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Liquor warehousing and distribution in Alberta : supply chain analysis : final report PDF

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Alberta Gaming and Liquor Commission - Liquor Warehousing and Distribution in Alberta Supply Chain Analysis FINAL Report March 1,2007 Prepared by: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP Suite 1501, TD Tower 10088-102 Ave NW Edmonton, Alberta T5J 3N5 @ PriwaTerhouseQopers 77 0230 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 1 2 INTRODUCTION 7 3 OVERVIEW OF SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT 8 4 APPROACH 10 4.1 Stakeholder Meetings 1 4.2 Consolidation ofWritten Responses 1 5 RESEARCH 12 5.1 Best Practices 1 5.2 Review ofOtherJurisdictions 1 5.2. The IowaAlcoholicBeverage Division (ABD) 13 5.2.2 The GovernmentofOntario BeverageAlcoholSystem Review(BASR) 14 5.2.3 Lessons Learned 16 6 FINDINGS ...17 6.1 Alberta’s LiquorSupply Chain 17 6.2 Upstream Association Responses 18 6.2. Spirits Canada 19 6.2.2 Canada’s NationalBrewers 19 6.2.3 BeverageAlcoholImporters CouncilofAlberta (BAICA) 20 6.3 Downstream Association Responses 21 6.3.1 Alberta LiquorStoreAssociation (ALSA) 27 6.3.2 Canadian CouncilofGroceryDistributors (CCGD) 22 6.3.3 Canadian RestaurantandFoodservicesAssociation (CRFA) 23 6.3.4 Alberta Hotel& LodgingAssociation (AHLA) 24 6.3.5 Alberta IndependentLiquorRetailers (AILR) 25 6.4 Discussion Paper- Responses to Questions 27 6.4.1 The External Context 27 6.4.2 The SupplyChain 31 6.4.3 Issues Surrounding LiquorSupply Chain Management 36 7 CONCLUSIONS 64 8 ALTERNATIVES 68 9 RECOMMENDATIONS 71 APPENDIXA- LIST OF RESPONDENTS 74 APPENDIX B - ALBERTA’S LIQUOR SUPPLY CHAIN DISCUSSION PAPER 75 Q p^lCrmTERHOUsEQOPERS LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report Executive Summary 1 Overview l! A simple, expedient solution to Alberta’s current liquorsupply chain challenges does not exist. I The alternatives thatwe analyzed would likely have a negative impact on costs, service levels, ! product delivery (speed and reliability), and/or product selection. A numberofrelatively simple, short-term/interim solutions have been proposed. These include: • Appointing additional warehousing vendors; and • Allowing the domestic brewers to distribute the import brands thatthey represent. While superficially attractive, it is probable thatthese interim solutions will fundamentally enhance the positions ofcertain interests, namelythe supplier/ agent community, to the j potential disadvantage ofretailers and consumers. As well, attempting to establish a new service delivery model atthis time increases the risk of not being able to meetthe 2007 peak. The Alberta liquor industry supply model is predicated on balancing the interests ofall j stakeholders. Altering that balance will need careful consideration. Recognizing the needs, priorities and balance above, we have worked with the AGLC to develop a proposed multi-track approach, which is geared to: 1. Ensuring that stability and predictability are returned to the supply chain in the nearterm (the next one to two years)working within the existing delivery model. Mandatory j supply chain planning and forecasting, underthe direction ofthe AGLC, would be required; 2. Evaluating the costs, benefits, risks and policy implications ofdifferent supply chain I models; and 3. Identifying the best long-term alternative, based on balancing AGLC’s needs and priorities, and help AGLC to develop a transition strategyto move from the current model to the future model. Background Until recently, the privatized model for liquordistribution in Alberta has worked reasonablywell. ! • Consumers have seen an almost 300% increase in the numberofproducts they can choose from; they can now purchase liquorfrom over 1,100 retailers in communities throughoutAlberta; liquor retail prices have remained relatively stable. • Retailers have had reliable, predictable delivery ofliquorthroughoutthe province at a I standardized cost. • Agents have been able to introduce new products to the marketwith a minimum amount of“red-tape”. • The Government ofAlberta has met its policy objectives as established atthetime of privatization. PriceWaTeRhouseQopers Page 1 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report Current Situation Alberta’s provincial alcoholic beverage operating environment has undergone significant change since the introduction of private sectorcontrol ofthe delivery mechanism in 1993. • Consumers expectthe increased availability and selection ofproducts. • The numberofretailers and licensees has increased significantly: larger retailers and retail chains have become more established. • More recently, some larger retailers have started to use their buying powerto negotiate volume discounts with suppliers through the existing LTO (Limited Time Offer) process. • The complexity ofwarehousing and distribution has increased significantlywith the numberofproducts that must be brought in, unloaded, stocked, picked, packed and shipped. • The charges percase to stock, pick and ship fast moving, high volume products is identical to the charges forslow moving products in spite ofthe potentially huge disparity in work effort involved. This has created the situation where high-volume products are effectively“cross-subsidizing” a growing numberofslow moving products. • The willingness ofthe existing warehouserto make anything buttactical investments is hampered by the factthatthey have not operated with a long term contractwith the AGLC. Connect Logistics Services (CLS) has operated with several inefficient “satellite” warehouses and retailers have been permitted “storage facilities”. • The lack ofa formalized planning and forecasting