Macro-engineering and the Earth: World Projects for the Year 2000 and Beyond A festchrift in honour of Frank Davidson It is a massy wheel Fixed on the summit of the highest mount, To whose huge spokes ten thousand lesser things are mortis'd and adjoin'd; which when it falls, Each small annexement, petty consequence, Attends the boist'rous ruin. Shakespeare: Hamlet II, iii First published in 1998 by HORWOOD PUBLISHING LIMITED International Publishers Coll House, Westergate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO20 6QL England COPYRIGHT NOTICE All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the permission of Horwood Publishing, International Publishers, Coll House, Westergate, Chichester, West Sussex, England © U. Kitzinger & E.G. Frankel British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record of this book is available from the British Library ISBN 1-898563-59-4 Printed in Great Britain by Martins Printing Group, Bodmin, Cornwall Macro-engineering and the Earth: World Projects for the Year 2000 and Beyond A festchrift in honour of Frank Davidson Uwe Kitzinger, CBE President International Association of Macro-Engineering Societies and First President of Templeton College Oxford and Ernst G. Frankel Professor of Ocean Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, Mass USA Horwood Publishing Chichester Editorial Note As is so often the case, the names on the cover are those of two men. As is just as frequent, behind the two male names there hide the names of two other essential contributors to the joint task. Ernst Frankel's office assistant, Sheila McNary, has been most helpful to us both and generous with her time well beyond the call of her MIT duties. Cherie Potts of WordWorks has, over the past seven years, become in effect Editor Extraordinary to the field of Macro-Engineering. Without her unfailing patience and good humour, let alone her eagle eye for accuracy, this volume could not have been produced in so short a time. The editors also wish to thank for their diverse help and support the Board members of the International Association of Macro-Engineering Societies and of The American Society for Macro-Engineering. Needless to say the views expressed in the different chapters are the personal views of their authors only, and commit neither the editors nor the bodies with which the authors are associated. Table of Contents PROLEGOMENA Tribute to Frank Davidson v Cordell Hull Tribute to Frank Davidson vii Wallace O. Sellers Preface - 1 ix-xi Uwe Kitzinger, CBE., First President of Templeton College, Oxford Preface - 2 xii-xiii Ernst G. Frankel, Professor of Ocean Engineering, M.I.T. INTRODUCTION The Twentieth Century Revisited xvi-xxi Ernst G. Frankel SECTION 1 ENERGY 1. Turbines with a Twist 1 Alexander M. Gorlov, Professor of Engineering, Northeastern University 2. Power from Space 37 Peter E. Glaser, President, Power From Space Consulting Company, Inc. 3. Regional Electricity Development 44 Stephen R. Connors, Director, Electric Utility Program, Energy Laboratory, M.I.T. SECTION 2 ENVIRONMENT 4. Saving the Earth - The Whole Earth 58 John W. Landis, Stone & Webster Engineering Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts 5. Large Climate-Changing Projects 60 Philip John Pocock, President, Humanitech, Inc. 6. Building Faster to Conserve More: A Sustainable Global City 83 William H. Small, The Bechtel Corporation 7. A New Urban Model 91 Donna Goodman, Architect, New York City 8. World Water Supply Issues 101 Ernst G. Frankel 9. A Rhone-Algeria Aqueduct 104 Ernst G. Frankel 10. Ocean Farming 121 Michael Markels, Jr., President and Chairman, Ocean Farming, Inc. SECTION 3 COMMUNICATIONS AND TRANSPORT 11. Toward World-Scale Seamless Transportation 130 Ernst G. Frankel 12. An Asia-Europe Railway and a Middle East Island 139 Hideo Matsuoka, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo 13. Swiss Trans-Alpine Tunnel Projects 147 Herbert H. Einstein, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, M.I.T., Peter Testoni, Vice Director, Swiss Federal Office of Transport 14. Satellites in World Communications 163 William T. Brandon, Principal Engineer, The Mitre Corporation 15. Global Military and Civilian Telemedicine 175 John A. Evans, MDPR Program Manager and Technical Director MILSATCOM, Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts SECTION 4 MANAGEMENT AND HUMAN RESOURCES 16. Starting a Macro-Project on the Right Foot 189 John W. Landis 17. Leadership: Authoritarian or Collaborative? 193 Martin Barnes, Executive Director, Major Projects Association 18. High-Performance Partnering Practices 199 Kathleen Lusk Brooke and George H. Litwin, The Purrington Foundation 19. A Civilian-Military Conservation Corps 219 Janet Caristo-Verrill, President, Macro-Projects International SECTION 5 FINANCIAL AND LEGAL ISSUES 20. Prime Contracting: Is It Profit with Peril? 226 David W. Stupples, Project Management Practice, PA Consulting Group, London 21. Managing Price through Knowledge Networking 238 Sean Gadman, Vice President, Marketing & Innovation, Pricetrak (USA) Inc., Wally Johnson, Chairman and Chief Executive, Pricetrak (UK) Limited 22. Concepts of Eminent Domain 243 Jon N. Santemma, Co-Chairman, Condemnation and Tax Certiorari Committee, New York State Bar Association SECTION 6 OUTLOOK 23. Macro-Projects in China 250 Ernst G. Frankel 24. Challenges for the Twenty-First Century 258 Ernst G. Frankel Tribute to Frank Davidson Rarely does an individual become identified, to the exclusion of others, as the source of an activity or area of study. Even more rarely is that exclusion reasonable or justified. However, that has happened with what we call macro-engineering, defined by Davidson and Salkeld as "nothing by the study, by the best minds in all relevant disciplines, of the largest engineering enterprises which society can accomplish at any given period of time. It has become literally the personal property of Frank P. Davidson. Starting with the first three macro-engineering symposia in 1978, 1979, and 1980 co-sponsored by AAAS and AIAA, there has been a significant amount of interest and discussion about the issues raised by students in this field. We have had a number of conferences, many books, particularly Frank's Macro? innumerable papers and the formation of The American Society of Macro-Engineering (TASME) and the International Association of Macro-Engineering Societies (IAMES), both co-founded by Frank. Generally, those involved in the field believe that at times very large-scale projects are not only appropriate but frequently represent the optimal solution to many