Begin Reading Table of Contents About the Author Photos Copyright Page Thank you for buying this St. Martin’s Press ebook. To receive special offers, bonus content, and info on new releases and other great reads, sign up for our newsletters. Or visit us online at us.macmillan.com/newslettersignup For email updates on the author, click here. The author and publisher have provided this e-book to you for your personal use only. You may not make this e-book publicly available in any way. Copyright infringement is against the law. If you believe the copy of this e-book you are reading infringes on the author’s copyright, please notify the publisher at: us.macmillanusa.com/piracy. For Rachel Ringler, wife, best friend, partner, and inspiration As a face opposite water reflects another face, so do people reflect each other’s hearts. PROVERBS 27:19 Timeline 1920—The British Mandate of Palestine begins, covering the territory that today is Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza. 1937—Mekorot, which grows to be Israel’s national water utility, is founded. 1938—Piped water is brought to the Jezreel Valley, south of Nazareth. The large-scale water infrastructure project is the first in the Land of Israel in modern times. May 1939—The British White Paper is issued, severely limiting Jewish immigration to Palestine. British Mandate officials make the first of several claims that, due to inadequate water resources, Mandatory Palestine must restrain population growth. July 1939—In response to the White Paper, the Zionists develop a national water plan showing sophistication in integrated water resource planning and management. 1947—Through deep drilling, water is found in the Negev desert, a source of irrigation for new desert farms. May 14, 1948—The British Mandate for Palestine ends. The State of Israel is declared. July 1955—The Yarkon-Negev Pipeline opens, bringing water from the center of Israel to desert farms in the south. August 1959—A comprehensive water law is passed giving the Israeli government control of all water sources and usage. A powerful regulatory body, the Israel Water Commission, is created. June 1–2, 1964—President Lyndon Johnson and Prime Minister Levi Eshkol meet and discuss desalination at length during the first Israel state visit to the US. June 10, 1964—The National Water Carrier opens creating a national water system. 1966—Drip irrigation equipment is offered for sale for the first time. 1969—The Shafdan wastewater treatment plant opens. 1989—A pipeline for treated water from the Shafdan facility to Negev farms is opened. 1995—The Palestinian Water Authority is established as part of the Oslo II agreement between Israel and the Palestinian Authority. 2000—Dual-flush toilets are made compulsory in all new installations in Israel. 2005–2016—Five large seawater desalination plants are built along the Mediterranean coast providing a majority of Israel’s drinking water. 2006—The Israel Water Authority, a technocratic, apolitical successor to the Israel Water Commission with broad powers, is created. 2010—Water pricing at real cost begins throughout Israel. Municipal water utilities are established, removing control of water and sewage from Israel’s mayors. October 2013—The Israeli government declares water independence from weather. December 2013—The Red Sea–Dead Sea agreement is announced by Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinian Authority. March 2014—An Israel–California water cooperation agreement is announced. Introduction A GLOBAL WATER CRISIS LOOMS You ain’t gonna miss your water until your well runs dry. —Bob Marley DESPITE ITS NAME, there are no covert operations at the National Intelligence Council. It is a sober, cautious US government agency more akin to a university faculty club or a think tank than the spy agency its name suggests. The council issues reports—some of which are top secret—that integrate information from other intelligence agencies to help government officials and other policy makers take a long view of coming problems.1 So, it was odd that this conservative organization would issue a top secret, and then partially declassified, report with the provocative conclusion that the world is entering into a prolonged water crisis.2 The first parts of the crisis are already being felt. It is no longer a surprise to hear of a drought here, an overpumped aquifer there, or some social unrest in a country no one thinks about too often. But if the intelligence report is correct, the problem will soon begin to accelerate. It is less a matter of “if” than “when.” In less than a decade, the report predicts, countries important to the US and to global security will be at risk of “state failure.” The only questions in the report are how severe the disruptions will be and how quickly they will be felt. Water shortages may not occur everywhere, but hardly anyone will remain unaffected for long. Twenty percent of the world population—about 1.5 billion people—will be the first victims of this world water crisis, and already six hundred million of them have begun to experience water shortages.3 Ultimately, sixty percent of Earth’s land surface will be transformed. To begin with,
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