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LATINO IDENTITY AND POLITICAL ATTITUDES Why Are Latinos Not Republican? ANGEL SAAVEDRA CISNEROS Latino Identity and Political Attitudes Angel   Saavedra Cisneros Latino Identity and Political Attitudes Why Are Latinos Not Republican? Angel   Saavedra Cisneros University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Edinburg, Texas, USA ISBN 978-3-319-33968-9 ISBN 978-3-319-33969-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-33969-6 Library of Congress Control Number: 2016940494 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2 017 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifi cally the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfi lms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specifi c statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Cover illustration: © Gale S. Hanratty / Alamy Stock Photo Printed on acid-free paper This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG Switzerland A mi familia Gordo, Sarita, Juanito, Paty, Sarita, Citlali y Gelito Los amo. A CKNOWLEDGMENTS This book would have been impossible to complete without the support of many people. I am fi rst indebted to Helmut Norpoth, my adviser who was willing to help out on this project despite the many adversities it was facing. To my professors at Stony Brook University, who gave me feedback and helped improve the ideas and analyses in this book. I want to also thank John Garcia for his thorough feedback on earlier versions of this project. Also to the anonymous reviewers who pushed me to explore other literatures to enrich my theories. My friends also provided critical feedback at different stages of this proj- ect. My graduate school friends were invaluable, both as emotional and scholarly support. The faculty at Clarkson University helped me launch this idea forward and present my preliminary fi ndings. I also appreciate their valuable guidance in fi nding the right voice for this project—thank you, Chris, Bill, Stephen, Steve, and Dan. I also wish to thank Jennifer Merolla for allowing me to present my research in her graduate seminar; that event led me to improve many of the concepts I had been working on previously. Lisa Magaña also provided guidance and encouragement to be able to complete this project. My colleagues Natasha Altema-McNeely, Ben Woodson, and Efrén Pérez were crucial to completing this project. Their willingness to help me work through the many problems in my prose and organizational struc- ture is beyond my comprehension. They are truly role models for anyone in this profession. They provided consistent support throughout the fi nal years of the project. Without their contributions, this book would not have been possible. vii viii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Last, I would like to thank my family. Their ability to remind me that I am a capable human being has been a strong motivating factor in this endeavor. My parents have supported and pushed me to become a better scholar. Thanks to my wife, Paty, for listening to my ideas, understanding when I jump up with what I think is a great thought, and calming me down when I felt like throwing things on to the fl oor; Angelito for read- ing my paragraphs, listening to my rants, and for helping me want to be a better person. My two amazing girls, Sarita and Citlali, have reminded me that there is much beauty in this world and that through love and compas- sion, happiness is always near. C ONTENTS 1 Introduction: The Puzzle of Latino Partisanship 1 Part I Latinos and the American Political Landscape 31 2 The Political Profi les of Latinos in America 33 3 A Theory of Latino Partisanship: From Social to Political Identity 69 Part II L atinos, Identity, Parties and Immigration: Juntos Pero No Revueltos (Together, But Not Mixed Up) 99 4 Latino Partisanship: All About Immigration? 101 5 The Symbolic Role of Immigration: Effects of the 2006 Spring Marches on Latino Political Behavior 133 ix x CONTENTS Part III Latinos and Their Sociopolitical Identities 149 6 Latino Group Identity: Measuring a Moving Target 151 7 From Social to Political Identity: The Importance of Incorporation and Thinking about Politics 187 8 Direct and Indirect Effects of Identity on Party Identifi cation 215 9 Conclusion: Latinos, Identity, and a Grim Forecast for Republican Hopes 239 Statistical Appendix by Chapter 255 Bibliography 277 Index 281 L F IST OF IGURES Fig. 1.1 Hispanic or Latino population as a percent of total population by county: 2010 10 Fig. 1.2 Percentage change in Hispanic or Latino population by county: 2000–2010 11 Fig. 2.1 U.S. Census wording for questions of Ethnicity, or Hispanic, LatinAmerican or Latino heritage 35 Fig. 2.2 Partisan identifi cation by racial or ethnic group in percent 3 8 Fig. 2.3 Different ways of viewing partisanship. (A) Partisanship as discrete choice. (B) Partisanship as continuous choice 41 Fig. 2.4 Average ideological placement on seven-point scale (1 most liberal to 7 most conservative) 47 Fig. 2.5 Support/opposition to increased government spending (economic policy attitudes) for Latinos, Republicans, and Democrats 49 Fig. 2.6 Views on social (most liberal to most conservative) and immigration issues (from pro- to anti-immigration) for Latinos, Republicans, and Democrats 51 Fig. 3.1 Strength of identities among Latinos by generation 7 4 Fig. 4.1 Top mentions for “most important issue facing the Latino community” 2006–2014 112 Fig. 4.2 Predicted probabilities of 2004 Bush vote by partisanship and issue importance 116 Fig. 4.3 Percentage of “which political party has a better approach to address this problem.” (A) Most important problem facing the country (B) Most important problem facing the Latino community 121 xi

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