METHODS AND TOOLS FOR DROUGHT ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT Water Science and Technology Library VOLUME 62 Editor-in-Chief V.P. Singh, Texas A&M University, College Station, U.S.A. Editorial Advisory Board M. Anderson, Bristol, U.K. L. Bengtsson, Lund, Sweden J. F. Cruise, Huntsville, U.S.A. U. C. Kothyari, Roorkee, India S. E. Serrano, Lexington, U.S.A. D. Stephenson, Johannesburg, South Africa W. G. Strupczewski, Warsaw, Poland The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume. METHODS AND TOOLS FOR DROUGHT ANALYSIS AND MANAGEMENT edited by GIUSEPPE ROSSI DepartmentofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering, UniversityofCatania,Italy TEODORO VEGA SicilianRegionalAgencyforWasteandWater, WaterObservatory,Palermo,Italy and BRUNELLA BONACCORSO DepartmentofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering, UniversityofCatania,Italy AC.I.P.CataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress. ISBN978-1-4020-5923-0(HB) ISBN978-1-4020-5924-7(e-book) PublishedbySpringer, P.O.Box17,3300AADordrecht,TheNetherlands. www.springer.com CoverIllustration: Droughtmanagementplanningprocess.Figure5inChapter16byRossi,G.,Castiglione,L. andBonaccorso,B.:Guidelinesforplanningandimplementingdroughtmitigationmeasures. Printedonacid-freepaper AllRightsReserved ©2007Springer Nopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microfilming,recording orotherwise,withoutwrittenpermissionfromthePublisher,withtheexception ofanymaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeingentered andexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework. TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Contributors ix Preface xv PART I DROUGHT MONITORING AND FORECASTING 1. Drought Monitoring and Forecasting at Large Scale 3 I. Bordi and A. Sutera 2. Monitoring and Forecasting Drought on a Regional Scale: Emilia-Romagna Region 29 C. Cacciamani, A. Morgillo, S. Marchesi and V. Pavan 3. Development of the Piedmont Region Hydrological Bulletin as a Support to Water Resources Monitoring and Management 49 C. Ronchi, D. Rabuffetti, A. Salandin, A. Vargiu, S. Barbero and R. Pelosini 4. Is Drought Occurrence and Severity Increasing due to Climate Change? Analysing Drought Class Transitions with Loglinear Models 67 E. E. Moreira, A. A. Paulo and L. S. Pereira 5. Stochastic Forecasting of Drought Indices 83 A. Cancelliere, G. Di Mauro, B. Bonaccorso and G. Rossi PART II DROUGHT DESCRIPTION THROUGH AGROMETEOROLOGICAL INDICES 6. Use of a New Agricultural Drought Index within a Regional Drought Observatory 103 A. Matera, G. Fontana, V. Marletto, F. Zinoni, L. Botarelli and F. Tomei v vi TABLEOFCONTENTS 7. Distributed Estimation of Actual Evapotranspiration through Remote Sensing Techniques 125 G. Calcagno, G. Mendicino, G. Monacelli, A. Senatore and P. Versace 8. Testing a Modification of the Palmer Drought Severity Index for Mediterranean Environments 149 L. S. Pereira, R. D. Rosa and A. A. Paulo 9. Regional Drought Identification and Assessment. Case Study in Crete 169 G. Tsakiris, D. Tigkas, H. Vangelis and D. Pangalou PART III WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT UNDER DROUGHT CONDITIONS 10. Drought Management Decision Support System by means of Risk Analysis Models 195 J. Andreu, M. A. Pérez, J. Ferrer, A. Villalobos and J. Paredes 11. Mixed Simulation-Optimization Technique for Complex Water Resource System Analysis under Drought Conditions 217 G. M. Sechi and A. Sulis 12. Reservoirs Water-Quality Characterization for Optimization Modelling under Drought Conditions Part I – Reservoirs Trophic State Characterization 239 B. Begliutti, P. Buscarinu, G. Marras, G. M. Sechi and A. Sulis 13. Reservoirs Water-Quality Characterization for Optimization Modelling under Drought Conditions Part II – Water-Quality Optimization Modelling 263 G. M. Sechi and A. Sulis PART IV MONITORING AND MANAGEMENT OF GROUNDWATER UNDER DROUGHT CONDITIONS 14. Methods and Tools for Groundwater Monitoring Aimed at the Water Resources Management under Drought Conditions 277 V. Ferrara 15. Study and Monitoring of Salt Water Intrusion in the Coastal Area between Mazara del Vallo and Marsala (South–Western Sicily) 303 P. Cosentino, P. Capizzi, G. Fiandaca, R. Martorana, P. Messina and S. Pellerito TABLEOFCONTENTS vii PART V DROUGHT IMPACTS AND MITIGATION MEASURES 16. Guidelines for Planning and Implementing Drought Mitigation Measures 325 G. Rossi, L. Castiglione and B. Bonaccorso 17. Drought Impacts in Agriculture: Water Conservation and Water Saving Practices and Management 349 L. S. Pereira 18. Assessment of Water Shortage in Urban Areas 375 C. Bragalli, G. Freni and G. La Loggia 19. Drought Risk in Agriculture in Mediterranean Regions. Case Study: Eastern Crete 399 G. Tsakiris and D. Tigkas Subject Index 415 LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS Joaquín ANDREU ÁLVAREZ Environmental Protection, Júcar Basin Agency, Environmental V.le Silvani 6, 40122 Ministry, Avenida Blasco Ibáñez 48.3, Bologna, Italy. 