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Methodology for Genetic Studies of Twins and Families PDF

502 Pages·1992·13.667 MB·English
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Methodology for Genetic Studies of Twins and Families NATO AS. Series Advanced Science Institutes Series A Series presenting the results of activities sponsored by the NA TO Science Committee, which aims at the dissemination of advanced scientific and technological knowledge, with a view to strengthening links between scientific communities. The Series is published by an international board of publishers in conjunction with the NATO Scientific Affairs Division A Life Sciences Plenum Publishing Corporation B Physics London and New York C Mathematical Kluwer Academic Publishers and Physical Sciences Dordrecht, Boston and London D Behavioural and Social Sciences E Applied Sciences F Computer and Systems Sciences Springer-Verlag G Ecological Sciences Berlin, Heidelberg, New York, London, H Cell Biology Paris and Tokyo I Global Environmental Change NATo-PCo-DATA BASE The electronic index to the NATO ASI Series provides full bibliographical references (with keywords and/or abstracts) to more than 30000 contributions from international scientists published in all sections of the NATO ASI Series. Access to the NATO-PCO-DATA BASE is possible in two ways: - via online FILE 128 (NATO-PCO-DATA BASE) hosted by ESRIN, Via Galileo Galilei, 1-00044 Frascati, Italy. - via CD-ROM "NATO-PCO-DATA BASE" with user-friendly retrieval software in English, French and German (© WTV GmbH and DATAWARE Technologies Inc. 1989). The CD-ROM can be ordered through any member of the Board of Publishers or through NATO-PCO, Overijse, Belgium. Series D: Behavioural and Social Sciences· Vol. 67 Methodology for Genetic Studies of Twins and Families by Michael C. Neale Department of Human Genetics, Medical College of Virginia, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, Virginia, U.S.A. and Lon R. Cardon Institute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A. Springer-Science+Business Media, B.V. Based on NATO, NFWO and NIMH funded Workshops taught in Leuven, Belgium (1987, 1989 and 1991) and Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A. (1990) ISBN 978-90-481-4179-1 ISBN 978-94-015-8018-2 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-015-8018-2 Printed an acid-free paper AII Rights Reserved © 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published byKluwer Academic Publishers in 1992 Softcover reprint of the hardcover lst edition 1992 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photo copying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner. Contents Preface xiii List of Figures xvii List of Tables xxi Contributing Authors xxv 1 The Scope of Genetic Analyses 1 1.1 Introduction and General Aims 1 1.2 Heredity and Variation . . . . . 2 1.2.1 Variation ....... . 2 1.2.2 Graphing and Quantifying Familial Resemblance 5 1.2.3 Within Family Differences . . . . . . . . 7 1.3 Building and Fitting Models. . . . . . . . . . . 10 1.4 The Elements of a Model: Causes of Variation 11 1.4.1 Genetic Effects ........ . 12 1.4.2 Environmental Effects . . . . . 13 1.4.3 Genotype-Environment Effects 17 1.5 Relationships between Variables. . . . 23 1.5.1 The Contribution of Genes and Environment to the Correla- tion between Variables. . . . . . . . . 24 1.5.2 Analyzing the Direction of Causation 25 1.5.3 Analyzing Developmental Change 26 1.6 The Context of our Approach . . . . . . . . 27 1.6.1 19th Century Origins ........ 27 1.6.2 Genetic, Factor, and Path Analysis . 29 1.6.3 Integration ofthe Biometrical and Path-Analytic Approaches 30 1.6.4 Development of Statistical Methods .............. 31 vi CONTENTS 2 Data Summary 35 2.1 Introduction. 35 2.2 Continuous Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2.2.1 Calculating Summary Statistics by Hand 36 2.2.2 Using PRELIS to Summarize Continuous Data 39 2.3 Ordinal Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.3.1 Univariate Normal Distribution of Liability . 42 2.3.2 Bivariate Normal Distribution of Liability .. 43 2.3.3 Testing the Normal Distribution Assumption 45 2.3.4 Terminology for Types of Correlation 49 2.3.5 Using PRELIS with Ordinal Data 49 2.4 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3 Biometrical Genetics 55 3.1 Introduction and Description of Terminology 55 3.2 Breeding Experiments: Gametic Crosses . 