MAGISTER ADVISORS BLOCKCHAIN & BITCOIN IN 2016 A SURVEY OF GLOBAL LEADERS DECEMBER 2015 Private and Confidential BITCOIN & BLOCKCHAIN IN 2016 A SURVEY OF GLOBAL LEADERS Executive Summary Jeremy Millar - [email protected] Partner at Magister Advisors (London, UK) Bitcoin and Blockchain markets have fundamentally Mentor at Barclays/TechStars FinTech Accelerator diverged over the past 12 months Angel Investor: Origin, Ravelin, EngageSciences Bitcoin governance (as a ‘standard’), compliance and Previously regulation is maturing quickly. Lack of clear ‘Bitcoin Goldman Sachs—Advised on >$25B of transactions Oracle—Senior roles building Oracle’s Java business from 1998–2005 native’ use cases in developed markets giving way to consumer finance apps with ‘Bitcoin inside’ combined Etienne Brunet - [email protected] with a surge of developing economy applications Analyst at Magister Advisors (London, UK) We estimate over $1bn will be spent by large financial MSc Stockholm School of Economics (SE) & Saint Gallen (CH) institutions on Blockchain over the next 24 months Companies Surveyed $474m of venture funding covered Bitcoin Blockchain Equivalent to 51% of global funding in Bitcoin/Blockchain 33 companies ( 21 EU, 10 US and 2 from RoW) 12 Blockchain companies 21 Bitcoin companies including 6 Exchanges, 2 Miners, 4 Wallets, 5 Payments and 4 Others Large Financial Institutions, Hedge Funds and Investment Banks were also part of the survey 2 ALMOST $1BN OF TOTAL INVESTMENT OVER THE PAST 36 MONTHS Total: $916m North America Europe RoW $653m $158m $104m Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2013 2014 2015 North # Investments 3 4 7 12 11 16 11 22 13 10 6 America ≥$10m - - - 1 2 2 1 2 2 4 1 # Investments 0 0 1 1 3 2 7 2 6 4 6 Europe ≥$10m - - - 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 1 # Investments 0 1 2 4 11 4 6 6 5 2 3 RoW ≥$10m - - - - 1 1 - - - - 1 2015 has marked a transition to investors backing leaders rather than experiments, with the top 10 companies raising more than 80% of the total funding this year Source: CoinDesk, Pitchbook, VentureSource, VentureScanner, Crunchbase 3 Note: Data as of December 1, 2015 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS HIGHLY ACTIVE INVESTORS Jul 2014: Fortress invested in Jan 2015: NYSE & BBVA invested in FIs are even more represented in large rounds Xapo’s $40m financing round Coinbase’s $75m financing round All financing rounds $25m+ financing rounds $321 m $177m $187m $595 m No Financial Institution Participation Financial Institution Participation Apr 2015: GS invested in Circle’s May 2015: CME invested in Sep 2015: Visa, Nasdaq & Citi Sep 2015: AmEx invested in Abra’s $50m financing round Ripple’s $28m Series A round invested in Chain’s $30m round $12m financing round FIs have participated in $321m worth of financing rounds in 18 Bitcoin/Blockchain companies and have invested in more than half of all $25m+ financing rounds Source: CoinDesk, Pitchbook, VentureSource, VentureScanner, Crunchbase 4 Note: Data as of December 1, 2015 LARGEST VC-BACKED COMPANIES BITCOIN/BLOCKCHAIN $116m $107m Total Funding Latest Round Size $75m $76m $60m $52m $50m $44m $40m $38m $30m $33m$ 30m $32m$ 25m $31m $31m $29m $20m $20m $15m $4m Latest Round Feb-2015 Jan-2015 Apr-2015 Jul-2015 Sep-2015 Jun-2014 Oct-2015 May-2014 May-2015 Oct-2014 Jan-2015 Funding Round Series C Series C Series C Series C Series C Series A1 Series A Series A Series A Series A Series B Investors A16Z A16Z Accel Partners Binary Financial 500 Startups AME Cloud AME Cloud A-Grade Blockchain Amit Jhawar Accel Partners Khosla Ventures BBVA Ventures Blockchain Cap. Blockchain Cap. Capital One Benchmark A16Z AME Cloud Capital Future Perfect Creandum Pantera Capital Blockchain Cap. Breyer Capital DRW Trading Citi Ventures Blockchain Cap. Celtic Media Digital Currency Canaan Ventures GP Bullhound Peter Thiel DFJ Growth Digital Currency Georgian Co- Digital Currency DST Core Innovation Felicis Ventures Gaurav Burman Lightspeed Martin Wattin Qualcomm Digital Currency General Catalyst Investment Fiserv Emergence Digital Currency Founders Fund James Pallotta Mosaic Ventures RRE Ventures Docomo Capital Goldman Sachs iTech Capital Homebrew Fortress Founders Fund Heisenberg Jay W. Jordan II Nat Brown Data Collective IDG Ventures IDG Capital Jonathan Teo Khosla Ventures Greylock Google Ventures Horizons Jim Pallotta Prudence Winklevoss NTT DoCoMo Oak Investment Lars Rasmussen NASDAQ OMX Index Ventures IDG Capital Index Ventures Liberty City Richard Branson Yuan Capital Ribbit Capital Pantera Capital QueensBridge Orange Jerry Yang Lightspeed Richard Branson RRE Ventures Wicklow Capital SV Angel William Tai Pantera