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International Politics and the Sea: The Case of Brazil PDF

153 Pages·1979·15.751 MB·English
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International Politics and the Sea: The Case of Brazil Michael A. Morris Westview Press / Bourder, Colorado e P w ,,. ... ,,,.,, ,·""1 1 1 1• ,.,,..,.,_ 1 ,1. -;1r""i.\l...t A I Contents To my father, Delyte Wesley Morris, Acknowledgements xi Educator, Administrator, and Hwnanitarian 1 THE SEA IN BRAZILIAN FOREIGN POLICY 1 Change and Continuity in the Interna tional System 2 Ecbnomic implications 3 Political implications 5 Military implications 6 Trends in Brazilian Foreign ·policy 7 Diversification 8 Expansion.of in~erests 8 Greater assertiveness of interests 9 A Westview Replica Edition Pragmatism 10 Trends in Brazilian Ocean Policy 11 2 BRAZILIAN OCEAN POLICY IN DOMESTIC POLITICS 17 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, elec The Geographical Setting and Ocean Policy 17 tronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any Policy Guidelines 18 information storage and retrieval system, without permission Bureaucratic Politics 28 in writing from the publisher. Foreign Policy, Domestic Politics, and Ocean Affairs 45 Copyright © 1,979 by Westview Press, Inc. 3 BRAZILIAN OCEAN POLICY IN HISTORICAL PER- Published in 1979 in the United States of America by SPECTIVE 57 Westview Press, Inc. 5500 Central Avenue Revisionism and National Ocean Policies 58 Boulder, Colorado 80301 Origins of Brazilian Ocean Policy 59 Frederick A. Praeger, Publisher International Law Commission Preparatory Discussions 67 First United Nations Conference on the Library of Congress Catalog Card Number: 79-5040 Law of the Sea 7 6 ISBN: 0-89158-456-0 Printed and.bound in the United States of America vii Second United Nations Conference on the 9 BRAZILIAN OCEAN POLICY IN COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE 283 Law of the Sea 86 The Road to Revisionism 91 Brazil as an Emerging Major Power 283 Interpretations and Implications 95 Developing States 286 Developed States 287 4 BRAZIL AT THE THIRD UNITED NATIONS CON- Ocean Politics in the International FERENCE ON THE LAW OF THE SEA 113 System 289 International System, National Policy, and the Law of the Sea Conference 113 Brazil's Emergence as a Major Power and UNCLOS III 115 Prelude to UNCLOS III, 1967-1970 119 Preparations for UNCLOS .III, 1971-1973 137 The Conference Sessions 144 5 NAVAL TRENDS 169 The.Brazilian Navy in Transition 169 The Brazilian Navy in Comparative Per- spective 171 U.S.-Brazilian Naval Relations 181 A Tradition of Convergent Naval In- terests 182 Readjustments in U.S.-Brazilian Naval Relations 189 6 NAVAL INTERESTS AND MISSIONS 213 A Changing Hierarchy of Naval Interests 213 Core Interests 218 National Security and Development 218 Secondary Interests 228 Speculative Naval Roles 229 The South Atlantic 235 7 OCEAN RESOURCES 251 Offshore Oil 252 Fishing 255 Great Power Challenges and Brazilian Responses 257 Fisheries Economics and Politics 262 8 SHIPPING 267 Development of the National Merchant Marine 267 The Structure of National Shipping 276 viii Acknowledgements Special thanks go to two scholars who had con fidence in this study when it was no more than an idea. Prof.essor Carlos Astiz of the State Univer sity of New York at Albany encouraged and assisted me in this project from the earliest stage. Pro fessor Candido Mendes of the Conjunto Universitario Candido Mendes gave support and encouragement for a stay in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Research support also was given by the Organization of American States and the Faculty Research Committee of Clemson University. 'I', Thanks are also due for the two typists of the ,, final manuscript, Martha Morris and Judy Payne. " My wife, Rekha, shared the experiences of this study with me, and gave me encouragement throughout. Scores of interviews were conducted in the United States, Brazil, and several other Latin American states for this study. Appreciation is ex pressed to all these individuals, mostly unnamed in this study at their request, for their time and in terest. It was particularly through these interviews that ocean politics emerged as a process involving people and groups, not just abstract interests. Earlier versions of some parts of this study have appeared in published form: (1) "Trends in U.S.-Brazilian Maritime Relations," Inter-American Economic Affairs, 17 (Winter 1973), 3-24. (2) University of Sao Paulo Occasional Paper: "A Nova Posis:ao do Brasil no Mundo" (The New Position of Brazil in the World), Geografia e Planejamento, 11 (1974). (3) "The Domestic Context of Brazilian Mari time Policy," Ocean Development and International Law: The Journal of Marine Affairs, 4 (1977), 143- 169). (4) "Brazilian Ocean Policy in Historical Perspective," Journal of Maritime Law and Commerce, xi 10 (April 1979), 349-.393. (5) "Bi;:azil at the Th~rd United Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea, Ocean Development and International Law: The Journal of Marine Affairs, 6 (1979), 131-177. (6) "Mudan5!a e Continuidade nas Rela~oes Navais Brasileiras-.. Americanas" (Change and Conti9u~ty in U:S.-;-Brazilian Naval Relations), Revista Maritima Brasileira (the 1. The Sea In official journal of the Brazilian Nav~), (1979) · The' narrative of this study carries through Brazilian Foreign Policy 1978. Brazil is one of the few viable Third World candidates for a relatively rapid transition from developing, somewhat dependent status to developed, major power status. Not only does Brazil appear to be crossing the threshold from underdevelopment to development, but it al~o seems headed toward the rank of a major power. Progress toward developed, major power status ultimateLy depends on Brazil's own continuing domes tic and international growth, although developments in the international system and in key diplomatic relationships with other states also set limits on growth and upward mobility. Brazil's gradual move ment upward in international status has coincided with some fundamental changes in the international system and in key diplomatic relations with other states, especially the United States. U.S.-Brazilian relations have traditionally been close, with the United States occupying a central position in Brazil's diplomatic constellation, More recently, fundamental changes in U.S. global strategy and hemi spheric policy have coincideo with changes in Brazilian policy to alter considerably the tradition al contour of bilateral relations. International system changes have tended to reinforce these de velopments. Changes on each of these international dimensions, all relatively favorable to Brazil's rise, may be characterized as follows: (1) the in ternational system has been evolving from a bipolar toward a multipolar order; (2) Brazilian foreign policy has been evolving from a position of weakness toward a position of strength; and (3) U.S.-Brazilian relations have been evolving from a state of rela tive dependency and inequality towards one of greater independence and equality. ' Change in each area, however, has been uneven: the international system is still largely bipolar in xii 1 the military sphere; Brazilian foreign policy is ing d6tente, and the United States and China have still hampered by important areas of weakness; and U.S.-Brazilian relations are still influenced by a moved.tow~rd rapp7ochement. Other aspects of the evolving international system are ridden with con legacy of dependency. And some other changes have flicts. Serious problems have arisen between the tended to brake Brazil's growth. soviet Union and its former ally, .China, just as Change and continuity in this foreign policy U.S. relations with Japan and the European Common environment have therefore affected Brazil's rise in Market hav7 been troubled by failure to forge mu complex ways. Brazil's position in the world is im tually satisfactory economic relations. And Third proving, in the sense of being more extensive and independent than previously, but change and contin world ~ta~es are generally growing more restive with the existing order. uity intermingle. In order to clarify these rela- The shift from a bipolar system toward a multi . tionships, key factors of change and continuity in the international system and their economic, politi polar. one. has. imp~rtant economic, political, and security implications for Brazil's position in the cal, and military implications for Brazil will be world. noted briefly. Trends in Brazilian foreign policy have been shaped by and have also shaped this inter Economic implications national environment, and will be subsequently analyzed. Key characteristics of the international The international economy has been relatively system and of Brazilian foreign policy constitute congenial to Brazil's gradual emergence as a devel- the setting .for the topic of this book, trends in Brazilian ocean policy. In a final section of this oped state, although there have been increasing · difficulties in sustaining growth since the 1973- chapter, Brazilian ocean policy is related to this larger policy setting and the organization and ra 1974 oil ?r~sis~ .A growing world economy and con sequent availability of capital have had a highly tionale of the book are set forth. positive effect on Brazil's economy. Greater world economic multipolarity has provided additional for CHANGE AND CONTINUITY IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM 11 eig' nh sources of trade, investm. ent and finance wh ic played a key role in the 196f 8-1973 economI ic Certain aspects of the international system re boom and have helped sustain growth since then. The main unaltered: the nuclear balance is still shaped Unit7d States is still Brazil's largest single by the two superpowers; the Soviet Union and China trading partner and foreign investor and trade and are still basically antagonistic to the United investment between Brazil and the United States States; and Japan and Western Europe are still the have been growing in absolute terms, but at a slower United States' most valued allies. The interna rate than that of Japan and Western Europe. The tional system is nevertheless shifting gradually U.S. share of cumulative foreign investment