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RESEARCHARTICLE Meta-Analysis and Cost Comparison of Empirical versus Pre-Emptive Antifungal Strategies in Hematologic Malignancy Patients with High-Risk Febrile Neutropenia MonicaFung1,2☯*,JaneKim3‡,FranciscoM.Marty2,4,5‡,MichaëlSchwarzinger6,7,8‡, SophiaKoo2,4,5☯ 1 BethIsraelDeaconessMedicalCenter,DepartmentofInternalMedicine,Boston,Massachusetts,United StatesofAmerica,2 HarvardMedicalSchool,Boston,Massachusetts,UnitedStatesofAmerica,3 Harvard T.H.ChanSchoolofPublicHealth,DepartmentofHealthPolicyandManagement,Boston,Massachusetts, UnitedStatesofAmerica,4 BrighamandWomen’sHospital,DivisionofInfectiousDiseases,Boston, Massachusetts,UnitedStatesofAmerica,5 Dana-FarberCancerInstitute,Boston,Massachusetts,United StatesofAmerica,6 TranslationalHealthEconomicsNetwork,Paris,France,7 DecisionSciencesin InfectiousDisease:Prevention,Control,andCare,INSERM,IAME,Paris,France,8 UniversitéParisDiderot, IAME,Paris,France OPENACCESS ☯Theseauthorscontributedequallytothiswork. ‡Theseauthorsalsocontributedequallytothiswork. Citation:FungM,KimJ,MartyFM,SchwarzingerM, *[email protected] KooS(2015)Meta-AnalysisandCostComparisonof EmpiricalversusPre-EmptiveAntifungalStrategiesin HematologicMalignancyPatientswithHigh-Risk FebrileNeutropenia.PLoSONE10(11):e0140930. Abstract doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 Editor:DavidNFredricks,FredHutchinsonCancer Center,UNITEDSTATES Received:July21,2015 Background Accepted:October1,2015 Invasivefungaldisease(IFD)causessignificantmorbidityandmortalityinhematologic Published:November10,2015 malignancypatientswithhigh-riskfebrileneutropenia(FN).Thesepatientsthereforeoften receiveempiricalantifungaltherapy.Diagnostictest-guidedpre-emptiveantifungaltherapy Copyright:©2015Fungetal.Thisisanopen accessarticledistributedunderthetermsofthe hasbeenevaluatedasanalternativetreatmentstrategyinthesepatients. CreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermits unrestricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninany medium,providedtheoriginalauthorandsourceare credited. Methods DataAvailabilityStatement:Allrelevantdataare Weconductedanelectronicsearchforliteraturecomparingempiricalversuspre-emptive withinthepaperanditsSupportingInformationfiles. antifungalstrategiesinFNamongadulthematologicmalignancypatients.Wesystemati- Funding:SophiaKooissupportedbyK23AI097225 callyreviewed9studies,includingrandomized-controlledtrials,cohortstudies,andfeasibil- fromtheNationalInstituteofAllergyandInfectious itystudies.Randomandfixed-effectmodelswereusedtogeneratepooledrelativerisk Diseases(http://www.niaid.nih.gov/).Thefunderhad estimatesofIFDdetection,IFD-relatedmortality,overallmortality,andratesanddurationof noroleinstudydesign,datacollectionandanalysis, decisiontopublish,orpreparationofthemanuscript. antifungaltherapy.HeterogeneitywasmeasuredviaCochran’sQtest,I2statistic,and MichaëlSchwarzingerisemployedbythecompany betweenstudyτ2.Incorporatingtheseparametersanddirectcostsofdrugsanddiagnostic TranslationalHealthEconomicsNetwork.Thisfunder testing,weconstructedacomparativecostingmodelforthetwostrategies.Weconducted providedsupportintheformofsalaryforDr. probabilisticsensitivityanalysisonpooledestimatesandone-waysensitivityanalyseson Schwarzinger,butdidnothaveanyadditionalrolein thestudydesign,datacollectionandanalysis, otherkeyparameterswithuncertainestimates. PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 