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, ^7 Intra-Regional Amenities, Wages, and Home Prices: The Role of Forests in the Southwest Michael S. Hand, Jennifer A. Thacher, Daniel W. McCollum, and Robert P. Berrens A I3STRACT. loresis /110 tide n n-oiatkei goods and economic decisions over, such as abundant vertices that people are iotplkiilt tilling to pat for recreation opportunities, open space, and i/trough hedonic /toiooig and labor ntarlu'ts. But it is the availability of wilderness experiences. tote/ear if compensating di//ereniial.v arise in there Further, forests provide several non-market nearkets at the regional level. This empirical t/ueriioit ecosystem services, such as watershed and is add essed in a SItU/I' of Arizona and New Mexico. airshed nmnagement, soil quality protec- Hedonic regressiowv of ltottsing pines (1)1(1 lragev using census and geographic data shall that totest area tion, and habitat protection. Individuals carries (IIt implicit price of heiti'eeit $27 cettcI 536 per who value these characteristics may be sc/mite mile annual/v. Compensating d,//ereniiair al willing to pay. through compensating dif- the regional level suggest i/tal cute titust he taken ferentials in labor and housing markets, for when app/vutg the travel cost titeiltod to value access to these non-market goods and regiottuellm' delineated characteristics. (J EL Q23. R 14) services. A portion of' the first paycheck (i.e., money income) may be forfeited in I. INTRODUCTION favor of a larger second paycheck. Compensating differentials have been As traditional resource extraction has shown to exist in labor and housing markets become relatively less important in regional for large-scale amenities (e.g., climate) at economies of the American West. the the inter-regional level (Roback 1982; amenity values of forests and other natural Hoehn, Berger. and Blomquist 1987; Blom- features have received more attention. In- quist. Berger, and Hoehn 1988; Costa and stead of seeking out areas that, for example, Kahn 2003), and in housing markets for hold the promise of a large paycheck from local or neighborhood amenities (Ridker togging or mining jobs, migrants may seek and Henning 1967; Cheshire and Sheppard out areas that offer a large so-called "second 1995; Acharya and Bennett 2001). Studies paycheck" derived from the value of the that include forest resources have also natural landscape. This economic behavior shown that proximity to forests is capital- can have observable effects in the markets ized into local housing prices (Shultz and for housing and labor. King 2001; Kim and Johnson 2002; Kim As argued by some authors (e.g., Niemi. Whitclaw, and Johnston 1999). a second paycheck may be derived from forests The authors are, respectively, research economist. because these areas contain many of the USDA Economic Research Service; assistant professor of characteristics that people value and make economics. Department of Economics, University of New Mexico; research economist. Rocky Mountain Research See Nierni, Whitelaw, and Johnston (1999) for a Station, USDA Forest Service; and, professor of eco- discussion of the second paycheck. Also. Garber-Yonts nomics. Department of Economics. University of New (2004) provides a thorough review of literature related to Mexico. Funding support for this research was partially the impact of natural characteristics on migration. provided by joint venture agreements (06-JV-199 and 05- hedonic prices, and local economic conditions. JV-257) between the Rocky Mountain Research Station (U.S. Department of Agriculture. Forest Service) and the Department of Economics. University of New Mexico. Land Economics. November 2008 • 84 (4): 635-651 The authors wish to thank Carl Edminster and Carolyn ISSN 0023-7639; E-ISSN 1543-8325 Sieg for their support. The views expressed are those of © 2008 by the Board of Regents of the University the authors, and do not necessarily reflect those of the of Wisconsin System Department of Agriculture. 636 Lam! Economics Aorc,iiber 2008 and Wells 2005) and wage differences Southwestern region, this planning process between cities (Schmidt and Courant involves regional teams formed to ensure 2006). Lacking in the literature, however, coordinated revisions of all individual S.4 is an understanding of how forests (and forest plan Knowledge of the importance other natural characteristics) impact eco- of forest resources at the regional level nomic behavior within a particular region. would aid in determining the economic Whether or not forest amenities are impor- impact of regional forest policy decisions tant in the housing or labor markets (or and how management decisions conform to both) within a region remains an empirical the public's preferences. qnestion. Beyond the implications for forestry The purpose of this paper is to examine policy, the answer to the empirical question compensating