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Investigations of Cloud Altering Effects of Atmospheric Aerosols using a New Mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian Aerosol Model Henry Donnan Steele Center for Global Change Science Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139-4307 USA M A S S ACHUSET T S Center for Global Change Science Y I N G S O T L I O TUTEOF TE C H N Report No. 74 September 2004 The Earth’s unique environment for life is determined by an interactive system comprising the atmosphere, ocean, land, and the living organisms themselves. Scientists studying the Earth have long known that this system is not static but changing. As scientific understanding of causal mechanisms for environmental change has improved in recent years there has been a concomitant growth in public awareness of the susceptibility of the present environment to significant regional and global change. Such change has occurred in the past, as exemplified by the ice ages, and is predicted to occur over the next century due to the continued rise in the atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. The Center for Global Change Science at MIT was established to address long-standing scientific problems that impede our ability to accurately predict changes in the global environment. The Center is interdisciplinary and involves both research and education. This report is one of a series of preprints and reprints from the Center intended to communicate new results or provide useful reviews and commentaries on the subject of global change. See the inside back cover of this report for a complete list of the titles in this series. Ronald G. Prinn, Director Rafael L. Bras, Associate Director MIT Center for Global Change Science For more information contact the Center office. LOCATION: Center for Global Change Science Massachusetts Institute of Technology Building 54, Room 1312 77 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02139-4307 USA ACCESS: Tel: (617) 253-4902 Fax: (617) 253-0354 E-mail: [email protected] Website: http://mit.edu/cgcs/ Printed on recycled paper Investigations of Cloud Altering Effects of Atmospheric Aerosols using a New Mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian Aerosol Model by Henry Donnan Steele B.S. Physics and Computer Science Yale University, 1998 Submitted to the Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Atmospheric Chemistry at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY September 2004 (cid:1)c Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2004. All rights reserved. Author................................................................................... Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences August 17, 2004 Certified by............................................................................... Ronald G. Prinn TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry Thesis Supervisor Accepted by.............................................................................. Maria Zuber E. A. Griswold Professor of Geophysics Head of the Department 2 Investigations of Cloud Altering Effects of Atmospheric Aerosols using a New Mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian Aerosol Model by Henry Donnan Steele Submitted to the Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences on August 17, 2004, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Atmospheric Chemistry Abstract Industry, urban development, and other anthropogenic influences have substantially altered the composition and size-distribution of atmospheric aerosol particles over the last century. This, in turn,hasalteredcloudalbedo, lifetime, andpatternswhichtogether arethoughttoexertanegative radiative forcing on the climate; these are the indirect effects of atmospheric aerosols. Thespecifics of the process by which aerosol particles seed cloud particles are complex and highly uncertain. The goal of this thesis is to refine understanding of the role of various aerosol types in determining cloudproperties. Weapproachthisgoal byconstructinganewhighlydetailed aerosol-cloud process model that is designed to simulate condensation upon complex aerosol populations. We use this model to investigate the microphysics of aerosol-cloud interactions, specifically considering the role of cloud dynamics and of the ubiquitous mixed soot / sulfate aerosols. We describe the Mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian Aerosol Model (MELAM). This new computer model of aerosol microphysics is specifically tailored to simulate condensation and activation as accurately as possible. It specifically calculates aerosol thermodynamics, condensation, coagula- tion, gas and aqueous phase chemistry, and dissolution. The model is able to consider inorganic aerosols and aerosols with both inorganics and insoluble cores; the specific chemical system to be considered is specified by the user in text input files. Aerosol particles may be represented using “sectional distributions” or using a “representative sample” distribution which tracks individual particles. We also develop a constant updraft speed, adiabatic parcel model and a variable updraft speed, episodically entraining parcel model to provide boundary conditions to MELAM and allow simulations of aerosol activation in cloud updrafts. Using MELAM and the parcel models, we demonstrate that aerosol activation depends on the composition andsizedistributionofthesub-cloudaerosolpopulation,ontheupdraftspeedthrough aparcel’sliftingcondensationlevel, ontheverticalprofileoftheupdraftspeed,andonentrainment. We use a convective parameterization that was developed for use in global or regional models to drive the episodically entraining, variable updraft speed parcel model. Ultimately, reducing the uncertainty of the global impact of the indirect effects of aerosols will depend on successfully linking cloud parameterizations to models of aerosol activation; our work represents a step in that direction. We also considertheactivation of mixed soot/sulfateparticles incloud updrafts. We constrain for the first time a model of condensation onto these mixed particles that incorporates the contact angle of the soot / solution interface and the size of the soot core. We find that as soot ages and its contact angle with water decreases, mixed soot / sulfate aerosols activate more readily than the equivalent sulfate aerosols that do not have soot inclusions. We use data from the Aerosol Characterization Experiments (ACE) 1 and 2, and from the Indian Ocean Experiment (INDOEX) to define representative aerosol distributions for clean, polluted, and very polluted marine environ- 3 ments. Using these distributions, we argue that the trace levels of soot observed in clean marine environments donotsubstantially impactaerosol activation, whilethepresenceof sootsignificantly increases the number of aerosol that activate in polluted areas. Thesis Supervisor: Ronald G. Prinn Title: TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry 4 Acknowledgments I am fortunate to have spent my graduate school years here