Alex Vatanka is Senior Fellow at the Middle East Institute and Jamestown Foundation in Washington, DC. A specialist in Middle Eastern geopolitics with a focus on Iran, he was previously the Senior Middle East Analyst at Jane’s defence and security group in London. ‘Excellent.Vatankaofferstimelyinsightsintoanimportantgeopolitical relationship that is often overlooked but is critical to understanding some of the key elements that have contributed to relations between Iran, Pakistan and America.’ David Patrikarakos, author of Nuclear Iran: The Birth of an Atomic State, I.B.Tauris, 2012 ‘In tracing the course of Iranian Pakistani taut relations over nearly seven decades, Vatanka’s lively, thoroughly researched book threads together those personalities and events that have shaped two of the mostchallengingcountriesfacedtodaybyWesternpolicymakers.The bookprovidesforasoundunderstandingofareasofforeignpolicyand regional and global alliances that once figured so prominently in the ColdWarandalsonowinthefightagainstglobalmilitantextremism. The Shi‘i Sunni rivalry, regional nuclear proliferation and the Americandimensionarealsoilluminatedbythisbook’swide ranging, engrossing narrative.’ Marvin Weinbaum, Director of the Pakistan Center at Middle East Institute, Washington, DC and Professor Emeritus at the University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign ‘A fascinating and enlightening study of the complex and intricate relationship between two key Islamic states, Iran and Pakistan. This much neglected connection between the Middle East and South Asia will only become more important in the future. This book explains clearly and cogently why that matters.’ Bruce Riedel, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution ‘This book is an ultimate supreme example of all the works so far doneonthesubject.Vatanka’scomposition,thesourceshehasconsulted and the ease with which he expresses himself make this a unique task of scholarship.’ R.K. (Ruhi) Ramazani, Edward R. Stettinius Professor Emeritus of Government and Foreign Affairs, University of Virginia IRAN AND PAKISTAN Security, Diplomacy and American Influence A V LEX ATANKA Publishedin2015by I.B.Tauris&Co.Ltd London•NewYork www.ibtauris.com Copyrightq2015AlexVatanka TherightofAlexVatankatobeidentifiedastheauthorofthisworkhasbeenasserted bytheauthorinaccordancewiththeCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Allrightsreserved.Exceptforbriefquotationsinareview,thisbook,oranypartthereof, maynotbereproduced,storedinorintroducedintoaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted, inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingor otherwise,withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofthepublisher. Everyattempthasbeenmadetogainpermissionfortheuseoftheimagesinthisbook. Anyomissionswillberectifiedinfutureeditions. Referencestowebsiteswerecorrectatthetimeofwriting. InternationalLibraryofIranianStudies57 ISBN:9781784532147 eISBN:9780857725516 AfullCIPrecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary AfullCIPrecordisavailablefromtheLibraryofCongress LibraryofCongressCatalogCardNumber:available TypesetinGaramondThreebyOKSPrepressServices,Chennai,India PrintedandboundbyCPIGroup(UK)Ltd,Croydon,CR04YY To Heidi, Martin, Kathrin and my parents CONTENTS Acknowledgements viii Introduction 1 1. On the Road to India: Iran’s and Pakistan’s Intertwined History 5 2. 1947 1958: Early Hiccups, as Iran and Pakistan Both Look to the US for Protection 12 3. 1958 1965: Regional Turbulence and an Unlikely Union 27 4. 1965 1969: The Northern Tier: A Fluid Fault Line 45 5. 1969 71: Iran’s Intervention over the Pakistani Defeat of 1971 66 6. 1971 77: The Shah and Pakistan’s Reluctant Dependence 82 7. 1977 1988: Zia, the Shah and the Coming of the Ayatollah 129 8. The Arrival of the Shi‘a Sunni Schism in Relations 171 9. 1988 2001: Geopolitical Foes, Sometime Partners 195 10. 2001 Present: Afghanistan, the Arab Challenge and Iran’s Soft Power in Pakistan 226 Epilogue 258 Notes 265 Bibliography 291 Index 296 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS InIslamabad,IaskedagroupofretiredPakistanidiplomatsaboutaccess tothearchivesattheForeignMinistry.