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Labour Market Policies in the Era of Pervasive Austerity: A European Perspective PDF

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HOW LANGUAGE WORKS IN POLITICS The impact of vague legislation on policy LABOUR MARKET POLICIES IN THE ERA OF PERVASIVE AUSTERITY A European perspective EDITED BY SOTIRIA THEODOROPOULOU LABOUR MARKET POLICIES IN THE ERA OF PERVASIVE AUSTERITY A European perspective Edited by Sotiria Theodoropoulou First published in Great Britain in 2018 by Policy Press North America office: University of Bristol Policy Press 1-9 Old Park Hill c/o The University of Chicago Press Bristol 1427 East 60th Street BS2 8BB Chicago, IL 60637, USA UK t: +1 773 702 7700 t: +44 (0)117 954 5940 f: +1 773-702-9756 [email protected] [email protected] www.policypress.co.uk www.press.uchicago.edu © Policy Press 2018 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record for this book has been requested ISBN 978-1-4473-3586-3 hardback ISBN 978-1-4473-3587-0 ePdf ISBN 978-1-4473-3588-7 ePub ISBN 978-1-4473-3589-4 Mobi The right of Sotiria Theodoropoulou to be identified as editor of this work has been asserted by her in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved: no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of Policy Press. The statements and opinions contained within this publication are solely those of the editor and contributors and not of the University of Bristol or Policy Press. The University of Bristol and Policy Press disclaim responsibility for any injury to persons or property resulting from any material published in this publication. Policy Press works to counter discrimination on grounds of gender, race, disability, age and sexuality. Cover design by Policy Press Front cover image: iStock Printed and bound in Great Britain by CPI Group (UK) Ltd, Croydon, CR0 4YY Policy Press uses environmentally responsible print partners Contents List of figures and tables vii Notes on contributors xiii Acknowledgements xix one Labour market policies in the era of European pervasive 1 austerity: a review Sotiria Theodoropoulou Introduction 1 New approaches to labour market policies under 2 the pressures of ‘permanent austerity’ and the emergence of ‘new’ social risks Blame avoidance, credit claiming and patterns of 4 policy change New policy agendas 5 Is this time different? 6 Empirical approach and organisation of the book 8 two Structural reforms in Europe: a comparative overview 15 Chiara Agostini and David Natali Introduction 15 Socio-economic reforms in Europe: common path 16 or different strategies? Structural reforms in the European Union: some 18 conceptual clarification Structural reform trends: a cluster-by-cluster overview 20 Concluding remarks 33 Appendix 38 three Income support policies and labour market reforms 43 under austerity in Greece Manos Matsaganis Introduction 43 Income support 45 Active labour market policies 50 Employment protection legislation 56 Conclusion 60 Appendix 65 iii Labour market policies in the era of pervasive austerity four The Italian labour market policy reforms and the 69 economic crisis: coming towards the end of Italian exceptionalism? Patrik Vesan and Emmanuele Pavoli Introduction 69 Main aspects of the Italian labour market before and 70 since the onset of the crisis Changes in the traditional model: from the mid-1990s 73 until the crisis Towards a new institutional landscape: the ‘long jump’ of 75 labour market policy reforms during the economic crisis A fragile and still incomplete path towards a new labour 84 market policy regime five French employment market policies: dualisation and 91 destabilisation Hélène Caune and Sotiria Theodoropoulou Introduction 91 Macroeconomic and labour market background 92 Labour market policies prior to the crisis: the gradual 96 shift towards dualisation Labour market policies since 2009: cyclical measures 99 to support young people and flexibilisation reforms Conclusion: France under austerity and the ambiguous 108 attempt to tackle dualisation six The German exception: welfare protectionism instead 115 of retrenchment Werner Eichhorst and Anke Hassel Introduction 115 Welfare reforms during the 2000s 117 Germany during the crisis 120 Welfare reforms since 2010: re-regulation rather than 125 retrenchment policies Conclusion 137 iv Contents seven The Netherlands and