in from·a bipolar order toward a multipolar one. The Brazil has declined from about one-half in the early resurgence of Japan and a united Europe have con 1960s to about one-third of total foreign investment tributed toward ecoriomic multipolarity and the new pragmatism of China has contributed to political in t~e.country at present, and the U.S. share of Brazilian trade fell as well from 33.7 per cent in multipolarity. The achievement by the Soviet Union 1964 to between a fourth and a fifth of the total · of nuclear parity, the commercial challenge posed by in recent years. Western Europe and Japan together Japan and the European Common Market, and the gradu now share over one-third of Brazilian trade and al expansion of Chinese influence have all contri about half of foreign investment in Brazil. In buted to a relative decline of U.S. power. The recent years, petroleum.has averaged about a quarter emergence of multipolarity has then involved changes of total imports, mostly from the Middle East.2 in the positions of all five major poles of power . The declining U.S. share of trade and foreign in the international system--the United States, investment is, in part, simply a natural concomitant the S<?viet Union, Japan, a united Europe, and China. of g7eater economic multipolarity. However, the Some aspects of the emerging new order augur decline also reflects problems in the bilateral re well for peace. The United States and the Soviet Union have eased their cold war competition by seek- latio~ship. For Br~zil, important aspects of pres ent bilateral relations were shaped during the p~riod 2 3 of greater Brazilian dependence on the·United petitor, is larger than that of any other developing States, so that greater economic multipolarity, by sta~e, and r~nks tenth in the world. Greater eco lessening reliance on its traditionally dominant nomi7 power.is su~porting an increasingly active ally, has been welcomed. foreign policy, with resultant expansion of Brazilian Brazilian vulnerability to external economic influence in the international arena. conditions still remains considerable, and the However, the t7ansition to developed, major Brazilian ability to shape these conditions contin power st~tus, even if relatively rapid, promises to ues to be relatively limited. Recent external de last until at least the end of this century velopments with unfavorable implications for Brazil Brazil's development has been most uneven ~ith rapid include uncertain economic conditions in the de in~us~rial growth in south-central Brazil1taking veloped states and soaring oil prices. In fact, the priority.ove7 ba~anced regional development and in increasing openness of Brazil's economy and greater come redistribution. Per capita national income of reliance on foreign investment, commerce, and tech some~hat.over $~,000 falls far short of that in the nology tend to make it more vulnerable.than pre ~eading 7ndust7ial states. Domestic development and viously to such adverse developments in the inter international influence will be hindered as long as national economy. fundamental disparities in the economy are not cor New forms of dependency, however, may be more rected. acceptable than the traditional ones. Brazil's economic dependency is much more diffuse than pre Political implications viously, since no one state occupies a dominant pos.l: tion in its foreign economic relations. Rapid Multipolarity has tended to increase diplomatic transition to developed status in a multipolar order flexibility for Th~rd World states, especially the still involves national dependence on the world larger, more dynamic ones, such as Brazil. New economy, because of the importance the Brazilian poles of p~w~r have increased alternatives and cold economic model places on external economic rela war competition has become more diffuse and has tions as an engine for domestic growth. But most shi~t~d from the military toward the economic and d~veloped states are themselves subject to similar political spheres. As Brazil continues to emerge vulnerabilities because of increasing global inter as a m~jor power in this setting, it is increasingly dependence. recog~ized to occupy a distinctive position between Some recent studies have recognized that the First and Third Worlds. But Brazilian access to Brazilian dependence in general and on the United key deci~ions af~ecti.1:1-g ~he contours of the global States in particular has varied over time on a ~rder still rem~ins difficult. As an aspirant ma number of levels. Viewed from such a dynamic per JOr power, Brazil has objected to this lack of ac spective, Brazilian dependence has tended to de cess4or "freezing of [the structures of] world pow crease in recent years as national economic power er," alt~ou?h such freezing of power appears less and diversification of foreign economic relations characteristic of the emerging multipolar order than have accelerated.3 of the preceding bipolar one. Domestic developments have complemented the The United States has indeed recognized Brazil's relatively favorable global setting to project new status as the predominant power in Latin America Brazil