at M.I.T.; I found everything here that I had hoped to find, and oftentimes much more. This thesis is the culmination of many stages of learning and discovery and marks the end of an important stage of my life. I did not make it throughthese six years on my own. Throughoutthe pastsix years, I have leaned on many teachers, advisors, colleagues, friends, and on my family; I am very grateful to each of them. My advisor Ron Prinn provided countless lessons in the classroom and in his office, and showed by example what it is to do science well. He was always generous with his time, advice, confidence, and support. And he tolerated my pursuitof many non-scientific interests with patience and grace. I am fortunate to have worked with him over these past several years. The other members of my committee – Greg McRae, Mario Molina, and Kerry Emanuel – have each contributed time, expertise, and encouragement. I very much appreciate their efforts. This thesis also benefited enormously from discussions with Don Lucas, Yu-Han Chen, Chien Wang, Greg Lawson, Ico San Martini, Bill Boos, Rob Korty, Zan Stine, Sam Arey, Gary Kleiman, and many others. I have always appreciated the quality of the scientific community I found here, and will always appreciate the collaborations I began here and the friendships I formed here. I owe a great debt to my friends and family for their love, encouragement, and supportover the past few years. I am blessed to have so many wonderful people in my life. This thesis research was supported by the Federal and Industry Sponsors of the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change (U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. National ScienceFoundation,AlstomPower (France), AmericanElectricPower (USA),BPp.l.c.(UK/USA), ChevronTexaco Corporation (USA), DaimlerChrysler AG (Germany), Duke Energy (USA), J- Power (Electric Power Development Co., Ltd.) (Japan), Electric Power Research Institute (USA), Electrict´e de France, ExxonMobil Corporation (USA), Ford Motor Company (USA), General Motors (USA), Mirant (USA), Murphy Oil Corporation (USA), Oglethorpe Power Corporation (USA), RWE/Rheinbraun (Germany), Shell International Petroleum (Netherlands/UK), Statoil (Norway), Tennessee Valley Authority (USA), Tokyo Electric Power Company (Japan), TotalFi- nalElf (France), Vetlesen Foundation (USA), We Energies (USA)). It was also supported by NASA Grant NAG-5-12099. 5 6 Contents 1 Introduction 23 1.1 Motivation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 1.2 The Role of Aerosols in the Climate System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.2.1 The Effects of Aerosols on the Global Climate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 1.2.2 The Scale Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 1.2.3 Microphysical Scale Modeling of Aerosol / Cloud Interaction . . . . . . . . . 34 1.3 Goals and Outline of the Thesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 2 Overview of the Mixed Eulerian-Lagrangian Aerosol Model 41 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.2 Aerosol Size Representation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 2.3 Chemical Continuity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 2.4 Gas-Phase and Aqueous-Phase Chemistry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 2.5 Aerosol Chemical Thermodynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 2.6 Gas-Aerosol Transfer: Condensation and Dissolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.7 Aerosol Dynamics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 2.8 Boundary Conditions for Microphysical Studies of Aerosol Activation: UpdraftModels 58 2.9 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3 Representation of Aerosols and Droplets 61 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 3.2 Functional Representations of Observed Aerosol Size Distributions . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.3 Representing Size Distributions in Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3.1 Bulk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3.2 Method of Moments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 3.3.3 Modal Representations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 7 3.3.4 Sectional Representations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3.3.5 Continuous and Lagrangian Representations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.3.6 Mixed Sectional and Lagrangian Representations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 3.4 Representation of Aerosol Composition and Mixing State . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 4 Aerosol Chemical Thermodynamics 81 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 4.2 Chemical Continuity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 4.3 Equilibrium Dissociation of Electrolytes and Acids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 4.3.1 Equilibrium Coefficients for Dissociating Species . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4.3.2 Solving for Equilibrium Concentrations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 4.4 Thermodynamic Activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90 4.4.1 Calculating Binary Activity Coefficients when Binary Data is Available . . . 91 4.4.2 Calculating Binary Activity Coefficients when Binary Data is Not Available . 98 4.4.3 Calculating Activity Coefficients and Equilibrium for Partially Dissociating Species: Sulfuric Acid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 4.4.4 Calculating Activity Coefficients in Mixtures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.5 Mixing Rules for Other Thermodynamic Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 4.6 Surface Tension . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 4.6.1 Surface Tension of Flat Surfaces of Pure Water . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.6.2 Surface Tension of Flat Surfaces of Electrolytic Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.6.3 SurfaceTensionsCalculatedUsingtheGibbsDividingSurfaceforElectrolytic Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 4.6.4 Influence of Soluble and Slightly Soluble Organic Species . . . . . . . . . . . 114 4.7 Solution Density . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 4.8 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 5 Mass Transfer to and from Particles: Condensation and Dissolution 119 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 5.2 Continuity Between Phases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 5.3 Coupling between Condensation and Aqueous Chemistry and Thermodynamics . . . 121 5.4 Equilibrium and Non-Equilibrium Across the Gas and Aerosol Phases . . . . . . . . 122 5.4.1 The Equilibration of Water . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 8

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I very much appreciate their efforts. This thesis also benefited enormously from discussions with Don Lucas, Yu-Han Chen, Chien Wang, Greg Lawson, Ico San.
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