the crisis: from activation 141 to ‘deficiency compensation’ Marcel Hoogenboom Introduction 141 The consequences of the crisis and early policy reactions 142 Reform of the Dutch unemployment provision system 146 and active labour market policies up to the crisis (1980s–2008) Emergency measures and reform plans (2008–10) 153 The politics of reform (2010–present) 156 Conclusion 161 eight Dualising the Swedish model: insiders and outsiders and 169 labour market policy reform in Sweden: an overview Johan Bo Davidsson Introduction 169 Labour market policy reform from the 1990s and onwards 170 Recent developments: labour market policy and 189 economic crisis Conclusion 190 nine No longer ‘fit for purpose’? Consolidation and 197 catch-up in Irish labour market policy Fiona Dukelow Introduction 197 Setting the context: the economic crisis and its 198 consequences for labour market policy Mapping key changes in labour market policy 202 Concluding remarks 219 ten Retrenchment, conditionality and flexibility – 225 UK labour market policies in the era of austerity Elke Heins and Hayley Bennett Introduction 225 The UK crisis context 226 Unemployment benefits: Jobseeker’s Allowance 228 Employment protection legislation 230 Active labour market policies 233 Training and human capital formation 235 Needs-based social protection for the unemployed 239 Discussion 240 Conclusion 244 v Labour market policies in the era of pervasive austerity eleven Czechia: political experimentation or incremental reforms? 253 Tomáš Sirovátka Introduction 253 Economic development during the crisis and 255 related European Union regulations Labour market policies 256 Minimum income protection and activation of long-term 264 unemployed and social assistance recipients Politics of the reforms in labour market-related policies 267 Conclusion 270 Appendix 274 twelve Slovakia: perpetual austerity and growing emphasis on activation 277 Stefan Domonkos Introduction 277 Macroeconomic and macro-institutional context 278 Labour market policies during the economic transition 283 and beyond Conclusions: assessing the impact of EU austerity 298 on labour market policies thirteen Slovenian labour market policies under austerity: 309 narrowing the gap between the well- and the less well-protected in the labour market? Miroljub Ignjatovic´ and Maša Filipovicˇ Hrast Introduction 309 Context and policy changes up to 2010 310 Labour market policy developments and outcomes 316 since 2010 Conclusion 329 Appendix 333 fourteen Conclusions 337 Sotiria Theodoropoulou Introduction 337 Changes in labour market policies 338 Increasing and divergent labour market insecurity 354 Concluding remarks 358 Index 363 vi List of figures and tables Figures 2.1 Pensions expenditure as a percentage of GDP, 1999–2012 38 2.2 Net replacement rates, pensions, 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012 38 2.3 Public expenditure on education as a percentage of GDP, 39 1999–2011 2.4 Public expenditure on education as a share of total public 39 expenditure 1999–2011 2.5 Public expenditure on R&D and the public sector, 1999–2012 40 2.6 General government expenditure in the remuneration of 40 employees as a share of GDP, 1999–2012 3.1 Coverage rate of unemployment benefits in Greece, 2010–16 50 5.1 Real GDP, employment (in 000s) and total average annual 93 hours worked growth (2007=100), France, 2007–16 5.2 Public expenditure in different types of labour market 100 policies as a share of GDP, France, 1998–2014 6.1 Employment rates as a percentage of the working-age 120 population (age 15–64), various EU countries, 2000–15 6.2 Unemployment rates as a percentage of the labour force, 121 various EU countries, 2000–15 6.3 Short-time workers in Germany, 2005–16 122 6.4 Minimum wage in percent of median wage of full-time 126 workers, OECD-Europe countries and US, 2014 6.5 Collective bargaining coverage, as a percentage of all 127 workers, Germany, 1998–2015 6.6 Unemployment and long-term unemployment in Germany 130 as a percentage of the active population, 2000–15 6.7 Expenditure on active labour market policies as a 131 percentage of GDP, selected EU member states, 2000–14 6.8 Expenditure on active labour market policies as a 131 percentage of GDP, selected EU member states 6.9 Employment rate of workers aged 55–64 as a percentage of 132 the total population, selected EU member states, 2000–15 7.1 Real GDP