Studies in Systems, Decision and Control 196 Magdalena Szymkowiak Lifetime Analysis by Aging Intensity Functions Studies in Systems, Decision and Control Volume 196 Series editor Janusz Kacprzyk, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland e-mail: [email protected] The series “Studies in Systems, Decision and Control” (SSDC) covers both new developments and advances, as well as the state of the art, in the various areas of broadly perceived systems, decision making and control–quickly, up to date and withahighquality.Theintentistocoverthetheory,applications,andperspectives on the state of the art and future developments relevant to systems, decision making,control,complexprocessesandrelatedareas, asembeddedinthefieldsof engineering,computerscience,physics,economics,socialandlifesciences,aswell astheparadigmsandmethodologiesbehindthem.Theseriescontainsmonographs, textbooks, lecture notes and edited volumes in systems, decision making and control spanning the areas of Cyber-Physical Systems, Autonomous Systems, Sensor Networks, Control Systems, Energy Systems, Automotive Systems, Biological Systems, Vehicular Networking and Connected Vehicles, Aerospace Systems, Automation, Manufacturing, Smart Grids, Nonlinear Systems, Power Systems, Robotics, Social Systems, Economic Systems and other. Of particular valuetoboththecontributorsandthereadershiparetheshortpublicationtimeframe and the world-wide distribution and exposure which enable both a wide and rapid dissemination of research output. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13304 Magdalena Szymkowiak Lifetime Analysis by Aging Intensity Functions 123 MagdalenaSzymkowiak Institute of Automation andRobotics Poznań University of Technology Poznań,Poland ISSN 2198-4182 ISSN 2198-4190 (electronic) Studies in Systems,DecisionandControl ISBN978-3-030-12106-8 ISBN978-3-030-12107-5 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-12107-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2018968098 ©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2020 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictionalclaimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland To my husband for his support and forbearance, to my parents, children, the whole family, to my teachers and friends for their help and continuous assistance. Preface Agingtendencyofitemsandcompoundstructuresisanimportantandchallenging subject of the lifetime analysis. This phenomenon attracts the attention of an increasing number of reliability researches. They usually present properties of random lifetimes by means of the respective nonnegative univariate absolutely continuous distributions using classic tools of reliability theory as distribution function, survival function, and failure rate. The aim of this book is to define and studyvariousagingintensityfunctionswhichareusedforgaugingvariedaspectsof aging tendency. The classic version of the aging intensity was recently introduced by Jiang, Ji, and Xiao [31]. In Part I, we introduce and analyze the different instances of classic aging intensity determined for uniform and bivariate distributions, considering their absolutely continuous and discrete cases. In Chap. 1, the classic aging intensity functions are provided. For univariate and bivariate absolutely continuous random variables,theirstudiesbymeansofagingintensitiesarepresentedinChaps.2and4, respectively.Forunivariateandbivariatediscretedistributions(seeChaps.3and5, respectively),weproposetwodifferentagingintensities,basicandalternativeones. Bothofthemcanbeusedinthediscretelifetimeanalysis,butinsomesituations,the analysisthroughone of them seemsto beeasier than through theother one. Moreover, in Part II motivated by the concept of generalized failure rate pro- posed by Barlow and van Zwet [7, 8], we introduce the G-generalized aging intensity functions which allow us to measure and compare aging tendencies of lifetimerandomvariablesinvarioustimescaling.InChap.6,wefocusourstudyto thecasewhen Gisageneralized Paretodistribution.InChaps.7and8,weextend our analysis for any strictly increasing absolutely continuous lifetime distribution with possibly bounded support. Some of the introduced aging intensities characterize families of distributions dependent on a single parameter, and the others determine distributions uniquely. Using aging intensities, we can define and study partial orders based on them. Moreover, the recognition of the shape of a properly chosen aging intensity esti- mate admits a simple identification of the data lifetime distributions. vii viii Preface The readers should have some basic knowledge in probability and statistics to understandthesubjectpresentedinthismanuscript.Bothreliabilityresearchersand practitioners find the monograph useful for reference to put forward some new ideas. To make the reading more clear, in Appendix A, we present some basic continuousanddiscrete,univariateandbivariatelifetimedistributionsstudiedinthe book. Moreover, in Appendix B, some mentioned stochastic orders are listed. This monograph is a summary of the research carried out during the last