ST ANTONY'S/MACMILLAN SERIES General Editor: Alex Pravda, Fellow of St Antony's College, Oxford Recent titles include: Mark D. Alleyne INTERNATIONAL POWER AND INTERNATIONAL COMMUNICATION Daniel A. Bell, David Brown, Kanishka Jayasuriya and David Martin Jones TOWARDS ILLIBERAL DEMOCRACY IN PACIFIC ASIA Judith M. Brown and Rosemary Foot (editors) MIGRATION: The Asian Experience Sir Alec Cairncross MANAGING THE BRITISH ECONOMY IN THE 1960s: A Treasury Perspective Anne Deighton (editor) BUILDING POSTWAR EUROPE: National Decision-makers and European Institutions, 1948-63 Simon Duke THE NEW EUROPEAN SECURITY DISORDER Christoph Gassenschmidt JEWISH LIBERAL POLITICS IN TSARIST RUSSIA, 1900-14: The Modernization of Russian Jewry Amitzur Han THE ORIGIN OF THE ARAB-ISRAELI ARMS RACE: Arms, Embargo, Military Power and Decision in the 1948 Palestine War Hiroshi Ishida SOCIAL MOBILITY IN CONTEMPORARY JAPAN Austen Ivereigh CATHOLICISM AND POLITICS IN ARGENTINA, 1910-60 Leroy Jin MONETARY POLICY AND THE DESIGN OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN CHINA, 1978-90 Matthew Jones BRITAIN, THE UNITED STATES AND THE MEDITERRANEAN WAR, 1942-44 Anthony Kirk-Greene and Daniel Bach (editors) STATE AND SOCIETY IN FRANCOPHONE AFRICA SINCE INDEPENDENCE Leslie McLoughlin IBN SAUD: Founder of a Kingdom Rosalind Marsh HISTORY AND LITERATURE IN CONTEMPORARY RUSSIA David Nicholls THE PLURALIST STATE: The Political Ideas of J. N. Figgis and his Contemporaries J. L. Porket UNEMPLOYMENT IN CAPITALIST, COMMUNIST AND POST-COMMUNIST ECONOMIES Charles Powell JUAN CARLOS OF SPAIN: Self-Made Monarch H. Gordon Skilling T. G. MASARYK: Against the Current, 1882-1914 William J. Toinpson KHRUSHCHEV: A Political Life Christopher Tremewan THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF SOCIAL CONTROL IN SINGAPORE Stephen Welch THE CONCEPT OF POLITICAL CULTURE Jennifer M. Welsh EDMUND BURKE AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: The Commonwealth of Europe and the Crusade against the French Revolution Japan's Alliance Politics and Defence Production Neil Renwick Senior Lecturer in International Relations Nottingham Trent University, and Northern Territory University, Darwin, Australia >n association with ST ANTONY'S COLLEGE MACMILLAN OXFORD ©NeilRenwick 1995 All rights reserved. No reproduction, copy or transmission of this publication may be made without written permission. No paragraph of this publication may be reproduced, copied or transmitted save with written permission or in accordance with the provisions of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, or under the terms of any licence permitting limited copying issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency, 90 Tottenham Court Road, London WIP 9HE. Any person who does any unauthorised act in relation to this publication may be liable to criminal prosecution and civil claims for damages. First published 1995 by MACMILLAN PRESS LTD Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire RG21 6XS and London Companies and representatives throughout the world ISBN 0-333-54031~X A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. 10 9 8 76 5 4 32 04 03 02 01 00 99 Printed and bound in Great Britain by Antony Rowc Ltd, Chippenham, Wiltshire To Mary Renwick Contents List of Tables and Figure viii Acknowledgements ix List of Abbreviations x 1 Japan's Alliance Politics 1 The Alliance Problem I The Alliance and Defence Production 5 2 Japan's Secondary Alliance Dilemma 8 3 Japan's Self-Defence Forces and the Alliance 32 Post-War Origins of the JSDF 32 Justifying the JSDF 33 Japanese Political Rivalries 63 The JSDF at the Crossroads 65 4 'Defence Inc.'? 67 Historical Development 68 Japan's Contemporary Arms Industry 70 The Next Step 83 5 Alliance Techno-Nationalism 85 Japan's Defence Technology 88 The Alliance and Techno-Nationalism 92 6 Japan's Alliance after the Cold War 105 Alliance National Interests and Tensions 106 Ending the Alliance? 139 Towards Stable Peace 141 Notes and References 152 Index 162 vn List of Tables and Figure Tables 4.1 Japan's defence budget, 1955-93 74 4.2 Japan's arms production, employment and procurement, 1982-90 75 4.3 Defence production in Japan, 1990 76 4.4 Japan's top 20 defence contractors, 1991 77 4.5 Comparative defence sales/total sales ratios for major defence contractors, 1991 78 5.1 Japan's defence R&D in international comparison, 1992 89 5.2 DSB list of Japanese dual-use technologies, 1984 96 6.1 Comparative defence profiles in Northeast Asia, 1992-93 113 6.2 US defence budgets, 1988-94 117 6.3 The evolving US force structure 121 6.4 JDA five-year defence programme, 1991-95 and Revision 125 6.5 Opinion polling: US-Japan relations 130 6.6 House of Representatives election, 18 July 1993 132 Figure 6.1 International trade flows, 1991 149 via Acknowledgements The extensive research involved in this study could not have been undertaken without the financial support of the Australian Academies of Humanities and Social Sciences Program to Foster Australia-Japan Relations in the Humanities and Social Sciences and from the Univer- sity College of the Northern Territory. The Northern Territory Univer- sity was generous in granting sabbatical leave to undertake this study. I am particularly indebted to Ambassador Rawdon Dalrymple for his continued support and friendship during the years of research for this study. Again, I owe a great deal to Professor Arthur Stockwin at the Nissan Institute of Japanese Studies, University of Oxford for his assistance and guidance throughout. My tenure as a Senior Associate Member in the lively and engaging atmosphere of St Antony's Col- lege was especially helpful in the development of this study. Simi- larly, the Fellows and students of Pembroke College provided a happy academic home, and without the friendship, patience and support of Vernon and Glynne Butt this book is unlikely to have been concluded successfully. My gratitude is also due to John Welfield for his support and advice during the embryonic stages of this work and to Ron Morse for his thoughtful suggestions. In the course of extensive research, a large number of personal debts accrue. In a study of this nature, many contributed on the basis of non-attribution. To those who necessarily remain anonymous, I extend my gratitude for their often candid comments. Fortunately, there are those whose contribution I am able to acknowledge. These include Pro- fessor Nishihara Masashi of the National Defense Academy, Ryozo Tsutsui, Director of the Technical Research and Development Insti- tute, Akihito Kuno and Sasaki Michio of Keidanren, Anzei Yoichi of the Keizei Koho Centre, Dr Michael Chinworth, Dr Ellen Frost (United Technologies), Dr Ron Morse (Wilson Centre); Dr Karl Jackson, Larry Niksch (CRS), Dr Amelia George and Dr David Morris. My thanks to all who assisted in the development and production of this book. Such errors that may be ascribed to this work are, obvi- ously enough, attributable solely to the deficiencies of its author. NEIL RENWICK
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