problems and should not be avoided just because they may be particularly difficult and challenging. Further, large projects deserve special study since they represent an order of difficulty vastly different from smaller projects. The emphasis has been on a multi-disciplinary approach with special concern for their social and environmental impacts. One might wonder how a Harvard Law School graduate became the "father" of a new field of study in engineering. It is really not so surprising to those of us who know Frank. The requirements for this role are both unique and numerous, and by background, training, and personality he is an ideal macro-engineer. The first requirement is that one must be an optimist about the ability of man to solve problems and control his destiny, without falling into the sin of hubris. Not always an easy trick. I believe that Frank is convinced that if the proper group of experts is brought together and they truly listen to one another, great things can be accomplished. The important thing is to get on with it and quit muddling about looking for excuses for inaction. The key is to be sure that all of the requisite skills, engineers, lawyers, investment and commercial bankers, public and government relations experts, 2 Salkeld, R., Davidson, F.P., and Meador, C.L. (eds.), Macro-Engineering: The Rich Potential. New York: American Institute for Aeronautics and Astronautics, 1980. Davidson, F.P. Macro. New York: William Morrow and Company, 1983. viii environmentalists, sociologists as well as skilled managers, are utilized in the planning process. While there are many problems in the implementation of a macro-project, engineering and technological problems are rarely the cause of failure. Public opposition, governmental regulations, financial shortfalls, and environmental problems are the more likely culprits. Second, there must be an awareness of the complexity of large-scale systems. The degree of difficulty in implementing a very large-scale project versus the problems involved in small projects is disproportionally greater with the risks of failure far more likely. Frank was for many years Chairman of the System Dynamics Group at M.I.T., a group concentrating on the behavior of very complex systems. He may also have been the only person to teach a course in failure at the college level. Successful communication is another key element in implementing a large-scale project. Communication not only between promoters of a project and the public, but also communication among the various disciplines involved in implementation. It may very well be the most critical area for success. Frank has recognized this and made a point of emphasizing its importance in his books and papers. This could very well be because no one could be a better communicator than Frank. Not only does he seem to know just about everyone who has any interest in large projects, but he has shown the ability to persuade them to pool their knowledge and resources with others in TASME and IAMES. Frank has been a seductive Pied Piper for students and younger practitioners of this field. He has encouraged many of this group to participate actively in various conferences and in TASME and IAMES. Considering how many meals he has provided, not only for the young but also for the older crowd, it is not surprising that everyone responds promptly to his calls for participation in macro-engineering activities. In Frank Davidson, macro-engineering has found the ideal advocate. His qualifications as strategist, publicist, and promoter could not be better. This volume is designed to spur him to even greater efforts and most definitely prohibit him from resting on his laurels simply because he is now a mature octogenarian. Wallace O. Sellers April, 1998 Tribute to Frank Davidson Frank Davidson is one of those remarkable individuals whom we meet only rarely in the course of a lifetime. Yesterday evening here in Paris, my wife and I were guests of Frank Davidson and his lovely and engaging French wife, Izaline. Other of Frank's friends at the dinner included a prominent French sculptor and his author/artist wife, a former French government official who had graduated at the top of his class from the famed Ecole Polytechnique, a retired professor and his poetess wife, and a renowned international banker. In the course of the evening, the conversation covered an immense scope of subjects, all touching in some way on Frank's wide-ranging global, professional, and personal interests. The multifaceted discussions touched on such diverse areas as sculpturing, poetry, art, international financing of major projects, a proposed bicycle route from Paris to Moscow, and the early days of the Channel Tunnel project as originally conceptualized by Frank. Almost without a pause, we then considered current global environmental, transportation, telecommunica-tions and energy issues and the formation of an international institute to study these, turning next to modern designs for electric bicycles and finally to books recently written by various of the dinner guests. This was but a typical dinner for which Frank is so renowned, each in its own way exemplifying the far-ranging interests and societal contributions of this beloved friend to so many in such diverse professions and occupations around the world. I have had the enormous privilege and pleasure of knowing Frank now for almost thirty years. He is, simply put, one of a kind. Not only has he helped conceptualize a multitude of macro-engineering projects, such as the Channel Tunnel, vast energy systems and major high-speed transportation projects, but he has lent his continuous, dynamic support to a multitude of scientists, engineers, and entrepreneurs on the cutting edge of evolving macro-concepts. As a leading writer and sponsor of meetings throughout the world, Frank has, over the course of a long career, provided intense, on-going personal leadership and inspiration in conceptualizing imaginative programs for proposed macro-projects. He, as well, has been a combat soldier, an international attorney, a reflective academic, an avid horseman, a mountaineer, a businessman and promoter developing the early work on the Channel Tunnel and other important projects, as well as a prolific author. For some years Frank was associated with the renowned Dr. Jay Forrester's program at MIT involving System Dynamics. One day during one of the important functions hosted by Frank at MIT, I overheard Dr. Forrester remark, "Frank really adds something very special around here." That succinct remark captured in a nutshell Frank's unique attributes.