‘Don’tbotherinquiring,’oneof them replied. I took that to mean that the archives were simply off limits to outsiders. But he continued. ‘What you will find about Pakistani policy deliberations [toward Iran] in the archives in Washington or London are probably more complete than what you will find here,’the former Pakistani ambassador insisted. Asimplausibleasitsoundedatthatparticularmoment,withtimeand after combing through declassified American and British documents relatingtoIranian Pakistaniaffairsdatingbacktothelate1940s,Icame to appreciate the sentiment the Pakistani diplomat was conveying. The IraniansandthePakistaniseachhave,ofcourse,separateaccountsofevents relatingtosevendecadesofstate to staterelations.Thatwasnotthepoint. The pointisthatIranian Pakistani ties, inmomentsof cooperation or rivalry, have over the years been hugely shaped by their respective attitudesandinterestsvis a` vistheWesternworld.AndamongWestern powers, the Americans and the British have beyond question been the most influential players in this part of the world. It is in American and British archives one finds important clues or eventhemissingdetailsthatcanbetterexplaintheactionsofTehranand Islamabad toward each other over the years. The United States in particular has since the mid 1960s been the third and undeniable column inIranian Pakistani relations. And where Washington opts to stand on relations between these two countries will continue to be crucial as Iranian Pakistani relations move forward. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ix Research projects on political history in Iran and Pakistan, as is the case in most of west Asia, are invariably sensitive. Official archives are mostlynotavailabletounsanctionedoutsiders.Personalinterviewsand memoirs, when possible and available, are therefore critical sources. Accordingly, this book project benefitted greatly from the time and insights of many individuals. Ardeshir Zahedi wasmost gracious inhosting me inMontreux.His many years of working with the Pakistanis as foreign minister and as a closeconfidantoftheShahofIranmadehimaninvaluableauthority.In Washington, Assad Homayoun, a former senior Iranian diplomat from the Shah’s era, was most helpful in his suggestions given his postings both in Islamabad and later in Washington. In Rawalpindi, Islamabad and Lahore, Asad Durrani, Shamshad Ahmad, Talat Masood, Khalid Mahmood, Taqi Bagash, Arif Ayub, Rasul Baksh Rais, Javid Hussain, Massarrat Abid and Asma Khawaja were able to open my eyes, and many doors, to leave me deeply appreciativeofthemakingofPakistaniforeignpolicy.Thanksalsotothe Institute of Strategic Studies (Islamabad) for generously hosting me. In Kabul, Haji Mangal, Davood Moradian and Vahid Mojdeh, gave meimportantfirst handaccountsfromthedaysofSovietoccupationand Talibanrule.Combinedtheyprovidedmewithastrongunderstanding ofthenatureofIranian PakistanirivalryonAfghansoil.Thanksalsoto Shahir Ahmad Zahine, Melek Zahine and Rahim Khan for making my stay in Kabul a fruitful and wonderfully memorable one. Among Iranians with government experience in the Islamic Republic, Abol hassan Bani Sadr, Hossein Mousavian, Abbas Maleki andAli AkbarOmid Mehrdeservemyspecialthanksforthetimethey tookouttospeakwithmeonthevariousaspectsofIran’sforeignpolicy toward Pakistan and Afghanistan in the post 1979 era. Among former Americanofficials witha wealth ofexperience inthe region,IamparticularlyindebtedtoMichaelMetrinko,JamesDobbins, Bruce Riedel, Zalmay Khalilzad, Charlie Naas and Jim Placke. Vali R. Nasr, F. Gregory Gause III, Ahmad Kamal, Arif Jamal, Toby Dalton, Yousaf Butt, Ann Wilkens, Vinay Chawla, Rahimullah Yusefzai, Shah Jahan, Ahmad Etmad and David Mack each helped me along the way. Meanwhile,thestaffattheofficesoftheAmericanInstituteofPakistan Studies (AIPS) in Islamabad, the Foundation for Iranian Studies in Maryland and the Library of Congress in Washington were always
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