Joint Military Intelligence College G U T J THE INTELLIGENCE ARCHIPELAGO A H R The Community’s Struggle T H to Reform E I N in the Globalized Era T E L L I G E N C E AR AR Y INTELLIGE T N C I C H L E I C IP M O L E T L L NI GE A O E J G O 1962 Melanie M. H. Gutjahr PCN 55646 ISBN 1-932946-03-9 TMINLIIOTJARYIN1T9E6L2LIGENECGEECLOL The Joint Military Intelligence College supports and encourages research on intelligence issues that distills lessons and improves Intelligence Community capabilities for policy-level and operational consumers The Intelligence Archipelago: The Community’s Struggle to Reform in the Globalized Era This product has been reviewed by senior experts from academia, industry and government, and has been approved for unrestricted distribution by the Office of Freedom of Information and Security Review, Washington Headquarters Services. It is available to the public through the National Technical Information Service (www.ntis.gov). In this book, Melanie Gutjahr addresses the documentation surrounding the history of U.S. national intelligence reform efforts, going back almost to the beginning of post-WWII intelligence. She examines the question of whether the Intelligence Community appears capable of reshaping itself quickly and effectively enough to cope with 21st century expressions of globalization. Finding a negative answer to that question, she goes on to address the prospect that Congress may generate the wherewithal to effect a transformation in intelligence matters by building on the Intelligence Reform Act of 2004. [email protected], Editor and Director Center for Strategic Intelligence Research Library of Congress Control Number 2005924958 ISBN 1-932946-03-9 THE INTELLIGENCE ARCHIPELAGO The Community’s Struggle to Reform in the Globalized Era Melanie M. H. Gutjahr tt ee gg ii cc IInntteellll aa ii rr gg tt ee SS nn cc rr ee oo RR ff ee rr ss ee ee tt aa nn rr Joint Military ee cc CC Intelligence College hh WASHINGTON, DC May 2005 The views expressed in this book are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government i CONTENTS Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii Commentaries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ix Art Grant, Raytheon Company Russell E. Travers, National CounterTerrorism Center Review Essay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi Failures, Fallacies and Fixes: Posturing Intelligence for the Challenges of Globalization, by Russell E. Travers Author’s Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxv 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 The Issue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Methodology and Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Significance of Research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 2. Fundamental Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 What is Intelligence? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 What is Intelligence Reform? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 What is Oversight?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 What is Globalization?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 3. Past: Historical Perspective: Shapers of the Intelligence Community During the Cold War (1945-1989). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 National Security Act of 1947 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 The Bipolar Environment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Intelligence Community in the 20th Century. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Cold War Intelligence Reform 1947-1989. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Cold-War Era Reform Efforts in Retrospect . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 4. Recent Past: Stalled Reform (1990-2000) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Post-Cold War Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Post-Cold War Intelligence Reform. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 iii Post-Cold War Reform in Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 Hart-Rudman Commission 1999-2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 5. Present: Post 9/11 Strategies for Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 9/11 Surprise? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 Joint Inquiry Commission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 9/11 Commission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 Joint Inquiry and 9/11 Commission Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 Luminaries Respond to 9/11 Committee Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . 80 Reform Effects of Presidential Executive Order . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 6. Intelligence in the Post-9/11 World . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Globalization and the Intelligence Community . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Information Revolution and the Intelligence Community . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 7. 21st Century: The Rocky Road Ahead . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 A Changed Community Since 9/11? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 Post-9/11 Community-Wide Issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 The Way Ahead: The Networked Community . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Horizontal Integration and the IC. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 Congressional Oversight and the IC. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 8. Post 9/11 Intelligence Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 Protecting the Turf . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 Passage of Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 . . . 167 Congressional Oversight . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 DNI and Community Relationships . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 9. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 iv Appendix A — National Security Act of 1947, as amended . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 Appendix B — Cold-War Intelligence Reform 1945-1989 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 Appendix C — Post Cold-War Intelligence Reform 1990-2000 . . . . . . . . . . . 205 Appendix D — Talking Heads Intelligence Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 Appendix E — Post 9/11 Intelligence Reform Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 Appendix F — GAO Human Capital Management Reference Tables . . . . . . 249 Appendix G — Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 . 251 Acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259 Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263 About the Author . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The author gratefully acknowledges the following individuals who made this research project possible. The senior leadership of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency who selected me as the NGA participant in the FY2004 Intelligence Research Fellows Program at the Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (CSIR) at the Joint Mil- itary Intelligence College (JMIC), and colleagues in my assigned organization, NGA/Enterprise directorate (Information Management), who promoted my application. Mr. Art Grant, LTC (U.S. Army, Ret.), former House Intelligence Committee staff member and currently Vice President, National Intelligence, Space and Geospatial Programs for the Raytheon Company; and Russ Travers, Deputy Director, National CounterTerrorism Center, who reviewed the manuscript and provided commentaries. Dr. Russell Swenson, Director of the CSIR. His editorial comments and direc- tion have been invaluable to the completion of this project. The library research staffs at the Defense Intelligence Agency and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, who provided source assistance. An anonymous NGA analyst, who provided map reconstruction assistance. Lastly, the author would like to express a heartfelt appreciation to my family— Hannah and Joshua Gutjahr—for their continued support and encouragement. vii
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