Managing Instability in Algeria Since 1989 Algeria has ridden a political rollercoaster, going from promising democratization to military authoritarianism and civil war to limited political opening. This new book seeks to understand the relationship between elite dynamics and strategies and the lack of profound political change in Algeria after 1995, when the country’s military rulers returned to electoral processes. Using evidence from extensive fieldwork, Isabelle Werenfels exposes successful survival strategies of an opaque authoritarian elite in a changing domestic and international environment. The main focus is on: The changing balance of power between different elite segments; The modes of generation change and the different emerging young elite types; Constraints, obligations and opportunities arising from elite embeddedness in clientelist networks and in specific social and economic structures. Werenfels concludes that existing changes in elite composition and reform- oriented attitudes are unlikely to translate into political system change unless they coincide with a number of external and internal factors.Even if change came to Algeria it would most likely not result in Western-style democracy: the rentier nature of the economy and the dominant socio-cultural practices shaped partly by the current elite might simply produce similar political elites and structures. Building rare evidence from fieldwork into a multidisciplinary analytical framework, this book presents a significant input to the more general literature on transition processes and is particularly relevant as the West pushes for democratic reforms in the Middle East and North Africa. Isabelle Werenfels is a research associate at the German Institute for Inter- national and Security Affairs (SWP), and has lectured at Freie Universität, Berlin. Her recent publications in English and German deal with the question of democratization and with Islamist movements in the Maghreb region. History and Society in the Islamic World Series editors: Anoushiravan Ehteshami, University of Durham, and George Joffé, Centre for International Studies,Cambridge University Contemporary events in the Islamic world dominate the headlines and emphasize the crises of the Middle East and North Africa, yet the Islamic World is far larger and more varied than we realize. Current affairs there too mask the underlying trends and values that have, over time, created a fasci- nating and complex world. This new series is intended to reveal that other Islamic reality by looking at its history and society over the ages, as well as at the contemporary scene. It will also reach far further afield, bringing in Central Asia and the Far East as part of a cultural space sharing common values and beliefs but manifesting a vast diversity of experience and social order. French Military Rule in Morocco Colonialism and its consequences Moshe Gershovich Tribe and Society in Rural Morocco David M Hart North Africa, Islam and the Mediterranean World From the Almoravids to the Algerian War Edited by Julia Clancy-Smith The Walled Arab City in Literature, Architecture and History The living Medina in the Maghrib Edited by Susan Slyomovics Tribalism and Rural Society in the Islamic World David M Hart Technology, Tradition and Survival Aspects of material culture in the Middle East and Central Asia Richard Tapper and Keith McLachlan Lebanon The politics of frustration– the failed coup of 1961 Adel Beshara Britain and Morocco During the Embassy of John Drummond Hay, 1845–86 Khalid Ben Srhir The Assassination of Jacques Lemaigre Dubreuil AFrenchman between France and North Africa William A. Hoisington Jr Managing Instability in Algeria Elites and political change since 1995 Isabelle Werenfels. Managing Instability in Algeria Elites and political change since 1995 Isabelle Werenfels First published 2007 by Routledge 2Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada by Routledge 270 Madison Ave, New York, NY 10016 Routledge is an imprint ofthe Taylor & Francis Group,aninforma business This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2007. “To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledge’s collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.” ©2007 Isabelle Werenfels All rights reserved. No part ofthis book maybe reprinted or repro- duced or utilised in anyformor byanyelectronic, mechanical, or other means,nowknown or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing fromthe publishers. British LibraryCataloguing in Publication Data Acatalogue recordfor this book is available from the British Library LibraryofCongress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Werenfels,Isabelle. Managing Instability in Algeria: Elites and Political Change Since 1995 /Isabelle Werenfels. p.cm. Includes bibliographical references (p.) and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-415-40344-3 1. Algeria–Politics and government–1990-I. Title. DT295.6.W47 2007 965.05’4–dc22 2006024073 ISBN 0-203-96468-3 Master e-book ISBN ISBN13: 978-0-415-40344-3 (hbk) ISBN13: 978-0-203-96468-2 (ebk) To Andreas Contents List of illustrations xi Acknowledgements xii Abbreviations xiv I Introduction 1 1 Background to the study 1 2 Research interest and key questions 4 3 Main line of argument 5 4 Methods, sources and data 6 5 Plan of the study 8 II Elites and the question of transition in Algeria: theoretical and methodological challenges 10 1 Viewing Algeria through the lens of transition theory 11 2 Elites in theory 17 3Developing a framework for analysis 21 III The shaping of the Algerian political system and its elites 32 1 The main pillars of the system 1962 to 1988 33 2 The political opening 1989 to 1991 40 3 The authoritarian backlash in 1992 44 IV The politically relevant elite 1995 to 2004: structures, actors,dynamics 47 1 The political, economic, social and institutional setting 48 2 The core elite: increasingly divided 55 3 Thesecond circle of the elite: reproducing core elite divisions 62 4 The third circle of the elite: self-dynamics of fragmentation 68 5 Conclusion 77
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