process involving all stakeholders (suppliers, agents, freightforwarders, warehouserand retailers) greatly reduces the abilityto predict potential bottlenecks in the supply chain. Ultimately, the warehouser is forced to make prioritization decisions (due to finite capacity)that may be inconsistent with the desires ofeitherthe suppliers or retailers. • The available capacity in the existing warehouse at key moments during peak seasons has been exceeded given thatthe flow is not managed against a formalized plan. • No incentives ordisincentives existforgood / poor performance orcooperation to ensure efficiency by suppliers, agents orthe warehouser. The implications ofthis are that poor performance by one stakeholder in the supply chain can cause significant pain atother points in the supply chain. • The “hands-off’ approach taken bythe AGLC in establishing formal performance measures and monitoring performance againstthese indicators has resulted in tactical decisions to issues as they arise instead ofproactively planning and recognizing problems before they occur. In preparation for2007, CLS is making significant investments to enhance current capabilities. These include: • A newWarehouse Management System (WMS); • Dividing slow moving items into theirown specialized warehouse (mixing centre) with consolidation at St. Albert. St. Albertwill then be primarily used as a distribution centre ratherthan a mixed storage and distribution facility (all ofthis enabled bythe new WMS); • Improved racking layouts and automation at St. Albert commensurate with St. Albert’s revised role as primarily a distribution centre; and m PrICEWATeRHOUsEQoPERS Page2 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report • Furtherdevelopment ofthe labour plansto ensure staffretention and availability including preparing forthe importation oflabourfrom outside Canada. It should be noted that stafftraining lead times mean thatthere are delays of up to 3 months between an employee starting and being fully productive. However, CIS has made limited or no quantitative analysis to date ofthe actual impacts these investments will have in terms ofimproved efficiency and capacity. Indeed the working details such as the timing offlows (with consequent impact on orderto delivery lead times) between St. Albert and the “mixing centre” are being designed while this report is being prepared. In addition the proposed moves will need to be phased as the new mixing facility is brought on WMS line, the implemented, and existing facilities rationalized. This workwill likely continue until the fall of2007. The Challenge • Suppliers, agents and retailers have expressed thatthey have lost confidence in the current model ofliquordistribution in Alberta. • The conceptof“open, free market” as defined bythe suppliers/agents and some large retailers is incongruentwith “fairand level playing field” as originally defined bythe Alberta model and understood by most retailers. • No one is "managing" the flow ofgoods in the supply chain. • Industry stakeholders are looking forthe problem to be fixed yetthey cannot agree on the bestalternative forsolving the problem. Not surprisinglythe solutions proposed reflecttheircommercial interests and do not point outthe implications forthe other players in the chain oron consumers. • Any solution implemented in the short-term can only be a stop-gap solution. Conclusions • The existing system makes it difficultto define who is responsible forservice failures. During the review, each segment ofthe industry soughtto “pointfingers” atthe others without recognizing the limitations each playerwas working under. • The existing system does not require the players in the supply chain to cooperate in any meaningful sense. • Based on observation and the qualitative information supplied, it is unlikelythatthe currentwarehouse operation is sustainable without a significant increase in capacity or the better use ofthe existing capacity. • Processes and systems to support sensible business planning and execution are inadequate. • The allocation/communication/agreementofindustry roles, responsibilities and accountabilities to makethe system run smoothly is inadequate; and • The lack ofa performance managementframework creates little or no incentive for CLS to be responsive to changing business requirements. PricewaTerhous^pers Page3 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report Recommendations The recommendations made are based on the assumption thatfundamental market shifts have occurred that require the development ofnew liquordistribution model forthe Province of Alberta. This new industry model will require clearallocation ofroles, responsibilities and accountabilities ofkey industry players throughoutthe supply chain. These recommendations are tiered into short, medium and long term actions. ShortTerm Shortterm is defined as beginning March 2007 with the initial analysis completed bythe end of May 2007, implementation and monitoring through the balance of2007; to be repeated in 2008. • The AGLC musttake a more active role in managing elements ofthe industry- particularly in the supply chain -to ensure that service levels and stakeholder confidence are returned to the industry. • Retain CLS as the sole warehouser/distributorforthe distribution ofliquor in the province ofAlberta atthis time, butwith a more rigorous contractual regime. Do not make shortterm changes such as changing the beerdistribution arrangements or introducing newwarehousing vendors. Such changes are likely high risk as theywill add complexity and set precedents in advance ofthe developmentofa longerterm strategy. • Formalize the “service provider” relationship by defining, negotiating and signing a contractwith CLS to provide