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Int. J. Radiat. Biol., Vol. 87, No. 7, July 2011, pp. 645–652 Meta-analysis of non-tumour doses for radiation-induced cancer on the basis of dose-rate HIROSHI TANOOKA Radiation Effects Association, 1-9-16 Kaji-cho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, and National Institute of Radiological Sciences, 4-9-1 Anagawa, Inage-ku, Chiba, Japan (Received 6 July 2010; Revised 26 November 2010; Accepted 2 December 2010) Abstract Purpose: Quantitative analysis ofcancer risk ofionising radiationas a functionof dose-rate. Materialsandmethods: Non-tumourdose,D ,definedasthehighestdoseofradiationatwhichnostatisticallysignificant nt tumourincrease was observedabove thecontrol level, was analysed asa function ofdose-rate ofradiation. Results: AninversecorrelationwasfoundbetweenD anddose-rateoftheradiation.D increased20-foldwithdecreasing nt nt dose-rate from 1–1078 Gy/min for whole body irradiation with low linear energy transfer (LET) radiation. Partial body radiationalsoshowedadose-ratedependencewitha5-to10-foldlargerD asdoseratedecreased.Thedose-rateeffectwas nt alsofound for highLETradiation but at10-fold lowerD levels. nt Conclusions: The cancer risk of ionising radiation varies 1000-fold depending on the dose-rate of radiation and exposure conditions. Thisanalysis explains thediscrepancy ofcancer risk between A-bomb survivorsand radium dial painters. Keywords: radiation cancer risk, non-tumour dose, dose-rate effectiveness factor (DDREF) for cancer risk was Introduction determined as 2–10 depending on the target organ Thedose-rateofionisingradiationthathumanshave (NCRP 1980, International Commission on Radi- been exposed to from natural to accidental radiation ological Protection [ICRP] 1991, UNSCEAR 1993, sources varies over a wide range from 1079 to 107 NRPB 1995). The application of the linear non- Gy/min.Radiationdose-rateaffectsthemagnitudeof threshold (LNT) model, based on the apparently cancer risk even for the same total dose, and in linear dose-response relation of cancer mortality addition changes the shape of the dose-response obtained from extremely high dose-rate cases of A- curve. For assessment of cancer risks of ionising bombsurvivors,wasrecommendedfortheestimation radiation resulting from different exposure condi- ofthecancerriskoflowdoseradiationforprotection tions,ideally,asetofdoseresponsecurvesisneeded purposes (NCRP 2001, Brenner et al. 2003, BEIR for each dose-rate. VII2005,ICRP2006);however,theLNTmodelwas Currently, the estimation of human cancer risk questioned for its validity from experimental and from low doses of radiation is an important problem epidemiological evidence (Kondo 1993, Acade´mie anddatahavebeenextensivelyreviewed(Committee des Sciences 1997, Tanooka 2001, Tubiana et al. on the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation 2006, Feinendegen et al. 2007). The history of the [BEIR]/National Research Council [NRC], United LNTmodelexplainshowtheideaofatolerancedose Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Ato- waschangedtothelinearityconceptbyincorporating mic Radiation [UNSCEAR] 1986, 2000, National theviewofthegeneticist(Calabrese2009).However, Council on Radiological Protection and Measure- arecentreviewofnewbiologicalandepidemiological ments[NCRP]1980,BEIRV1990,BEIRVII2005, data still adopted the LNT model (Mullenders et al. National Radiological Protection Board [NRPB] 2009). Whatever the model, there exists both linear 1995, Duport 2003). The dose and dose-rate and threshold type dose-response relations for Correspondence:HiroshiTanooka,RadiationEffectsAssociation,1-9-16Kaji-cho,Chiyoda-ku,Tokyo,Japan.E-mail:[email protected] ISSN0955-3002print/ISSN1362-3095online(cid:2)2011InformaUK,Ltd. DOI:10.3109/09553002.2010.545862 646 H. Tanooka radiation-induced cancers in experimental and epi- have resulted in a lower estimate of dose-rate and a demiological data. For example, the shape of the higher estimate of D , provided that the radiation nt dose-response curve for cancer incidence may con- dose given only in the first half of the exposure time formtoalineartypeforleukemiaandsolidcancersin waseffectivefortumourinduction.However,correc- A-bombsurvivors(Chomentowskietal.2000),while tion for this