years, describedinthepapersthatcanbefoundinthereferencelistattheendofthebook. I wish to thank, in particular, Maria Iwińska who was the coauthor of my first articles in this area, for her help and professional advice. I also greatly appreciate the meticulousness of the anonymous papers’ reviewers, and I wish to record my sincere thanks for their constructive comments and suggestions. Poznań, Poland Magdalena Szymkowiak October 2018 Contents Part I Classic Aging Intensity Functions 1 Basic Reliability Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.1 Univariate Absolutely Continuous Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 1.2 Univariate Discrete Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 1.3 Bivariate Absolutely Continuous Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 1.4 Bivariate Discrete Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2 Aging Intensity of Nonnegative Univariate Absolutely Continuous Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.1 Characterizations of Nonnegative Univariate Absolutely Continuous Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 2.1.1 Characterization of Univariate Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.1.2 Characterization of Univariate Inverse Distribution . . . . . . 13 2.2 Weibull Related Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.2.1 Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.2.2 Exponential Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.2.3 Modified Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.2.4 Inverse Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.2.5 Inverse Modified Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 2.3 Some Others Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.3.1 Linear Failure Rate Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 2.3.2 Gompertz Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.3.3 Makeham Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.4 Some Properties of Aging Intensity Order . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 2.4.1 AI Order for Weibull Related Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 2.4.2 RAI Order for Inverse Weibull Related Distributions . . . . . 29 ix x Contents 2.5 Analysis of Aging Intensity Through Data. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 2.5.1 Analysis of Aging Intensity Through Generated Data . . . . 30 2.5.2 Analysis of Aging Intensity Through Real Complete Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.5.3 Analysis of Aging Intensity Through Censored Data . . . . . 36 3 Aging Intensities of Discrete Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 3.1 Characterizations of Discrete Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 3.2 Discrete Weibull Related Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 3.2.1 Discrete Weibull (I) Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 3.2.2 Geometric Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 3.2.3 Discrete Weibull (III) Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 3.2.4 Discrete Modified Weibull Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.3 Some Properties of Discrete Aging Intensity Order. . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.3.1 Discrete Aging Intensity Order. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 3.3.2 Relationship Between DAI Order and Other Stochastic Orders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 4 Aging Intensities Vector for Bivariate Absolutely Continuous Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.1 Characterizations of Nonnegative Bivariate Absolutely Continuous Distributions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 4.2 Bivariate Absolutely Continuous Weibull Related Distributions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 4.2.1 Bivariate Exponential Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 4.2.2 Bivariate Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 4.3 Bivariate Aging Intensity Order and Its Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 4.3.1 Bivariate Aging Intensity Order . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 4.3.2 Relationships Between Bivariate AI Order and Other Bivariate Stochastic Orders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 4.4 Analysis of Aging Intensity Through Real Bivariate Data. . . . . . . 62 5 Aging Intensities Vectors for Bivariate Discrete Distributions . . . . . 65 5.1 Characterizations of Bivariate Discrete Distributions. . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.2 Bivariate Discrete Weibull Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 5.2.1 Introduction to Bivariate Discrete Weibull Distribution . . . 72 5.2.2 Analysis of Bivariate Discrete Weibull Distribution. . . . . . 73 5.2.3 Bivariate Geometric Distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 5.3 Some Properties of Bivariate Discrete Aging Intensity Order. . . . . 75 5.3.1 Bivariate Discrete Aging Intensity Order. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 5.3.2 Relationship Between Bivariate DAI Order and Other Bivariate Stochastic Orders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76