services that includes conditions ifperformance is / is not met. • Establish and implementformal performance measures againstwhich CLS performance will be monitored; indicators need to include: o On-time delivery; o Accuracyofshipment; and o Customerservice. • Workwith CLS to develop a new, expanded, rate structure to better reflectthe relative costs ofordering, handling and storing fast moving items as compared to slow moving items. Implementthis new rate structure in the summerof2007 so that it is aligned with the move to the “mixing centre”. • Require all upstream and downstream stakeholders to provide volume and timing forecasts for2007 (and 2008) to CLS so that properforward planning can be performed. Ensure thatthe plan is quantified and tested. • Establish “rules ofengagement” forthe suppliers/agents and retailers based on the forecasts used for planning 2007 and subsequently 2008. These ruleswill be used to regulate productflows and responsibilities and will include consequences ifrules are broken. • Retain the services ofa qualified supply chain specialistto supporttheAGLC including reviewing the plans and monitoring implementation/operation on, at minimum, a monthly basis. PrICEWATeRHOUsEQoPERS Page4 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report • In the eventthat supply and/ordemand spikes unreasonably at some point, the AGLC would reserve the shortterm rightto impose limits on supply orordering during certain periods. • Short listoptions for refining the LTO system; forexample, remove anomalies such as small retailers being forced to wait until theirorderday before they can order LTOs. Changes such as this will be complex at a detailed level and will require careful consultation with all the parties involved. This project should be completed, however, by June 2007. • Subjectto any legal considerations, give notice to CLS that, as a consequence ofthe changes described above, the existing “appointment” arrangementwill revertto a more typical “services contract” arrangementwith an expected term to coincide with a transition period following the possible re-tendering ofthe contract in approximatelytwo years from now. The duration ofthe transition period would likely be determined during the development ofthe RFP documents in late 2008. Medium term Medium term is defined as beginning in March 2007 with the analysis and policy options ready fordiscussion/decision byAugust 2007. Target Implementation beginning in 2008 or2009 depending on the final policy decisions. Develop an operational and financial business case that considers fouroptions forthe physical network: 1. Recreate an environmentwhere the supply network is sized to be largerthan the expected peak volume fora numberofyears to come (essentiallythe situation at privatization). This option will be capital intensive and likelywasteful as itwill involve the building or leasing offacilities which will be underutilized otherthan at exceptional activity peaks. As consumption grows this solution will at some point again run out of capacity provoking another“crisis”. Anotherversion ofthis strategy has warehouses (and warehousers) being added. This approach will also add to the work ofthe AGLC, especially in its capacity as “first receiver”. Maintaining a uniform service forall products and a uniform price structure forall retailers will increasingly not be feasible as more and more locations are added decreasing the efficiency ofthe system. The likely result is thatAgents/Suppliers will seekto favoura limited range ofretailers and “neglect” the rest. 2. Act more proactively asthe regulatoreitherdirectly, through a third party orthrough the warehouse operatorand dictate the priorities at peaktimes to the suppliers and retailers based on projections thatthe suppliers and retailers would be required to provide for planning purposes. In principle this goes againstthe “free market” principles thatAlberta has espoused since privatization. It requires theAGLC to “re-engage” as a regulator (at least in the last resort) ofoperations as well as its ongoing fiscal and social responsibility role. As structured todaythe AGLC does not have the skills orthe resources to undertake this role otherthan in whatwould likely be an arbitraryfashion. The current privatization model is structured to offera “level playing field”to all retailers which in turn has meant an operating constructthat does not allow a “free” marketforservices such as warehousing to develop (as itwould have been complexto achieve while ensuring level pricing and deliveryto all retailers and would have required, forexample, a detailed regulated wholesale pricing regime). In this situation, the AGLC is nowfaced with either PrICEWATeRHOUsEQoPERS Page5 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report maintaining the current principles, which would in turn mean the AGLC returning to a more interventionist role in “managing” the operations ofthe service providers similarto a utility model, orofchanging the privatization model with the core options being described below. 3. Adjustthe principles ofprivatization to enable the suppliers to take control openly ofthe supply chain and to manage it. This option is one that is rarely seen in the consumer goods market. The state of Iowa evaluated this model for liquordistribution a numberof years ago and concluded that itwas not in the best interest ofthe state (see section 4.3). However, it is still an option that needs to be carefully considered. 