differentials for forest ame- posed here may indicate a role for forest nities in housing and labor markets in the amenities in rural development policy. For Southwestern United States, composed of example, if forests and other natural Arizona and New Mexico. This region characteristics generate wage differentials provides an excellent opportunity to answer within the region (e.g.. between rural and the research questions asked in this paper. urban areas), attributing observed wage The region is characterized by widevaria- differences to other factors can lead to tion in the size. type, and location of forest erroneous policies. It is also possible that characteristics and their proximity to large jurisdictional boundaries prevent local population centers. A unique geographic communities from internalizing the market information system (GIS) data set from the effects of forest policies (Schmidt and U.S. Forest Service Southwesterii region Courant 2006). Recognition of these roles allows these characteristics to be precisely for forests, if they exist, suggests that an measured. Hedonic regressions are estimat- important component of rural economic ed for housing prices and wages using development policy may include preserva- publicly available Census data, GIS calcu- tion of the natural features that people find lations of landscape features, and data amenable. enumerating outdoor recreation sites. An The results of this study may also be empirical framework pioneered by Roback important for the application of non- (1982) and developed by Hoehn. Berger, market valuation techniques within the and Blomquist (1987) is used to determine region. Two issues arise if the characteristic the existence of hedonic premiums for forest to he valued is generating compensating amenities in housing and labor markets and differentials. First, an endogeneity problem the implicit prices faced by Southwest arises if labor market earnings are used region residents for these amenities. (e.g., as an independent variable) to esti- Compensating differentials imply that mate a demand relationship for a charac- the supply of forest amenities at the regional teristic that generates a wage differential level is policy relevant. National forests in the preferences an analyst seeks to measure the United States, under the management of with non-market valuation techniques may the U.S. Department of Agriculture's For- determine an individual characteristic est Service, undergo a periodic regional thought to be an exogenous demand shifter. planning process.3 In the Forest Service's Second. the data-generating process be- hind some valuation techniques may itself be endogenous to the preferences of inter- 2 Hand (2006) investigated labor market compensat- ing differentials for linguistic enclave amenities in the est. An example of this problem is outlined Southwest, but did not incorporate regional variation in in Randall's (1994)"Difficulty with the natural amenities. The regional planning process was set forth in the final rule for National Forest System Land Management See 'Southwestern Region Revision Plan Strategy" Planning. Federal Register, v.70 n.3. January 5. 2005. April 21. 2006. http:l/www.fs.fcd.uslr3/plan-revisionl pg. 1055. strategy.shtml. accessed 911912006. 84(4) Jlaiic/ ci iii.: Forest Amenities in the Southwest 637 Travel Cost Method." In the context of New Mexico, (population about 5,100) has regional forests, compensating wage or access to a different set of forest, outdoor housing-price differentials imply that peo- recreation, and other characteristics than ple are choosing their residential locations someone living in downtown Phoenix, based on forests. To the degree that Arizona. Further, the labor market oppor- preferences for forests are related to recre- tunities are unique to each place. These ation travel, observed travel cost (i.e., differences define the bundles that people distance) would be endogenous. Further. make decisions over and may give rise to the travel cost would not reflect the full compensating differentials. price of recreation site access, including the The underlying model used for the price paid through compensating differen- empirical analysis is most similar to that tials to live closer to a particular site. in Roback (1982). The key theoretical Schmidt and Courant (2006) suggest that results, with notation reflecting the appli- failing to account for location choices may cation to regional forest characteristics, are lead to underestimates of the value of presented -here to inform the empirical recreation access. approacli. These issues begin to describe a role for Individuals derive utility from goods regionally delineated natural amenities that consumption (X, a numeraire good. sold is more deeply ingrained in local and at a constant price), land used for housing regional economies than the sum of their (L, sold at price p), and