Bangxi Li Linear Theory of Fixed Capital and China’s Economy Marx, Sraffa and Okishio ’ Linear Theory of Fixed Capital and China s Economy Bangxi Li Linear Theory of Fixed ’ Capital and China s Economy Marx, Sraffa and Okishio 123 BangxiLi Schoolof Social Sciences TsinghuaUniversity Beijing China ISBN978-981-10-4064-1 ISBN978-981-10-4065-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-981-10-4065-8 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2017932783 ©SpringerNatureSingaporePteLtd.2017 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. 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Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:152BeachRoad,#21-01/04GatewayEast,Singapore189721,Singapore Preface This book is a collection of papers that comprises the doctorate dissertation of the author defended at Waseda University, June 2012. In addition, some papers pub- lishedafterthedefenceareincluded.ThosearelistedintheBibliographypartatthe end of this book. The author tried to do his best in arranging the contents of the papers in a readable way. As a result, the book consists of 10 chapters. Most of chapters were published as independent articles, so that they contained a lot of duplicated descriptions. The author tried to minimise duplications throughout the book, but some still remain for the convenience of readers. A brief and overall introduction of the volume will be given in what follows. The following chapters are all related to fixed capital theory and China’s economy. The first part ofthebookdeals with thetheory offixedcapitalalong theline of Marx,Sraffa,OkishioandMorishima.Thesecondhalfisdedicatedtoestimationof fixed capital coefficients of China’s economy and some computation results on China based on the estimated coefficients. Details will be given in Chap. 1, Introduction. Mostoftheoriesoffixedcapitalsofardiscussedaremoreorlessnon-operational ones because there was no available data offixed capital coefficients. Applications ofMarx’slabourtheoryofvaluehavebeenmade with no-joint-productionmodels that ignore fixed capital. Models dealt with in this book are all linear multi-sector models,withafocusonfixedcapital.Somedetailsoffixedcapitalaremadeclearin a systematic approach, and this leads us to carry out several computations and simulations with explicit consideration offixed capital. Theappendixisincludedinthisbook,becauseitrevealsthemotivationandthe starting point of author’s research in this field. This book is supported by The Social Science Foundation of Beijing (No.15JGB125)andProjectofIndependentResearchPlanSupportedbyTsinghua University (No. 2014z21044). The author is indebted to many professors, colleagues and friends. Thanks are due to Profs. T. Nakatani (Professor Emeritus of Kobe University, Rector of v vi Preface Onomichi City University, Japan), M. Kasamatsu (Waseda University, Japan), T. Asada (Chuo University, Japan), Y. Sato (Hosei University, Japan), Y. Niisato (UniversityofToyama,Japan),MENGJie(RenminUniversityofChina),ZHANG Yu (Renmin University of China), RONG Zhaozi (Anhui University), MA Yan (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics), ZHANG Zhongren (University of Shimane), QI Shuchang (National Bureau of Statistics of China), ZHAO Feng (Renmin University of China), L. Pasinetti (Milano, Italy), B. Schefold (Göthe Universität, Germany), H.D. Kurz (University of Graz, Austria), N. Salvadori (Universitá diz Pisa, Italy), C. Bidard (Université Paris Ouest, France), Yagi Takashi (Meiji University, Japan) and Tsuduki Eiji (Nanzan University, Japan). Last but not least, the author would like to express the deepest and the most profound thanks and gratitude to his teacher, Professor Emeritus of Waseda University, Yoriaki Fujimori. Under his tutelage and encouragement, the author could start acquiring the knowledge of mathematical Marxian political economy streaming from Okishio. Theauthorwouldliketoexpresshisthankstoeditors ofSpringer, Beijing, Mz. ZHAO Wei and QIU Han, for their kind helps and patience. Researches presented in this book have been made by applying various open-sourceandfreesoftware,suchasTEX,Scilab,Maximaandothers.Hence,the author would like to thank to developers of these open-source software. Beijing, China Bangxi Li Contents 1 Introduction... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 1 1.1 Brief History of Mathematical Marx’s Political Economy in Japan .. .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 1 1.2 Plan of Chapters.