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Levy Processes in Finance: Pricing Financial Derivatives PDF

189 Pages·2003·1.933 MB·English
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Le´vyProcessesinFinance:PricingFinancialDerivatives.WimSchoutens Copyright2003JohnWiley&Sons,Ltd. ISBN:0-470-85156-2 Le´vyProcessesinFinance WILEYSERIESINPROBABILITYANDSTATISTICS EstablishedbyWALTERA.SHEWHARTandSAMUELS.WILKS Editors:DavidJ.Balding,PeterBloomfield,NoelA.C.Cressie, NicholasI.Fisher,IainM.Johnstone,J.B.Kadane,LouiseM.Ryan, DavidW.Scott,AdrianF.M.Smith,JozefL.Teugels EditorsEmeriti:VicBarnett,J.StuartHunter,DavidG.Kendall Acompletelistofthetitlesinthisseriesappearsattheendofthisvolume. Le´vy Processes in Finance PricingFinancialDerivatives WimSchoutens KatholiekeUniversiteitLeuven,Belgium Copyright ©2003 JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester, WestSussexPO198SQ,England Phone (+44)1243779777 Email(forordersandcustomerserviceenquiries):[email protected] VisitourHomePageonwww.wileyeurope.comorwww.wiley.com All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanningor otherwise,exceptunderthetermsoftheCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988orunderthetermsof alicenceissuedbytheCopyrightLicensingAgencyLtd,90TottenhamCourtRoad,LondonW1T4LP, UK,withoutthepermissioninwritingofthePublisher.RequeststothePublishershouldbeaddressed tothePermissionsDepartment,JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester,West SussexPO198SQ,England,[email protected],orfaxedto(+44)1243770620. Thispublicationisdesignedtoprovideaccurateandauthoritativeinformationinregardtothesubjectmatter covered.ItissoldontheunderstandingthatthePublisherisnotengagedinrenderingprofessionalservices. Ifprofessionaladviceorotherexpertassistanceisrequired,theservicesofacompetentprofessionalshould besought. OtherWileyEditorialOffices JohnWiley&SonsInc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,USA Jossey-Bass,989MarketStreet,SanFrancisco,CA94103-1741,USA Wiley-VCHVerlagGmbH,Boschstr.12,D-69469Weinheim,Germany JohnWiley&SonsAustraliaLtd,33ParkRoad,Milton,Queensland4064,Australia JohnWiley&Sons(Asia)PteLtd,2ClementiLoop#02-01,JinXingDistripark,Singapore129809 JohnWiley&SonsCanadaLtd,22WorcesterRoad,Etobicoke,Ontario,CanadaM9W1L1 Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappearsinprintmay notbeavailableinelectronicbooks. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN0-470-85156-2 Typesetin10/12ptTimesbyT&TProductionsLtd,London. PrintedandboundinGreatBritainbyBiddlesLtd,Guildford,Surrey. Thisbookisprintedonacid-freepaperresponsiblymanufacturedfromsustainableforestry inwhichatleasttwotreesareplantedforeachoneusedforpaperproduction. ToEthel,JenteandMaitzanne Contents Preface xi Acknowledgements xv 1 Introduction 1 1.1 FinancialAssets 1 1.2 DerivativeSecurities 3 1.2.1 Options 3 1.2.2 PricesofOptionsontheS&P500Index 5 1.3 ModellingAssumptions 7 1.4 Arbitrage 9 2 FinancialMathematicsinContinuousTime 11 2.1 StochasticProcessesandFiltrations 11 2.2 ClassesofProcesses 13 2.2.1 MarkovProcesses 13 2.2.2 Martingales 14 2.2.3 Finite-andInfinite-VariationProcesses 14 