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Economic Complexity and Evolution Andreas Pyka Esben Sloth Andersen Editors Long Term Economic Development Demand, Finance, Organization, Policy and Innovation in a Schumpeterian Perspective Economic Complexity and Evolution SeriesEditors: UweCantner,Jena,Germany KurtDopfer,St.Gallen,Switzerland JohnFoster,Brisbane,Australia AndreasPyka,Stuttgart,Germany PaoloSaviotti,Grenoble,France For furthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/11583 . Andreas Pyka (cid:129) Esben Sloth Andersen Editors Long Term Economic Development Demand, Finance, Organization, Policy and Innovation in a Schumpeterian Perspective Editors AndreasPyka EsbenSlothAndersen Lehrstuhlfu¨rInnovationso¨konomik DepartmentofBusinessandManagement UniversityofHohenheim AalborgUniversity Stuttgart,Germany Aalborg,Denmark ISBN978-3-642-35124-2 ISBN978-3-642-35125-9(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-3-642-35125-9 SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013937717 #Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionor informationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerpts inconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeing enteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplication ofthispublicationorpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheCopyrightLawofthe Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer.PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter. ViolationsareliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexempt fromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Contents Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 AndreasPykaandEsbenSlothAndersen Schumpeter’sCoreWorksRevisited. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 EsbenSlothAndersen BacktoEngel?SomeEvidencefortheHierarchyofNeeds. . . . . . . . . . 33 AndreasChaiandAlessioMoneta TechnologicalRegimesandDemandStructureintheEvolution ofthePharmaceuticalIndustry. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 ChristianGaravaglia,FrancoMalerba,LuigiOrsenigo, andMichelePezzoni InnovationandDemandinIndustryDynamics:R&D,NewProducts andProfits. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 FrancescoBogliacinoandMarioPianta Productionandfinanciallinkagesininter-firmnetworks:structural variety,risk-sharingandresilience. . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . .. 113 GiulioCainelli,SandroMontresor,andGiuseppeVittucciMarzetti DoesHistoryMatter?EmpiricalAnalysisofEvolutionaryVersus StationaryEquilibriumViewsoftheEconomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 KennethI.CarlawandRichardG.Lipsey Innovation,RealPrimaryCommodityPricesandBusinessCycles. . . . 175 HarryBlochandDavidSapsford KnowledgeFlowsinHigh-TechIndustryClusters:Dissemination MechanismsandInnovationRegimes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 BoCarlsson v vi Contents TheInternationalDiffusionofBiotechnology:theArrival ofDevelopingCountries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 JorgeNiosi,PetrHanel,andSusanReid TheInternetasaGlobalProductionReorganizer:TheOld IndustryintheNewEconomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 GunnarEliasson LookingAround:TheSmartWayofItalianSMEs toInnovate. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 273 PiergiuseppeMorone,CarmeloPetraglia,andGiuseppinaTesta StrategicFitBetweenRegionalInnovationPolicyand RegionalInnovationSystems:TheCaseofLocalPublic TechnologyCentersinJapan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 NobuyaFukugawa SchumpeterianPatternsofInnovationandtheSourcesof BreakthroughInventions:EvidencefromaData-setof R&DAwards. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 RobertoFontana,AlessandroNuvolari,HiroshiShimizu, andAndreaVezzulli R&D,PatentsandStockReturnVolatility. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341 MarianaMazzucatoandMassimilianoTancioni OnProfitDifferentialsBetweenPersistentandOccasional Innovators:NewEvidencesfromaRandom-Coefficient TreatmentModel. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363 GiovanniCerulliandBiancaPot`ı FinancialFactorsandPatents. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 395 GustavMartinssonandHansLo¨o¨f BuildingSystems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 417 BrianJ.Loasby WhatCausesCreativeDestruction?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 431 MichaelJoffe MarketsandOrganizationsIndividualismand EconomicTheory. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 439 MariaBrouwer FinancialSystemandTechnologicalCatching-up:an EmpiricalAnalysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 461 MuhammadNadeemJavaidandPier-PaoloSaviotti Introduction AndreasPykaandEsbenSlothAndersen The general theme of the thirteenth International Joseph A. Schumpeter Society Conference,heldduringJune21th–24th,2010atAalborgUniversityinDenmark, was the exploration of the interrelated phenomena of innovation, organization, sustainability and crises. By addressing these phenomena an attempt was madeto confrontsomeoftheunderexploredpartstheSchumpeterianlegacy,buttherewas also room for new results concerning more well-developed parts of evolutionary economics. Thefiveplenarysessionsconcerned:advancesintheunderstandingofindustrial evolution;newresearchonentrepreneurship,spill-oversandregionaldevelopment; theanalysisofinnovation-basedgrowth,fluctuationsandcrises;thecurrentcrises inalong-termhistoricalperspective;andtheprocessesofdevelopmentinrelation totheproblemsofcatching-up,fallingbehindandforgingahead. Thescopeoftheconferencecanberecognizedbythebroadrangeoftopicsthat was covered by the 62 parallel sessions. The session titles included: finance and innovation; evolutionary economic development; perspectives on patenting and licensing; creative destruction and labor mobility; consumption and evolution; evolution and development; incentives, learning and complexity; agent-based modeling;financialinnovationandfinancialcrisis;innovationinpharmaceuticals; knowledge networks; capitalism, labor markets and reorganization; innovation in the medical industry; the environment and sustainability; clusters and industry ModifiedandextendedversionfromJournalofEvolutionaryEconomics22(4),621–625,Springer (2012). A.Pyka(*) UniversityofHohenheim,Stuttgart,Germany e-mail:[email protected] E.S.Andersen AalborgUniversity,Aalborg,Denmark A.PykaandE.S.Andersen(eds.),LongTermEconomicDevelopment, 1 EconomicComplexityandEvolution,DOI10.1007/978-3-642-35125-9_1, #Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013 2 A.PykaandE.S.Andersen evolution; innovation in consumption goods; modeling technical change and growth;modelingindustrydynamics;discontinuities andcontinuities; technologi- calandregionalrelatedness;perspectivesoninnovationstudies;R&Dandpatents; survivaloffirms;publicpolicyandinnovativegrowth;growthandresilience;eco- innovations;Schumpeteriananalysesofgrowthandfluctuations;structuralchange and growth; firm practices and innovation; outsourcing and offshoring; public action and innovation; financial constraints on innovation; regulation and innovation; environmental policy and innovation; Schumpeter and innovation; entrepreneurship and evolution; high-tech clusters; sustainable emergence; firm growth and innovation; technological regimes and change; biotechnology; persis- tent performance; diversity and knowledge creation; innovation in Africa; innovation policy and policy innovation; universities and business innovation; entrepreneurship in regions; learning and locating; perspectives on catching up; innovation and market concentration; organizational forms; small and new firms; perspectives on networks; entrepreneurship and self-organization; Schumpeterian creative destruction; innovation and interaction; perspectives on Chinese transitions; environmental sustainability and innovation; the role of patents; tech- nologyandcycles;R&D,spillovers,andinnovation;andpreferencesandevolution. Theproceedingsfollowingthe2010conferenceoftheInternationalSchumpeter SocietystartswiththepresidentialaddressgivenbyEsbenSlothAndersenwiththe title “Schumpeter’s Core Works Revisited: Resolved Paradoxes and Remaining Challenges”. The chapter begins with an analysis of Schumpeter’s core works in German and English that serves to characterize the Schumpeterian legacy and its challengesformodernevolutionaryeconomics.Theanalysisispartlymadethrough the distinction between microevolution and macroevolution, and major tasks for futureresearchconcernthelatterphenomenon.Otherresearchissuesemergefrom the distinction between Schumpeter’s three major evolutionary models: the entre- preneur-driven model (Mark I), the oligopoly-driven model (Mark II), and the modelofsocio-economiccoevolution(MarkSC). Evolutionaryeconomicssometimesisstillcharacterizedasdominantlysupply- sideoriented.Inthisviewtherelationshipbetweeninnovationanddemandarenot at the forefront of evolutionary research. This is without doubt rather surprising given that no innovation could have successfully diffused without consumers