46021 Valencia, Spain. [email protected] [email protected] Cristiana BRAGALLI Secondo BARBERO Centre for Studies on Urban Hydraulics, Operative Centre, Piedmont Regional c/oDepartmentofStructural,Transport, Agency for Environmental Protection, Water Engineering and Territory C.so Unione Sovietica 216, Survey, University of Bologna, 10134 Torino, Italy. Viale del Risorgimento 2, 40136 [email protected] Bologna, Italy. [email protected] Barbara BEGLIUTTI Agency of Flumendosa Basin, Viale Paola BUSCARINU Elmas 116, 09123 Cagliari, Italy. c/o Agency of Flumendosa Basin, Via [email protected] Mameli 88, 09122 Cagliari, Italy. [email protected] Brunella BONACCORSO Department of Civil and Environmental Carlo CACCIAMANI Engineering, University of Catania, Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia Viale A. Doria 6, 95125 Catania, Italy. Romagna Regional Agency for [email protected] Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani Isabella BORDI 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Department of Physics, University of [email protected] Rome “La Sapienza”, Piazzale Aldo Giovanni CALCAGNO Moro 2, 00185 Roma, Italy. Department of Soil Conservation, [email protected] University of Calabria, Via P. Bucci, Lucio BOTARELLI 41b, 87036 Arcavacata di Rende, Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia Cosenza, Italy. Romagna Regional Agency for [email protected] ix x LISTOFCONTRIBUTORS Antonino CANCELLIERE Valencia, Spain. Department of Civil and Environmental [email protected] Engineering, University of Catania, Viale A. Doria 6, 95125 Catania, Italy. Gianluca FIANDACA [email protected] Department of Chemistry and Physics of the Earth and Applications to Patrizia CAPIZZI Georesources and Natural Hazards, Department of Chemistry and Physics University of Palermo, V. Archirafi, of the Earth and 26, 90123 Palermo, Italy. Applications to Georesources and [email protected] Natural Hazards, University of Palermo, V. Archirafi 26, 90123 Giovanna FONTANA Palermo, Italy. Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia [email protected] Romagna Regional Agency for Leila CASTIGLIONE Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani Department of Civil and Environmental 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Engineering, University of Catania, [email protected] Viale A. Doria 6, 95125 Catania, Italy. Gabriele FRENI [email protected] Centre for Studies on Urban Hydraulics Pietro COSENTINO c/o Department of Hydraulic Department of Chemistry and Physics Engineering and Environmental of the Earth and Applications to Applications, University of Palermo, Georesources and Natural Hazards, Viale delle Scienze Ed. 8, 90128 University of Palermo, V. Archirafi 26, Palermo, Italy. 90123 Palermo, Italy. [email protected] [email protected] Goffredo LA LOGGIA Giuseppe DI MAURO Department of Civil and Environmental Centre for Studies on Urban Hydraulics Engineering, University of Catania, c/o Department of Hydraulic Viale A. Doria 6, 95125 Catania, Italy. Engineering and Environmental [email protected] Applications, University of Palermo, Viale delle Scienze Ed. 8, 90128 Vincenzo FERRARA Palermo, Italy. Department of Geological Sciences, [email protected] University of Catania, C.so Italia 57, 95129 Catania, Italy. Stefano MARCHESI [email protected] Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia Javier FERRER POLO Romagna Regional Agency for WaterResourcesPlanningOffice,Júcar Environmental Protection, V.le Basin Agency, Environmental Ministry, Silvani 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Avenida Blasco Ibáñez, 48.3, 46021 [email protected] LISTOFCONTRIBUTORS xi Vittorio MARLETTO V. Curtatone 3, 00185 Roma, Italy. Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia [email protected] Romagna Regional Agency for Elsa E. MOREIRA Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani Department of Mathematics, Faculty of 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Sciences and Technology, New [email protected] University of Lisbon, Quinta da Torre, Gabriele MARRAS 2829-516 Caparica, Portugal. Agency of Flumendosa Basin, Via [email protected] Mameli 88, 09122 Cagliari, Italy. Antonella MORGILLO [email protected] Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia Raffaele MARTORANA Romagna Regional Agency for Department of Chemistry and Physics Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani of the Earth and Applications to 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Georesources and Natural Hazards, [email protected] University of Palermo, V. Archirafi 26, Dialecti PANGALOU 90123 Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Palermo, Italy. Water Resources Management, [email protected] National Technical University of Arcangela MATERA Athens, 9, Iroon Polytechniou str., 157 Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia 80, Athens, Greece. Romagna Regional Agency for [email protected] Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani Javier PAREDES ARQUIOLA 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. Department of Hydraulic and [email protected] Environmental Engineering, Giuseppe MENDICINO Polytechnic University of Valencia, Department of Soil Conservation, Camino de Vera S/n, 46021 University of Calabria, Via P. Bucci, Valencia, Spain. 41b, 87036 Arcavacata di Rende, [email protected] Cosenza, Italy. Ana A. PAULO [email protected] Agricultural Engineering Research Paolo MESSINA Center, Institute of Agronomy, Department of Chemistry and Physics Technical University of Lisbon, Tapada of the Earth and Applications to da Ajuda, 1349-017, Lisbon, Portugal. Georesources and Natural Hazards, [email protected] University of Palermo, V. Archirafi 26, Valentina PAVAN 90123 Palermo, Italy. Hydrometeorological Service, Emilia [email protected] Romagna Regional Agency for Giuseppina MONACELLI Environmental Protection, V.le Silvani Agency for Environmental Protection 6, 40122 Bologna, Italy. and Technical Services (APAT), [email protected]
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