1/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever decisiontopublish,orpreparationofthemanuscript. Results Thespecificrolesofthisauthorarearticulatedinthe ‘authorcontributions’section. Ninepublishedstudiesmetinclusioncriteria.Comparedtoempiricalantifungaltherapy, pre-emptivestrategieswereassociatedwithsignificantlylowerantifungalexposure(RR CompetingInterests:MichaëlSchwarzingeris 0.48,95%CI0.27–0.85)anddurationwithoutanincreaseinIFD-relatedmortality(RR0.82, employedbythecompanyTranslationalHealth EconomicsNetwork.Thisdoesnotaltertheauthors' 95%CI0.36–1.87)oroverallmortality(RR0.95,95%CI0.46–1.99).Thepre-emptivestrat- adherencetoPLOSONEpoliciesonsharingdata egycost$324less(95%credibleinterval-$291.88to$418.65pre-emptivecomparedto andmaterials. empirical)thantheempiricalapproachperFNepisode.However,thecostdifferencewas influencedbyrelativelysmallchangesincostsofantifungaltherapyanddiagnostictesting. Conclusions Comparedtoempiricalantifungaltherapy,pre-emptiveantifungaltherapyinpatientswith high-riskFNmaydecreaseantifungalusewithoutincreasingmortality.Wedemonstratea stateofeconomicequipoisebetweenempiricalanddiagnostic-directedpre-emptiveanti- fungaltreatmentstrategies,influencedbysmallchangesincostofantifungaltherapyand diagnostictesting,inthecurrentliterature.Thisworkemphasizestheneedforoptimization ofexistingfungaldiagnosticstrategies,developmentofmoreefficientdiagnosticstrategies, andlesstoxicandmorecost-effectiveantifungals. Introduction Invasivefungaldisease(IFD)isanimportantcauseofmorbidityanddeathinhematologic malignancyorhematopoieticstem-celltransplantation(HSCT)patientswithhigh-riskfebrile neutropenia(FN)[1–6].Theseinfectionsconferasubstantialeconomicburdendueto increasedhospitalstaysanddrugcosts[7,8]. PromptinitiationofappropriateantifungaltherapyearlyinthecourseofIFDreducesIFD- relatedmortality.BecauseoftheconsequencesofnottreatingIFDearlyandlimitationsin existingIFDdiagnosticmethods,manypatientswithhigh-riskneutropeniaandpersistentor recurrentfeversdespitebroad-spectrumantibiotictherapyreceiveempiricantifungaltherapy [4,9]. EarlyIFDdiagnosisremainschallengingbecauseofthelowsensitivityandspecificityof clinicalsymptoms,microbiologicalcultures,andradiologictoolsforIFD.Non-culture-based techniqueshavebeendevelopedtoidentifyAspergillusspeciesandotherfungi,includingdetec- tionofcirculatingAspergillusgalactomannan[10–12]andfungal(1!3)-β-D-glucanantigens [13–15],andpolymerasechainreaction(PCR)assaystargetingAspergillusnucleicacid sequences[16].Thesetests,inconjunctionwithhigh-resolutionchestcomputedtomography (CT),arefrequentlyusedtodiagnoseIFDinpatientswithhigh-riskFN[17,18]. GiventhesedevelopmentsinIFDdiagnostictestingandthetoxicityandcostsofprolonged antifungalexposure,diagnostictest-guidedpre-emptiveantifungaltherapyhasbeenevaluated asanalternativestrategytoempiricalantifungaltherapy.Reservingantifungaltherapyforthe subsetofpatientswhohaveearlyevidenceofIFDbycarefulclinicalassessmentsandserialfun- galbiomarkerevaluationsmightreduceantifungaldruguseanditsattendanttoxicityandcosts withoutincreasingIFD-relatedmorbidityormortality. Studiesofvaryingdesignhaveevaluatedthefeasibilityandclinicaleffectivenessofempirical andpre-emptiveapproachesforantifungaltherapyinFNpatients[19–23].Here,weuseasys- tematicapproachtosummarizetheexistingliteratureonIFDoutcomesandantifungaluse PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 2/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever withempiricalversuspre-emptiveantifungalstrategiesinhematologicmalignancyandHSCT patientswithhigh-riskFN,andincorporatethesedataintoadecisionanalysismodeltocom- paretherelativeeconomicburdenofthesetwostrategies. Methods SystematicReview/Meta-Analysis Wesearchedelectronicallyforpublishedorpubliclypresentedscientificliteraturecomparing empiricalandpre-emptivestrategiesfortreatingadulthematologypatientswithhigh-riskFN [9].UsingPubMed,wesearchedforcombinationsoftermsincluding“invasivefungaldisease,” “hematologicmalignancy,”“pre-emptive,”“diagnostic-directed,”“febrileneutropenia,”and “antifungal”tofindpublishedliteraturefromJanuary1990toJune2015.Amanualsearchof thereferencelistsofselectarticleswasalsoconducted.Wesearchedforabstractsfrommajor scientificmeetings,includingtheInterscienceConferenceonAntimicrobialAgentsandChe- motherapy,InfectiousDiseasesWeekConference,andtheInfectiousDiseaseSocietyofAmer- ica(IDSA),AmericanSocietyofClinicalOncology,andAmericanSocietyofHematology AnnualMeetings.Forconferenceabstractsmeetingoursearchcriteria,postersorpresentations werereviewedtofacilitatedataabstraction.Thisstudyisnotincludedinasystematicreview registry. Datawereextractedindependentlybyprimaryresearchers,andcross-checkedbyother investigators.OutcomesmeasuredincludedIFDdetection,IFD-relatedmortality,andratesof “pre-IFDdiagnosis”empiricalantifungaltherapy,definedasantifungaltherapyadministered priortothestartoftreatmentforincidentprobableorprovenIFD[24].Whentheseoutcomes werenotexplicitlyreportedintheprimaryliterature,wecalculatedtheseparametersusing reporteddata.WeusedMantel-Haenszel(M-H)fixed-effectsandDersimonian-Laird(D-L) randomeffectsmodelstogeneratepooledestimatesofoutcomes,representedasrelativerisks (RR)and95%confidenceintervals(95%CI)comparingpre-emptivetoempiricalstrategies. WeassessedheterogeneitybycalculatingCochran'sQ,I-squared,andthebetween-study variancetau-squared.Biaswasassessedatthestudylevel.Specifically,weusedtheCochrane Collaboration’s“RiskofBias”tooltoassessbiasinrandomizedcontrolledstudiesandtheNew- castle-OttawaScaletoassessforriskofbiasedinnon-randomizedstudies.Asobservational studiesareathigherriskofbeingbiased,arestrictedanalysiswasconducted,onlyincluding morerobustrandomized-controlledstudies.AllstatisticalanalyseswereconductedusingStata 13software. CostComparison Wecreatedadecisiontreemodel(TreeAgePro2015,TreeAgeSoftware,Inc,Williamstown, MA)andconductedacostanalysiscomparingtwostrategiesforantifungaltherapyamong neutropenicpatientswithhematologicmalignancyorHSCTathighriskforIFD:(1)anempir- ical(fever-directed)approach,inwhichpatientsfebrileafter4daysofbroad-spectrumantibi- oticsstartempiricalantifungals[9],and(2)apre-emptive(diagnostictest-based)approach,in whichpatientsstartpre-emptiveantifungaltherapyiftheydevelopapositiveserumgalacto- mannantestandpneumoniaonchestimaging.Patientsinbothgroupsreceivesubsequent treatmentantifungalsiftheydevelopincidentprovenorprobableIFD[24].Specifically,we reporttheincrementalcostdifference(in2014U.S.dollars)ofpre-emptiveversusempirical treatmentstrategiesperpatientwithaprolongedFNepisode(startingat>4days)for(a)the pre-emptiveorempiricalperiodaloneand(b)theoveralltreatmentperiod,includingtreat- mentofincidentprovenorprobableIFD. PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 3/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Fig1showsthestructureofourcostcomparisonmodel.Basedonourmeta-analysis,we assumednodifferenceinoverallIFD-relatedmorbidityormortalitybetweenthegroups.We