University of Massachusetts Boston ScholarWorks at UMass Boston Graduate Doctoral Dissertations Doctoral Dissertations and Masters Theses 5-31-2016 Living Alone and Subsequent Living Arrangement Transitions among Older Americans Yao-Chi Shih University of Massachusetts Boston Follow this and additional works at:http://scholarworks.umb.edu/doctoral_dissertations Part of theDemography, Population, and Ecology Commons, and theGerontology Commons Recommended Citation Shih, Yao-Chi, "Living Alone and Subsequent Living Arrangement Transitions among Older Americans" (2016).Graduate Doctoral Dissertations.Paper 246. This Open Access Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Doctoral Dissertations and Masters Theses at ScholarWorks at UMass Boston. It has been accepted for inclusion in Graduate Doctoral Dissertations by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks at UMass Boston. For more information, please [email protected]. LIVING ALONE AND SUBSEQUENT LIVING ARRANGEMENT TRANSITIONS AMONG OLDER AMERICANS A Dissertation Presented by YAO-CHI SHIH Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies, University of Massachusetts Boston, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY May 2016 Gerontology Program © 2016 by Yao-Chi Shih All rights reserved ii LIVING ALONE AND SUBSEQUENT LIVING ARRANGEMENT TRANSITIONS AMONG OLDER AMERICANS A Dissertation Presented by YAO-CHI SHIH Approved as to style and content by: ________________________________________________ Frank W. Porell, Professor Chairperson of Committee ________________________________________________ Jeffrey A. Burr, Professor Member ________________________________________________ Mark D. Hayward, Professor University of Texas at Austin Member _________________________________________ Edward A. Miller, Program Director Gerontology Program _________________________________________ Jeffrey A. Burr, Chairperson Gerontology Department iii ABSTRACT LIVING ALONE AND SUBSEQUENT LIVING ARRANGEMENT TRANSITIONS AMONG OLDER AMERICANS May 2016 Yao-Chi Shih, B.A., National Chung Cheng University M.A., National Chung Cheng University M.S., University of Massachusetts Boston Ph.D., University of Massachusetts Boston Directed by Professor Frank W. Porell Past research often considers living alone as a risk factor for older persons. In fact, adverse health outcomes are associated with living arrangement transitions, suggesting a need to consider the dynamic process of living arrangements. Using eight waves of the Health and Retirement Study (1998-2012), this study examines three research questions: (1) Do older Americans’ living arrangements exhibit a pattern of sequence? (2) What are implications of living arrangements at particular older ages on life expectancy? (3) What factors predict transitions out of a living alone arrangement? The first analysis displays and classifies ordered patterns of living arrangements over time. Baseline living arrangements have a substantial influence on subsequent transitions. Major patterns of women’s living arrangement sequences are more diverse than those for men. In particular, living alone is both the major living arrangements at iv baseline or intermediately after baseline. These results suggest the importance of the living arrangement status at old ages in relation to subsequent living arrangements over time. Next, multistate life tables are estimated for calculating life expectancy in total and among distinct living arrangements. While the expected percentage of time spent living alone for men increases with age, about half of women’s total life expectancy at any ages is spent living alone. Older persons living alone do not have shorter life expectancies than those in co-residential living arrangements, particularly among women. This suggests a selection process in which less robust older persons tend to transition to other living arrangements or die at younger ages. Lastly, discrete-time event history models are used to examine factors associated with transitioning from living alone. Sentinel health events and poorer functional status are associated with an increased risk of death, and, to a lesser extent, a subsequent transition to co-residence or institutionalization. Analyses of transitions from living alone measured concurrently with changes in functional status suggest that many transitions may be immediate reactions to a recent health decline rather than adjustments following a progressive health decline. In either case, subsequent co-residence does not appear to be a common adaptation for many older adults who live alone with increased needs for care. v ACAKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am deeply indebted to many people who have contributed to the completion of this dissertation. I give special thanks to Frank Porell for his steadfast guidance and support in response for my countless struggles throughout the dissertation process. To Jeff Burr and Mark Hayward I give my heartfelt thanks. Their thoughtful participation is a constant source of encouragement for me to go on. I also thank Jan Mutchler and Pamela Nadash who patiently lead me to embark on the course of social research. This accomplishment would not have been possible without the wonderful members of the Gerontology Program. For all the opportunities and support that I have been given, I am beyond grateful. vi TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ......................................................................................... vi LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................... xi LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................... xiii CHAPTER Page 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................ 1 Organization of the Dissertation ............................................................... 5 Living Arrangement Sequences among Older Americans ................... 6 Multistate Life Tables of Older Americans’ Living Arrangements ..... 7 Subsequent Living Arrangements of Older Americans are Living Alone 8 Data ........................................................................................................... 9 Closing Remarks ....................................................................................... 10 References ................................................................................................. 12 2. LIVING ARRANGEMENT SEQUENCES AMONG OLDER AMERICANS 16 Introduction ............................................................................................... 16 Methodology ............................................................................................. 18 Data ...................................................................................................... 18 Living Arrangement States ................................................................... 20 Analytic Plan ........................................................................................ 22 Missing Data ........................................................................................ 30 Results ....................................................................................................... 31 Descriptive Analysis of Baseline Living Arrangements and Subsequent Living Arrangement Episodes ......................................................... 32 Baseline living arrangements by Gender and Age .......................... 32 Subsequent Transitions in Baseline Living Arrangements by Gender and Age Group ............................................................................ 36 Intermediate Living Arrangements by Gender and Age Group ...... 38 Sequence Index Plots by Intermediate Living Arrangements over Time ........................................................................................... 41 Sequence Analysis of Living Arrangements ........................................ 45 Sequences of Living Arrangement Episodes ................................... 46 Sequences of Annual Living Arrangement States ........................... 