4. Adjustthe principles ofprivatization to enable the retailers totake control ofthe supply chain and manage it. This model is the one which has evolved as the most common model forconsumergoods globally, particularly in the last 30 to 40 years. The retailers are closestto the consumer. Adoption ofthis model would however require care to ensure thatthe interests ofall groups are considered. Selecting amongstthese choices will be difficult. Each onewill have significant consequences forall the parties involved. The decision making process forthis long-term strategic direction will require significantly more in-depth analysis. The reviewwould considerthefinancial, operating and consumer implications ofthe options and would lead to recommendations on which approach should be adopted and whatoperating principles / policies would be needed. In making this reviewthe following key priorities would be followed: • Compliance with Federal requirements; • Maintaining social responsibility: • Ensuring a diversity ofproducts; • Ensuring service and price competitiveness to all Albertans; • Supporting employment and enterprise in the retail sector; and • Securing the revenue flowto the Province ofAlberta. Long term (2009 onwards) Based on the results ofthe in-depth review, issue an RFP forone or more warehousers to deliverwarehousing and distribution services fora defined contractterm (forexample, 5 years). The transition to any newvendor, orto the terms ofany new agreement, would take place over a time period to be defined during the RFP process. The time required fortransition would in part depend on whetherthere would be a requirementthat any successful bidder(s) continue to operate from St. Albert or iftheywould be free to create a new network (or use parts ofthe existing system). Analysis ofthis question should form a part ofthe business case analysis described above. PricewaTerhouseQopers Page6 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report 2 Introduction The receiptofliquor productfrom suppliers and agents, and the distribution ofliquor productto licensees from the Connect Logistics Services (CLS) warehouse in St. Albert have encountered a numberofsignificant supply chain issues overthe last year. These supply chain factors have caused issues forsuppliers, agents, and liquor licensees, and attracted licensee and media attention. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (PwC) has been contracted bythe AGLC to conducta review of the liquorwarehousing and distribution supply chain in Alberta, with a viewto proposing resolutions to the supplychain issues facing the provision ofspirits, wine, coolers and imported beer in Alberta. The scope ofthis review specifically excluded “finding fault” related to the events ofthe past year. Rather, its purpose was to bring an independent perspective to the process as the AGLC and its stakeholders look ahead to the future. This document is divided up into thefollowing sections. • Section 3- provides an overview ofthe basic elements ofSupply Chain Management (SCM). • Section 4-describesthe approach thatwas used to completethis review and includes summary information aboutthe data gathering phase. • Section 5-describes some “best practices” that one would expectto see in highly efficient supply chain operations and provides a review oftwo other liquordistributionjurisdictions. • Section 6- provides a summary ofthe feedbackfrom the stakeholders. It also includes PwC comments on this feedback. • Section 7- summarizes the conclusions that PwC has drawn from analyzing the feedback based on our industry expertise and knowledge ofbest practices. • Section 8-describes the alternatives thatAGLC has forgoing forward. • Section 9-outlines our recommendations forgoing forward. • AppendixA- provides a list ofrespondents. • Appendix B - is a copy ofthe AGLC LiquorSupply Chain Discussion Paper. PRICEWATeRHOUsEQoPERS Page 7 LiquorWarehousingand Distribution inAlberta Final Report 3 Overview of Supply Chain Management This section provides an overview ofSupply Chain Management (SCM) so asto ensure thatthe findings and recommendations are provided within the context ofan overall SCM Framework. In its simplestform, a Supply Chain refers to the distribution channel ofa product, from its sourcing, to its deliveryto the end consumer (see Figure 1). Consumers Product Figure1 -SupplyChain Supply chain management (SCM) involves the coordination and integration ofproductflow, information flowand finance flow both within and among companies (see Figure 2). • The productflow- includes the movement ofgoods from a supplierto a customer • The information flow- involves communicating information aboutthe product as it passes through the supply chain (e.g., purchase orders, shipping notices, delivery status). • The financeflow- includes payment schedules, and consignment and title ownership arrangements. Orders L- Orders ^ Payment i Payment Payment Suppliers Product Distributors 1 product Retailers Product Consumers Information H Information Figure2-SupplyChainFlows The primary objective ofsupply chain management is to have the right products, in the right quantities (atthe right place) atthe righttime at an acceptable cost. Key questions that need to be answered with this in mind are: • Right products - how many different products should be carried? Should different sizes of the same product be carried? • Right quantities - how much ofa particular product needs to be ordered? Are there minimum orderquantities (eitherfrom the supplierorfrom retailers)? • Righttime - howfast does the product need to be delivered? Flow reliable is the delivery? Flow accurate is the delivery? • Acceptable cost-what are the costs ofcarrying inventory? Flow much will it costto get a certain numberofproducts within a certain timeframe? What is the change in cost ifa different quantity is ordered? Ifa different product is ordered? Ifa different deliverytime is required? PrICEWATeRHOUsEQoPERS(i Page8

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