alsoassumednodifferenceinthediagnostictestingstrategybutdidassumeadifferenceinthe detectionanddurationofpre-emptiveversusempiricalantifungalusepriortodiagnosisof incidentIFD(basedonpooledRRestimatesfromourmeta-analysis). Basedonoursystematicreviewandmeta-analysis,thediagnostictestingstrategyinboth groupsconsistedoftwoserumgalactomannantestsperweekofFNbeyond4daysandone high-resolutionchestCTperFNepisode.Basecasediagnostictestingassumptionsfactoredin therealitythatmanyempiricalstrategiesincorporatediagnostictesting[20].Neutropenia durationwasassumedtobe18daysinbothgroups[25–28],withinitiationofeitherempirical orpre-emptiveantifungaltherapyafterthefirst4days. AntifungalagentsinpatientswithprovenorprobableIFD,accordingto2008European OrganizationforResearchandTreatmentofCancer/MycosesStudyGroup(EORTC/MSG) consensusdefinitions[24],wereassumedtobethesameinthetwogroups.Thebasecase choiceanddistributionofantifungalagentsforempiricalandpre-emptivetherapyandfor treatmentofprovenorprobableIFDweredefinedbyIDSAtreatmentguidelinesfortreatment ofinvasiveaspergillosis[4,9]andbyagroupofInfectiousDiseasesphysiciansandclinical pharmacistswithexpertiseincaringforhematologyandHSCTpatientswithFNatBrigham andWomen’sHospitalandDana-FarberCancerInstitute.Thedurationoftreatmentforinci- dentIFDwasdefinedas12weeks(84days)[4,9].Importantly,toxicitywasnotincorporated intothismodelgivenevidencefromoursystematicreviewshowingnosignificantdifferencein amphotericin,echinocandin,orazole-relatedrenalorhepatictoxicitybetweenpatientsreceiv- ingantifungaltherapyonanempiricalorpre-emptivebasis[29,30]. Fig1.Costcomparisonmodelofempiricalversuspre-emptiveantifungaltherapyinhigh-riskneutropenicpatients. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.g001 PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 4/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Otherwise,pertherandomizedtrialsinoursystematicreview[26,31],baselinecharacteris- ticsofthetwoantifungaltherapygroups—age,gender,oncologicdiagnosis,andphaseofther- apy(induction,relapse,consolidation,andtransplantation)—wereassumedtobesimilar.We alsoassumedhealthcareutilizationandhealthoutcomesofthetwogroupsbeyondspecified differencesintheantifungaltherapeuticstrategyandmeasuredclinicaloutcomesweresimilar. Directcostsfordiagnosticimagingwerederivedfromapublicly-availabledatabaseon healthcarecosts[32].ThecostofserumgalactomannantestingwasderivedfromtheBrigham andWomen’sHospitalandDana-FarberCancerInstitutelaboratorycosts.Antifungaldrug costswerebasedonaveragewholesalepricefromtheRedBook[32]. Weconductedaprobabilisticsensitivityanalysis(second-orderMonteCarlosimulation) with10,000simulationsandlognormaldistributionsonpooledRRestimatesinourmodelto calculate95%credibleintervalsfortheincrementalcostdifferencebetweenpre-emptiveand empiricalantifungalstrategies.Wealsoconductedbest-andworst-caseanalysesarounddiag- nostictestingstrategyandantifungaldrugcosts(usingtheleastandmostcostlyantifungal agents).Finally,weconductedsensitivityanalysesusingonlyparametersderivedfromlarge randomizedcontrolledtrialsofempiricalversuspreemptiveantifungalstrategies. Results SystematicReview/Meta-Analysis Ourinitialqueryreturned172studies.Ofthese,tenpublishedarticlesmetourinclusioncrite- ria,presentingprimaryliteraturecomparingempiricalandpre-emptiveantifungaltreatment strategyinhematologicmalignancyorHSCTpatientswithhigh-riskFN.Onestudywasfur- therexcludedduetouncertaintyaboutdataquality(Fig2).Twopresentationsfrominfectious