Capital Ribbit Capital Pantera Capital RRE Ventures Solon Mack NYSE ZAD Investment RRE Ventures Slow Ventures RRE Ventures SeedInvest Capital Union Square SV Angel Winklevoss Santander TTV Capital Valor Capital Thrive Capital Wicklow Capital Y Combinator Visa Interviewed by Magister 2/3rds of total Bitcoin/Blockchain investment has been raised by the top 11 companies Source: CoinDesk, Pitchbook, VentureSource, VentureScanner, Crunchbase 5 Note: Data as of December 01, 2015 EU BITCOIN/BLOCKCHAIN COMPANIES WITH $10M+ OF FUNDING Total Funding Latest Round Size $60m $31m $31m $29m $20m $15m $10m $10m $10m $10m Latest Round Jul-2015 Oct-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Dec-2013 Funding Round Series C Series A Series B Early Stage VC Series A Investors Binary Financial Amit Jhawar Accel Partners Northzone Pantera Capital Management Blockchain Cap. Future Perfect Ventures Creandum White Star Capital DRW Trading Lightspeed GP Bullhound Georgian Co-Investment Mosaic Ventures Martin Wattin iTech Capital Nat Brown Jonathan Teo Prudence Lars Rasmussen Richard Branson QueensBridge Wicklow Capital William Tai ZAD Investment Interviewed by Magister Only 5 Bitcoin/Blockchain companies in Europe have raised at least $10m Source: CoinDesk, Pitchbook, VentureSource, VentureScanner, Crunchbase 6 Note: Data as of December 01, 2015 BITCOIN AND BLOCKCHAIN HAVE DIVERGED OVER THE PAST 12-18 MONTHS Bitcoin Blockchain The leading digital currency Distributed ledger with cryptographic integrity Numerous consumer/SME and financial service payment Potential replacement for middleware applications, particularly in networks and clearing houses in developing economies financial transactions where 3rd party verification is required A favourite for speculators given its volatility and liquidity, with high- Applications extend to other frequency trading and hedge fund networks where veracity is critical to participation performance While Bitcoin is established as the leading digital currency, banks are more focused on applications of the underlying Blockchain technology 7 WHAT IS DRIVING BITCOIN EVOLUTION AND WHAT IS NEXT? 1 Rapidly maturing governance, regulation and compliance Failures and consolidation where economies of scale and network effects drive 2 Improving ‘on/off ramps’ between Bitcoin and local banking networks economics, notably exchanges (a potentially ‘hidden’ value of regional exchanges) and mining In established Bitcoin markets, 3 Next-Gen Consumer finance apps leveraging Bitcoin the full service model has as an alternative payment rail, but not branded Bitcoin gained significant traction and scale In the developing economies, 4 Bitcoin wallet leaders are well-funded, and some have started to become local market considerations are ‘Bitcoin banks’, raising barriers to entry significant Consumer services with ‘Bitcoin 5 Accelerating adoption in developing economies, particularly those with inside’, but the crypto-currency frequent cross-currency payment requirements and weak financial institutions aspects to be largely invisible Continued growth both as a 6 Institutional-like usage as instrument for speculation, store value and transactions given backdrop of low yields and volatility 8 WHAT IS DRIVING BLOCKCHAIN EVOLUTION AND WHAT IS NEXT? 1 Broad recognition of potential transformational impact for financial institutions, with 2016 marks a ‘race to benefits estimated in the tens of billions annually in infrastructure savings alone production’ as innovators seek to push beyond the prototype 2 Large financial institutions typically already have identified portfolios of stage. This is particularly 10-20 potential Blockchain projects to evaluate important for the vendors looking to establish market position 3 Blockchain technology providers have adopted a collaborative approach to working with financial institutions, who in turn are frequently major investors We estimate that over $1bn will be spent by large financial institutions on Blockchain 4 The market has already split between broad platform or ‘fabric’ vendors projects over the next 24 and domain-specific application providers months Even within the collaborative 5 The largest technology providers we spoke with tended to have 20-30 client projects approach, we see a certain underway, often involving multiple counter-parties collaborating on projects degree of ‘co-opetition’ between the vendors and financial institutions vying for 6 The market is largely at the POC phase, proving that Blockchain-based implementations technology leadership can replicate or complement existing infrastructure 9 I. BITCOIN LANDSCAPE 10
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