Listen, We Need to Talk LISTEN, WE NEED TO TALK HOW TO CHANGE ATTITUDES ABOUT LGBT RIGHTS Brian F. Harrison and Melissa R. Michelson 1 1 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and certain other countries. Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America. © Oxford University Press 2017 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Harrison, Brian F., author. | Michelson, Melissa R., 1969– author. Title: Listen, we need to talk : how to change attitudes about LGBT rights / Brian F. Harrison, Melissa R. Michelson. Description: New York : Oxford University Press, 2017. Identifiers: LCCN 2016030884 (print) | LCCN 2016055362 (ebook) | ISBN 9780190654740 (hardback) | ISBN 9780190654757 (paperback) | ISBN 9780190654764 (Updf) | ISBN 9780190654771 (Epub) Subjects: LCSH: Gay liberation movement—United States. | Sexual minorities—United States. | Human rights—United States. | Public opinion—United States. | BISAC: POLITICAL SCIENCE / Public Policy / Social Policy. Classification: LCC HQ76.8.U5 H38 2017 (print) | LCC HQ76.8.U5 (ebook) | DDC 306.76—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016030884 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Paperback printed by WebCom, Inc., Canada Hardback printed by Bridgeport National Bindery, Inc., United States of America Contents vii List of Figures ix List of Tables xi Acknowledgments xiii Permissions 1 1. The Theory of Dissonant Identity Priming: How Identity, Source Similarity, and Message Characteristics Influence Attitudes 27 2. Marriage Equality and Other LGBT Issues in the United States 48 3. More Than a Game: Sports Fans and Marriage Equality 68 4. God and Marriage: Activating Religious Identity to Influence Attitudes on Same- Sex Marriage 85 5. It Does Matter If You’re Black or White (or Brown): Ethnoracial Identity Priming 106 6. Come Join the Party: The Power of Partisan Elite Cues 124 7. Conclusion: On the Frontier of Public Opinion and LGBT Rights Research 149 Appendix 1: Supplementary Tables 169 Appendix 2: List of Scripts for 17 Randomized Experiments in This Book 195 Notes 199 References 223 General Index 237 Index of Names v List of Figures 1.1 National Support for Same- Sex Marriage, 1996– 2015 2 1.2 The Theory of Dissonant Identity Priming Attitude Change Process Model 20 2.1 Support for Marriage Equality by Subgroup, May 2015 31 3.1 Support for Marriage Equality, Super Bowl Experiment, by Treatment Assignment and Level of Interest in Sports 55 3.2 Support for Hypothetical Ballot Measure, Super Bowl Experiment, by Treatment Assignment and Level of Interest in Sports 56 3.3 Support for Non- discrimination Statement, Michael Sam / Roger Goodell Experiment 58 3.4 Support for Marriage Equality, Green Bay Packers Experiment 60 3.5 NOH8 Photos of Actor David Hasselhoff and San Francisco Giants Pitcher Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants Experiment 63 4.1 Support for Marriage Equality, SocialSci Experiment 78 4.2 Support for Hypothetical Ballot Measure, SocialSci Experiment 78 4.3 Support for LGBT Parenting, SocialSci Experiment 79 5.1 Support for Marriage Equality, by Race and Ethnicity, 2006– 2016 86 5.2 Black Support for Marriage Equality, Equality Illinois Experiment 93 5.3 Black Support for Marriage Equality, Georgia Equality Experiment 95 5.4 Latino Support for Marriage Equality, Latino Decisions Experiment, by Nativity 100 5.5 Latino Support for Marriage Equality, South Texas Latinos Experiment, by Language 102 6.1 Republican Support for Marriage Equality, New Jersey Experiment, October 16, 2013 119 6.2 Republican Support for Marriage Equality, New Jersey Experiment, November 5, 2013 119 7.1 Support for Employment Non-d iscrimination Rights, 1977– 2015 136 vii List of Tables 1.1 Roadmap of 17 Randomized Experiments in This Book 25 2.1 Donation Rates (%), One Iowa Fundraising Experiment 45 3.1 Support for Marriage Equality (%), Hockey Experiment 62 3.2 Support for Marriage Equality (%), San Francisco Giants Experiment 65 4.1 Support for LGBT Rights (%), Louisiana Experiment 82 6.1 Support for Marriage Equality (%), Virginia Partisanship Experiment 115 6.2 Support for Marriage Equality (%), Senior Party Spokesman Experiment 120 6.3 Support for Marriage Equality, Senior Party Spokesman Experiment, Logit Models 121 7.1 Summary of Randomized Experiments from Chapters 3–6 131 7.2 Support for Pro- LGBT Actions (%), Louisiana’s Capitol City Alliance Experiment 138 7.3 Support for Pro- LGBT Actions (%), Equality Maryland Experiment 143 A1.1 Support for and Opposition to Marriage Equality (%), Gallup Poll Trend, 1996– 2015 149 A2.1 Donation Rates, One Iowa Fundraising Experiment, Logit Models 150 A3.1 Support for Same- Sex Marriage (%), Super Bowl Experiment, by Treatment Assignment and Level of Interest in Sports 151 A3.2 Support for Hypothetical Ballot Measure (%), Super Bowl Experiment, by Treatment Assignment and Level of Interest in Sports 154 A3.3 Support for Non- Discrimination Statement (%), Michael Sam / Roger Goodell Experiment 157 A3.4 Support for Non- Discrimination Statement, Michael Sam / Roger Goodell Experiment, Logit Models 157 A3.5 Support for Marriage Equality (%), Green Bay Packers Experiment 158 A3.6 Support for Marriage Equality, Green Bay Packers Experiment, Logit Models 158 A3.7 Support for Marriage Equality, Hockey Experiment, Logit Models 159 A4.1 Support for LGBT Rights (%), SocialSci Experiment 159 A4.2 Support for LGBT Rights, SocialSci Experiment, Logit Models 160 A4.3 Support for LGBT Rights (%), Louisiana Experiment, by Script 161 ix
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