gave little change in the plot of D nt it is non-linear, or even threshold-like, for bone versus dose-rate on a bi-logarithmic scale. tumours in radium dial painters (Rowland et al. 1978) and liver tumours in thorotrast-injected Results and discussion patients (Anderson and Storm 1992). This discre- pancy remained still to be explained. Numerical values for D and corresponding dose- nt In a previous study, non-tumour dose, D , was rates obtained from various tumour systems are nt defined as the highest dose at which no statistically listedinTableI.Thesevaluesweredividedintofour significant tumour increase was observed above the groups, i.e., whole body irradiation with low LET control level. It was proposed as a measure of the and high LET radiation and partial body irradiation upper limit of radiation dose for non-detectable with low LET and high LET radiation, respectively. cancer and D values were surveyed for in the Figure 1 shows a plot of D against dose-rate on a nt nt literature. The results showed that D depended on bi-logarithmic scale and regression lines fitted to the nt exposure conditions, i.e., acute, protracted, and datafordose-ratesbelow1Gy/min.Acleardose-rate chronic exposures for whole body and partial body dependence of D is seen for the four exposure nt radiation for either low linear energy transfer (LET) patterns. or high LET radiation, respectively, with an inverse For whole body irradiation with low LET radia- correlation between D and dose-rate (Tanooka tion, D increased when lowering the dose-rate nt nt 2001). The present study aimed to show the dose- below 1 Gy/min and became 20-fold higher at 1078 rate dependence of D more quantitatively as a Gy/min (Figure 1a). Only one point for humans was nt function of the dose-rate of radiation. availableforthehighdose-rate107Gy/min,basedon the assumption that the A-bomb radiation was delivered in 1 msec. It appeared that D is constant Data base nt for dose-rates between 1 and 107 Gy/min, as shown Dose-response data covering ionising radiation ex- by the horizontal line in Figure 1a. For high LET posuresfromnon-tumourtotumour-inducingdoses irradiation of the whole body, there were few data were surveyed in the literature and are listed in available, but the dose-rate dependence of D was nt Table I. These include D values, and correspond- seenatalevelabout10-to20-foldlowerthanforlow nt ing dose-rates of radiation in mice, rats, dogs, and LET radiation, although high LET radiation has humans with different tumour types obtained under been considered to have no dose-rate effect. different exposure conditions. Data in the previous For partial body irradiation, the dose-rate depen- study(Tanooka2001)andadditionaldatawereused dence of D was again seen for both low LET and nt for the present quantitative analysis. The data highLETradiation(Figure1b).Dose-response data numbers in the previous study were unchanged for for dose-rates higher than 10 Gy/min were not the convenience of comparison. available in the literature. The D level of partial nt bodyradiationwasabout5-to10-foldhigherforlow LETradiationsand3-to5-foldhigherforhighLET Estimation of dose-rate radiations than those for whole body radiation. Thevaluesforthedose-ratewereobtainedfromeach At an extremely high dose-rate for whole body published paper. For external radiation, the dose- radiation,A-bombsurvivordata(Shimizuetal.1990) rate was clearly presented in the literature either for gave a D of 0.2 Gy for leukemia mortality; while nt whole body or partial body exposures. However, for mouse data from nuclear detonation experiments at internal radiation from radioactive nuclides, the similar dose-rates showed a significant increase in estimation of dose-rate required assumptions and pituitary and Harderian gland tumours at the same calculations depending on whether internal radio- dose, 0.2 Gy (Furth et al. 1954). Consequently, activenuclidesweredistributedinthewholebodyor humans seem to be more tolerant to radiation than depositedpartiallyinthetargetorgan.Moreover,the miceandtheregressionlinesdrawnfromanimaldata radioactivity decayed with time and the radioactive may under-estimate D for humans. D values, for nt nt nuclide was cleared from the body. In the present partial body high-LET radiation to radium dial analysis,anaveragedose-ratewasestimatedfromthe painters (Rowland et al. 1973, 1978) and thoro- total dose divided by the exposure time or, when a trast-injected patients (Anderson and Storm 1992), decay curve was available, an average dose-rate over weremuchlargerthanthoseforexperimentalanimals the 70%decaytimewastaken. Thiscalculation may (Figure 1b), again indicating a higher radiation Non-tumour dose and dose-rate 647 er d) or ue &St ontin h h (c c c Reference Ullrichetal.