into a more prominent international position. oi:i repeated occ~sion~, and has sought to adjust the An impressive array of natural and human resources bilateral relationship accordingly. The transition 'is being mobilized to support increasingly diversi to gr~ater Brazilian independence and equality in fied industrial and agricultural production. t~e bilatera~ relationship has been facilitated, Brazil's potential for ma:jor power status has long ~ince the United States and Brazil continue to share been acknowledged, but only with increasing mobiliza important common interests and both sides favor tion of national resources has a significant rise in compromise in resolving differences. Differences in international influence appeared attainable. perspec~i~e continue, however, about the implications Brazil's gross national product, over $100 billion of Bra~il s growth and emergence as a major power for dollars annually by the late 1970s, is already about the United States. three times that of the nearest South American com- Brazilian policy-makers continue to value close 4 5 relations with the United States, but recognize that nist threats to the Third World has been deempha national growth tends to diversify foreign relations, sized. As on the economic front, bilateral military lessen dependency, and lead to distinctive Brazilian ties have accordingly declined relative to other interests which do not necessarily correspond with international military contacts. Compatible re u.s. interests. Increasingly vigorous pursuit of gional powers, as noted, are still encouraged to distinctive Brazilian interests therefore may con take up the slack left from a diminished U.S. world tribute to a regional order, and indeed to a world role to establish stable regional orders. order, unlike that envisaged in U.S. policy. Brazilian policy-makers have welcomed a more Brazilian concern with the freezing of power illus benign international security environment, but they trates just such a difference of perspective. have explicitly rejected seeming regional implica U.S. policy, in contrast, still harbours a tions of recent U.S. policy of spheres of influence paternalistic attitude, since Brazil's growth seems and Brazilian regional hegemony. Instead, they to be regarded more in terms of relieving U.S. have moved to diversify military contacts and en responsibilities on U.S. terms than as an autonomous visage self-sufficiency in the longer-run. Develop process of national self-assertion. A key implica ment of a mutually acceptable image of Brazil's tion of the Nixon Doctrine's emphasis on accommoda more influential position in the world is perhaps tion between the five major world power centers and the m0st basic challenge posed by change for the relative U.S. disengagement from the Third World was bilateral relationship. encouragement of regional orders compatible with U.S. interests.5 In this scheme, Brazil, as the only emerging major power in Latin America, would be dele TRENDS IN BRAZILIAN FOREIGN POLICY gated U.S. regional responsibilities and would as sist integration of a stable regional order into a In spite of differences in emphasis, all mili five power world order. Subsequent U.S. administra tary governments since the 1964 coup have shared tions have continued to stress order in the Third certain common aims, which differ in several impor World on U.S. terms while finding it difficult to tant respects from those held by preceding civilian commit sufficient resources to assist the evolution governments. A more active foreign policy has been of compatible regional systems. Accordingly, the promoted to assist domestic economic development U.S. has continued to look to strong regional allies, and enhance national security.6 Although this for including Brazil, for support as regional poles of eign policy orientation is primarily concerned with power and stability, but with uneven results. supporting domestic concerns, especially economic development and national security, correction of Military implications uneven regional development and income disparities is not stressed. In sum, "foreign policy has be Security considerations, especially cold war come a conscious instrument of an increasingly con competition between the two superpowers, tended to scious national development policy. 117 In the long shape international politics during the bipolar era. run, the attainment of major power status is ex The Third World acquired considerable importance as pected to result from Brazil's domestic and inter a cold war battleground, and security interests national growth. Eventual attainment of developed, seemed to require a substantial U.S. commitment to major power status may shift the central concern of economic development of developing states. For Brazilian foreign policy from domestic development example, bilateral relations both before and after toward international prestige and influence, but the 1964 coup included close collaboration between such a trend is still inchoate. the Brazilian and American militaries and sizable Considerable continuity in the conduct of assistance for development. Superpower