adopting the new technology. In 2001 the Journal of Evolutionary Economics pioneered with the publication of a special issue “Economic growth—What hap- pened on the demand side” edited by Witt (2001) and triggered a continuously increasing number of publications dealing with the dynamic interplay between innovation, demand, income generation, consumer capabilities and changing distributionsofconsumptionexpenditures.Thereforethecriticismofanexclusive supply-sideorientationofevolutionaryeconomicsisnolongerjustified.Thethird chapter in the proceedings takes up this rich research agenda. Andreas Chai and AlessioMonetaaskthequestion“BacktoEngel?”andgiveempiricalevidencefor ErnstEngel’shierarchyofneedswhichhepublishedalreadyin(Engel1857).The challengingquestionaddressedinthispaperdealswiththedynamicsofconsump- tion patterns. Is the order of consumption which Engel has introduced more than Introduction 3 150yearsagostillobservableandhowdorisingincomesandincreasingchoicesof consumptioninfluencethebehaviorofconsumers? In the fourth chapter by Christian Garavaglia, Franco Malerba, Luigi Orsenigo andMichelePezzonidemandaspectsalsomatterevenifthefocusofthepaperison thedevelopingindustrialstructureofbiopharmaceuticalindustries.Intheirchapter “Technologicalregimesanddemandstructureintheevolutionofthepharmaceuti- cal industry” the authors apply a history-friendly simulation model to analyze the mutual interaction between the nature of the demand and the development of industry concentration. They show that the fragmented feature of the demand in pharmaceuticals expressed in the competition for new market niches leads to a seeminglyhighdegreeofcompetitioninthepharmaceuticalmarketdespitethehigh R&Dandmarketingintensities. Francesco Bogliaciono and Mario Pianta connect R&D investments, techno- economicopportunitiesandthepotentialforentrepreneurshipwithdemandfactors. In Chap. 5 the authors test these relationships at the industry level for 38 manufacturingandservicesectorsinsixEuropeancountriesovertwotimeperiods from1994to2006.Theyshowthatanincreaseinoveralldemandincreasesprofits, but is not necessarily responsible for improved innovative performances. Instead, growing innovation activities are positively associated to export growth alone. Accordingly, industries with a marked international openness are inclined to improvetechnologicalcompetitivenessthroughnewproducts.Contrary,increased demand due to household consumption slows down the introduction of new products. Domestic demand seems to lead to an expansion of output of existing goodsandserviceswithoutasignificanteffectoninnovation. Supply relationships, intermediate demand and real as well as financial interactions in supply chains are the topic of the contribution by Giulio Cainelli, SandroMontresorandGiuseppeVittucciMarzettiinChap. 6.Tobringtogetherthe complex interactions between firms comprising different forms of exchange the authors apply the network metaphor and develop an analytical model to analyze “Productionrisksharingandfinanciallinkagesininter-firmnetworks”concerning the“structural variety, risksharingandresilience” inthese networks.Theauthors use the network terminology also to highlight the important geographical dimen- sion of innovation. Different occurrences of network indicators like connectivity measuresareappliedtoassemblevariousformsofindustrialclusterswhichshowto be characterized by specific possibilities to process shocks among the network members. Kenneth Carlaw and Richard Lipsey challenge core neoclassical theories like RealBusinessCycles(RBC)intheircontribution“Doeshistorymatter?Empirical analysisofevolutionaryversusstationaryequilibriumviewsoftheeconomy”and disposetheirdiscussioninatraditionwhichstartedwithNelsonandWinter(1982). Withtheirevolutionarygrowthmodeltheyproduceartificialmacrodatawhichthey analyze for stylized facts of RBC theory. When applying the same econometric tests which are applied to real time series the artificial macro data exhibit stationarity features although they were created by an evolutionary model with strong path dependencies. Therefore, the question of the role of history cannot

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The book gives an overview of important research topics recently addressed in evolutionary Neo-Schumpeterian Economics. The list of research questions and applications of Neo-Schumpeterian reasoning impressively demonstrates the rich possibilities ranging from theoretical issues addressing human beh
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