diseasesandmycologyconferencesmetourinclusioncriteria,butbothcorrespondedwithone ofthetenpublishedarticles[26,28].Table1summarizesthedesignofthesestudiesandTables 2and3summarizethemeta-analysisresultsofthesereports[26,28–31,34–37]. Oftheninereportsmeetingourinclusioncriteria,fivewererandomizedtrials,twowere prospectivefeasibilitystudies,onewasaprospectiveinterventionalstudy,andonewasaretro- spectivecohortstudy.Studieswerepublishedorpresentedbetween2005–2013,withdatacol- lectedfrom1998–2009.OurassessmentsoftheriskofbiasarepresentedinFigs3and4. Despitevaryinggeographicsites,thepatientpopulationsofthesestudiesincludedadultswith hematologicmalignancyundergoingintensivechemotherapyorHSCT Includedstudiesconsistentlydefinedempiricalantifungaltherapyastheinitiationofanti- fungaldrugsafteradefinednumberofconsecutivedayswithpersistentfebrileneutropenia. However,therewassignificantvariationinthetrigger(clinicalsymptoms,chestimaging, galactomannan,PCR,traditionalfungalcultures)forstartingantifungaltherapyinthepre- emptivestudygroups,presentinganothertypeofbias.Themajority(9of10)incorporated chestimagingfindingsintothetrigger.Theremainingstudy[34]usedapositivefungalPCRas theonlytriggerforinitiatingpre-emptivetherapy.Fungalbiomarkers,eithergalactomannan orfungalPCR,werealsoconsistentlyemployedinallstudiesaspartofthepre-emptive approach,althoughtherewasvariabilityinwhetheroneorbothwereapplied[26,31]. OfsevenstudiesthatmeasuredandreportedIFDdetection,twofoundasignificantlyhigher rateofIFDdetectioninthepre-emptivetherapygroup(Table2)[26,31].InthetrialbyMorri- seyandcolleagues,forexample,IFDdetectionratewas4.1%withempiricaland19.5%with pre-emptivemanagement.Comparedtostudiesthatdidnotfindasignificantdifferencein IFDdetectionbetweenthetwoantifungalstrategies,thosethatdidwerebetterpoweredto identifysuchadifferencewithlargersamplesizes.PooledRRforIFDdetectioncomparing pre-emptivetoempiricalstrategieswas1.70(95%CI1.12–2.57)usingaM-Hfixed-effects PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 5/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Fig2.PRISMAFlowDiagramofstudiesincludedinsystematicreviewandmeta-analysis. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.g002 modeland1.47(95%CI0.55–3.96)withaD-Lrandom-effectsmodel,suggestingpotentially increasedIFDdetectionwithpre-emptivestrategies(Fig5).Ofnote,therewassignificanthet- erogeneitybetweenstudiesinIFDdetection(Cochran’sQp=0.008;I2=71.3%;τ2=0.810). OfthefivestudiesreportingIFD-relatedmortality,nonefoundasignificantdifferencewith empiricalversuspre-emptivemanagement(Fig6)andtherewasnodifferenceinIFD-related mortalitypooledRRcomparingthetwogroups(M-HRR0.85,95%CI0.45–1.62;D-LRR 0.82,95%CI0.36–1.87).WefoundnosignificantheterogeneityamongindividualstudyRRsof IFD-relatedmortality(Cochran’sQp=0.306;I2=17.0%;τ2=0.132).Whileonestudyidenti- fiedasignificantdifferenceinoverallmortalitybetweenpre-emptiveandempiricalstrategies, PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 6/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Table1. Summaryofstudiescomparingempiricalversuspre-emptiveantifungaltherapyinhigh-riskfebrileneutropenicpatients. Study Design Population Study Empirical Pre-emptive Diagnostic Antifungal Primary Period Protocol Protocol Testing Endpoint Morrissey Open-label AUSTRALIA 9/ Antifungal Antifungaldrug GM2x/week; AmB,L-AmB, Antifungal 2013[31] randomized (n=240)Patients 2005- drugstarted startedaftera Nested Voriconazole