57 3.3 Derivation of Expected Twin Covariances 60 3.3.1 Equal Gene Frequencies .. 60 3.3.2 Unequal Gene Frequencies . 63 3.4 Summary ............. . 69 4 Matrix Algebra 71 4.1 Matrix Notation ..... . 71 4.2 Matrix Algebra Operations 73 4.2.1 Binary Operations . 73 4.2.2 Unary Operations 75 4.3 Equations in Matrix Algebra 80 4.4 Applications of Matrix Algebra 82 4.4.1 Calculation of Covariance Matrix from Data Matrix 82 4.4.2 Transformations of Data Matrices 83 4.4.3 Further Operations and Applications . 84 4.5 Exercises ........ . 85 4.5.1 Binary operations 85 4.5.2 Unary operations. 86 5 Path Analysis and Structural Equations 87 5.1 Introduction ............ . 87 5.2 Conventions Used in Path Analysis 88 5.3 Assumptions of Path Analysis . . . 90 5.4 Tracing Rules of Path Analysis . . 91 5.4.1 Tracing Rules for Standardized Variables 91 5.4.2 Tracing Rules for Unstandardized Variables 92 5.5 Path Models for Linear Regression .... 93 5.6 Path Models for the Classical Twin Study . . . . . 98 CONTENTS VB 5.6.1 Path Coefficients Model: Example of Standardized Tracing Rules ............................... 100 5.6.2 Variance Components Model: Example of Unstandardized Tracing Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 5.7 Identification of Models and Parameters . 104 5.8 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 6 LISREL Models and Methods 109 6.1 Introduction ..... · 109 6.2 The LISREL Model .... . · 110 6.3 Path Diagrams ........ . .112 6.3.1 Default Values for Parameter Matrices. .116 6.4 Submodels................... .117 6.4.1 Submodel 1: only x- and e-variables .. .118 6.4.2 Submodel 2: only y- and x-variables . . .118 6.4.3 Submodel 3A: only y-, TJ-, and e-variables · 119 6.4.4 Submodel 3B: only y- and TJ-variables .119 6.5 Twin Model Example ............ . .120 6.6 Practical Model Fitting .......... . · 122 6.6.1 Estimating Parameters ofthe Model · 122 6.6.2 Assessment of Fit. . . . . . . . . . . · 124 6.6.3 Tests of Hypotheses ........ . · 125 6.7 Problems with Analysis of Correlation Matrices .126 6.8 Multi-Sample Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . .129 7 Model Fitting Functions and Optimization 131 7.1 Introduction ................ . · 131 7.2 Fitting Models to Data ........... . · 132 7.3 Weighted Least Squares Fitting Functions .. · 134 7.3.1 Unweighted Least Squares Fitting Function (ULS) · 136 7.3.2 Generalized Least Squares (GLS) . · 137 7.3.3 Maximum Likelihood (ML) ....... . · 138 7.3.4 Fitting Functions Including Means ... . · 139 7.3.5 Weighted Least Squares (WLS) Revisited .139 7.3.6 Additional Fitting Functions: Modified ML, DWLS, and Fun- ctions for Raw Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 7.3.7 Goodness of Fit and the Principle of Parsimony. . . 142 7.4 Optimization .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 7.4.1 Introduction ............ . 143 7.4.2 Choice of Hessian Approximation. . 146 7.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 viii CONTENTS 8 Univariate Analysis 149 8.1 Introduction ......... . .149 8.2 Body Mass Index in Twins . · .. 150 8.3 Basic Genetic Model . . . . . · .. 153 8.4 LISREL 7 Example: Path Coefficients Model · .. 156 8.4.1 Building a LISREL 7 script ..... . .157 8.4.2 Interpreting LISREL 7 Output . . . . . 163 8.5 LISREL 8 Example: The Variance Components Model. .166 8.5.1 Building a LISREL 8 Script .. .167 8.5.2 Interpreting LISREL 8 Output . 168 8.6 Interpreting Results of Model-fitting . .170 8.7 Testing the Equality of Means . . . . . · .. 172 8.8 Incorporating Data from Singleton Twins · .. 175 8.9 Conclusions: Genetic Analyses of BMI Data. .177 8.10 Fitting Genetic Models to Binary Data ... · .. 178 8.10.1 Major Depressive Disorder in Twins · .. 179 8.11 Model for Age-Correction of Twin Data .182 9 Power and Sample Size 189 9.1 Factors Contributing to Power ..................... 189 9.2 Steps in Power Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 9.2.1 Example: The Power of the Classical Twin Study to Detect the Shared Environment . . . . 192 9.3 Loss of Power with Ordinal Data .. 194 9.4 Exercises ... .196 10 Social Interaction 199 10.1 Introduction to Recursive Models . .199 10.2 Background . . . . . . . . · .. 199 10.3 Sibling Interaction Model ..... . .201 10.4 Application to CBC Data . . . . . .203 10.5 Consequences for Variation and Covariation .205 10.5.1 Derivation of Expected Covariances .205 10.5.2 Numerical illustration ..... .208 11 Sex-limitation and G X E Interaction 211 11.1 Introduction .............. . .211 11.2 Sex-limitation Models ........ . .212 11.2.1 General Model for Sex-limitation .212 11.2.2 Restricted Models for Sex-limitation · .. 217 11.3 Sex-limitation in Body Mass Index . . · .. 220 11.4 Genotype x Environment Interaction ... . · .. 223 11.4.1 Models for G x E Interactions .. . .223 11.5 G x E Analysis of Marital Status and Depression. · .. 226 CONTENTS ix 12 Multivariate Analysis 231 12.1 Introduction ...................... . . 231 12.2 Phenotypic Factor Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .232 12.2.1 Exploratory and Confirmatory Factor Models .232 12.2.2 Building a Phenotypic Factor Model LISREL Script .233 12.2.3 Fitting a Phenotypic Factor Model .234 12.3 Simple Genetic Factor Models . . . . . . . . . . .237 12.3.1 Multivariate Genetic Factor Model ... .237 12.3.2 Fitting the Multivariate Genetic Model .238 12.3.3 Alternate Representation of the Multivariate Genetic Factor Model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .243 12.3.4 Fitting a Second Genetic Factor ..... . 245 12.4 Multiple Genetic Factor Models. . . . . . . . . . . 248 12.4.1 Genetic and Environmental Correlations. . 248 12.4.2 Cholesky Decomposition . . . . . . . . . . . 249 12.4.3 Analyzing Genetic and Environmental Correlations . . 250 12.5 Common vs. Independent Pathway Genetic Models . . 253 12.5.1 Independent Pathway Model for Atopy. . 254 12.5.2 Common Pathway Model for Atopy ..... . 257 13 Direction of Causation 261 13.1 Introduction ..... . 261 13.2 Models for Data from Unrelated Individuals: Instrumental Variables Method ....... . . . . . . . . . . . . . .263 13.3 Modeling Causation with Data from Twins . . . . . . . . . . 265 13.3.1 The Principle of the Method ............. . 265 13.3.2 LISREL Script for the Direction of Causation Model . 267 13.4 General Bivariate Models ............. . 269 13.5 Considerations in Causal Models . . . . . . . . . . 273 13.5.1 Data Simulation under the Causal Model . 273 13.5.2 Fitting False Models to Simulated Data . 276 13.5.3 Discussion of Simulation Exercise. . . 277 13.6 Application to Alcohol Data. . . . . . . . . . 279 13.7 Multivariate Direction of Causation Models . 285 13.8 Concluding Remarks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 14 Repeated Measures 289 14.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ......... . 289 14.2 Phenotypic Simplex Model ........... ......... . 290 14.2.1 Formulation of the Phenotypic Simplex Model in LISREL . 291 14.3 Genetic Simplex Model .................... . 296 14.3.1 LISREL Formulation of the Genetic Simplex Model . 296 14.3.2 Application to Longitudinal Data on Weight .... . 297 x CONTENTS 14.3.3 Application of Common Factor Model to Longitudinal Twin Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 14.4 Problems with Repeated Measures Data . 303 14.5 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303 15 Longitudinal Mean Trends 305 15.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305 15.2 Genetic Analysis of Longitudinal Trends in Mean . . 305 15.2.1 Assumptions of the Model. . . . . . . . . . . 306 15.2.2 Building a LISREL Script for Longitudinal Means . 308 15.2.3 Application to data on weight. . 309 15.3 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311 16 Observer Ratings 313 16.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 16.2 Models for Multiple Rating Data . 315 16.2.1 Rater Bias Model. . . 315 16.2.2 Psychometric Model . . 317 16.2.3 Biometric Model . . . . 318 16.2.4 Comparison of Models .320 16.3 Application to Data from the Child Behavior Checklist. · 321 16.3.1 Subjects and Methods .... . · 321 16.3.2 Results of Model-Fitting ... . .322 16.3.3 Discussion of CBC Application .324 17 Assortment and Cultural Transmission 329 17.1 Introduction to the Twin-Parent Design .329 17.2 Social Homogamy Model ........ . .330 17.2.1 LISREL Formulation of the Model · 331 17.3 Phenotypic Assortment Model. .334 17.3.1 Reverse Path Analysis ...... . .334 17.3.2 Parameter Constraints ...... . .336 17.3.3 LISREL 8 Specification of the Model. .337 17.3.4 Employing Constraints in LISREL . .343 17.3.5 Writing the Constraints in LISREL .. .345 17.4 Illustration of Twin-Parent Models . . . . . . .346 17.4.1 Phenotypic Assortment Model Results .346 17.4.2 Social Homogamy Model Results .348 17.5 Summary ................... . .350

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