(1976)00 00 00 Ullrich&Storer(1979a)Ullrichetal.(1976),Ullri&Storer(1979a)Ullrichetal.(1976),Ullri(1979b)00 00 Ullrich&Storer(1979c)00 00 Ullrichetal.(1979)00 Ullrich(1983)00 00 Ullrich(1984)Maisinetal.(1983)DiMajoetal.(1986)Covellietal.(1988) 00 Albertetal.(1972)Hulse&Mole(1969)Bartsraetal.(2000)Leeetal.(1982)Burnsetal.(1975,1993)Burnsetal.(1975)Burnsetal.(1978)Shimizuetal.(1990) Finkeletal.(1959)Yamamotoetal.(1998)Leeetal.(1982)Dudoignonetal.(1999)Morlieretal.(1994) urGy o 5 n-tumeD,nt 0.10.10.250.250.25*34 0.1 0.2520.10.50.52.50.10.10.10.020.0520.50.64 0.040.8601110200.75*0.2 200.713.310.19 Nodos * * urdose,D.nt Dose-rate,Gy/min 0.450.450.450.450.450.45 0.45 0.450.450.45575.8106575.810642751060.40.427510657710641.3276106 571.71065.55.5,split4741062.555,split1.3881106 572106776.4106471.7106477106573106 o m u n-t e-rateofradiationandno Tumour thymiclymphomaHarderiantumouruterinetumourmammarytumourmyeloidluekemiareticulumcellsarcoma ovariantumour pituitarytumourlungadenomathymiclymphoma00 ovariantumourlungadenoma00 lungadenocarcinomaovariantumour00 00 thymiclymphomahepatocellularcarcinomasolidtumour,malignantlymphoma00 skintumour00 mammarycarcinomathyroidadenomaskintumour00 00 leukemia bonesarcomathymiclymphomathyroidadenomalungtumour00 s o D I. e dd Tabl aRadiation WB-rayg00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 WB-ray,protractedg00 PBX-rayPBneutronWB-rayg00 WBfissionneutron252WBCfneutronWB-raygWBX-ray00 WBneutronPBelectronPBrayfractionatedbWB-ray,fractionatedgPBX-rayPB-raybPBelectronPBprotonWBray,neutrong 90PBSr-ray,injectedb3WBH-ray,oralb131PBI-ray,injectedb237PBNp-ray,inhaleb222PBRn-ray,inhalea D C wley vivor wley RFM/Un00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 BALB/c00 00 00 00 BC3F100 00 SwissCBA/HWAG/RijLong-EvansSprague-Da00 00 A-bombsur CF1BC3F1Long-EvansSprague-Da00 erSubject posureMouse00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 Rat00 00 00 00 HumanexposureradiationMouse00 Rat00 00 anumb cuteex Chronicnternal Dat I.A123456 7 89101112131415161718192021 222324252627282930II.1)I3132333435 648 H. Tanooka 78) 2) Reference Sandersetal.(1977)00 Sanders&Mahaffey(19Mays&Finkel(1980)Whiteetal.(1993)Hahnetal.(1999)Whiteetal.(1994)Rowlandetal.(1973)00 Anderson&Storm(199Rowlandetal.(1978) Uptonetal.(1970)00 Hulseetal.(1983)Ootsuyama&Tanooka(1991,1993)Thompson(1989) Nairetal.(1999) Chen&Wei(1990) Raabe(1984)Ishii-Ohbaetal.(2007)Inaetal.(2005) e e s s a a n-tumoureD,Gynt 0.250.050.18306.750.925*210 1.52.51640 8.6 ncerincre ncerincre 0.441*74 Nodos * * oca oca n n * * s h nt o Dose-rate,Gy/min 472.5106773.4106571.9106376106373.2106571.3106775106777106772.8106771.1106774.9106 573106675106272106y/week,6m 672106 871.3106 975.7106 777106175106572106 971.8106 G 5 1. Tumour 00 00 00 bonesarcoma00 lungtumourbonesarcoma00 00 livercancerbonesarcoma myeloidleukemia00 skintumour00 myeloproliferativedisease bonesarcomathymiclymphoma00 al aRadiation 238PBPuO-ray,inhaleda2239PBPuO-ray,inhaleda2244PBCmO-ray,inhaleda290PBSr-ray,injectedb00 144PBSr-ray,inhaledb226PBRa-ray,injecteda00 228PBRa-ray,injectedb232PBThO-ray,injecteda2226228PBRaRa,orabþþ WB-rayg00 204PBTl-ray,skinb90907PBSrY-ray,skinb WB-ray,continuousg 00 00 226PBRa-rayaWB-rayg00 diation.ne. ranli ued). Subject 00Wister0000 0000 Dogbeagle0000 0000 0000 0000 0000 Humanthorotrastpatient00dialpainterationMouseRFM/Unmale00RFM/Unfemale00CBA/H00ICR Dogbeagle HumanhighradiationbackgroundareainIndia00highradiationbackgroundareainChina DogbeagleMouseC.B-1700C57BL/6j dyradiation.PB:Partialbodyncalculationfortheregressio TableI.(Contin Datanumber 36373839404142434445462)Externalradi47484950 51 52 53 Dataadded545556Naturalbackgroundradiationlevel aWB:Wholebo*Notincludedi Non-tumour dose and dose-rate 649 Figure1.Non-tumourdose,D ,plottedasafunctionofthedose-rateofradiation.