Losing the Global Development War A Contemporary Critique of the IMF, the World Bank, and the WTO John W. Head Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Head, John W. (John Warren), 1953– Losing the global development war : a contemporary critique of the IMF, the World Bank, and the WTO / John W. Head. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-90-04-16188-7 1. Development banks—Evaluation. 2. Economic assistance. 3. International Monetary Fund—Evaluation. 4. World Bank— Evaluation. 5. World Trade Organization—Evaluation. I. Title. HG1975.H43 2008 332.1'53—dc22 2008001637 Copyright © 2008 Koninklijke Brill NV, Leiden, The Netherlands. Koninklijke Brill NV incorporates the imprints Brill, Hotei Publishers, IDC Publishers, Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, and VSP. All rights reserved. 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Manufactured in the United States of America Contents Foreword and Synopsis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xix List of Abbreviations and Acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxi Notes on Spellings, Usages, and Other Conventions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii Chapter One: The Fourth World War. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 I. Antecedents to the Global Development War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 A. World War I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1. Self-Determination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 2. Presumptions Upended . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 B. World War II. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1. Global Economic Issues Break the Political Surface. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2. Human Rights Rumblings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 3. International Law and International Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 C. The Cold War. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 1. A Bold Experiment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 2. Economic Assistance and Ideological Influence. . . . . . . 9 3. A Giant with Nightmares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 II. The Nature of the Global Development War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 A. Conflicting Development Ideologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 1. Development. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2. Human Development. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 3. Liberal or Orthodox? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 4. Intelligent or Ill-Conceived?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 5. Participatory or Authoritarian? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 6. Multilateral, Bilateral, or Regional?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 7. Sustainable or Improvident? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 8. Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 B. Why the War Matters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 1. Despair, Danger, and Development. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2. Terrorism: Predictable Consequence or Parallel Conflict?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 C. The Machinery and Theaters of War . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 1. The Political and Institutional Topography . . . . . . . . . 44 2. The Global Economic Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Chapter Two: A Cacophony of Criticisms—Attacking the Global Economic Organizations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 I. A World of Problems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 iii iv • Losing the Global Development War A. Growing Economic Distress. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 B. Globalization as Culprit?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 II. Cataloguing the Criticisms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 A. Criticisms by Types of GEOs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 1. The Logic of Disaggregation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 2. The Twenty-Three Criticisms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 B. The Eight Clusters of Complaints. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Appendix to Chapter Two: Representative Survey of Literature Criticizing the GEOs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Chapter Three: What Are the Global Economic Organizations?. . . . . . . 91 I. Historical Survey. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 A. Highlights in the GEO Timeline. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 B. The Inter-War Period and Bretton Woods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 1. Before 1944 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 2. Three Proposed Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 C. The First Twenty-Five Years: From 1945 to 1970 . . . . . . . . 100 D. The Second Twenty-Five Years: From 1970 to the mid-1990s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 1. Reacting to Change. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 2. Whither the Nation-State? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 E. The Contemporary World of the GEOs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 II. The IMF in a Nutshell. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 A. The Grand Design and Its Collapse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 1. Establishment of the IMF and the Par Value System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 2. Collapse of the Par Value System and a Redirected IMF. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 B. IMF Financing and Resources. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 1. IMF Financing Facilities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 2. IMF Conditionality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 3. IMF Resources for Lending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 C. Other IMF Operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 1. Surveillance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 2. Technical Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 3. Special Policy Endorsement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 D. Governance and Other Institutional Matters. . . . . . . . . . . 113 1. IMF Structure and the Weighted Voting System. . . . . 113 2. Membership; Obligations; Privileges and Immunities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 3. Funding the IMF’s Operational Expenses. . . . . . . . . . 115 4. Debt Relief. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 III. The World Bank and the Regional MDBs in a Nutshell . . . . . 117 A. MDB Lending Operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 Contents • v 1. Project Financing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 2. Policy-Based Lending . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 3. Lending Terms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 4. Procurement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 B. Technical Assistance and Other Operations . . . . . . . . . . . 121 C. Resources and Other Financial Matters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 1. More on the Distinction Between Hard Loans and Soft Loans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 2. MDB Capitalization, Borrowings, and Replenishments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 D. Membership and Institutional Matters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 1. Membership in the MDBs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 2. Structure of and Decision Making in the MDBs. . . . . 129 E. Other Aspects of MDBs and Their Operations . . . . . . . . . 131 1. Policies and Initiatives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 2. The Generational Character of the MDBs . . . . . . . . . 131 3. Debt Relief. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 IV. The WTO in a Nutshell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 A. The GATT 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 1. Aims and Principles. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 2. Exceptions to GATT Principles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 B. Negotiating Rounds and Other Developments. . . . . . . . . 141 1. Tokyo, Uruguay, and Doha. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 2. The Uruguay Round Agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 C. Institutional and Structural Matters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 1. The Nature of the WTO and the WTO Charter. . . . . 144 2. WTO Membership and Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 3. Decision Making and Dispute Settlement. . . . . . . . . . 