treatment controlledtrial (cid:2)18years 11/ after singlepositive Aspergillus perAustralian within26 undergoing 2009 persistent GM,single PCR2x/week; consensus weeksof allogeneicHSCT feverfor(cid:2)3 positivePCR ChestCTafter guidelines enrollment orintensive consecutive result,orserially positiveGMor chemotherapyfor days negativeresultsin PCR AMLorALL patientswith characteristic chestCTfindings Cordonnier Open-label FRANCE 4/ Antifungal Antifungaldrug GM2x/week; AmB,L-AmB, Differencein 2009[26] randomized (n=293)Patients 2003– drugstarted startedafter4 ChestX-ray Caspofungin, mortality14 non-inferiority (cid:2)18yearswith 2/2006 after4daysof daysofpersistent followedby Voriconazole daysafter trial hematological persistent feverwithclinical/ ChestCT recoveryof malignancy feveror imaging- neutropeniaor scheduledfor recurrentfever documented after60daysof chemotherapyor after4days pneumoniaor studyinclusion autologousHSCT acutesinusitis, expectedtohave mucositis,septic prolonged shock,skinlesion neutropenia suggestingIFD, unexplainedCNS symptoms, periorbital inflammation, splenicorhepatic abscess,severe diarrhea, Aspergillus colonizationor positiveserumGM Hebart Open-label EUROPE 7/ Antifungal Antifungaldrug Non-nested L-AmB IFDDetection 2009[29] randomized (n=403)Patients 1998- drugstarted startedafter1 Aspergillusand 100daysafter controlledtrial undergoing 6/2001 after(cid:2)5days positivePCR CandidaPCR; transplant allogeneicHSCT offebrile resultordetection ChestCT; without neutropeniaor ofpulmonary AbdominalCT; amphotericin detectionof infiltrate Bloodcultures allergyorexisting pulmonary IFD infiltrate Blennow Open-label SWEDEN(n=99) 4/ No PositivePCR Non-nested L-AmB 100day 2010[34] randomized Patients 2002- intervention randomizedto Aspergillusand survival;1year trial undergoing 11/ AmB,patientswith Candidawhole IFDdetection; RIC-HSCTwithout 2006 persistentfever bloodPCR IFDriskfactors hypersensitivityto regardlessofPCR AmB result Tan2011 Open-label SINGAPORE 6/ Standardof Antifungalsstarted GM2x/week; Caspofungin, Proven/ [35] randomized (n=47,NE=52) 2006- care aftertwopositive ChestCTafter L-AmB,AmB, probableIFD trial Patients(cid:2)12 10/ accordingto GMx2and/or positiveGM Voriconazole yearswith 2007 institutional chestCT hematologic guidelines, suggestiveofIFD malignancy empirical undergoing antibiotics intensive allowedif consolidative indicated chemotherapyor HSCT (Continued) PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 7/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Table1. (Continued) Study Design Population Study Empirical Pre-emptive Diagnostic Antifungal Primary Period Protocol Protocol Testing Endpoint Aguilar- Prospective SPAIN(n=66) 11/ Antifungal Ifnoidentifiedfoci ChestX-ray; AmB, IFDdetection; Guisado interventional Patients(cid:2)16 2002- drugstartedin ofinfection,chest Bloodcultures; Voriconazole, IFD-related 2010[36] study yearspost- 2/2005 patientswith CT,abdominal ChestCTin Caspofungin mortality chemotherapyor sepsis,or ultrasound,and thosewith post-HSCT identifiedfoci bloodcultureswith abnormalChest ofinfection,or initiationof X-ray; perclinical antifungaltherapy Abdominal discretionin ifdiagnosticwork- ultrasound high-risk uppositive patients Oshima Retrospective JAPAN(n=124) 9/ Atthe Antifungaldrug GM;Beta-D AmB, Development 2007[30] chartreview Adultpatientswho 2002– discretionof startedafter(cid:2)7 glucan Micafungin, ofproven/ underwent 12/ theattending daysofpersistent