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Mathematical Modeling for System Analysis in Agricultural Research PDF

453 Pages·2003·15.43 MB·English
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MATHEMATICAL MODELING FOR SYSTEM ANALYSIS IN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH This Page Intentionally Left Blank MATHEMATICAL MODELING FOR SYSTEM ANALYSIS IN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH Karel D. Vohnout Former Research Specialist Inter-American institute for Cooperation in Agriculture 2003 ELSEVIER Amsterdam - Boston - London - New York - Oxford - Paris - - - - San Diego San Francisco Singapore Sydney Tokyo ELSEVIER SCIENCE B.V. Sara Burgerhartstraat 25 P.O. Box 2 1 1, 1000 AE Amsterdam, The Netherlands 02 003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. This work is protected under copyright by Elsevier Science, and the following terms and conditions apply to its use: Photocopying Single photocopies of single chapters may be made for personal use as allowed by national copyright laws. Permission of the Publisher and payment of a fee is required for all other photocopying, including multiple or systematic copying, copying for advertising or promotional purposes, resale, and all forms of document delivery. Special rates are available for educational institutions that wish to make photocopies for non-profit educational classroom use. Permissions may be sought directly from Elsevier Science via their homepage (http://www.elsevier.com) by selecting ‘Customer support’ and then ‘Permissions’. Alternatively you can send an e-mail to: [email protected],o r fax to: (+44) 1865 853333. In the USA, users may clear permissions and make payments through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA; phone: (+1) (978) 7508400, fax: (+1) (978) 7504744, and in the UK through the Copyright Licensing Agency Rapid Clearance Service (CLARCS), 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WIP OLP, UK; phone: (+44) 207 631 5555; fax: (+44) 207 631 5500. Other countries may have a local reprographic tights agency for payments. Derivative Works Tables of contents may be reproduced for internal circulation, but permission of Elsevier Science is required for external resale or distribution of such material. Permission of the Publisher is required for all other derivative works, including compilations and translations. Electronic Storage or Usage Permission of the Publisher is required to store or use electronically any material contained in this work, including any chapter or part of a chapter. Except as outlined above, no part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior Written permission of the Publisher. Address permissions requests to: Elsevier Science Global Rights Department, at the fax and e-mail addresses noted above. Notice No responsibility is assumed by the Publisher for any injury andlor damage to persons or property as a matter of products liability, negligence or otherwise, or Erom any use or operation of any methods, products, instructions or ideas contained in the material herein. Because of rapid advances in the medical sciences, in pahcular, independent verification of diagnoses and drug dosages should be made. First edition 2003 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data A catalog record from the Library of Congress has been applied for British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record from the British Library has been applied for. ISBN: 0-444-51268-3 @ The paper used in this publication meets the requirements of ANSVNISO 239.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). Printed in The Netherlands. To my wife Cecilia This Page Intentionally Left Blank CONTENTS PREFACE xi ... ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Xlll 1 THE SCOPE OF SYSTEM ANALYSIS 1.1 The Mathematical Concept of a System 2 1.2 Classification of Agricultural Systems 7 I .3 Using Linear Models in Agricultural Research 18 2 CHARACTERISTIC VALUES 2.1 Systems of Linear Equations 36 2.2 Solving Linear Systems 44 2.3 Characteristic Equation, Roots Vectors 55 and 3 CALCULUS FOUNDATION OF MODELING THE 3.1 Series 66 3.2 Finite Differences 71 3.3 Differentials 79 3.4 Difference Equations 82 3.5 Differential Equations 96 4 SELECTED TRANSFORM PROCEDURES 4.1 Partial Fraction Expansions I09 4.2 Complex Numbers 114 4.3 The Laplace Transform 119 4.4 The Z Transform 130 ... Vlll Contents 5 CURVE FITTING AND EVALUATION 5.1 Theoretical Basis of Nonlinear Curve Fitting 140 5.2 Computation of the Model Parameters 149 5.3 Evaluation of the Mathematical Model and System Behavior 166 6 FRAMEWORK FOR MODELING AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS 6.1 The system Variables 179 6.2 System Dynamics 186 6.3 Response Functions 195 6.4 Transfer Functions 202 6.5 Structural Properties of Systems 210 7 STOCHASTIC MODELS OF SYSTEMS 7.1 Modeling of Stochastic Agricultural Systems 222 7.2 The Powers of a Probability Matrix 230 7.3 Markov Processes in Agricultural Research 236 7.4 Relationship Between Stochastic and Deterministic Models 252 8 DETERMINISTIC MODELS OF DISCRETE SYSTEMS 8.1 Relationship Between Order and Dimension 259 8.2 Single Input Linear Models 263 8.3 Multidimensional First Order Linear Models 274 8.4 Fitting Models to Data of Discrete Systems 287 9 DETERMINISTIC MODELS OF CONTINUOUS SYSTEMS 9.1 Relationship Between Order and Dimension 295 9.2 Single Input Linear Models 300 9.3 Multidimensional Non Compartmental First Order Linear Models 316 9.4 Compartmental First Order Linear Models 327 9.5 Fitting Models to Data of Continuous Systems 337 Contents 1x 10 EXPERIMENTAL TESTS FOR A SYSTEM ANALYSIS PROBLEM 10.1 The experimental Hypothesis 344 10.2 Mathematical Models of the Response Functions 350 10.3 Generation of Equations by Geometric Analysis 359 10.4 Assignment and Arrangement of Treatments 369 - APPENDIX A Miscellaneous Matrix Concepts and Procedures 3 86 APPENDIX B - Basal Concepts and Procedures in Calculus 394 APPENDIX C - Probability Defrnitions and Formulas 40 1 APPENDIX D - Rules of Counting 408 APPENDIX E - Probability Distributions 410 APPENDIX F - Most Frequently Used Statistical Formulas 419 - APPENDIX G Table of Laplace Transforms 422 - APPENDIX H Table of Z Transforms 427 APPENDIX I - The Delta Function 430 REFERENCES 43 1 S W C TI NDEX 43 3

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This book provides a clear picture of the use of applied mathematics as a tool for improving the accuracy of agricultural research. For decades, statistics has been regarded as the fundamental tool of the scientific method. With new breakthroughs in computers and computer software, it has become fea
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