detente and Brazilian foreign policy by successive military the emergence of multipolarity have contributed to governments since 1964 has flowed from common ob subsequent U.S. reassessment of its global security jectives. Continuity in foreign policy will char interests and commitment to Third World development. acterize the new Figueiredo administration as well, Superpower military competition has become less which is to take office on March 15, 1979, according prominent and traditional U.S. concern with commu- to the Foreigh Minister-designate, Ramiro Elisio 6 7 Saraiva Guerreiro. Of particular interest for this oriented toward support of internal needs--to assist study, Sr. Saraiva Guerreiro has been a leading mem domestic development and enhance national security- ber of the Brazilian maritime community, including Brazil's domestic and international growth is tend head of the Brazilian delegation to the Third United ing to expand Brazilian international interests. Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea. This includes Brazil's emergence as an aid donor and A general foreign policy approach endorsed by heightened Brazilian con9ern with achieving a direct the successive military governments, albeit with participant role in decisions on global economic, differences of emphasis, may be described through political, and military issues. The diversification four major characteristics. These four characteris policy, too, tends to expand Brazilian international tics, taken together, have adapted the aspirations interests. of an emerging major power well to the situational This expansion of interests has been largely constraints and opportunities of an emerging multi benign, in spite of arguments to the contrary. Some polar order. I nationalist circles in Spanish Am~!:,iCg, for example, have argued that increasing Brazilian involvement Diversification in Bolivia, Paraguay, and Uruguay demonstrates imperialistic designs. The broad Escola Superior de A concerted program to diversify markets and Guerra definition of national security does lead to products for export has been carried out in order to concern about possible instability in the border boost economic development at home while lessening areas, although Brazil's growing international in diplomatic dependence on the United States and volvement has largely been limited to expansion of economic dependence on specific commodities. economic and political interests. As noted, Brazil Brazilian dependence on coffee, for example, has de has rejected any hegemonic designs in Latin America, clined considerably in the past decade. The share either on its own or in association with the United of coffee in Brazilian exports fell from 53 per cent states. The impact of Brazil's growth is neverthe in 1964 to less than 20 per cent in recent years, less being felt most directly in neighboring Latin while the proportion of industrial exports rose in American states, since Brazil has not been con the same period from 5 per cent to about one-third fronted with a freezing of the structures of power of the total. Changes in the international system, on a regional scale, as has tended to occur on a especially the emergence of economic multipolarity, global scale. have facilitated diversification of export markets as well. Trade diversification has been especially Greater assertiveness of interests marked in the cases of Western Europe and Japan, as noted, and relations with Latin America, other The transition from bipolarity to multipolarity developing states, and the socialist states are has not altered many features of the international also being intensified. system which Brazil regards as inimical to its prog The first military government of Castello ress toward developed, major power status. Brazil Branco did maintain particularly close relations has expressed its dissatisfaction with unfair or with the United States, while all subsequent mili biased economic, political, and military structures tary governments have pressed diversification more embedded in the existing international order, and and have not hesitated to defend national interests has clearly defined positions critical of the status vigorously when in confli.ct with those of the quo. For example, Brazil has criticized the existing United States. In retrospect, even the foreign structure of world trade, especially trade barriers policy of Castello Branco was not subservient to in the developed states, as making the transition the United States, and instead seems to have re toward development difficult. Disarmament and arms garded especially close cooperation with the United control efforts, such as the non-nuclear prolifera States as necessary in dealing with the domestic tion treaty, have been criticized as often serving political and economic crisis. the interests of the established great powers. The sudden concern of the developed states with pollu Expansion of interests tion--maritime or land-based--has been regarded as self-serving as well and possibly inimical to While Brazilian foreign policy remains largely 8 9

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