48 Sequence Analysis of Annual Living Arrangement Sequences ...... 50 Subsequent Analysis Methodology ............................................ 51 Cluster Description ..................................................................... 52 Discussion of Sequence Analysis Results .................................. 59 Discussion ................................................................................................. 61 References ................................................................................................. 66 vii CHAPTER Page 3. MULTISTATE LIFE TABLES OF OLDER AMERICANS’ LIVING ARRANGEMENTS .................................................................................. 69 Introduction ............................................................................................... 69 Prior Studies of Living Arrangement Transitions ................................ 70 Life expectancy of Living Arrangements ............................................. 72 Multistate Life Tables .......................................................................... 74 Multistate Life Tables for Living Arrangements Transitions .............. 76 Methodology ............................................................................................. 78 Data ...................................................................................................... 78 Living arrangement states .................................................................... 79 Markov chains and interpolated Markov chain (IMaCh) approach ..... 81 Discrete-time Markov Chain ........................................................... 81 Interpolating Markov Chain (IMaCh) ............................................. 82 Multistate Life Table Functions Calculated by IMaCh ................... 87 Analytic Plan ............................................................................................. 90 Descriptive Statistics Observed from Sample Data ............................. 92 Multinomial Logit Empirical Results ................................................... 95 Multistate Life Table Results .................................................................... 98 Annual Incidence Rates of Transitions ................................................ 99 Implied Prevalence ............................................................................... 104 Population-based Life Expectancy ....................................................... 107 Status-based Life Expectancy .............................................................. 109 Discussion ................................................................................................. 117 Age-specific prevalence rates of living arrangements ......................... 117 Population-based life expectancies of living alone and in institutions 118 Status-based life expectancies and selection process ........................... 119 Limitations ........................................................................................... 121 References ................................................................................................. 125 4. SUBSEQUENT TRANSITIONS IN LIVING ARRANGEMENTS AMONG OLDER AMERICANS WHO ARE LIVING ALONE ............................ 130 Introduction ............................................................................................... 130 Literature Review ...................................................................................... 133 Rational Choice Model ......................................................................... 133 Cultural Influences .......................................................................... 134 Economic Resources ....................................................................... 134 Kin Availability ............................................................................... 136 Health .............................................................................................. 138 Health and Living Arrangement Transitions ........................................ 141 Conceptual Model ..................................................................................... 146 Methodology ............................................................................................. 151 Data ...................................................................................................... 151 viii CHAPTER Page Defining Risk Set ................................................................................. 153 Study Sample ........................................................................................ 155 Analytic plan ........................................................................................ 156 Left Truncation ................................................................................ 159 Measures ............................................................................................... 162 Results ....................................................................................................... 166 Descriptive Analysis ............................................................................ 166 Discrete-time Survival Model .............................................................. 170 Sentinel Health Events, Functional Status and Relative Risks of Subsequent Transitions ............................................................... 170 Men’s Transitions from Living Alone ............................................. 171 Women’s Transitions from Living Alone ....................................... 177 Concurrent Changes in Functional Status and Living Arrangements ......................................................................................................... 184 Discussion ................................................................................................. 197 Limitations ........................................................................................... 202 References ................................................................................................. 205 5. CONCLUSION ................................................................................................. 213 Summary of Findings ................................................................................ 214 Contributions to the Literature .................................................................. 218 Future Directions ....................................................................................... 219 Policy Implication ..................................................................................... 221 References ................................................................................................. 224 APPENDIX A. CONSTRUCTING BETWEEN-WAVE LIVING ARRANGEMENT STATUS ................................................................................................................... 225 Introduction ............................................................................................... 225 Methodology ............................................................................................. 227 Construction of Between-Wave Living Arrangement Status ............... 227 The Midpoint of Two HRS Waves as the Pseudo Interview Date ....... 228 Constructing Transition Indicators Between Two Biennial Interviews ......................................................................................................... 229 Missing Data Screening ....................................................................... 230 Living Arrangement Indicator at the Pseudo Between-wave Date ...... 232 Longitudinal Merge .............................................................................. 232 Streamline the Annual Living Arrangement Status ............................. 233 Data ......................................................................................................... 234 Limitations ................................................................................................ 236 ix
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