Itraconazole, probableearly allogeneicHSCT 2005 orrecurrentfebrile Voriconazole invasive atauniversity neutropenia, aspergillosis hospital positiveGM,and/ orinfiltratesor nodulesonchest X-rayorCT Girmenia Prospective ITALY(n=146, 3/ — Antifungaldrug 3blood Voriconazole, Rateof 2010[28] feasibility NE=220) 2006– startedafter cultures;GM AmB,L-AmB, patients study Patients(cid:2)18 2/2007 positiveblood for3 Caspofungin, receiving yearswith culture,GM,and/ consecutive Fluconazole antifungal hematologic orcharacteristic days;Chest therapy malignancywho chestCTfindings CT;Other underwent microbiologicor chemotherapyor clinical autologousHSCT examinations anddeveloped asindicated neutropenia(cid:2)7 days Maertens Prospective BELGIUM(n=88, 1/ — Antifungal GM;ChestX- L-AmB Rateof 2005[37] feasibility NE=136) 2003- treatmentafter2 ray1-2x/week; antifungaluse; study Patients(cid:2)16 1/2004 +consecutive Blood,sputum, IFDcases yearsreceiving positive urine,stool chemotherapyfor galactomannanor cultures acuteleukemia/ withCTfindings MDSor suggestiveofIFD undergoing myeloablative allogenicHSCT AML:Acutemyelogenousleukemia,ALL:Acutelymphocyticleukemia,NE:Febrileneutropenicepisodes,IFD:invasivefungaldisease,HSCT: Hematopoieticstem-celltransplantation,RIC:reducedintensityconditioning,GM:Aspergillusgalactomannan,CT:Computedtomographyscan,PCR: Polymerasechainreaction,AmB:amphotericinBdeoxycholate,L-AmB:liposomalamphotericinB doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.t001 withdecreasedmortalitywiththepre-emptivestrategy(RR0.16,95%CI0.04–0.71)[36],there wasnodifferenceinthepooledRRofoverallmortalitybetweenthetwogroups(M-HRR0.99, 95%CI0.70–1.40;D-LRR0.95,95%CI0.46–1.99)(Fig7).Ofnote,therewassignificanthetero- geneityinoverallmortalityrates(Cochran’sQp=0.05;I2=61.9%;τ2=0.328). Fiveofsevenstudiesassessingantifungalusefoundasignificantdecreaseinantifungaluse inthepre-emptivetherapygroup(Table3,Fig8)[25,26,28–30].Forexample,intheCordon- niertrial,61.3%ofpatientsontheempiricalstrategyarmreceivedantifungalscomparedto 39.2%ofpatientsonthepre-emptivestrategyarm.Furthermore,amongpatientswhodid receiveantifungals,thedurationofantifungalusewasshorterinthepre-emptivegroup[26], PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 8/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Table2. ComparisonofIFD-relatedoutcomesinempiricversuspre-emptiveantifungaltherapyinhigh-riskneutropenicpatients. IFDDetection IFD-relatedMortality OverallMortality Study RR(95%CI) Empiric Pre-emptive RR(95%CI) Empiric Pre-emptive RR(95% Empiric Pre-emptive (%) (%) (%) (%) CI) (%) (%) Morrissey2013[31] 4.76(1.87– 4.1(5/ 19.5(23/ 0.86(0.27– 4.9(6/ 4.2(5/118) 1.55(0.66– 6.6(8/122) 10.2(12/ 12.10) 122) 118) 2.75) 122) 3.66) 118) Cordonnier2009 3.41(1.14– 2.7(4/ 9.1(13/143) 7.34(0.38– 0.0(0/ 2.1(3/143) 1.84(0.55– 2.7(4/150) 4.9(7/143) [26] 10.21) 150) 140.86) 150) 6.14) Hebart2009[29] 0.99(0.52– 8.1(17/ 8.2(16/196) 0.82(0.36– 4.8(10/ 3.6(7/196) 0.99(0.64– 16.4(34/ 16.3(32/ 1.91) 207) 1.87) 207) 1.55) 207) 196) Blennow2010[34] — 0.0(0/8) 7.7(1/13) — — — — — — Tan2011[35] 0.62(0.11– 12.0(3/ 7.4(2/27) — — — — — — 3.39) 25) Aguilar-Guisado 0.09(0.01– 11.5(3/ 0.0(0/40) 0.13(0.01– 8.0(2/26) 0.0(0/40) 0.16(0.04– 30.7(8/26) 5.0(2/40) 2010[36] 1.75) 26) 2.64) 0.71) Oshima2007[30] — 0.0(0/13) 3.3(2/60) — 0.0(0/13) 0.0(0/60) — — — Girmenia2010[28] — — — — — — — — — Maertens2005[37] — — — — — — — — — M-HRR(95%CI) 1.70(1.12–2.57) 0.85(0.45–1.62) 