the amenity market and non-market values. Answering characteristics (/1'forests, in this case) associated with a location. An individual the empirical question of whether forests lives in one of the J locations in the region, are important determinants in hedonic housing and labor markets will indicate / = I..... J. A convenient way of thinking about the consumer's problem is that they the degree to which this role may impact select Xand L. conditional onf1 and subject regional and local forest policy decisions. to the budget constraint, to maximize Utility. This yields an indirect utility func- II. HOUSING PRICES AND WAGES IN A REGIONAL HEI)ONIC FRAMEWORK tion, V = J7(p, it, ./), where it is an individual's wage rate (assuming that in- come is wholly derived from wage earn- Forest characteristics have been unam- ings). Firms also operate in both the labor biguously shown to affect labor and hous- and land markets, producing X and selling ing markets in a variety of empirical in a perfectly competitive market at the settings. Among these are studies of the nunieraire price. Thus, the firm's unit cost wage and housing-price effects of inter- function depends on the price of land, regional differences in forest access wages, and forest characteristics, or (Schmidt and Courant 2006) and local forest access (Kim and Wells 2005). The Clfi, n,/) = 1. In equilibrium, utility and costs must be primary empirical question in this paper is equalized across all J locations; a location whether forest characteristics that vary that offers real utility gains or cost savings regionally are in fact amenities that signif- compared to an individual's or firm's icantly affect regional housing-price and current location would induce migration. wage differentials. Since forest characteristics are associated The basic idea behind compensating with a particular location and assumed differentials in housing and labor markets fixed, land prices and wages must adjust in is that individuals purchase a bundle of characteristics tied to a heterogeneous good in the marketplace (see Rosen 1974). In the Several theoretical advances have been made since this model was developed (e.g.. Hoehn. Berger. and context of regional forests, the bundle of Blomquist 1987). but the Roback model is more characteristics is tied to where one lives and appropriate to this application because the study area works. Someone living in Mora County. does not have endogenous geographic borders. 638 Land Economics November 2008 each location to equalize utility and costs study region. The second condition is across the region. The model must satisfy. assumed as in Roback (1982). The final condition is the most relevant for estimating VO = 17(j), u,f) yj. [I] compensating differentials within a region. Some areas within the study region consid- ered in this paper will more plausibly meet C(p1. "./) = 1 Vj. [2] this condition than others. For example, where V1 is a constant. and land prices and people may live and work in the greater wages are now associated with the particu- Phoenix area but commute across geo- lar locations to reflect the equilibrium graphic areas as defined by the available adjustment mechanism. The first equation data: such behavior violates the underlying defines utility equality of individuals across assumption. How this issue may affect the all areas, while the second defines produc- empirical results is discussed as necessary tion cost equality. Totally differentiating below. equations [1] and [2], noting that 1V = dC The partial derivatives of [3] and [4] are = 0 in equilibrium, and solving for the two what traditional hedonic studies seek to unknowns Iti'Idf and d1,Idf yields partials estimate. Beginning with housing price, that are functionally equivalent to equa- forest amenities are but one feature that tions [4] in Roback (1982): impact the price of an individual dwelling unit (i.e., not all dwellings in location / are - V/cl, Vl,c/ the same price). The price of a house is a [3] (If - D function of its structural (square feet, number of bedrooms), neighborhood (crime rates, school quality), and forest (1/) - V C, - J, C ' [4] (forest views, recreation opportunities) D characteristics. The hedonic price function where D = - V1C'1, + ',,C. < 0. specifies the price of house i in location.! as As noted in Roback (1982) and Hoehn, Berger, and Blomquist (1987), the signs of = P1 (s. N,, F',), [5] the partials in [3] and [4] depend on the sign where S, N, and F represent vectors of of C (V1 is assumed to be positive). structural, neighborhood, and forest ame- Characteristics that are amenable to indi- nity characteristics, respectively. It is as- viduals may or may not affect productivity sumed that the neighborhood and forest for firms. If '1 > 0 (the amenity is characteristics are common to all housing unproductive), then dw/df < 0 and dpldf o or > 0. If Cl. < 0 (the amenity is units in a given geographic area ].6 productive), then dii,Idf 0 or ^! 0 and Converting equation [5] into an econo- metric model yields dp/df> 0. In the case that amenities do not matter for firms, both partials are unam- 6] biguously signed less than zero and greater than zero, respectively. where v, is the assumed zero-mean random The partials of equations [3] and [4] are error and cE, P, y, and ô are the parameter not equal to zero only under certain vectors to be estimated. The implicit mar- conditions: movements across the land- ginal housing price of a forest characteristic scape result in changes in amenity levels, f is PI?f= 5. individuals cannot occupy the same space in time, and it is costly for individuals to access amenities in areas where they do not live. The first condition is met by the fact that This assumption is not necessary to carrying out a hedonic price estimation, but is driven by the geographic the characteristics of interest, those repre- specification of the available micro data, described sented by forests, vary widely across the below. iI 84(4) Hand ci al.: Forest Amenities in the Southnest 639 Hedonic wage estimation is conceptually productive, neutral, or unproductive ame- similar. The traditional framework specifies nity for firms), the observed sign of the that workers have preferences over a vector amenity wage and housing-price effect can of job characteristics (e.g., risk of injury or be positive or negative. Thus, any calcula- working conditions). In the case of exam- tion of the implicit amenity price requires ining hedonic wages for forest amenities, both housing and wage differentials. however, the concern is not with the Equations [6] and [7] can be estimated characteristics of each job, but the land- in linear, logged. log-linear, or some other scape characteristics that are tied to the area form.' Wage equations, for example, are where one works. The same bundle of forest generally estimated with a log-linear spec- amenities that may influence hedonic hous- ification (which is derived from its underly- ing prices ma compensate workers for ing human capital investment theory (Minc- y lower wages. er 1974)). In contrast, Hoehn. Berger. and Estimation of the hedonic wage must Blomquist (1987) and Blomquist. Berger, incorporate other factors that affect the and Hoehn (1988) use a Box-Cox search wage, namely productivity factors. The over possible specifications to determine the most common method is to extend the specification for both equations that best Mincer (1974) wage equation to include the fits the data. This latter method is adopted vector of job characteristics. In this case, a here in pursuit of flexibility and goodness of vector of landscape characteristics is added fit. that includes forest amenities. The hedonic wage equation is. III. DATA + = m + OV }' 115'\' + 'l + p. 17 The housing-price and wage regressions are estimated on a matched sample of wage- where fVii is the natural log of individual i's earner housing units. That is, each obser- hourly wage, Y is a vector of individual vation has a reported wage, rent or house human capital characteristics and N and F value, individual characteristics, and hous- are defined above. Neighborhood and ing characteristics. Estimates of equa- forest amenity characteristics should be tions [6] and [7] are conducted with indi- included to the extent that the geographic vidual-level data from the 2000 Public Use areas correspond to labor markets. Note that in the econometric model i indexes Microdata Series (PUMS), 5'Y0 sample for Arizona and New Mexico (Ruggles et al. individual wages and characteristics, rather 2004). This data gives individual responses than particular jobs. to the long form of the 2000 decennial The empirical approach adopted in this census. Detailed data is available for each paper is most similar to Hoehn, Berger. and Blomquist (1987) and Blomquist, Berger. respondent on income and earnings, edu- and Hoehn (1988), where hedonic regres- cation attainment, race and ethnicity, hous- sions for the housing market (equation [6]) ing characteristics, labor market participa- and wage earners (equation [7]) include a tion. and a variety of other variables. common bundle of amenities. The focus of Individuals are identified to geographic this paper is the importance of forest areas, called Public Use Microdata Areas amenities, so the bundle includes measures (PUMAs), with a population of at least of forest area, recreation sites, and other 100,000. PUMAs are used to calculate the natural amenities that vary across the vector of site-specific characteristics that region. vary across the landscape and to compile Hoehn. Berger. and Blomquist (1987) other geographic-based data. The study show that the hedonic results from only one market can be misleading. Depending on the specific assumptions made about the See Freeman (2003, ch.l 1) for a discussion of production effects of amenities (i.e., a different functional forms for housing models. 640 Land Economics ;Voi'enther 2008 region is composed of 51 PUMAs, 36 in The hourly wage is constructed from Arizona and 15 in New Mexico. reported earnings and work behavior. That is, Dependent Variables and Population = uav,'cinv1/ (u/nv x tjsnrk1 ). [8] The two dependent variables are housing price and wages. Housing price is defined as where lt,ageinc1 is reported yearly wage the annual contract rental cost or imputed income, uhrs1 is usual hours worked per annual rent. For those households in the week, and wksivi-ki is number of weeks worked in 1999. sample who rent their dwelling unit, the reported contract monthly rent is multiplied The sample for the wage equation is restricted to wage-earning men and women by 12 to obtain annual rent. Households between the ages of 18 and 64. Those who with owner-occupants report the current did not earn wage income, worked fewer value of the dwelling. Annual rent is than four weeks in 1999, and usually imputed by multiplying this value by an worked fewer than ten hours per week were annual discount rate of 7.51/0; annual rent eliminated from the sample. This sample for owners is estimated as the income they was created to capture only workers who are earning on that property as an invest- are closely tied to the wage-earning labor ment, which is assumed to be approximate- market. Like the housing sample, observa- ly equal to what they could earn if it was tions with imputed data were dropped. being rented to tenants." Top-coded obser- The final sample used to estimate [6] and vations of rent and house value ($1,700 per [7] is the intersection of the housing and month and $999,998 respectively) are ex- wage samples. That is. only those observa- cluded from the sample. tions with complete data under the criteria The sample for the housing equation is all in both samples are retained for estimation; households from the 2000 PUMAs in all observations are household heads under Arizona and New Mexico who either own the Census definition. This results in a or rent their residence (excluding group sample of 36.375 male and 15,285 female quarters). Households with imputed obser- household heads. vations for ownership status (owner-occu- pied versus rental), housing value, or rent Indepen clan! Variables are excluded.9 One departure from previous studies is the inclusion of households with The primary interest in the empirical 10 or more acres of property. Previous work estimates is measures of natural character- was generally concerned with urban and istics, and specifically those measures that suburban residents, so excluding these relate to forest resources. A comprehensive households ensured that the sample reflect- vector of site-specific characteristics has ed the population and behavior of interest. been gathered, including different measures Although a small portion of our sample of forest area, recreation sites, water fea- (about 1.2%). the population of interest in tures, hazardous waste sites, recreation- the intra-regional case includes those living related businesses, and community charac- in rural areas who may have dwellings on teristics. However, several of these measures more than 10 acres. may exhibit collinearity when included in empirical estimates (see Section 4). Table 1 describes the geographically coded indepen- The 7.5% figure was used in Costa and Kahn (2003). Hoehn, Berger, and Blomquist (1987) and Blomquist. dent variables retained for estimation. Berger, and Hoehn (1988) use a discount rate of 7.85% The independent variables that measure estimated from a separate source. forest characteristics in a PUMA are the The PUMAs data often uses reported characteristics proportion of PUMA land in U.S. Forest to impute other missing data. These are dropped since the characteristics used to impute data are often the same Service (USFS) area (AREA_FS) and ones used in the hedonic regressions. Congressionally designated wilderness area 84(4) Hand Cf al.: Forest Amenities in the Southwest 641 TABLE I Dr.scRIIrrIoNs OF GEOGRAPHIC TNDEPENI)I1' I VARIABLES Variable Description (Source) Mean Std. Dcv. AREA_FS Percentage PUMA area in USFS National Forests and .098 .172 Grasslands )GIS. USFS) AVQFS Mean percentage USFS area in contiguous PUMAS (UIS. .17 .082 USFS) AREA-WILD Percentage PUMA area in Congressionally designated .022 .054 wilderness areas )GIS, USFS) AVGWILD Mean percentage wilderness area in contiguous l'UMAs .024 .023 (015. USFS) SURFACE Area of surface water bodies )excludes streams), square miles 16.02 46.72 National Atlas) 11 AZ_COUNT Number of EPA-designated CERCLA hazardous waste sites 6.45 7.74 (EPA) [SR EC Number of USFS recreation sites )NORSIS) (7.0 9.12 IED_RE(' Number of non-USFS federal recreation sites (NORSIS) 20.17 36.47 FSFED_R EC Number of USFS and other federal rec. sites )NORSIS) 37.16 40.08 URBBAANN Urban residence: Maricopa. Arizona Pima, Arizona: .667 .471 ltcrnalillo. New Mexico counties (binary. 015) DENSITY Persons per square mile in residents PUMA .658.0 1.969,1 DENS2 Square of density 6.625.957 1(000,000 ,Suiiria's: GIS indicates calculation of polygon- or linc-l'onntii 015 tiles for each PUMA: USES: United States Forest Service Southsscsterti Region, hit p:lI'a ss 55 .fs.fcd.us/r3/gis/dalascts.shtnd: National Atlas; hitp://nationalatlas.gos latlasl tp.htittl lts drogtn: EPA: U.S. Environrnetiial Protection Agenc C'ERCI .A database. [iiiii://svwNk.el)a.gov/en%ii-o/htiiil/ccrclis/in(lex.lititil: NORSIS: National Outdoor Recreation Suppt\ Inlorntaitoti Svsteni, USES Southern Research Station. (AREA—WILD). USFS area is generally TY and DENS2), and urban status (UR- expected to be an amenity, but its designa- BAN). The forest area measures and surface tion for multiple uses (including recreation water area are calculated for each PUMA and extractive uses) distinguishes USFS using GIS calculations. Hazardous waste site area from wilderness area. Wilderness area, counts and recreation sites are available at like USFS area, is expected to carry a the county level: PUMAs are mostly defined positive implicit price reflective of recrea- as one of, more counties, so the county-level tion, ecosystem services, and passive use data is aggregated across the appropriate values (Phillips 2004). Although these counties. Recreation site data is gathered measures are generally thought to be from the National Outdoor Recreation amenable, wildfire risk may offset the Supply Information System (NORSIS). positive implicit prices to some extent which lists the number of several different (Kim and Wells 2005). types of recreation sites and opportunities Recreation access is measured by the for every county in the United States.]() number of recreation sites managed by the There are three counties that are some- USFS (FS_REC) and those managed by what problematic for dealing with county- other federal agencies (FEDREC). The level data: Maricopa County and Pima sum of these two measures (FSFED_REC) County in Arizona, and Bernalillo County is used to estimate shadow prices for in New Mexico. These three urban centers recreation sites in general. Recreation sites are separated into several PUMAs (22 for include camping, hiking, boat launches, and Maricopa, seven for Pima, and five for picnic sites. Bernalillo county). Given data availability, The other site-specific data used in esti- mation include square miles of surface water 0 The NORSIS data is maintained by Carter Betz at area (SURFACE). number of CERCLA the USFS Southern Research Station. Contact informa- hazardous waste sites (HAZ_COUNT), tion available at http://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/trends/betz. population density and its square (DENSI- html, 642 Land Economics No rent/jet' 2OO5 TABLE 2 DrscRt1moNs oF HOt SING AND WAGE STRUCTURAL VARIABLES Men Women Variable Description Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dcv. Housing I aria ble.v ANN RENT Annualized contract lent or dwelling value, S 9,544.4 7.33)).0 7.554.3 5.117,3 ACR E9 Property size. 1 9 acres .122 .328 .087 .282 ACRE 10 Property size, greater than 9 acres .013 .114 .01(1 .098 CONDO Cond am jot u m Status. binary .016 .126 .044 .205 BEDS Number of bedrooms 2.76 1.08 2.43 .991 AGES Structure age. 2-5 years .163 .369 .131 .338 AGEI I) Structure age. 6 10 years .111 .315 .098 .297 AGE2O Structure age. II -20 years .229 .420 .249 .433 AG[30 Structure age, 21 31) years .221 .415 22) .42)) AGE4O Structure age. 31 40 years .096 .295 .101 .301 AG [50 Structure age. 41-50 years .076 .264 .084 .278 AGE6O Structure age. 51-60 years .026 .160 .033 .179 AGE6I Structure age. 61 or more years .026 .158 .034 .182 iI'tge J'artal,le.t LNWAGE Natural log of hourh wages 2.76 .685 2.5)) .646 EDLIC Years of education 3.9 2.82 14.] 2.40 EXP Potential years of experience. =age-EDUC-6 21.3 11.0 20.1 11.5 EXP2 Square of EXP 575.9 508.6 537.0 505.5 MARRIED Marital status, binary .729 .445 .218 .413 IM MIG Immigrant status, binary .143 .351 .092 .289 BLACK Race: Black, binary .020 .138 .030 .171 ASIAN Race: Asiatt/Paci lie islander. binary .01S .133 .014 .117 NATIVE Race: Native American/Alaska Native, .037 .189 .066 244 binary RACE2 Race: Two or more races, binary .138 .345 .123 .329 NOENG Speaks English not well or not at all, binary .046 .210 .024 .152 TRANTIME Transit time to work. minutes 22.2 19.4 18.8 17.1 .'Vo's.- ANN RENT and I.NWAGF. are the dependent '.ariahles. ANN_RENT is the rtn.translorrned value: results are reported with the appropriate Box-Cox lrans(onnatlon. the approach adopted here is to assign the IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS county-level value to all of the PUMAs in that county. Estimation issues The independent variables for the hous- ing-price equation include categorical var- Any hedonic estimation involves several iables for property acreage (ACRE9, econometric issues that must be addressed ACRE 10). condominium status (CONDO), in order to obtain efficient and reliable number of bedrooms (BEDS), and struc- results. As mentioned above, a flexible Box- ture age (AGE). The wage equation inde- Cox search is used to determine the most pendent variables include education efficient functional form. Using maximum (EDUC), potential experience and its likelihood estimation, the generic Box-Cox square (EXP, EXP2), marital status (MAR- search estimates, RIED), immigration status (IMMIG), race indicators (BLACK, NATIVE. ASIAN, Y"1 = RACE2). English language proficiency + I + r:. 191 (NOENG), and transit time to work (TRANTIME). Table 2 describes these where V is a dependent variable, X is a variables. vector of k independent variables, and . 84(4) IIa,uI et al.: Forest Amenities in the Southwest 643 a, and fi are parameters to be estimated. geographic independent variables exhibited Estimates of ).i = 0 and 2 = 0 correspond these problems and correlation coefficients with a log-log specification, while 2 = between the independent variables con- and 22 = 1 is the linear model. Any firmed this suspicion. To reduce the conse- functional form where the Box-Cox param- quences of multicollinearity. a subset of eters are between - I and 1 is possible. geographic variables is sought that are 12 The transformation parameter for the jointly independent. The independent geo- continuous independent variables was esti- graphic variables described in the previous mated as 27 = 1. For the housing-price section, AREA ES or AREA _WILD, SUR- equation, /'l was estimated as 0.25 for men FACE. HAZ COUNT, and FSFED_REC. and 0.38 for women. The wage equation satisfy the condition of joint independence. estimates of /'.1 ranged between 0.007 and Finally, any econometric exercise that 0.05, but the logged form of the wage deals with geographic data must consider variable (i.e., 2 = 0) is used to avoid the possibility of spatially dependent rela- additional computation costs and to allow tionships. Spatial econometric problems for simple comparisons of the human arise when data is autocorrelated in space capital model to other Mincer-type wage (Anselin 1988). As is the case with time- equations RI the literature. series data that is autocorrelated, estimates There also exists the possibility that that do not correct for autocorrelation will wages affect housing prices and housing be inefficient. prices affect wages. As in Bloniquist, The spatial nature of the amenity data Berger, and Hoehn (1988). a fully simulta- collected by PUMA or county suggests that neous model is not estimated because spatial relationships could be present in the calculations of implicit prices using estima- PUMAs data. Several methods are available tions from both markets require reduced to correct for this potential problem. One form estimates, where the effect of wages on option is to specify a spatially autocorrelated housing prices (and vice versa) is implicit. model, where error correlation between However, the possibility remains that there observations is not zero (i.e.. the off-diagonals are unobserved factors that affect the error of the error covariance matrix are not zero). terms in both equations. Estimates using a In this case, where the data set yields tens of seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) re- thousands of observations, sitch an approach vealed significant, if small, correlation is not feasible because of the size of the spa- between the error variances of the wage tial weights matrix required for estimat ion. t3 and housing-price equations (see Griffiths, Hall, and Judge 1993. 550); for this reason, 12 The method for selecting variables follows the SUR estimates are used throughout.'' suggestion of Gujarati (1978. 184), where ordinary least Given the large vector of site-specific squares regressions of one independent variable on the measures collected as independent variables. other variables are used to identify significant linear relationships between the independent variables. A set of another concern is that the data will exhibit variables is acceptable if the regression of each variable on multicollinearity. In the case of imperfect the other variables all do not reject joint independence. multicollinearity, estimates of coefficient All F-tests for the combinations in the results did not standard errors will be large and coefficients reject independence at the 957; confidence level. Kim, Phipps. and Anselin (2003) estimated spatial sensitive to empirical specification changes hedonic models with spatial data organized similarly to (Gujarati 1978, 178). Preliminary regressions the data used here. The authors specified a contiguity- using the full vector and sub-vectors of the based spatial weights matrix, where all observations within a sub-district (like a PUMA in our data) were considered neighbors. This same approach is conceptu- The results reported in Blomquist. Berger. and ally possible with the data in this paper, but the 609 total Hoehn (1988) do not use a SUR model, although the observations in Kim. Phipps. and Anselin (2003) are authors note that the cross-equation error correlations significantly more manageable than the 50.000-plus are significant. The coefficient estimates reported here observations used here. A promising related method that were more sensitive to the restriction of error indepen- deserves attention in this Context has been developed by dence than in Blomquist, Berger. and Hoehn (1988). Conley (1999). 644 Land Economies November 2008 The second method is to control explic- For both men and women, the propor- itly for those spatial characteristics that tion of the PUMA in forest area is positive generate autocorrelation. This approach is and significantly associated with housing more feasible with the current dataset values, and a larger proportion of forest because it only requires additional vectors area in contiguous PUMAs is associated of independent variables. For example, it with higher housing prices. Further, it may be that the characteristics of nearby appears that forest area in contiguous places affect housing prices and wages in a PUMAs is more important than forests in particular area: Albuquerque, New Mexico, the household's own PUMA: the housing has very few forest amenities within the city equation coefficients for AVG_FS and limits, but large tracts of wilderness and AVGWILD are larger than AREAFS National Forest areas just outside the city. and AREA—WILD for men, and AVG As a First attempt to control for amenities in WILD is larger than AREA—WILD for close places, the average measure of forest women. area (AVGFS or AVG_WILD) in contig- Own-PUMA forest area does not appear uous PUMAs is added as an independent to directly affect wages, but nearby forest variable for observations in a given PUMA. area is associated with lower wages (a negative coefficient indicates that larger SUR Results values of that characteristic compensate for lower wages). For both men and The seemingly unrelated regression women, the coefficients for AVG_FS and (SUR) in this context works well in AVG_WILD are negative and significant explaining housing prices and wages in the while AREA_FS and AREA WILD are region. Equations [6] and [7] are estimated positive and not significant. In other words, and reported separately for men and people do not trade wages for forest area women and reported in Tables 3 and 4, where they work, but they will accept lower respectively.14 Two primary specifications wages to live and work in an area where that are representative of the best fit and forests are closely accessible. have been purged of multicollinearity are The coefficients for the forest area reported: one using USFS area measures measures unambiguously indicate that for- (AREA_FS and AVG_FS) and the other est area is amenable. But the estimates for using wilderness area measures (AREA the other geographic features are more WILD and AVG_WILD). difficult to interpret. Hazardous waste sites The structural variables in the housing and (HAZ_COUNT) are negatively associated wage equations are all of the expected sign with housing prices, which is the expected and highly significant. For example, property sign, but the sign is also negative in the wage acreage and number of bedrooms increases equation. The coefficients for surface water housing value, while years of education and area (SURFACE) and recreation sites experience increase wages. A test for error (FSFED_REC) are also the same sign in correlation between the equations showed both equations. Proper interpretation and that the SUR estimation is indeed justified a any meaningful perspective of the magni- correlation of about 0.20 for men and 0.18 tude of the results in a SUR framework for women was present for all specifications require calculations of the total implicit and was always significant. 15 prices. ' Interacting a categorical variable for gender with all Total Implicit Prices of the other independent variables confirmed that both the wage and housing-price equation should be estimated The above discussion highlights the separately for men and women (i.e.. all of the gender necessity of considering both housing and interactions were jointly significant). 15 See Griffiths. Hall. and Judge (1993) for the labor markets in tandem. For example, how relevant Breusch-Pagan test statistic. do we interpret coefficient estimates that are

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economics. Department of Economics, Universit y of New suggestion of Gujarati (1978. 184) .. Portland: Pacific Northwest Research Station.
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