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 3 1.3 Basic Framework of the Marx-Sraffa Model.... .... ..... .... 5 2 Sraffa-Okishio-Nakatani’s Fixed Capital Theory .. .... ..... .... 7 2.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 7 2.2 Reduction à la Sraffa-Okishio-Nakatani ... .... .... ..... .... 7 2.2.1 Okishio-Nakatani Reduction .. .... .... .... ..... .... 8 3 Renewal Dynamics of Fixed Capital .... .... .... .... ..... .... 13 3.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 13 3.2 Normal Depreciation. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 14 3.2.1 Yamada-Yamada and Markov Process .. .... ..... .... 14 3.2.2 Stationary State.... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 17 3.3 Accelerated Depreciation .. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 17 3.4 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 19 4 Profit and Growth in the SON Economy. .... .... .... ..... .... 21 4.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 21 4.2 Framework of Analysis.... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 21 4.2.1 The Reproduction Model with Only 1 Type of Fixed Capital ... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 21 4.2.2 The Model of 4 Commodities from 2 Sectors. ..... .... 22 4.2.3 The Equilibrium of Production Prices and the Level of Activities . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 23 4.2.4 The Reduced Price System ... .... .... .... ..... .... 24 4.2.5 Reduced Quantity System.... .... .... .... ..... .... 26 vii viii Contents 4.3 The Cambridge Equation in SON.... .... .... .... ..... .... 27 4.3.1 Some Preparations.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 27 4.3.2 The Cambridge Equation of the SON Economy.... .... 28 4.4 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 30 5 Economic Durability and Hardening Effects of Fixed Capital. .... 33 5.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 33 5.2 The Model .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 33 5.3 Simulation of the Determination of Economic Durability... .... 35 5.3.1 The Numerical Value Settings. .... .... .... ..... .... 35 5.3.2 The Standard Maximum Problem and Production Price Ratios.. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 35 5.3.3 The Activity Level of Production Processes .. ..... .... 36 5.4 Simulation of the Hardening Effect of Fixed Capital . ..... .... 37 5.4.1 Numerical Settings . .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 37 5.4.2 Production Prices and Activity Levels of the Production Process .... .... .... .... ..... .... 38 5.5 Simulation with Physical Durability.. .... .... .... ..... .... 40 5.6 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 42 5.6.1 On the Endogenous Determination of Economic Durability ... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 42 5.6.2 On the Hardening Effect of Fixed Capital.... ..... .... 43 5.6.3 Comparison with Physical Durability ... .... ..... .... 44 5.6.4 Theoretical Implication .. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 46 6 Marx-Sraffa Equilibria as Eigensystems . .... .... .... ..... .... 47 6.1 Mathematical Preliminaries. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 47 6.1.1 Marx-Sraffa Equilibria... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 49 6.2 Possibility of Unstable Marx-Sraffa Equilibrium. .... ..... .... 53 6.2.1 A Basis of Numerical Computation. .... .... ..... .... 53 6.2.2 Marx-Sraffa Price Equilibrium. .... .... .... ..... .... 54 6.2.3 Marx-Sraffa Activity Equilibrium .. .... .... ..... .... 55 6.2.4 The Equilibrium Quantity of the Marx-Sraffa Model .... 56 6.2.5 The Dynamics of the Production Price System..... .... 56 6.2.6 The Dynamics of the Activity and the Quantity Systems. .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 57 6.3 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 58 7 Fixed Capital and China’s Economy 1995–2000... .... ..... .... 59 7.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 59 7.2 Estimation of Marginal Fixed Capital Coefficients ... ..... .... 60 7.2.1 Basic Framework .. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 60 7.2.2 Sraffa-Fujimori Method.. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 61 7.2.3 Notes on Data..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 64 Contents ix 7.3 Wage-Profit Curves à la von Neumann-Leontief .... ..... .... 65 7.3.1 Basic Concept..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 65 7.3.2 Computation Procedure with Respect to Input-Output Data ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 67 7.3.3 Computation Results.... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 69 7.4 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 74 8 Marx’s Labour Values in China’s Economy.. .... .... ..... .... 75 8.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 75 8.2 Value System and Production Price System.... .... ..... .... 76 8.2.1 Notations and Preliminary Notes... .... .... ..... .... 76 8.2.2 Values.. .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 76 8.2.3 Production Prices .. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 77 8.2.4 Rate of Surplus Value... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 77 8.3 Organic Composition of Capital, Fixed Capital-Labour Ratio and Rate of Surplus Value .... .... .... .... ..... .... 79 8.3.1 Organic Composition of Capital ... .... .... ..... .... 79 8.3.2 Fixed Capital-Labour Ratios.. .... .... .... ..... .... 79 8.4 Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficients . .... .... ..... .... 80 8.5 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 80 9 Turnpike Paths for China’s Economy 1995–2000.. .... ..... .... 83 9.1 Introduction ... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 83 9.2 Kantorovich’s Long-Term Planning Model. .... .... ..... .... 83 9.2.1 DOSSO’s Model... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 85 9.2.2 Similarity and Difference Between DOSSO and Kantorovich Model.. .... .... .... .... ..... .... 85 9.3 Long-Term Planning Theory and China’s Economy.. ..... .... 87 9.3.1 Kantorovich’s Output Path ... .... .... .... ..... .... 87 9.3.2 The Additional Restrictions on Fixed Capital . ..... .... 89 9.3.3 The Long-Term Plan with a Labour Resource Constraint ... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 90 9.4 Concluding Remarks ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 93 10 Concluding Remarks.... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 95 Appendix A: Input-Output Tables and Marx’s 2-Sector Model ... .... 97 References.... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 117 Index .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .... 121 List of Figures Figure 5.1 The economic determination of the durability offixed capital: s¼sða;rÞ .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 38 Figure 5.2 The economic determination of durability offixed capital: s¼sðb;rÞ .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 41 Figure 5.3 The relationship between the profit rate and economic durability (a¼0:90) ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 43 Figure 5.4 The relationship between the efficiency and economic durability (r ¼0:20) ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 44 Figure 5.5 The wage-profit curve in an economic durability and a physical durability.. .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 45 Figure 5.6 The aged fixed capital prices based on economic durability, physical durability, and hardening effect.. .... .... ..... .. 45 Figure 7.1 The convergence of the iteration.... .... .... .... ..... .. 63 Figure 7.2 The wage-profit curve à la von Neumann-Leontief (1987) . .. 71 Figure 7.3 W-P curve (1990) .. ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 71 Figure 7.4 W-P curve of 1992 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 72 Figure 7.5 W-P curve of 1995 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 72 Figure 7.6 W-P curve of 1997 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 73 Figure 7.7 W-P curve of 2000 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 73 Figure 9.1 The optimal solution of Kantorovich’s long-term planning and actual values (1997, fixed capital).... .... .... ..... .. 92 Figure 9.2 The optimal solution of Kantorovich’s long-term planning and actual values (1997, current goods) ... ..... .. 92 Figure 9.3 The optimal solution of Kantorovich’s long-term planning and actual values (1997, consumption goods).. .... ..... .. 93 Figure A.1 Consumption-growth curve of 1981 . .... .... .... ..... .. 100 Figure A.2 C-G curve of 1987 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 101 Figure A.3 C-G curve of 1990 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 101 Figure A.4 C-G curve of 1992 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 102 Figure A.5 C-G curve of 1995 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 102 Figure A.6 C-G curve of 1997 . ..... .... .... .... .... .... ..... .. 103 xi