0.99(0.70–1.40) D-LRR(95%CI) 1.47(0.55–3.96) 0.82(0.36–1.87) 0.95(0.46–1.99) Q=13.90(df=4),p=0.01 Q=3.62(df=3),p=0.31 Q=7.88(df=3),p=0.05 Heterogeneity I2=71.3% I2=17.0% I2=61.9% Betweenstudyτ2=0.81 Betweenstudyτ2=0.13 Betweenstudyτ2=0.33 RR:relativerisk,CI:confidenceinterval,IFD:invasivefungaldisease,RR:relativerisk,CI:confidenceinterval,M-H:Mantel-Haenszelfixedeffectsmodel, D-L:Dersimonian-Lairdrandomeffectsmodels,—dataunavailableandcannotbederivedfromthisstudy doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.t002 Table3. Comparisonofantifungaluseinempiricversuspre-emptiveantifungaltherapyinhigh-riskneutropenicpatients. AntifungalUse AntifungalDuration(mean) Study RR(95%CI) Empiric(%) Pre-emptive(%) Empiric(%) Pre-emptive(%) p Morrissey2013[31] 0.48(0.29–0.79) 30.3(39/122) 23.7(18/118) — — — Cordonnier2009[26] 0.64(0.50–0.81) 61.3(92/150) 39.2(56/143) 7.0days 4.5days <0.01 Hebart2009[29] 1.56(1.25–1.93) 36.7(76/207) 57.1(112/196) 84.2%(64/76)<30days 79.5%(89/112)<30days NS Blennow2010[34] — — — — — — Tan2011[35] 0.76(0.38–1.51) 44.0(11/25) 33.3(9/27) — — — Aguilar-Guisado2010[36] — — — — — — Oshima2007[30] 0.08(0.03–0.19) 100.0(13/13) 6.7(4/60) — — — Girmenia2010[28] 0.57(0.42–0.77) 52.8(84/220) 30.1(48/220) — — — Maertens2005[37] 0.22(0.11–0.43) 35.0(41/117) 7.7(9/117) — — — M-HRR(95%CI) 0.72(0.63–0.81) — D-LRR(95%CI) 0.48(0.27–0.85) — Q=91.01(df=6),p(cid:3)0.01 Heterogeneity I2=93.4% — Betweenstudyτ2=0.503 RR:relativerisk,CI:confidenceinterval,IFD:invasivefungaldisease,RR:relativerisk,CI:confidenceinterval,M-H:Mantel-Haenszelfixedeffectsmodel, D-L:Dersimonian-Lairdrandomeffectsmodels,—dataunavailableandcannotbederivedfromthisstudy doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.t003 PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 9/19 EmpiricalversusPreemptiveAntifungalsinHigh-RiskNeutropenicFever Fig3.RiskofbiasinrandomizedstudiesasassessedbytheCochraneCollaboration’s“RiskofBias”tool. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930.g003 withanaverageantifungaldurationof7.0–11.2daysintheempiricalgroupand4.5–8.7daysin thepre-emptivegroup.Notably,therewasnodifferenceinantifungaldrugtoxicity,either renalorhepatic,orindiscontinuationofantifungaltherapybetweenthetwogroupsinanyof thestudies.ThepooledRRofantifungalusewassignificantlylowerusingpre-emptivecom- paredtoempiricalstrategies(M-HRR0.72,95%CI0.63–0.81;D-L0.48,95%CI0.27–0.85).Of note,wedetectedstatisticalheterogeneityamongindividualRRsofantifungaldruguse (Cochran’sQp<0.001;I2=93.4%;τ2=0.503). Overall,theexistingliteraturedemonstratesthatpre-emptivediagnostic-testdriven approachesmayincreaseIFDdetectionwithoutanincreaseinIFD-relatedoroverallmortality, comparedtoempiricaltherapy.Themajorityofstudiesshowedareductionintheproportion ofpatientsreceivingantifungalsanddurationofantifungalexposureusingapre-emptive strategy. CostComparisonModel Tables4and5outlineclinicalandcostparametersincorporatedintothecost-comparison analysis,respectively,andTable6summarizestheresultsofthismodel.Assumingsimilar PLOSONE|DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0140930 November10,2015 10/19

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1 Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, United. States of Compared to empirical antifungal therapy, pre-emptive antifungal therapy in patients with ica (IDSA), American Society of Clinical Oncology, and American Society of Hematology.
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