends/relatives, or from one of the three popular Ethiopian- specific systems of informal finance: Iddir (financial assistance during mourning periods), Iqqub (cash savings organisations), and Meskel Aksiyon (group collaborations to purchase meat for the Meskel festival) (MFTransparency 2011). A study in 2004 found funeral societies to have significant development potential. Drawing on panel data from the Ethiopian Rural Household Survey conducted since 1989, and interviews in 15 communities, Dercon et al. (2004) concluded that funeral societies are based on well-defined rules and regulations and appear to be remarkably inclusive offering mutual support to members of different economic groups. The groups were also offering other forms of insurance and credit to cope with hardship, and the paper argued that these institutions were well-placed as a springboard for other development activities. 2.5 Collective Saving and Borrowing The SAVIX reporting system (savinsgroups.com) collects and validates financial and operational data from over 75,000 savings groups in all regions of the developing world and the agencies that promote them. It provides a wealth of data on collective saving and borrowing in Ethiopia. In total there are 6,828 recorded collective saving and borrowing groups in Ethiopia, with 136,547 members, equating to an average of 20 members per group. The total savings is approximately US$ 1,280,414, equating to US$ 9.38 per member. These groups are clearly being used for borrowing as the loan fund utilisation rate is 68.6% and the average value of loans outstanding per member is US$ 17.67. Collective saving and borrowing is clearly extending financial services as the majority of these projects are in rural areas and 54% of members are women. Average attendance rates at group meetings is approximately 93% (SAVIX 2015). Many of these groups operate as Village Savings and Loan Associations (VSLAs), voluntary groups which come together to save money on a weekly basis, and borrow against the weekly savings, forming a ‘self-organised’ financial sector. Many of the VSLAs operate in rural areas to support agricultural livelihoods, and seek to develop transparent methods of regular saving and borrowing. VSLAs are an improved version of traditional savings groups, which are not usually linked to formal institutions once they have received NGO training. CARE Ethiopia is the main facilitator of collective saving and borrowing groups in Ethiopia (5,206 groups), with a much smaller role played by World Vision (640), Plan International (293), and Mercy Corps (232), with other facilitators assisting the remaining 457 groups. The report reflects briefly on the approaches being pursued by the two primary facilitators, CARE Ethiopia and World Vision. The Village Economic and Social Association (VESA) model (CARE Ethiopia) The Village Economic and Social Association is an evolution of the VSLA model and includes savings, loans and resilience development, promoted by Care Ethiopia. The resilience element 9
Description: