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EYIEL Monographs Studies in European and International Economic Law 15 Andrea Lucia Tapia-Hoffmann Legal Certainty and Central Bank Autonomy in Latin American Emerging Markets European Yearbook of International Economic Law EYIEL Monographs - Studies in European and International Economic Law Volume 15 SeriesEditors MarcBungenberg,Saarbrücken,Germany ChristophHerrmann,Passau,Germany MarkusKrajewski,Erlangen,Germany JörgPhilippTerhechte,Lüneburg,Germany AndreasR.Ziegler,Lausanne,Switzerland EYIEL Monographs is a subseries of the European Yearbook of International EconomicLaw(EYIEL). It contains scholarly worksinthe fields ofEuropeanand international economic law, in particular WTO law, international investment law, internationalmonetarylaw,lawofregionaleconomicintegration,externaltradelaw oftheEUandEUinternalmarketlaw.Theseriesdoesnotincludeeditedvolumes. EYIELMonographsarepeer-reviewedbytheserieseditorsandexternalreviewers. Moreinformationaboutthissubseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/15744 Andrea Lucia Tapia-Hoffmann Legal Certainty and Central Bank Autonomy in Latin American Emerging Markets AndreaLuciaTapia-Hoffmann MartinLutherUniversityHalle-Wittenberg Halle(Saale),Germany ISSN 2364-8392 ISSN 2364-8406 (electronic) EuropeanYearbookofInternationalEconomicLaw ISSN2524-6658 ISSN2524-6666 (electronic) EYIELMonographs-StudiesinEuropeanandInternationalEconomicLaw ISBN978-3-030-70985-3 ISBN978-3-030-70986-0 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70986-0 Dissertation zur Erlangung des Grades eines Doktors der Rechte (Dr. iur.) der Juristischen und WirtschaftswissenschaftlichenFakultätderMartin-Luther-UniversitätHalle-Wittenberg Vorgelegtvon:AndreaLuciaTapia-Hoffmann,Leipzig Erstgutachter:Prof.Dr.ChristianTietje,LL.M. Zweitgutachter:Prof.Dr.MatthiasLehmann,D.E.A.,LL.M.,J.S.D. TagderöffentlichenVerteidigung:15.Oktober2019,HalleanderSaale ©TheEditor(s)(ifapplicable)andTheAuthor(s),underexclusivelicensetoSpringerNatureSwitzerland AG2021 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsaresolelyandexclusivelylicensedbythePublisher,whether thewholeorpartofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseof illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors, and the editorsare safeto assume that the adviceand informationin this bookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsor theeditorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforany errorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictional claimsinpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland To my family Acknowledgments Thisbookbenefitedfromcommentsofmanycolleagues,friends,andprofessionals. First and foremost, I am thankful for the support of Prof. Christian Tietje. He is a wonderful teacher and great academic guide. I am also thankful to Prof. Matthias Lehmannforimportantdiscussionsandcommentsonthisproject,especiallywhenI gotstarted,aswellasmyformercolleaguesJuliaSchaarschmidtandLinaLorenzoni fortheirfriendshipandsupport. IamgratefultoProf.RichardEpstein,NYULaw,andProf.MarioRizzo,NYU Economics, for being great hosts during my research stay at the Classical Liberal InstituteatNYULaw.IamthankfultoProf.AaronSimowitz,fellowattheClassical Liberal Institute, as well as many others for discussing my research and providing hintsonhowtomoveforward. Further,IthankCarlosGustavoCano,formerboardmemberoftheBankofthe RepublicofColombia,andAlbertoBoadaOrtiz,generalsecretaryoftheboard,for their hospitality during my research visit at the bank and the many insights they provided. ix Contents 1 Introduction. . . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . 1 1.1 MonetaryStabilityinLatinAmerica. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.2 Outline. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 2 LegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.2 ThePrincipleofLegalCertaintyandtheRuleofLaw. . . . . . . . . 7 2.2.1 TheRuleofLawandtheLaw. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2.2.1.1 ObjectivesoftheRuleofLaw. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 2.2.1.2 TheStateandtheLaw. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 2.2.1.3 TheProblemsoftheEstadodeDerechoinLatin America. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2.2.2 LegalCertaintyandtheRuleofLaw. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.2.2.1 UnderstandingLegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2.2.2.2 LegalCertaintyinLatinAmericanLaw. . . . . . . 15 2.2.2.3 ABriefNoteonLegalRulesVersus Principles. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 2.3 NotionsofLegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.3.1 FormalLegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.3.1.1 DefinitionandImportance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.3.1.2 FormalLegalCertaintyandLawMaking. . . . . . 19 2.3.1.3 Characteristics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.3.2 SubstantiveLegalCertainty. . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . 22 2.3.2.1 DefinitionandImportance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.3.2.2 SubstantiveLegalCertaintyandLaw Applying. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.3.2.3 AccessibilityoftheLegalRulesandLaw Finding. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 2.3.3 SubjectiveLegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 xi xii Contents 2.4 LegalCertaintyandOtherPrinciplesofLaw. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 2.4.1 LegalCertaintyandthePrincipleofNon-Retroactivity. . . 31 2.4.2 LegalCertaintyandtheProtectionofLegitimate Expectations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 2.5 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 LegalReferences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3 LegalCertaintyandLegalCommitmentMechanisms. . . . . . . . . . . 45 3.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 3.2 LegalFrameworkandCommitments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 3.2.1 LegalRulesandInstitutions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 3.2.2 LegalCommitments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 3.3 LegalCertaintyandtheCostsofModifyingLegalCommitment Devices. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 3.3.1 InternationalAgreements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 3.3.2 TheConstitutionasaCommitmentDevice. . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.3.2.1 TheRoleoftheConstitution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.3.2.2 ObjectiveLegalCertaintyandtheConstitution: ConsistencyoftheLegalFrameworkandthe NeedforStability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 3.3.2.3 TheProblemofSubjectiveLegalCertainty inLatinAmerica:LackofEntrenchmentofthe Constitution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 3.3.3 TheImplicationsofProceduresinLawMaking:Organic Laws. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.3.4 DistributionofPowerandDelegation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.4 AnAnalysisofProceduralDifferencesinLawCreationand Amendment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 3.4.1 ProceduralDifferencesWithinEachLegalFramework. . . 69 3.4.1.1 Argentina. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 3.4.1.2 Brazil. . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . 71 3.4.1.3 Chile. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 3.4.1.4 Peru. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 3.4.1.5 Mexico. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 3.4.1.6 Colombia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 3.4.2 ProceduralDifferencesBetweenLegalFrameworks. . . . . 81 3.5 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 LegalReferences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4 CentralBankObjectivesandAutonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 4.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 4.2 InflationasaCentralBankObjectiveandtheNeedfor Autonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 4.2.1 InflationandItsCosts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 Contents xiii 4.2.1.1 MoneyandInflation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 4.2.1.2 CostsofInflationandInflationVariability. . . . . 92 4.2.2 LegalReasonstoProtectMonetaryStability.. . . .. . . .. . 93 4.2.2.1 MonetaryInstabilityandContracts. . . . . . . . . . . 93 4.2.2.2 PropertyRightsPerspective. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.2.2.3 InflationandtheRighttoLivewithDignity. . . . 95 4.2.3 TheGovernment’sProblemsinAchievingMonetary Stability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 4.2.3.1 KnowledgeProblems. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 4.2.3.2 Mal-incentivesandCommitmentProblems. . . . . 97 4.2.3.3 DelegationofMonetaryPolicytoan AutonomousInstitution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 4.3 LegalCertaintyandCentralBankObjectivesinLatinAmerica. . . 101 4.3.1 ClarityoftheLegalObjectives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 4.3.2 ConsistencyoftheLegalObjectives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105 4.3.3 StabilityofLegalObjectives. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.4 LegalRankofCentralBankAutonomyandLegalCertainty. . . . 112 4.4.1 ImplicationsoftheConstitutionalRankforLegal Certainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 4.4.2 LegalAutarchiesandLegalCertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 4.5 Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 LegalReferences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 References. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 5 CentralBankStatutesandAutonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 5.1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 5.2 PersonalAutonomyandFinancialAutonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 5.2.1 PersonalAutonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 5.2.1.1 CompositionoftheCentralBankBoards. . . . . . 130 5.2.1.2 AppointmentoftheBoardMembers. . . . . . . . . 131 5.2.1.3 TenureandRenewalofBoardMembers. . . . . . . 133 5.2.1.4 HeadsoftheCentralBankBoards. . . . . . . . . . . 135 5.2.1.5 ConfidentialityoftheOpinionsofBoard Members. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 5.2.1.6 ProfessionalProfileofBoardMembers. . . . . . . 138 5.2.1.7 ForbiddenandAllowedActivities. . . . . . . . . . . 140 5.2.2 FinancialAutonomy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 5.2.2.1 GovernmentFinancing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 5.2.2.2 DealingwithProfitsandLosses. . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 5.2.2.3 BoardControlOverBudgetandSalaries. . . . . . 147 5.3 Accountability. . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . . . .. . . .. . . .. . . .. . 149 5.3.1 AutonomyVersusAccountability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 5.3.2 Control. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 5.3.3 Dismissal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 5.3.4 TransparencyandPublicScrutiny. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159

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