growth and government deficit in 144 the Netherlands, 2005–16 (% of GDP) 7.2 Unemployment total labour force (15–65 years of age) 145 and youth unemployment (15–35 years of age); and benefit recipients of unemployment insurance and social assistance, as a percentage of the labour force, 2004–16 vii Labour market policies in the era of pervasive austerity 7.3 Spending on active labour market policies in 150 the Netherlands: spending per recipient (€) and total spending as percentage of real GDP, 1990–2014 7.4 Activation budgets of social assistance and unemployment 163 insurance: average spending per recipient (€), 2007–15 8.1 Employment protection legislation – regular and 173 temporary contracts, Sweden, 1985–2013 8.2 Net replacement rates in the unemployment insurance, 178 Sweden and the EU15 8.3 Spending on passive and active measures, and 179 unemployment (standard scores), Sweden, 1985–2013 8.4 Social assistance, spending and household recipient rates, 183 Sweden 1990–2015 8.5 Labour-market programmes, spending on active measures, 185 Sweden, EU15 and Nordic countries, 1985–2015 8.6 Labour market programmes, spending on training, Sweden, 185 EU15 and Nordic countries, 1985–2015 8.7 Type of active labour market programme spending, 186 Sweden, 1985–2015 9.1 Government deficit, government debt and GDP growth 199 rate, Ireland, 2007–16 9.2 Unemployment and long-term unemployment rate, 200 Ireland, 1990–2016 10.1 Unemployment rates, EU28 and UK, 2007–16 227 10.2 Real GDP growth rate (volume), EU28 and UK since 2007, 227 percentage change on previous year 10.3 UK gross government debt as percentage of GDP since 2007 228 10.4 Jobseeker’s Allowance expenditure, UK, 2001–17 229 10.5 Jobseeker’s Allowance sanctioning trends, UK, 241 April 2000–October 2016 10.6 Employment Support Allowance sanctioning trends, 242 Great Britain, January 2008–July 2016 12.1 Total, youth and long-term unemployment rates in 281 Slovakia, 1994–2015 12.2 Unemployment benefit recipients as a percentage of 285 registered unemployed, Slovakia, various years 1997–2015 12.3 Expenditure on active labour market policies in Slovakia, 292 Austria, France and Germany as a percentage of nominal GDP, 1991–2014 12.4 Participation in active labour market policies in Slovakia, 293 2005–14 (’000) viii Contents 13.1 Number of unemployed registered with the employment 310 service at the end of the year, Slovenia, 1967–2016 13.2 Share of unemployment benefit recipients in total 311 registered unemployed, Slovenia, 1991–2016 13.3 Level of flexible employment among persons in 314 employment, Slovenia, 2007–16 13.4 Consolidated gross debt and net borrowing/deficit at 315 year-end, Slovenia, 2000–16 (% of GDP) 13.5 Chronological overview of the most important reforms, 317 Slovenia, 2010–16 13.6 At-risk-of-poverty rates by labour market status 323 (aged 18 years and more), Slovenia, 2005–16 13.7 In-work at-risk-of-poverty rates for some forms of 325 employment in Slovenia by employment status, 2005–16 13.8 Number of registered unemployed and expenditure for 328 labour market policies, Slovenia, 2008–15 14.1 Fiscal consolidation effort and labour market reform 341 effort per year, selected European Union member states, 2010–14 14.2 Labour market reform effort per year and average annual 341 growth of unemployed, selected European Union member states, 2010–14 14.3 Public expenditure in labour market services per person 342 wanting to work, selected European Union member states, 1998–2015 14.4 Public expenditure in labour market policy measures 342 per person wanting to work, selected European Union member states, 1998–2015 14.5 Public expenditure in labour market (financial) support 343 policies per person wanting to work, selected European Union member states, 1998–2015 14.6 Long-term unemployment as share of total unemployment, 344 selected European Union member states, 2008, 2010, 2015 14.7 Evolution of the OECD labour market insecurity indicator 356 (% of previous earnings), selected European Union member states, 2007, 2010 and 2013 14.8 Evolution of the OECD unemployment risk indicator 357 (% of time), selected European Union member states, 2007, 2010 and 2013 14.9 Evolution of the OECD effective unemployment insurance 358 indicator (% of previous earnings), selected European Union member states, 2007, 2010 and 2013 ix

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