2.3 CharacteristicFunctions 15 2.4 StochasticIntegralsandSDEs 16 2.5 FinancialMathematicsinContinuousTime 17 2.5.1 EquivalentMartingaleMeasure 17 2.5.2 PricingFormulasforEuropeanOptions 19 2.6 Dividends 21 3 TheBlack–ScholesModel 23 3.1 TheNormalDistribution 23 3.2 BrownianMotion 24 3.2.1 Definition 25 3.2.2 Properties 26 3.3 GeometricBrownianMotion 27 viii CONTENTS 3.4 TheBlack–ScholesOptionPricingModel 28 3.4.1 TheBlack–ScholesMarketModel 29 3.4.2 MarketCompleteness 30 3.4.3 TheRisk-NeutralSetting 30 3.4.4 ThePricingofOptionsundertheBlack–ScholesModel 30 4 ImperfectionsoftheBlack–ScholesModel 33 4.1 TheNon-GaussianCharacter 33 4.1.1 AsymmetryandExcessKurtosis 33 4.1.2 DensityEstimation 35 4.1.3 StatisticalTesting 36 4.2 StochasticVolatility 38 4.3 InconsistencywithMarketOptionPrices 39 5 LévyProcessesandOUProcesses 43 5.1 LévyProcesses 44 5.1.1 Definition 44 5.1.2 Properties 45 5.2 OUProcesses 47 5.2.1 Self-Decomposability 47 5.2.2 OUProcesses 48 5.3 ExamplesofLévyProcesses 50 5.3.1 ThePoissonProcess 50 5.3.2 TheCompoundPoissonProcess 51 5.3.3 TheGammaProcess 52 5.3.4 TheInverseGaussianProcess 53 5.3.5 TheGeneralizedInverseGaussianProcess 54 5.3.6 TheTemperedStableProcess 56 5.3.7 TheVarianceGammaProcess 57 5.3.8 TheNormalInverseGaussianProcess 59 5.3.9 TheCGMYProcess 60 5.3.10 TheMeixnerProcess 62 5.3.11 TheGeneralizedHyperbolicProcess 65 5.4 AddinganAdditionalDriftTerm 67 5.5 ExamplesofOUProcesses 67 5.5.1 TheGamma–OUProcess 68 5.5.2 TheIG–OUProcess 69 5.5.3 OtherExamples 70 6 StockPriceModelsDrivenbyLévyProcesses 73 6.1 StatisticalTesting 73 6.1.1 ParameterEstimation 73 6.1.2 StatisticalTesting 74 CONTENTS ix 6.2 TheLévyMarketModel 76 6.2.1 MarketIncompleteness 77 6.2.2 TheEquivalentMartingaleMeasure 77 6.2.3 PricingFormulasforEuropeanOptions 80 6.3 CalibrationofMarketOptionPrices 82 7 LévyModelswithStochasticVolatility 85 7.1 TheBNSModel 85 7.1.1 TheBNSModelwithGammaSV 87 7.1.2 TheBNSModelwithIGSV 88 7.2 TheStochasticTimeChange 88 7.2.1 TheIntegratedCIRTimeChange 89 7.2.2 TheIntOUTimeChange 90 7.3 TheLévySVMarketModel 91 7.4 CalibrationofMarketOptionPrices 97 7.4.1 CalibrationoftheBNSModels 97 7.4.2 CalibrationoftheLévySVModels 98 7.5 Conclusion 98 8 SimulationTechniques 101 8.1 SimulationofBasicProcesses 101 8.1.1 SimulationofStandardBrownianMotion 101 8.1.2 SimulationofaPoissonProcess 102 8.2 SimulationofaLévyProcess 102 8.2.1 TheCompoundPoissonApproximation 103 8.2.2 OntheChoiceofthePoissonProcesses 105 8.3 SimulationofanOUProcess 107 8.4 SimulationofParticularProcesses 108 8.4.1 TheGammaProcess 108 8.4.2 TheVGProcess 109 8.4.3 TheTSProcess 111 8.4.4 TheIGProcess 111 8.4.5 TheNIGProcess 113 8.4.6 TheGamma–OUProcess 114 8.4.7 TheIG–OUProcess 115 8.4.8 TheCIRProcess 117 8.4.9 BNSModel 117 9 ExoticOptionPricing 119 9.1 BarrierandLookbackOptions 119 9.1.1 Introduction 119 9.1.2 Black–ScholesBarrierandLookbackOptionPrices 121 9.1.3 LookbackandBarrierOptionsinaLévyMarket 123 x CONTENTS 9.2 OtherExoticOptions 125 9.2.1 ThePerpetualAmericanCallandPutOption 125 9.2.2 ThePerpetualRussianOption 126 9.2.3 Touch-and-OutOptions 126 9.3 ExoticOptionPricingbyMonteCarloSimulation 127 9.3.1 