(a)Wholebodyradiation.(b)Partialbodyradiation. nt Blocksymbols,lowLET;opensymbols,highLET.Mouse(.,(cid:2));rat(~,~);dog(&,¤);human,whole-bodylowLET(H);andhuman, partialbodyhighLET(h).ArrowsindicateD higher.Numbersaffixedtoeachpointaredatanumbers(seeTableI). nt tolerance of humans. The other extreme case is the in space (Horneck et al. 2003) is also shown in absence of thymic lymphoma induction in mice Figure 2, indicating a value close to D even with a nt irradiated at 261075 mGy/min with a total whole radiation shield. The cancer risk of medical exam- bodydoseof7.2Gy;whereas,acuteradiationgivenin ination with computer tomography (CT) has been fourfractionswiththesametotaldoseyieldeda90% analysedonthe basis ofwhole-bodydataofA-bomb tumour incidence (Ina et al. 2005), as was originally survivors(BerringtondeGonzalezandDarby2004); foundintheearlyexperimentsofKaplanandBrown however, this risk should have been analysed on the (1952). basis of partial body data. The highest possible dose Fractionationofradiationdoseatafixeddose-rate forCTwasstillfarlowerthanthecorrespondingD . nt within a defined time interval lowers cancer in- Recently, Tubiana et al. (in press) reported the dose cidence, as shown in the induction of skin tumours response of second cancer incidence after radiation by local irradiation in rats (Burns et al. 1973, 1975, therapy with a D of about 1 Gy based on a large nt 1993). However, fractionation necessarily involves number of patients. This study provides important repetitive irradiations, which results in a tumour- data on human exposure to partial body low LET enhancing effect as seen for mouse thymic lympho- radiation. ma induction (Kaplan and Brown 1952) and also in Therearedifferencesintheradiationsensitivityof mouse skin tumour induction (Ootsuyama and tumour induction, depending on the type of tumour Tanooka1991).Itshouldbenotedthattherepetitive and host sensitivity. D is much smaller in repair- nt treatment is efficient for chemical induction of deficient mice compared to wild-type mice (Ishii- tumours. This contradictory effect should be con- Ohbaetal.2007),indicatingthattheregressionlines sidered in analysing the dose-rate effect. represent the wild-type character of the hosts. Figure 2 summarises the regression lines for the Currently, a large scale life-time exposure of mice four exposure patterns. These four lines are thought toexternalgrays withgradeddose-rates from1–800 to cover all possible radiation exposure cases and mGy per 22 h a day (dose-rate: 7.561076 7 hopefullytoserveasameasureofcancerriskforany 661073 Gy/min, total dose for 3 years: 1.1 – 876 exposure situation inthe human environment. Total Gy) together with control mice is being conducted whole body radiation doses received over 70 years andchromosomeaberrationdatahavebeenreported from the natural environment high background (Tanaka et al. 2009). Such experiments will give radiation areas in Kerala, India (Nair et al. 1999) more accurate data for the effect of dose-rate on andYanjiang,China(ChenandWei1991)aremuch tumour induction. Further data will be needed to smallerthanD fortherespectivedose-ratesineach cover the whole dose-rate range for tumour nt district (Figure 2). The radiation dose to astronauts induction. 650 H. Tanooka Figure2.Summaryofregressionlinesfornon-tumourdose,D ,versusdose-rateofradiation.Regressionlinesfordose-raterangefrom nt 1078to1Gy/min:wholebodylowLET,Y¼0.258X70.141,R2¼0.320;wholebodyhighLET,Y¼0.0207X70.0733,R2¼0.781;partial bodylowLET,Y¼2.69X70.0857,R2¼0.147;partialbodyhighLET;Y¼0.0439X70.167,R2¼0.303.Bars:radiationdosesreceivedby residentsinnatural(NB)andhighbackgroundareasinKerala,India,andYanjiang,China,over70years.CT:possiblehighestdoseto patientsunderCTexamination.Space:possiblehighestdoseinspaceusinga10g/cm2shieldforsixmonths.Dottedverticallinesindicate thedifferencebetweenexposuredoseandcorrespondingD value. nt University of Paris, France, for providing me with Summary valuable data prior to publishing. Meta-analysisofthenon-tumourdose,D ,ofionising nt radiation showed a clear dependence on dose-rate Declaration of interest: The author reports no over a wide range for four exposure conditions, i.e., conflicts of interest. 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