« International Investment Perspectives 2 0 0 6 The global environment for foreign direct investment (FDI) improved in 2005. Macroeconomic growth, traditionally one of the main drivers of direct investment, gained momentum in several OECD countries. In addition, corporate profitability was International generally strong, interest rates were low and equity valuation in most countries was firm so ample liquidity was available to companies wanting to invest abroad. In this Investment benign environment, overall FDI inflows to OECD countries grew by 27 per cent to reach USD 623 billion in 2005. At the same time, OECD economies remained strong Perspectives net contributors of direct investment capital to the rest of the world. Estimated new outflows in 2005 were USD 95 billion. The special focus of this International Investment Perspectives volume is on legal and policy issues arising from international investment agreements. The articles in this section, which were prepared for the OECD Investment Committee, investigate novel features of recent bilateral investment treaties; options for improving the system of investor-state dispute settlement; and the consolidation of claims as an avenue for improving investment arbitration. This volume contains several more articles on topical investment issues. One takes stock of how new technologies are a force advancing the closer integration of national economies. Another reviews the challenges and opportunities for policy makers that arise from international investor participation in infrastructure. A third In t e summarises recent evidence of source (or “home”) country benefits of outward direct r n investment. The final article explains the role of the OECD peer review process in a t building investment policy capacity. io n a l In v e s t The full text of this book is available on line via this link: m http://www.sourceoecd.org/finance/9264026894 e n Those with access to all OECD books on line should use this link: t P http://www.sourceoecd.org/9264026894 e r SourceOECD is the OECD’s online library of books, periodicals and statistical databases. For more s p information about this award-winning service and free trials ask your librarian, or write to us at e c [email protected]. t iv e s www.oecd.org ISBN 92-64-02689-4 -:HSTCQE=UW[]^[: 2006 20 2006 06 1 P 2006 International Investment Perspectives 2006 Edition ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. Also available in French under the title: Perspectives d’investissement international Édition 2006 © OECD 2006 No reproduction, copy, transmission or translation of this publication may be made without written permission. Applications should be sent to OECD Publishing: [email protected] or by fax (33 1) 45 24 13 91. Permission to photocopy a portion of this work should be addressed to the Centre français d'exploitation du droit de copie, 20, rue des Grands-Augustins, 75006 Paris, France ([email protected]). FOREWORD Foreword I nternational Investment Perspectives is an annual publication. Each issue contains an update of trends and prospects in international investment and provides analyses of investment policy questions of topical interest. The publication aims to provide timely information to members of the investment policy community, academia and members of the public with an interest in international investment. Most of the contributions to International Investment Perspectives are prepared by the OECD Secretariat, based on work undertaken for the OECD Investment Committee and reviewed by the Committee or its Working Party. Queries concerning the contents of this publication should be addressed to the Investment Division of the OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs (HansChristiansen, Editor, Tel.: (33-1) 45 24 88 17, e-mail: [email protected]; Pamela Duffin, Communications Officer, e-mail: [email protected]). INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES: 2006 EDITION – ISBN 92-64-02689-4 – © OECD 2006 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Part I Chapter 1. Trends and Recent Developments inForeign Direct Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Annex 1.A1. International Direct Investment Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Annex 1.A2. National Security and Strategic Sectors: Regulatory Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Chapter 2. Globalisation, New Technology andInternational Investment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Chapter 3. International Investor Participation inInfrastructure: ChallengesforPolicyMakers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 Chapter 4. Outward Direct Investment: What Benefits tothe Home Countries?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Chapter 5. Building Investment Policy Capacity: TheOECD Peer Review Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Part II Special Focus on International Investment Agreements Chapter 6. Novel Features in Recent OECD Bilateral Investment Treaties. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Chapter 7. Improving the System of Investor-state Dispute Settlement: An Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 183 Chapter 8. Consolidation of Claims: A Promising Avenue for Investment Arbitration?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 Annex 8.A1. Jurisprudence in Commercial Arbitration. . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 Annex 8.A2. Institutional Rules . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 250 Annex 8.A3. National Arbitration Laws. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252 Annex 8.A4. Investor-state Arbitration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES: 2006 EDITION – ISBN 92-64-02689-4 – © OECD 2006 5 TABLE OF CONTENTS List of boxes 1.1. Foreign direct investment statistics: main concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2.1. New technology is strengthening the relationship between trade and investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.2. FDI statistical challenges arising fromnewtechnology . . . . . . . . . 55 2.3. Technology is favouring Eastern Europe asacarproduction and assembly location . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 2.4. The supply side of technological innovation isgoingglobal. . . . . . 60 3.1. Water services in Buenos Aires. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 3.2. The Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 4.1. Past observations on delocalisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 4.2. “Stylised facts” based on the experience withUS-based multinational enterprises. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 4.3. The worldwide R&D operations of US MNEs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 5.1. Peer learning and compliance withinternationalagreements . . . 125 7.1. Fork in the road . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 List of tables 1.1. Direct investment flows to and from OECD countries: 2002-05 . . . 17 1.2. Cumulative FDI flows in OECD countries1996-2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.3. Foreign direct investment flows in selected non-member economies: 2001-05. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 1.4. Cross-border M&As to and from OECD countries, total. . . . . . . . . . 27 1.5. Inward cross-border M&As valued at more than USD 1.5billion fromJanuary2005 to May2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 1.A1.1. OECD direct investment abroad: outflows. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 1.A1.2. OECD direct investment from abroad: inflows . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 1.A1.3. OECD direct investment abroad: outward position . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 1.A1.4. OECD direct investment from abroad: inward position. . . . . . . . . . 41 2.1. Motor vehicle FDI in Eastern Europe has expanded rapidly . . . . . . 57 3.1. Arbitral decision and negotiated settlements in cases related toinfrastructure operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 4.1. Outward FDI positions of selected OECD countries vis-à-vis non-OECD countries, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 6.1. BIT models in OECD countries and non-member adherents totheDeclaration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 6.2. Substantive provisions in recent BITs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 6.3. Dispute settlement in recent BITs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 6 INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES: 2006 EDITION – ISBN 92-64-02689-4 – © OECD 2006 TABLE OF CONTENTS List of figures 1.1. FDI flows to and from OECD. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1.2. Inward FDI in selected countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.1. The drivers and dimensions of globalisation bear oninternational investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 2.2. The share of ICT patents has increased in virtually allOECDcountries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 2.3. Manufacturing production is becoming moreglobally integrated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.4. Organisational modes for cross-border production andinvestment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 2.5. Large non-member economies have increased investment inmost OECD countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 2.6. The composition of OECD FDI has shifted massively towardsservices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 2.7. Foreign ownership of domestic inventions varies widely across countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 2.8. SMEs are increasingly involved in cross-border alliances. . . . . . . . 62 3.1. FDI Restrictiveness Index: Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 4.1. R&D in foreign-owned enterprises, 2003 (asshareoftotalindustrial R&D) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES: 2006 EDITION – ISBN 92-64-02689-4 – © OECD 2006 7