146 Appendix to Chapter Three: Voting Power of IMF Member Countries and Constituencies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 Chapter Four: Battles over the GEOs’ Policies and Operations. . . . . . 167 I. Bad Policies, Projects, and Performance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 A. The Ideology of Trade Liberalization. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 B. The “Washington Consensus”, Moral Hazard, the IMF, and the MDBs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 1. The Criticisms. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 2. Improvement or Deterioration?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 3. Causation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 4. Moral Hazard?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 5. Changed Prescriptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 6. Summing up on IMF Policy Prescriptions. . . . . . . . . . 182 C. Bad Projects, Priorities, and Performance by the MDBs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 vi • Losing the Global Development War 1. Bad MDB Policies and Projects?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 2. Wrong Form of Assistance?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188 3. MDB Management and Staffing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 II. Distributional and Social Injustice. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 A. Winners and Losers from WTO-Led Free Trade. . . . . . . . 193 1. Focusing on the National Level. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194 2. Focusing on the Global Level. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196 B. Austerity Measures, the IMF, and Social Ruin. . . . . . . . . . 200 C. Human Rights and the MDBs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 III. Environmental Degradation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 A. The MDBs and the Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 206 B. Racing to the Bottom. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 IV. Encroachments on Sovereignty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213 A. WTO Prohibitions on Social Protectionism. . . . . . . . . . . . 213 B. IMF and MDB Conditionality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 V. Summary: Evaluating the Criticisms of GEO Policies and Operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 Chapter Five: Battles over the GEOs’ Character, Control, and Reach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 I. Secrecy and Opaqueness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 A. The Illumination of the IMF. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228 B. The MDBs and the Momentum Toward Openness. . . . . . 230 C. The WTO—A Different Momentum Toward Openness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231 II. The Democracy Deficit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232 A. The IMF: Voting, Structure, Authority, and Leadership . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 B. The MDBs: More of the Same, But Worse. . . . . . . . . . . . . 242 C. The WTO and Partial Unaccountability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248 1. Democracy in the WTO? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 248 2. The WTO’s Allegiance to Its Members . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 3. Genuine Unaccountability Problems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 4. Strengthening Weak National Governments. . . . . . . . 252 III. Mission Creep of the MDBs and the IMF . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255 A. Mission Creep and the Three Generations of MDBs . . . . 256 1. Old Dogs and New Tricks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256 2. Legality and Ideology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 B. IMF Mission Creep?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263 IV. Asymmetry in Obligations (IMF and the MDBs) . . . . . . . . . . . 265 A. Asymmetry in IMF Obligations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 B. Asymmetry in MDB Obligations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 V. Summary: Evaluating the Criticisms of GEO Character, Control, and Reach. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270 Contents • vii Chapter Six: The Current Front in the Global Development War— How (and Whether) to Reform the GEOs? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275 I. Reforming the MDBs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276 A. Transparency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 277 B. Participation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278 C. Legality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 D. Competence. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 E. Accountability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 1. Accountability of Member Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 2. Accountability of the MDBs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 F. Substantive Norms and Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285 G. Charter Amendments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 II. Reforming the IMF. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 A. Structural and Operational Changes in the IMF. . . . . . . . 290 B. Enhancing Competence in National Governance. . . . . . . 295 III. Reforming the WTO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 A. Distributional Justice and Distributional Generosity. . . . . 302 B. Environmental and Human Rights Protections. . . . . . . . . 307 C. Transparency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 D. Accountability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 E. Development Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 IV. Concluding Observations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 A. Collective Assessment of the GEOs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 B. The Perils of Bilateralism . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 315 1. Chinese Bilateral Development Financing . . . . . . . . . 315 2. US Bilateral Trade Negotiations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318 C. The Role of the USA and the Future of the GEOs. . . . . . 320 Appendix to Chapter Six—Draft Protocol to the AsDB Charter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323 About the Author. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329 Selected Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 331 Index. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339 List of Tables and Boxes Tables in Main Text Table 1.1: Bilateral Development Assistance Versus Multilateral Development Assistance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Table 1.2: Standard-of-Living Information for Ten Selected Countries in the Same General Region as Azbadistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Table 1.3: Standard-of-Living Information for Ten Selected Countries in the Mid-Section of Africa . . . . . . . . . . 34 Table 1.4: Standard-of-Living Information for Ten Selected Rich Countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Table 2.1: Human Development Indicators, by Various Groupings and Regions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 Table 3.1: Growth in Foreign Direct Investment in Less Developed Countries, 1970–2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Table 3.2: Membership in the Regional MDBs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 Tables in Appendix to Chapter Three Table A: IMF Quotas and Voting Rights . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 Table B: IMF Constituencies and Voting Powers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 Boxes in Main Text Box 1.1: Increases in World Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Box 1.2: Selected NGOs Involved in International Development Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Box 3.1: The Global Economic Organizations (GEOs). . . . . . . . . . . . 92 Box 3.2: A Glimpse at Tariffs and Tariff Hikes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Box 3.3: A Glimpse at the Effects of Currency Devaluations. . . . . . . . 98 Box 3.4: A Glimpse at National Balance of Payments . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Box 3.5: How the IMF Lends: Details of Financial Facilities. . . . . . . 109 Box 3.6: A Glimpse at SDRs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 Box 3.7: MDB Resources: Getting Funds, and Lending Them, for Hard Loans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 Box 3.8: MDB Resources: Getting Funds, and Lending Them for Soft Loans. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 Box 4.1: Free Trade from Individual Perspectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 Box 5.1: Views Toward the Role(s) of MDBs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261 ix
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