Introduction 127 9.3.2 MonteCarloPricing 127 9.3.3 VarianceReductionbyControlVariates 129 9.3.4 NumericalResults 132 9.3.5 Conclusion 134 10 Interest-RateModels 135 10.1 GeneralInterest-RateTheory 135 10.2 TheGaussianHJMModel 138 10.3 TheLévyHJMModel 141 10.4 BondOptionPricing 142 10.5 Multi-FactorModels 144 AppendixA SpecialFunctions 147 A.1 BesselFunctions 147 A.2 ModifiedBesselFunctions 148 A.3 TheGeneralizedHypergeometricSeries 149 A.4 OrthogonalPolynomials 149 A.4.1 Hermitepolynomialswithparameter 149 A.4.2 Meixner–PollaczekPolynomials 150 AppendixB LévyProcesses 151 B.1 CharacteristicFunctions 151 B.1.1 DistributionsontheNonnegativeIntegers 151 B.1.2 DistributionsonthePositiveHalf-Line 151 B.1.3 DistributionsontheRealLine 152 B.2 LévyTriplets 153 B.2.1 γ 153 B.2.2 TheLévyMeasureν(dx) 154 AppendixC S&P500CallOptionPrices 155 References 157 Index 165 Preface Thestoryofmodellingfinancialmarketswithstochasticprocessesbeganin1900with thestudyofBachelier(1900).HemodelledstocksasaBrownianmotionwithdrift. However,themodelhadmanyimperfections,including,forexample,negativestock prices. It was 65 years before another, more appropriate, model was suggested by Samuelson(1965):geometricBrownianmotion.EightyearslaterBlackandScholes (1973)andMerton(1973)demonstratedhowtopriceEuropeanoptionsbasedonthe geometricBrownianmodel.Thisstock-pricemodelisnowcalledtheBlack–Scholes model, for which Scholes and Merton received the Nobel Prize for Economics in 1997(Blackhadalreadydied). It has become clear, however, that this option-pricing model is inconsistent with optionsdata.Impliedvolatilitymodelscandobetter,but,fundamentally,theseconsist ofthewrongbuildingblocks.ToimproveontheperformanceoftheBlack–Scholes model, Lévy models were proposed in the late 1980s and early 1990s, since when theyhavebeenrefinedtotakeaccountofdifferentstylizedfeaturesofthemarkets. Thisbookisconcernedwiththepricingofderivativesecuritiesinmarketmodels basedonLévyprocesses.Financialmathematicshasrecentlyenjoyedconsiderable prestigeasaresultofitsimpactonthefinanceindustry.ThetheoryofLévyprocesses has also seen exciting developments in recent years.The fusion of these two fields ofmathematicshasprovidednewappliedmodellingperspectiveswithinthecontext offinanceandfurtherstimulusforthestudyofproblemswithinthecontextofLévy processes. ThisbookisaimedatpeopleworkingintheareasofmathematicalfinanceandLévy processes, with the intention of convincing the former that the rich theory of Lévy processescanleadtotractableandattractivemodelsthatperformsignificantlybetter thanthestandardBlack–Scholesmodel.ForthoseworkingwithLévyprocesses,we hopetoshowhowtheobjectstheystudycanbereadilyappliedinpractice. We have taken great care not to use too much esoteric mathematics, nor to get too involved in technicalities, nor to give involved proofs. We focus on the ideas, andtheintuitionbehindthemodellingprocessanditsapplications.Nevertheless,the processesinvolvedinthemodellingaredescribedveryaccuratelyandingreatdetail. Theseprocesseslieattheheartofthetheoryanditisveryimportanttohaveaclear viewoftheirproperties.

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