Key States, High Stakes: Sarah Palin, the Tea Party, and the 2010 Elections PDF
Preview Key States, High Stakes: Sarah Palin, the Tea Party, and the 2010 Elections
K E Y S TAT E S , H I G H S TA K E S .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:16 PS PAGEi .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:16 PS PAGEii K E Y S T A T E S , H I G H S T A K E S Sarah Palin, the Tea Party, and the 2010 Elections Edited by Charles S. Bullock, III ROWMAN & LITTLEFIELD PUBLISHERS, INC. Lanham•Boulder•NewYork•Toronto•Plymouth,UK .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:16 PS PAGEiii PublishedbyRowman&LittlefieldPublishers,Inc. AwhollyownedsubsidiaryofTheRowman&LittlefieldPublishingGroup,Inc. 4501ForbesBoulevard,Suite200,Lanham,Maryland20706 http://www.rowmanlittlefield.com EstoverRoad,PlymouthPL67PY,UnitedKingdom Copyright(cid:2)2012byRowman&LittlefieldPublishers,Inc. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthisbookmaybereproducedinanyformorbyany electronicormechanicalmeans,includinginformationstorageandretrievalsystems, withoutwrittenpermissionfromthepublisher,exceptbyareviewerwhomayquote passagesinareview. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationInformationAvailable LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Keystates,highstakes:SarahPalin,theTeaParty,andthe2010elections/editedby CharlesS.Bullock,III. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-1-4422-1095-0(cloth:alk.paper) ISBN978-1-4422-1096-7(pbk.:alk.paper) ISBN978-1-4422-1097-4(ebk.) 1.UnitedStates.Congress—Elections,2010. 2.Palin,Sarah,1964–—Political activity. 3.Palin,Sarah,1964–—Influence. 4.TeaPartymovement. 5.United States—Politicsandgovernment—2009– I.Bullock,CharlesS.,1942– JK19682010.K49 2011 327.973(cid:2)0932—dc22 2011016607 (cid:3)(cid:3)(cid:4) Thepaperusedinthispublicationmeetstheminimumrequirementsof AmericanNationalStandardforInformationSciences—PermanenceofPaperfor PrintedLibraryMaterials,ANSI/NISOZ39.48-1992. PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:16 PS PAGEiv Tothegreatteacherswhoshapethefuturethroughinspirationandby example,withthankstofourofmyfavorites: Will Adams Martha Conlee Mary Ann Hagewood John Sprague .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:17 PS PAGEv .................18051$ $$FM 06-07-1110:58:17 PS PAGEvi Contents 1 The2010Elections 1 CharlesS.Bullock,III PartOne:SarahPalin’sMamaGrizzlies 2 MamaGrizzlyNearlyTrapped:NewHampshire’sRepublican SenatePrimary 13 DanteJ.Scala 3 SacrificingElectoralViabilityforIdeologicalPurity:Christine O’DonnellandtheDelawareSenateRace 25 DanielC.Reed 4 Nevada:TheTeaPartyTakesOnHarryReidbutfromthe WrongAngle 39 TedG.Jelen 5 ‘‘ADeepBlueHole’’?California,theTeaParty,andthe2010 MidtermElections 51 AmyWidestromandChristopherDennis PartTwo:TeaPartyFavorites 6 Florida:APlummetingEconomy,TeaParties,andPalinGive GOPaCleanSweep 65 SusanA.MacManuswiththeassistanceofDavidJ.Bonanza andMaryL.Moss 7 Randslide:TeaPartySuccessintheEstablishment’sBackyard 79 JoelTurnerandScottLasley —vii— .................18051$ CNTS 06-07-1110:58:20 PS PAGEvii viii Contents 8 RonJohnson:TheAccidentalTeaPartier 91 GeoffreyPeterson 9 ThePennsylvaniaSenateRace:Toomey’sTime 101 StanleyP.Berard 10 Colorado:TheCentennialStateBuckstheNationalTrend 113 M.JeanKingston 11 The2010WestVirginiaSenateRace 125 RobertRupp 12 TheEmpireStrikesBack:The2010ElectionsinNewYork 137 CostasPanagopoulos PartThree:StatesNotintheTeaPartyPlaybook 13 Arkansas:TheKettleThatDidn’tWhistle 153 AndrewDowdleandJosephD.Giammo 14 Coatsvs.Ellsworth:The2010IndianaSenateRace 165 MichaelA.MaggiottoandRaymondH.Scheele 15 TheBlueandtheRedintheLandofObama:The2010 MidtermsinIllinois 177 JannaL.Deitz 16 The2010WashingtonU.S.SenateRace:TwoFamiliarFacesand TwoPotentialWildCards 189 EdwardAnegonandDavidNice 17 Connecticut:TooLiberaltoBePalin’sCupofTea 199 DianaEvans 18 Conclusion:EvaluatingPalin,theTeaParty,andDeMint Influences 211 CharlesS.Bullock,III Notes 227 Index 233 AbouttheContributors 241 .................18051$ CNTS 06-07-1110:58:20 PS PAGEviii 1 The 2010 Elections Charles S. Bullock, III Basedonhistoricpatterns,onecouldanticipatethatBarackObama’s victory would set Democrats up to lose congressional seats in 2010. While some enthusiastic Obama supporters hoped that his election signaled a politicalrealignment thatwould allow Democratsto continuebuilding on their 2006 and 2008 successes, history weighed against such expectations. Only threetimes inthe previouscentury didthe president’sparty gainseats at midterm. In 1934, with the New Deal realignment underway, Democrats increased their margins in both chambers. More recently, in 1998, Republi- can efforts to impeach Bill Clinton backfired as voters rallied around the president and Democrats picked up four House seats. Then in 2002, with President GeorgeW. Bushstill baskingin post-9/11popularity, Republicans addedeightHouseandtwoSenateseats. Even discounting the historic pattern of the president’s party losing seats at midterm, conditions in 2010 favored Republicans. President Obama’s popularity had declined, and by the time of the election, more Americans viewed him unfavorably than favorably. Skepticism about the president’s most significant policy changes contributed to his falling evaluations. The president spent fourteen months goading Congress to expand healthcare coverage, a goal achieved despite unified GOP opposition and public indif- ference. While opposition to the healthcare reforms had decreased by elec- tion time and the public favored some of the changes, most Americans still opposedthepackage. Early on, President Obama convinced Congress, voting along party lines, to adopt a stimulus package to stave off a depression. While many econo- mists concur that the stimulus package kept conditions from getting even —1— .................18051$ $CH1 06-07-1110:58:42 PS PAGE1
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